smoothiex12 (Andrei Martyanov)

Done! (5140 results) ✔



2019-05-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ohh, no:-))) I was trying to avoid this topic since it was clear from the get go that the whole thing was a pathetic flop. Plus, I usually leave this kind of things to people who both know area better and its dynamics, and on these issues are better analysts than me. These are Bernhard of Moon of Alabama, Saker (Andrei Raevsky) and Pepe Escobar.



2019-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

1. I don’t know;

2. Most modern EW is a battle of algorithms across wide range of frequencies;

3. Murmansk’s main task it seems is shutting down most communications, including NATO C3 systems, such as High Frequency Global Communications System.


2019-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is not SSBN since doesn’t carry ballistic missiles but she carries P-800 Onyx and 3M22 Zircon, each capable of carrying a nuclear ordnance. Pr. 885 is designed primarily for Sea Denial missions by fighting surface and underwater threats. But yes, they are capable of land-strike missions.


2019-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Is it true that it can jam radio communications in 5000 km range?

Depending on atmospheric conditions it could be up to 8,000 kilometers. Most likely it is true.


2019-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

S-500 already hit the air target 500 kilometers away–the hyperlink is in the body of post. But here it is again:

https://www.thedrive.com/th…

We don’t know what exact type of target it was, but under any circumstances we WILL NOT know actual combat capabilities of S-500 for a long time. If ANY other Russian weapon systems of note are indication (such as 3M14, or 3M22 among many others) Russians initially always UNDERstate their systems’ capabilities mostly reporting an “export” versions, especially in range category. Who would have known that Zircon has a range in excess of 1000 kilometers? Not until Putin disclosed it very recently. So, stay tuned.


2019-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t think so, Borei is a Bulava-specific SSBN.


2019-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No problem. In fact, if to count by the contours of a snow I get 9 tubes (18 altogether) but it is, of course, an illusion.


2019-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Difficult to say. Reforms were needed in 1980s, but not what Gorbachev and Yeltsin’s “reformers” offered.


2019-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Very true, plus S-400 is also capable to do so because effective ranges for AWACS systems are around 400 kilometers. With S-500, they are simply denied any theater of operations presence.



2019-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I have no idea, but if Russia ever gets to building serious destroyers-cruisers of 10,000+ ton displacement, then it may become a possibility.



2019-04-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Charlize Theron is a bat shit crazy bitch who thinks that her 3 year old child (adopted) boy wants to be a girl since he told her. These people are sick, in normal country she would have had her parental rights revoked for child abuse. It is Sodom and Gomorrah and I am an atheist, well….quantum mechanics based agnostic.


2019-04-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Children are the future, just make sure they don’t have a say in it, LOL! Man, this is some heavy shit:-)))


2019-04-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, I am not exactly alt-right, in fact with many so called alt-righters of crypto-nazi variety we would have found each-other on the different sides of barricades. But some rightism is good and healthy.


2019-04-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Experts on Europe, what do you think about Manfred Weber’s threats to
block Nord Stream 2 if he becomes a European Commission president?
Apparently the European People’s Party is a hotbed of russophobia.

Here is a superb Russian energy analyst Dmitry Lekuh on all this tempest in a teacup with Weber. You will need Google Translate.

https://ria.ru/20190426/155…

The title of this excellent piece–The Nord Stream-2 Strikes Back, LOL.


2019-04-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Suslov certainly was. The rest of the bunch–by far not the worst people. Per Yeltsin or his cabal of sadists–I do not even count them as people. Subhumans.


2019-04-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Comments on the oil trade waivers situation with Iran? The situation does not look good for Iran.

I didn’t have the chance to study the issue of waivers in depth yet, so it is difficult to say anything. Per India, yes–it is only natural that there are very powerful pro-American forces there. But then again, India has issues with China, so US will natural use India as a counter-weight, use and then discard, as usual.


2019-04-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

alright circles

I am stealing it–loved it. Never heard it before.


2019-04-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, the phrase about new holiday to celebrate is most remarkable.


2019-04-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You cannot grasp Vladimir Putin–he is everywhere! LOL. https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2019-04-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This is downright painful to watch. It also tells a lot about Biden.


2019-04-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Even without the warhead (or inert) the damage by hyper-sonic missile to the ship will be gigantic. Now imagine inert missile penetrating, say, nuclear reactor zone in CVN or power-plant of any other surface ship even in WW II scenario you proposed. Albeit, I never heard about Nazi bombs reaching hypersonic speeds.


2019-04-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, they are articles of technology of the 21st century with everything what follows it.


2019-04-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You can take a look at available videos of tests of anti-shipping missiles to understand how irrelevant lessons with bombs are.


2019-04-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Im no professional diplomat, but… Diplomats should not threaten people, implicitly or explicitly.

Neither am I but I know you nailed it.

But against a near-peer? Anything subsonic, under 100,000 feet altitude is not effective.

Absolutely.


2019-04-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk

The whole rubric is filled (in Russian) with GS commentaries, plus Shoigu’s.


2019-04-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

True, but I also base my conclusions on today’s extensive Russian General Staff commentaries.


2019-04-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, I don’t think so. Just increasingly normal routine.




2019-04-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Certainly possible. But I think it is just a part of the story.


2019-04-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Asha Rangappa (@AshaRangappa), a senior lecturer at the Jackson
Institute for Global Affairs at Yale, was an F.B.I. special agent
focusing on counterintelligence investigations.

That explains a lot why US “elites” are so dumb. When one has such teachers…


2019-04-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

the profitability thing is largely about engines and avionics

Not only, composition of a fuselage, the wing (that is huge), other key assemblies play a very important role in it–hence increasing use of carbon-fiber and other composites in aircraft. Less weight, less fuel consumption. MC-21 has the only in its CLASS black wing, this changes a lot. B787 has fuselage and wing out of composites.


2019-04-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

They are strategic bombers–totally different paradigm. In fact good ol TU-95 still has some juice left in it with appropriate weapons and avionics. These aircraft are not designed to be commercially successful and profitable.


2019-04-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t know if such a massive undertaking is financially feasible. In the end, PD-10 will have to be properly fitted, then avionics and APU and other modern systems packaging. All in all it will be creating basically a new aircraft on the outdated air-frame. I don’t think it makes sense.


2019-04-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I also heard that Hill visited Russa (secretly) before. Not sure how true is that.

Evidently she did (as Russian media reported) and it is possible that she is, in Trump’s view, some sort of Reagan’s “alternative” envoy to USSR, Susan Massie, who was used by Holy Ronald as a separate source of information.

https://therussophile.com/s…

I don’t think anyone from current US foreign policy “academe” is capable to see the full picture. It never was there to start with, now–as I stated many times–Russian “Studies” field is completely destroyed in the West.


2019-04-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know that PD-35 will have composite (carbon fiber, titanium clad leading edges) blades. So, the whole line will be (already is getting to be) on the cutting edge. As per Yak-42 remotrization–very few of them are left and I am not sure they will do so. Especially since SSJ-100 and its “longer” version are essentially same niche aircraft with upcoming PD-10 engine.


2019-04-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I think he was at best surprised. They are literally, all of them, unaware of what is going on seeing any offer not to go to war, such as Russia sent the letter, to accept the nuclear war as impossible between US and Russia, half-a-year ago as a sign of weakness. Most of them are delusional.


2019-04-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It was coming and these are bad news for duopoly.


2019-04-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No relation. Israel got one INactive S1-pantsir and, allegedly, the second one (it is yet to be actually confirmed) also in non-combat mode. Those were not drones–those were Delilah cruise missiles. Any missile is technically a “drone” with one huge difference–drones are supposed to be multi-use systems, missiles “die” with the target they hit. S1 will be armed (I think already) with cheap and effective Gvozd’ (Nail) missile specifically designed for intercept of drones and subsonic cruise missiles.


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

as Pence tries to convince us anytime he has the opportunity like the other day in the UNSC…

Using Pence and physics in one sentence is an insult to Physics and all scientific titans who dedicated their lives to it.;)) As per Israel, and “chosen” people, sure what else is there, really–American Christian Zionists will believe any BS?


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But they were talking about travelling in time through wormholes by
creating energy from zero point….which, as they were commenting those
in the table, is like inventing fire…

They were talking about fundamental physical research and those technologies are centuries, if not millennia, away. You theoretically can travel into the “future” using time dilatation principle by means of moving with a significant fraction of the light speed, or getting around event horizon of the black hole. Traveling BACK in time is impossible by present means. As per wormholes–possible, but humanity simply doesn’t have energies required for “opening” and maintaining a wormhole. In general, this is a fundamental science to which both USSR and Russia contribute mightily. As per primer on those issues, including quantum mechanics–do not hesitate to get this book:

https://www.amazon.com/s?k=…


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

After getting Grudinin to run for president–I cannot view Russian “commercial communists” as a party of people.


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am extremely backward in photography. Come to think about it–I don’t even know what model Samsung smartphone I have. But I always look with admiration on those professionally nice-looking cameras.


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Not allowing liberal cabal to win in 2012.


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

sadly, for them, the internet has a way of chewing through bullshit in
real time rendering the best ivy league educated narratives suited only
for saturday morning cartoon viewing by children and the very gullible.

Ah, excellent.


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

2025-2030, by the time PD-35 will go on-line and CR-929 will get into the air. Really difficult to say, honestly.


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I’m glad you’re reassessing Medvedev. I always found his general
unpopularity in Russia a bit unfair. Obviously, he’s loyal, otherwise
Putin wouldn’t keep him as his PM all these years. That’s the single
most important quality. He’s also willing to do all the unpopular
day-to-day work, leaving Putin with good ratings 🙂

True, and it was Medvedev personally who fired dangerous Kudrin and, what is most important, was the guy who stopped an enormous pressure from outside and, especially from the liberal cabal inside, during power transition in 2012, thus averting effectively a coup d’etat. This is a big deal. In my book–this is huge. Yes, he is clumsy but he does technical job of running government and does it relatively well.


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t know, I know that Russia is working on that. I also know that there are shitloads of issues with 5G which must be resolved before it becomes fully viable.


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you for your kind words–I am trying my best.


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Israel Image Satellite International group and a “Syrian military source
in Damascus speaking on the condition of anonymity told Al-Masdar

Ah, I know this “group”–a more sophisticated version (most likely with Israeli special services behind it) of Bellngcat. I can totally allow for them mistaking Bastion vehicles (and Syria did purchase those) with Iskander. Indeed, why use Iskander when Bastion was already combat used to a devastating effect against ISIS ground targets. So, your question:

However, it is not obvious why a hypersonic maneuverable missile would be needed in an Iblib operation.

Is legitimate, especially since Bastion can do the job just fine and, in fact, already did it not for once. Is another Israeli propaganda BS possible in this case? Absolutely. But as I said, until Russian MoD and respectable Russian news agencies confirm it–it is all rumors and information operations. You can observe Bastion “work” on ground targets in Syria here:

https://youtu.be/qsXIALWlb5M


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I’ll try to find it. In general, however, I would suggest to treat Russia’s so called “left” sources the same as you would liberal ones–most of them deal with misinformation at best and serve a very narrow cohort of “leaders” who are pissed off by their inability to both win elections not to speak of generating any constructive program.


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I have no idea. I will wait for Ria or TASS to report on that.


2019-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

https://youtu.be/WwrS8AZXufk

US IS NOT taking over the Russian economy.


2019-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am a hard-working man and I do not understand you, rich people, buying expensive stuff:-)) We do have some 20M small camera but we are so lazy that we use our phones.


2019-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Plus there is the usual question of exorbitant prices on anything drinkable and problems with transportation to and from.

I am aware of that. I hope this year they will address problems with 2017 salon, IIRC. But then again, I love my Youtube:)) Comfortable, free and you get to choose what to look at.


2019-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

He had more than enough time (and opportunities) to assemble his team–he “assembled ” it, alright. The worst collection of sociopaths, draft-dodgers and war-mongers. That is testimony about him, not the “team”.


2019-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

smoothie! I protest! 🙂 — You are not taking the NYT seriously enough. 🙂

I don’t take Western media in general seriously at all, but, come on–it is good once in a while quote a sewer such as NYT;-)


2019-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is valid point but the fact that Kushner and Ivanka run daddy’s decision is undeniable, enough to recall attacks on Syria and, documented, “method” of Trump selling out to BiBi and Israel.



2019-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is obvious to anyone with a half brain that Skripal affair is incompetent crude false flag by British so called IC, same “quality” as Steele Dossier.


2019-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

and I will speak freely here…

Nothing less is expected from you!

because I respect our host Smoothie & commenters such as yourself

The feeling is mutual.


2019-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

She certainly has the right to speak–The Mosque of Notre Dame was read aloud by Lefebvrists precisely at the entrance to Notre Dame Cathedral when the book came out in France in 2006. I am also satisfied with Russian Orthodox Church’s response which was very compassionate. Per fire–the speed with which Paris already concluded that there was no malice–really? Less than 24 hours after gigantic fire and they already know? This is a load of malarkey and I agree with Chudinova here–it stinks to heavens.


2019-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I’m sure I have read that S 300s where turned over to Syria and Syrian
military were trained to use them. I should think they were trained to
use them for the defense of Syria.

Syrians are being trained on S-300 but the transfer will happen in the future. How far in the future–I don’t know.


2019-04-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Here is a good piece by Dmitri Drobnitsky today. Titled: The Alt-Globalism Fell Today. Google Translate should help.

https://vz.ru/opinions/2019…


2019-04-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Very well could be an actual impetus.


2019-04-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I was thinking about “the Mosque of Notre Dame” – the going down there
was much more noble. But, in reality Notre Dame was not granted even
that.

Same here.


2019-04-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I repeat again–S-300s and S-400s, S1s and Tor M2s in Syria are there to protect Russian facilities, not fight on behalf of Syria. Syrian AD is represented by a number of S1 Pantsir systems, plus some Buk-M2E among modern ones, there are also old Soviet systems.

Where is the much talked about air defense system

Again, it is “much talked about” in Israeli media and in US–for obvious reasons. Russia and Israel DO have an arrangement for Israel to attack some of the targets (allegedly Hezbollah and Iranian). Syrian AD systems are being integrated–how, in my case I can only speculate, but Syrian AD has also a record of repelling attacks and, in fact, doing, its antique status granted, fairly well. How far will build up of Syrian AD will go–I don’t know but it seems it is being updated. Israel will continue to launch stand-off weapons, Syria will continue to shoot them down. Syria S1s are VERY effective and feared, that is why Israel wet dreams about taking them out. It did it twice–in one case against totally non-combat S1, second time–there are huge issue with what actually was attacked by Israeli salvo.



2019-04-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What is different between the EU and the US is that the EU is more
vulnerable, which makes it less hostile than what it would like to be.

That’s the point. Russia is not responsible for Europe, they chose their fate themselves–let them face the music.


2019-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

he is a liberal himself

That is the key to understanding his behavior. That is why I radically disagree here with Israel Shamir when he describes Russia’s attitude towards Assange in next terms:

As a matter of fact, Russians were extremely hesitant to have anything to do with Assange. They could not believe he was for real. Are you so naïve, they told me, that you do not understand he is a CIA trap? Such peopledo not exist. Itis a problem of the Russian mind: as a rule, they do not understand and do not trust Western dissidents of Assange’s ilk. They want their western sympathisers to be bought and paid for. Free agents are suspicious in their eyes. God knows there are many people in the West whose opinions roughly coincide with those of the Russians; but the Russians would prefer to buy a journalist off the peg. That’s why RT has had more than its fair share of defectors, that is of broadcasters who denounced RT and went to the Western mass media.

http://www.unz.com/ishamir/…

The truth, I think, is much simpler and has a lot to do with Russia precisely understanding people like “Assange and his ilk”. In the end, I have all reasons to believe that SVR or counter-intelligence profilers in Russia are one of the best in the world. In the end, Assange is flesh and blood of the so called Western elites whose arrogance (fed by pretense of being “intellectual”) is matched only by their ignorance. In fact, my second book on that is nearing completion.


2019-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

– Assange (and, for that matter, Edward Snowden) is not some kind of a
radical. He worked well within what is the established liberal thinking.
The powers of the world nowadays simply don’t tolerate that. I think he
was also surprised with this discovery, and in retrospect this explains
his naivety. After the much celebrated examples, like the “Pentagon
papers” whatever, he thought nothing serious could affect him. I was
kinda surprised when he went to the UK after the Swedish fake
prosecution (and asked for Ecuadorian(!) asylum). Of course he should’ve
flown immediately.

Excellent summary.


2019-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Give me a minute–I hate when Disqus does this.



2019-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

By now the only course of actions for Assange’s benefit is “martyring” him up enough as a Free Speech defender that any attempts on his life will have serious public opinion and relations’ repercussions–this campaign is already in progress. It will, eventually, remove all complexities and strangeness of his decisions and will reduce him to a symbol of resistance. As for what could be played–who knows, anything is possible.


2019-04-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Of course he ruled it out. Thank you, Patrick, for this link.


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Extremely depressing. I read some parts. We are talking about moral freaks. In the same time–modern politics requires precisely this type.


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I believe your comment was a bit insensitive. I am also a software engineer

I have nothing against software engineers. Assange could be a genius in software, my point is that he is not in (counter)intelligence operations.

someone who sacrificed his freedom and comfort

Precisely my point–he could have still had both. I simply state hard cold facts which have nothing, zero with my insensitivity or otherwise. I heard about him not from a single source and I had my opinion on him since very long ago–it turned out to be mostly correct. In the end, we all pay for our mistakes. Assange’s mistake was needless. I simply say it openly–for some reason it is being perceived as insensitivity.


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Apparently you haven’t thought of a single piece of such evidence while writing this entry.

Because I can list even today about 4-5 on the order of magnitude more important news than Assange’s arrest (which anyone with half-brain knew was coming for years now) and that is why I specifically pointed out that these are “my two pennies”, not Pound, not Dollar, not Ruble either.

Hence my suggestion for RT… RT’s Cross Talk.

I am absolutely not interested in discussing Assange, Wikileaks and, what is generally known as “journalism” (I already wasted enough time on that here) on RT or anywhere else. I am self-critical, if not self-deprecating, and self-aware enough to know that my opinions on these issues are absolutely not important and inconsequential–I specialize in a different field and I feel sorry already for bringing Assange issue up here.

I very much doubt that Wikileaks could have released confidential information for years without a rigorous process of filtering, and I suspect that such filtering quite likely involved the participation of intelligence agencies.

Anyone with basic analytical skills and decent intelligence and education can do it.


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

He is a token figurehead for many years now.

10!


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

If your point is that he should have understood from the beginning that
the people he is offending have zero sense of humor about this sort of
thing, then I agree. If you are saying he should have prepared for this
by living in a place where western authorities could not reach him
(which today means Russia and possibly Cuba and not many other places)
then again, I agree.

Ziad, this is the ONLY point I am trying to make. And the fact that I am not jumping around tearing hair from my head demanding immediate release of Assange or do not go into psychotic frenzy praising (does this remind you of anything recent in US, as an example?) a very real good he did, doesn’t mean that I am not sympathetic to him or do not appreciate what was done. But I can reiterate again–it was Assange’s lack of awareness, bordering on, frankly teenage level stupidity, of rules by which governments, especially US government, play in case of secrets being exposed that got him where he is today. I am sorry for him, but much of this was of his own making. As they say–lay with dogs, get up with fleas. In other words, he should have known better. He, obviously, thought that he was smarter–he was not.


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This monologue is a part of Russian culture now–incredible delivery, not a single word or emotion contrived.


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, it is essentially a relative of Poliment-Redut, and P-R is finally working. People in the know say P-R is outstanding. Now there is a talk on navalizing Tor-M2


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Exactly the point. Especially when one looks on still active and effective Anonymous (hackers).


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Governments have dirty little secrets, and they invariably extend the
domain of “secret” and “classified” documents far wider than could
possibly be justified. But they cannot be brought to book for that –
because, you see, all the evidence is secret.

It is a conundrum, isn’t it? But then again, in an imaginary situation when one is forced to screw an AIDS infected prostitute with or without condom (that is having an option), normal person will always choose the intercourse with condom on, pardon my raw example. Same, absolutely same here. Assange is not Prometheus, otherwise he wouldn’t have ended up in embassy for 7 years, despite many of his noble intentions, he is way more complex and, speaking in a layman’s language, fvcked it up by being reckless and unaware. He is paying for it last 7 years, including his yesterday’s arrest.


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You completely missed the point, because this is about “sources” and ANY state has prerogative over those “sources”. If you think that you may deal cocaine on the street without being connected directly or by proxy”

a) to Cartels,
b) to DEA

I have a bridge to sell you. Any counter-intelligence service in the world would be immediately in the game of “intercept” once native classified information was exposed by whatever means–doesn’t matter if it was done to expose evil or for monetary gain. Classified information Assange was disclosing was proprietary American, irrespective of this information disclosing US evil actions or showing the US as an angel, along the chain the law was broken. If Assange thought that people wouldn’t be after him, irrespective if those people being evil or angels, than he should have stayed away from this activity or, at least, should have had plan B. Like famous Anonymous who is (are) both famous and notorious but also well under-cover, as they should be:

http://www.anonews.co/anony…

That is what at the heart of the issue. As Israel Shamir described his friend Assange:

On the other hand, Julian has no special feelings for Russia. Geopolitically, he is very much a man of the West. Even inhis ostensible defence of Russia, he is always doing it from the Western point of view. He was against expulsion of Russian diplomats during the Skripal Affair, because it would “help the Kremlin further a narrativethat it is under conspiratorial siege led by the US,” in other words, it was damaging the West and entrenching Russian suspicions of a hostile
Western agenda.

In other words, the guy was and is as headless as any amateur who begins to play serious games without ability to be made self-aware or having rudimentary skills in avoiding traps–that is why he ended up not free in Venezuela, South Africa or anywhere else, living his life and maybe continuing his struggle, but in the custody of UK government after 7 years in Equador’s Embassy in London. He had a shitload of options–he didn’t chose a single one of them.

I am frankly, not interested, nor have time or desire for lecturing here on how governments work irrespective of their evilness or goodness. If people don’t understand simple things behind all this fluffy rhetoric about human rights, and freedom of press–too bad, as they say. I, somehow, still believe in the concept of free will and doing what’s right.


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep. Really big deal, actually.


2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

After all, what’s complicated about preferring to be alive to being a little cloud of radioactive dust?

Duty and Oath. And order.



2019-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Have you ever held any type of clearance? How many documents with GRIF did you see in your life? Any country–Russia, US, Germany, China have laws and procedures on classification and handling of classified data. It DOES NOT mean what kind of data–technical parameters and description of latest weapons system, combat manual or video of spetznas having intercourse with aliens from planet Zoltar–once it is classified as a state secret it is over for any manipulations WITHOUT consequences. Here is how Russia fundamentally regulates it.

http://docs.cntd.ru/documen…

Read Article 2 attentively. The United States has own set of laws and protocols. I never held any US clearance, thank God, and I am not in a position to describe to you what specific documents and definitions are used there, but if you are so interested–go and ask Colonel Lang or former military and CIA guys at his blog. Colonel knows this particular field for US better than me. I can only tell you that principles of handling classified information are pretty much the same for Russia, US, China and, possibly, Lesotho.


2019-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ahh, excellent! I may consider reading the book, albeit it it is clear by now what we are dealing with.


2019-04-11 on sic-semper-tyrannis

The “dialogue” is a euphemism for trying to pull latest Russian weapons systems (e.g. Avangard, Sarmat etc.) into strategic arms limitations re-negotiations. Such calls are not dictated by “dysfunctional” relations but by a recognition of the gap in military capabilities growing and not in US favor. Current US elites, almost without exception, are not treaty-worthy.


2019-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It describes stochastic modelling of MiG-35 and SU-35 vs F-35 maneuverable (dog-fight) and BVR combat and also how F-35 “informational superiority” really means very little against world-class air force, not to speak against Russian AD system which now possesses a complete radar (which also means EW) coverage. The whole reliance on the Net Centric properties (BTW, also realized in SU-35) in F-35 and its “stealth” are only good in the fight against…well–Libya, Iraq and Malta. In real war and real combat F-35 loses–but we knew this all along, didn’t we? The article is good precisely because gives insight into mathematics of real combat, not some propaganda BS and dick measuring contest innuendos. My new book addresses this issue. As per Aerodynamic Quality (a ratio of coefficient of lifting force to coefficient of the front drag at given angle of attack) and thrust to weigh ratios–F-35 is simply not a competition to Russian aircraft and has no chance in close air combat, even with updated weapons such as AIM-9X. In general, F-22 is valued much higher as an actual combat aircraft than F-35 and that is what gives the article credence.


2019-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Precisely my point! People who deal with dangerous chemicals or radioactive materials–they wear special suites which protect them. He decided to deal with actual classified information and expected that state (as in government) will not try to get him? Talk about being delusional and…unprofessional.


2019-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Because it MUST not get worse!

Amen to that! I am trying to do my very little part in educating people.


2019-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree. In the end, Assange is a “journalist”, not a spy, and this will even more damage this “freedom of press” and of “speech” myth. In Europe those freedoms are already dead, in US–after Russiagate MSM are just propaganda outlets and a sewer.


2019-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But it did show the whole world that the West has no regard whatsoever
for international laws, norms or conventions when they forced the plane
to land and searched it. It certainly wasn’t the worst thing Wikileaks
ever did.

I thought it was demonstrated to a dramatic effect (way bigger than even situation with Bolivian President) in 1999 during gang-rape of Serbia by NATO and in 2003 with invasion of Iraq. For many people illusions ended right there. Per Assange, if he didn’t get the message–it is not surprising his background considered. That is precisely my point–we all pay for our delusions. If Trump does not pardon him, Assange will have only himself to blame for not acting professionally, professionally meaning making himself aware. Believe me, it is a very hard task, not for everyone.


2019-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Very well could be. He can, doesn’t mean he will, pardon Assange down the road. As per offer–Putin’s quote from Golden Calf two days ago didn’t sound that good. In the end, Trump is still being led by the most aggressive neocon administration in history and any talk between Russia and US may commence only after that cabal is removed from power. Trump IS, indeed, in a position to put some people behind bars, but will he? That’s the issue.


2019-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

They leak classified info all the time to shape the public opinion in their favour

Agree. Now the question–does this fact make those “sources” above the law of the land?

It was Assnage/Wikileaks who talked sense into him and saved his ass byconvincing him that only Russia had the capacity to not hand him over to the US. If not for Wikileaks or Assange he would most likely be rotting in American prison himself.

It was certainly Assange who put the life of President of Bolivia in danger–that is for sure. Again, we will not know what happened really for a long time.


2019-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There are very many questions about him, I agree. That is why I am on the sidelines on many issues with him and I, as I pointed out, still have to convince myself that he was not just a pawn in a larger game.


2019-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I strongly disagree with your dismissive attitude

It is not dismissive–here I also have to strongly disagree, I specifically pointed out that I am sympathetic with his plight. But, while doing the right thing morally, one has to also keep in mind that should similar things have been done against Russia, or China those who would do so would have faced pretty much similar attitudes. Assange is not the first–before, way before, him were people who warned about total surveillance, about Israeli nuclear weps program (Vanunu) etc. He is not the first, nor the last.


2019-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, it was in the news big time that Bolton sabotaged NK negotiations. Well, Trump chose his national insecurity team himself–nobody forced him to do so. His VP Pence is altogether a man who lives in his Christian Zionist fantasies and reeks of betrayal and behind the scene scheming. So much for “master of the deal”–a bunch of fringe morons running national “security” and foreign “lack” of policy. A panopticon, I have to agree with Anne Coulter about “national emergency”. I am not voting in 2020 if I still live by then. It is all BS, the house always wins.


2019-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

“Only beautiful aircraft fly well”(c). Which is true, actually.


2019-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, F-16 actually raised the bar pretty high and it is still damn sexy looking aircraft.


2019-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

As much as Trump turned out to be nothing but…well…BSer, a convincing one due to Stephen Miller’s brilliant speech-writing, what William Barr “dropped” today about spying on Trump’s campaign could be the start for something bigger, much bigger and I don’t mean it in Watergate terms. Watergate is a puny little blown out of proportion affair compared to the attempt of the coup. Those who did it must face sedition and state treason sentences.

https://www.rt.com/usa/4561…

But there was a “sentence”, of sorts, for Trump and his admin when Putin joked yesterday about it–Trump is not taken seriously in Moscow anymore. Putin made it clear when quoted from famous 12 Chairs novel.


2019-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Armenian Genocide resolution in Congress as another hammer over the heads of the turks

Yes. But… this shtick by now is so beaten to death and tired that no one really pays attention to it anymore. Russia has been condemned by now for genocide of Martian microbes and killing of 100 million, preliminary raping them, Micronesian Aborigines that, sure, what’s next? I will yet again quote Tolstoy from War and Peace:

“Despite news of the capture of the fleches, Napoleon saw that this was not the same, not at all the same, as what had happened in his former battles. He saw that what he was feeling was felt by all the men about him experienced in the art of war. All their faces looked dejected, and they all shunned one another’s eyes only a de Beausset could fail to grasp the meaning of what was happening. But Napoleon with his long experience of war well knew the meaning of a battle not gained by the attacking side in eight hours, after all efforts had been expended. He knew that it was a lost battle and that the least accident might now- with the fight balanced on such a strained center- destroy him and his army. When he ran his mind over the whole of this strange Russian campaign in which not one battle had been won, and in which not a flag, or cannon, or army corps had been captured in two months, when he
looked at the concealed depression on the faces around him and heard reports of the Russians still holding their ground- a terrible feeling like a nightmare took possession of him, and all the unlucky accidents that might destroy him occurred to his mind. The Russians might fall on his left wing, might break through his center, he himself might
be killed by a stray cannon ball. All this was possible. In former battles he had only considered the possibilities of success, but now innumerable unlucky chances presented themselves, and he expected them all. Yes, it was like a dream in which a man fancies that a ruffian is coming to attack him, and raises his arm to strike that ruffian a
terrible blow which he knows should annihilate him, but then feels that his arm drops powerless and limp like a rag, and the horror of unavoidable destruction seizes him in his helplessness

This is what is happening now. Plus, don’t forget that current US doesn’t have leaders of Napoleon’s scale, mostly draft-dodgers and Israel-first morons like Mike Pence or Pompeo, while POTUS is a NYC real estate shyster and reality show character. I think Turks will be fine.


2019-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

US actually holds Erdogan from his balls.

Judging by Turkey’s latest actions, US doesn’t. Can Erdo still fold? Of course, nothing is ever guaranteed but there are other larger issues behind Turkey’s moves and those are non negotiable–namely Kurds and YPG.


2019-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Possible. But it is a pattern that Russia never discusses her latest before having another one in the pipeline. That was the case on so many occasions, from leasing pr.971 to India, to selling SU-35, to S-400 with S-500 (and S-350) for all intents and purposes nearing IOC.In the end, who knows, maybe Zhirik was not bluffing about S-700 after all, LOL!


2019-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Most likely. Doing so they will expose US national security myth even further. But real military ramifications are already colossal with US military becoming less and less capable.


2019-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Also, Japan has grounded its F-35 fleet until the cause of the crash is investigated thoroughly.

It is a standard procedure in these situations everywhere. Another matter that with F-35, putting the lipstick on the pig cannot continue infinitely and at some point of time must stop, because beyond this point it will be one huge long-lasting embarrassment.


2019-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

People’s views evolve over time. I also had different views when I was 24, and then by 35 they changed, now I am 56.


2019-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

to his long stated goal – isolate USA from the rest of the world.

Latest events with Syria (Golan Heights) and Iran kinda testify to the opposite. Plus, of course, Trump’s goals are also formed by neocons–I don’t think he is competent enough to formulate them. In the end, as it turned out, he simply read well speeches written for him by brilliant Stephen Miller. So, everything Trump promised at campaign trail and at inauguration–it was Miller speaking.


2019-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t know about help in re-election. Per Israeli lobby? Who knows. They mind only Israel’s interests and do not care about US.


2019-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Trump is enthralled with Israel and is the most Zionist POTUS in US history. All this is just him helping BiBi to get re-elected and additional tool in Israel’s unannounced war on Iran, by American blood and treasure, obviously. Designating one nation’s legitimate part of its Armed Forces as “terrorist organization” is a complete abrogation of any international law and common sense. Obviously reaction from Iran was expected and Iran is not the country which easily buckles under pressure. US military targets in ME thus become well–targets for Iran if shit hits the fan. But Trump’s MAGA slowly turned into MIGA.


2019-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The Article is written by Michael Peck who is an utter amateur (search for him at this blog) and who scavenges Russian websites, including Flot.com (former Navy.Ru) of which I was a part and lifting from them such preposterous “assessments” as those percentages. All of it is a complete BS, plus Peck wouldn’t know the difference even if it were true. In general National Interest is a yellow tabloid on both geopolitical and, especially so, military issues.


2019-04-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I will quote for you one man who, on this particular occasion, despite being a pathological mass-murderer, was absolutely right and had a record to back it up: The main characteristic of a Chief (Leader) is constant following through with their promises and declarations.

Adolf Hitler.


2019-04-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

So, United States is about to enforce freedom of navigation in Kerch Strait? Alrighty then. And I am sure the US is about to storm Damascus.


2019-04-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

United States used graphite threads which were released from aircraft to short power grid in Yugoslavia in 1999, among other means of attacking civilian infrastructure. Per EM weapons–they are real and there is a reason Russia landed massive AN-124 in Venezuela, apart from military specialists which flew in on IL-62. It is to deal with those issues.



2019-04-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The nation runs day to day despite the pol class

This is exactly how Russia endured 1990s–despite treasonous political class. Granted, by paying a huge price in human life.


2019-04-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What DoD cartoons? Did I miss something?


2019-04-03 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Nowruz is also celebrated in Azerbaijan. Even in Soviet times.


2019-04-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I hope you are right, but even if it is–there are very many very real situations which are even weirder than that. Enough to take a look at “gender-fluid” kids and their imbecile parents.


2019-04-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is totally related. In fact, I wanted to use this documentary. It is terrifying what they did to once beautiful and friendly American city. It used to be called Jet City, now it is Pot-city.


2019-04-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am not really an insider per se for this case–I just work in industry and am removed from such issues. I think somebody has to have their ass burned for certifying 737MAX without clear instructions and warnings about this anti-stall protocol. Boeing, certainly, on own volition just damaged its reputation. Greed and incompetent programming are in the foundation. I am waiting for the results of investigation HOW this all happened, looks like FBI is on it. But yes, now I will make sure if I have to fly that it is A-321 not 737MAX. Really sad, I always liked Boeing’s aircraft, I still in love with 747 and 777. I also always liked 727.


2019-04-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

For some reason comment went to Spam (Disqus is known for that)–I approved it back.


2019-04-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Basically what we see now is a RELIGION designed to replace christianity.

I can definitely agree with that. A good post you left. But the question today is even far beyond pro- or anti- Russian, it is, indeed, about the collapse of the West with everything good it ever provided and some of the values of personal rights which are at the core.


2019-04-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

machine speed

Yep, especially when one’s network is being dramatically degraded by enemy’s EW or one begins to lose “nodes” (platforms with sensors) with…ahem…machine speed;-))


2019-04-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Then I wonder if such a attack-power-level beam would suddenly meat an
ad hoc mirror reflecting all this energy back to attacker.

Rotating frames, reflective surfaces and not least plasma cloud around missile, just to name a few means by which to mitigate laser (largely fictitious for now) threat.


2019-04-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

i wouldnt call this is “liberalism” that at fault , this is perverts hijacking liberalism and take it as their own

Of course it is not classic European liberalism but radical individualism of it is a part of this in reality horrendous story.


2019-04-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I will clarify, that I am no Pilot but Бортпроводница

I knew that, that is why I was wondering if you would decide to take it all the way to the cockpit chairs as a pilot.


2019-04-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But that is precisely my point–nominal “rednecks” are sort of stabilizing force. Obviously, a city is the center of learning and thought, at least it was till recently. Nowadays, at least Western cities are like festering wounds of degeneracy. I completely agree with your Ukraine analogy, but in Ukraine it was forced to a very large degree by the external forces. Now, consider Russian Revolutions, both 1905-07 and October (November) 1917–those were in essence peasant revolutions despite proletariat being credited with them. Yet, it was peasantry which drove, paradoxically, together with other social forces Russian-Soviet modernization, a dramatic one at that. In some sense 1917 Revolution was a religious one.


2019-04-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree, could be export version of SU-57.


2019-04-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Turkey shows the path to multipolarity

Debatable, Turkey lacks scale and economy for that, but no doubt–she is very important regional player and can make some important difference.


2019-04-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ah, a good one. Thank you for the link. Going to a “ludicrous speed”, again. I guess creation of liquid vacuum and zero-point energy guns is next;-)


2019-04-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Indeed thinking more – say potential to act against Targets further out
in the Atlantic, Pacific or any other great Expanse of limited
Geographic Landmarks and Restraints where other Conventional Targetting
Means may not exist…

Of course, in this case Liana, other space-based means, patrol/recon aviation and subs. But in the light of recent developments exclusion zones are measured in thousands kilometers thus effectively “pushing” them in remote sea or ocean zones.


2019-04-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

476 too, plus IL-496 with PD-35. an excellent hedge against CR929. Ilyushin seems to have a very bright future. Loved MiniRogozin, LOL.


2019-04-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I stole it from somewhere, LOL. Don’t remember where from. IIRC Michael Lind’s work. But truth is–even before that this was used in Russian too.


2019-03-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ford’s departure is purely commercial issue–they, after enjoying an immense success with Focus in Russia, decided that the third iteration of Focus can be sold for a significantly larger price, what they didn’t account for was the fact that Russia is saturated with same class cars from Hyundai, Renault, Skoda, in the end, Russians themselves produce a very robust Vesta. Ford simply lost market and cannot recover. The competition is intense in this niche, to put it mildly.


2019-03-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The so called “liberal” idea is long dead in Russia and it is all for the good. Currently I am not taking anything (emphasis) coming out of Russia’s liberal Parnassus as valid in any sense. As per US media–NYT, WaPo etc. It was their choice, as was the choice of US security apparatus to buy own Russo-phobic propaganda and lose completely any situational awareness. They will continue to operate in their echo chamber, so let them–they ARE a sewer. As per shoes, sadly (or luckily) I write on topics which do not pay that handsomely plus, my wife will throw me out of the house if I bought her $1000 shoes. LOL. But maybe that is why we lived 35 years together.

P.S. BTW, personal question–did you ever consider going for full commercial pilot training? Or is it already done?


2019-03-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Liana is just one such system, however important–in reality modern targeting systems are networks of variety of nodes (hence Net Centric capability) capable of providing targeting. As an example–I wrote about this earlier–it is impossible to hide CBG nowadays in choke points, it will be spotted one way or another, be that satellite or fishing boat. For hypersonic weapons the issue of obsolescence (устарквание) of targeting information is not that crucial. In littorals, over-the-horizon radar are as good as any in detecting and providing initial targeting. In case of Russia–let’s not forget submarines. So, combat redundancy is built in.


2019-03-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

no unnecessary Naration

Except for godawful lounge cover of pop-classics. LOL. Yes, it will take a generation to mostly move back to left-side driven cars, especially since there are few plants (Toyota, Mazda etc.) around Vladik and Khabarovsk making proper Japanese cars now.


2019-03-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

At least here in the US I can blow brains out of any ass-hole trying to rob my house. In Spain, I recall, a robber sued home owner for being wounded and…won. Orwellian reality all the way. I like my good ol’ American rednecks, at least these are the people who do not want to reduce their carbon footprint. In this sense average American and average Russian have more in common than Russians have with so called contemporary Europeans. I, of course, do not talk about Russian glitzy Moscow, St. Pete, Yekaterinburg or Vladivostok office plankton, they are all the same.


2019-03-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Zakharova is like that proverbial vine–she gets better with age. She turned into astonishing woman whose intellect and femininity create a “deadly” mix. Femininity is more important than physical beauty, albeit Masha is an attractive woman in her own right.


2019-03-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Modern missiles such as Onyx or Zircon or Kinzhal are shoot-and-forget-weapons which need only targeting information at launch, after that they use a variety of own sensors onboard. They can be updated during flight if need be. They are known to be extremely jam-resistant and, in fact, have own on-board EW systems. Per EW, you may read this:

https://www.defensenews.com…


2019-03-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Europe is pathetic, its elites–a sewer, culturally, intellectually, morally. Per Syria, as Sun-Tzu’s immortal stratagem states: https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2019-03-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I recall 2008 Obama-McCain so called “foreign policy” debates–it was basically a contest in correct pronunciation of the different countries and cities. Preposterous. Per Zakaria–a complete moron who goes under the title of late Sam Huntington’s “student” (Huntington must be turning in his grave) and who never “graduated” further than second-rate propagandist. But I guess this is the fate of most “political scientists”.


2019-03-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, as Masha says it well.


2019-03-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree, current American “elites” are entirely non-agreement-worthy. No point in negotiating anything. Americans and American business are always welcome, official Washington? Waste of time.


2019-03-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep. Even M=5 gives shrapnel the speed of 1.6 kilometers per second (or 1 mile per second), Mach=9 almost two miles per second or 3 kilometers per second. Lasers in the nearest to mid-future will not have the capacity to destroy anything serious at ranges longer than very few kilometers (granted they have proper targeting under combat conditions). So, your analogy with asteroid is perfect–unless we are talking tens of kilometers (miles) any talk about “intercepting” hyper-sonic weapons is a fodder for fanboys. One way or another the platforms will get hit.


2019-03-28 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Neiman Marxist–loved it. LOL.


2019-03-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You may re-define this policy then in a broader NON-Dollar based financial system. What it will be in the future, I don’t know. But gold remains a key component in this transitional period.


2019-03-28 on sic-semper-tyrannis

For pharmaceutical companies to have raised the price of insulin to the
astronomical price it is today when the original patent(1923) was for $3
and transferred to the public as a public good is outrageous. The three
scientist who held the patent wanted everyone who needed their
medication to be able to afford it.

In Washington State Walmart’s brand of Novolin 70/30 (it is a mix of fast and long acting) is $25.00. It is decent and over-the-counter. But once one gets into the brands such as Novolog and short acting pens–that is where the whole thing goes berserk price-wise. In the same time, Walmart (never thought I would say that–God bless them) keeps blood testing strips affordable.



2019-03-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

About 65% is ready. Should see the light (God’s willing) before October 1st.


2019-03-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, I am not taking WSJ seriously especially.


2019-03-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am not taking ZH seriously.


2019-03-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This is why the Tribe are going to start the Big One.

I believe the “tribe” is keenly aware of both conventional and nuclear scenarios for Israel if shit hits the fan.


2019-03-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Wilkerson, who is extremely well positioned to judge, gives a stunning prediction that by 2030 US will have no money for discretionary spending.

https://youtu.be/tYPHcLa9YAc


2019-03-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You nailed it. In fact, Russia is getting rid off dollars–they know this in Washington, they know what it means. Once US economy and Dollar are properly valued (which is inevitable) Russia’s gold reserves value will go through the roof, it also will return gold standard back to global economy.


2019-03-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Several countries are already just welfare-state Disneyland

UK–it is mind-boggling what happens there. Albeit it also depends on what is put in meaning of the welfare state since when two generation families of Britons never worked a day in their lives living off the state–this is not a welfare, this is a social and economic crime, on both sides.


2019-03-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, although i’m not sure if it is only coercion or they hate Russia enough to want to pay more.

Both. Poles are the whole other story altogether.

Why is China building Aircraft Carriers if these ships are so vulnerable, though? They want to have 6 by 2035?

1. They have around 30% of their trade going through Indian Ocean. Carriers could be of use there in a number of functions. Possible power projection too.

2. Status symbol. Do not forget China also bought Hammer brand, which was nothing more than tasteless cheesy product for hipsters.


2019-03-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

So this means that immediate measures must be taken, such as attempting to stop Nord Stream,

US LNG in any iteration is not competitive with pipe natural gas–it is an axiom. It is also not competitive with Sabetta’s LNG. So, the only thing which is left is to coerce lapdogs such as Poland and Baltic States to buy US LNG.

is that China is not yet ready to drop the dollar. They have large dependence on the US market.

True, but there is more to it than just that. I will not discover America here if say that China willingly and by default takes second fiddle to Russia leading a geopolitical fight. My second book is precisely about it, China much more vulnerable militarily than Russia.


2019-03-27 on sic-semper-tyrannis

A gross, absolutely gross, miscarriage of justice. I am lost for words.


2019-03-27 on sic-semper-tyrannis

The very notion that Steele, who spent a year or so in Russia under
cover, had all kinds of connections in the Russian int establishment
years later is pretty preposterous

Bingo! This is where it all should have started. The fact that Steele was basically nobody in Moscow and couldn’t have any serious people from Russian intel talking to him is beyond the grasp of Western media.


2019-03-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

De-fanging, even if partially, of warmongering criminal US MSM is still an achievable goal. There is now an official frying pan which could be used to smack them on the head constantly. It is now easy to say that they are propaganda outlets–this is an excellent opportunity. So, while big fish may avoid getting into at least big trouble, calling US MSM a cesspool is now a good taste–I wouldn’t call that nothing.
https://nypost.com/2019/03/…


2019-03-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yeah, it is a delusional stuff.


2019-03-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

As I said, will see in coming days. There is very little doubt that it is a REAL opening for Trump strategically. He might not be refined but he is shrewd enough to understand that.


2019-03-26 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Jimmy the Clap has now stated on world TeeVee that Obama ordered him, Brennan and all the other Midgets on Horseback who headed the IC back then to
make a study of Russian attempts at intervention in the election, and
that this “study” led to a resolve to investigate Candidate Trump as a
potential traitor and a Russian agent of influence

I guess it all now boils down to “Obama made me do it” and a great degrading of free will faculties of participants (and planners) of this coup attempt. Interesting how Clapper will interpret his comments on defective Russian genetics now.


2019-03-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I’m probably gonna get a lot of downvotes for this

Nobody gets downvotes here, even trolls, LOL. No, without jokes, everyone has their opinion and have a full right to express it. I think Trump made a strategic mistake in a sense that he just dramatically reinforced Russia’s positions in ME while making the US even more “popular” at the Arab street. Consider this:

https://www.rt.com/business…

There is, probably, a method to all this but I, honestly, don’t see what kind of benefits the US nay expect from all this, other than reaffirming its subservient position to Israel and its vast influence network in the US. Ivanka converted to Judaism, she and her hubby (100% USDA approved Zionist), who is de facto in charge (while not having a single required skill for that) of US ME policy. I would have believed in some US secret diplomacy efforts to play things in ME in professional manner some time ago, but I don’t really believe this anymore–all actions seem predictable and very… Trumpian. But NY real estate developer skills are not applicable here.


2019-03-26 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Meanwhile, Russians are actively colluding with Trump. Enough to take a look at Ovi, the way he looks at POTUS–the collusion is self-evident.

https://img.championat.com/…


2019-03-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you for giving me heads up on that!! This is so bad, it is so mindless that I am lost for words:

NATO action in Ukraine would be complicated by a low bridge that Russia has opened connecting
Crimea to the Russian mainland. This makes it difficult for larger ships to move between Ukraine’s Black Sea ports and the Mediterranean

Do they even know what those “larger ships” would be facing. Thank you, again–an excellent addition to the case I am writing on currently.


2019-03-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Exactly! CNN, MSNBC, NYT, WaPo, HuffPo–to name a few, those were perpetrators of a seditious activities and, in fact, endangered through their insane rhetoric even the world.


2019-03-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Long discussion, I suppose; not here.

Here too, why not. I was thinking about writing a large post about REAL, as in actual, US national interests dictated by a combination of people’s, corporations’ and political institutions legitimate interests should they have been properly discussed and worked out. In fact, I am sure this debate will happen one way or another because without it it will be a complete chaos and implosion. Is it still possible to keep this discussion (on a national level) within purely political framework, without violence? Who knows, but the debate is still required. It is remarkable, BTW, how actual REAL left, not this “coalition of the fringes” assess situation, Kunstler yesterday posted a super piece on one of the major issue in a debate–dead on target:

http://kunstler.com/cluster…


2019-03-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Around 2016, it was a shame how supposedly intelligent people, who for
more inri claim to be even “military analysts”, came with whatever they
could invent to sell the Orange Agent to us.

I was one of people who preferred DJT over HRC under any circumstances. He turned out to be a cynical actor who read really well from the speeches written for him by actually intelligent people. DJT later got rid off them too.


2019-03-22 on sic-semper-tyrannis

It is a bit more complicated than “Deep Operations” doctrine since technological paradigm changed dramatically, in a revolutionary way, really. Russians will always favor division structure and be in favor of ground armies but the name of the game today is a conventional strategic containment by stand-off weapons. Russia has no plans whatsoever to attack anyone unless attacked first but that implies immediate strikes on the decision-centers and pre-deployed enemy formations and the range is not an issue anymore. After that–it depends. Don’t forget a huge emphasis in Russia on high mobility operations using VDV and their increasingly up-gunned hardware.


2019-03-22 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I could see us drinking around a campfire when he suddenly breaks out in a Tuvan throat singing tune. What a hoot that would be.

In early 1990s (I just left service) I got into business and we had people from the US who wanted to start doing some computer assembly. So, one of the guys (he is from Santa-Fe and he lives(d) across some famous Hollywood couple there), a Vietnam vet comes in and, bang, he gets acquainted with my friend, an Afghan vet (what this guy did in Afghanistan is a stuff of legends), I and my American aid (a beautiful girl) with superb Russian we kinda ended up in the middle as not just participants but interpreters between the two. Oh man, and I have some serious naval drinking skills, but what these two did. It was amazing. Then, later, my friend Peter came to the US and Jeff came to Seattle to see him. He, my friend, at that time being a chief of famous Dept. 6 (Operational Detective Bureau) of Kamchatka Region was treated as royalty by Seattle PD and local FBI. Oh man, what a great time it was, so many hopes and sooo much liqueur drank, so many military stories told. I always recall this time with such a warmth.


2019-03-22 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Exactly. But there is another small detail to all that–I may disagree with Michael Flynn’s views on Iran and his dealings with Turks, but the way he was simply thrown under the bus by Trump, without even trying to defend his man based on his, as POTUS, wide access to data which was clear on “Russian collusion” BS–that was a first sign of a rather weak man on Trump’s part. After he introduced Bolton, that was it for me–the last straw.


2019-03-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It’s not to say that some people/cadre/cults within US (& UK)
governance may not have some issue w/ Russ as such… Bodily fluids?
Well… I get the reference… And it’s not for me to say; not with any
first-hand knowledge… Of course, there are a lot of true
sociopaths/psychopaths who make it to high levels of governance &
control in the West.

I totally get where are you coming from, but that’s the point–I am writing about American political and to a large degree intellectual top, not about Americans as a nation–American historic nation is on the orders of magnitude better and nobler in every human term than most people who govern it. But, enough to recall Patton who thought Russians to be Asiatic subhumans, and he had many supporters, or recall a pervasive ideas of many so called Soviet dissidents or American homegrown Russia “scholars” such as Richard Pipes who had Russophobia oozing from him in every writing of his. In the end, today, we witness people like Clapper putting Russian genetics in doubt and US media, not a single one, even raising the issue as if nothing happened. The list of this is huge. It is, moreover, to the greatest credit to Americans who simply ignore this, including latest hysterical Russophobia onslaught, and remain decent people. But the empirical evidence today of Morgenthau’s realism is NATO at Russia’s doorsteps despite documented promises to not expand and, in the end, how can one forget American bombs in 1999, including “greetings” written on them with Orthodox Easter. Consider the fact that in Western Europe during the rape of Yugoslavia, especially French, were conducting openly racist, bordering on hysteria, anti-Serb campaign. Racial attitudes towards Slavs in general and Russians especially is a defining cultural trait of large and influential portions of Western elites since the times of Marquise De Custine. It is simply there, always was. https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2019-03-22 on sic-semper-tyrannis

President Donald Trump is more isolated than at any time since taking office.And the prime cause of that isolation is John Bolton.

I would say that the cause is Trump himself. Real estate hasslers and hustlers do not make good statesmen and geopolitical and security thinkers.


2019-03-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

He is apparently a member of the expert council for the Institute of Strategic Studies and Predictions at the People’s Friendship Universityof Russia. Specializes in Russian affairs and geopolitics, specifically the US strategy in Eurasia.

I’ll start with Korybko. I don’t need to read his analysis, what I read–nothing really special, but I can state few key principles on which I am finishing my second book (math-intensive and written to deconstruct all this “geopolitical analysis” business).

1. There is no serious geopolitical analysis without serious military-strategic and military-economic analysis. None, doesn’t exist in nature other than in imagination of white-board abstracts in primarily humanities sphere in different think-tanks.

2. One has to have a good math apparatus to have a good grasp of scale and speed of processes, especially against the background of military-strategic reality;

3. There is no history as such without military history. If it is without it–it is not a history but fraud. Knowledge of tactics, operational art, strategy, technologies is a must.

So, you decide now how anyone with “degree” in journalism can have a competent assessment of the world outside? The empirical evidence which supports my theses is overwhelming and the record is out there for everyone to see–political “scientists”, unless they derive from professional military-academic background, and even that is not a guarantee, suck at any forecasting.

Now to Brazil–will she help blockading Venezuela? Will see. Possible? Possible. I simply don’t know.

I agree. The point is though, for those who thought up to now about the US bankrupting itself, that is not going to happen anytime soon. Maybein the 2040s.

US is already bankrupt, at issue now is how it will go down–softly (very much preferred, I have my vested interest in it, I live in the US), or is it going to be a full blown catastrophe (hopefully not).


2019-03-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

As for Brazil, this move breaks the BRICS and empowers the US

FYI, Brazil is non-essential, as in inconsequential, as is South Africa, for BRICS, which became long ago RIC, with possibly Iran waiting in the lobby. I have some news for you, and believe me I know what I am talking about, Brazil doesn’t even figure seriously in any Russian geopolitical considerations for years now. Venezuela is more important to Russia than Brazil.

Yup, the US becoming a massive oil and gas producer and exporter (according to the International Energy Agency) will greatly help its economy.

It may help (which is the question mark anyway–why, compare spot prices for gas, that will spoil your day) but it will not address US structural economic problems which lay in US radical (and criminal) deindustrialization which was ongoing for the last 30 years or so. You obviously do not follow US arms and other technology acquisition practices in the last 30 years to see how US loses one position after another across the whole spectrum of industrial activities. Plus there is some small, like teeny-weeny issue, if you didn’t know, it is called commercial shipbuilding–an industry which in the United States doesn’t exist today as such.FYI, who and how carries your oil, LNG etc. matters a great deal. Hence, US LNG and oil are simply not competitive on European market.

Andrew Korybko at Eurasia Net agrees.

And Korybko’s claim to serious geopolitical analysis background is exactly what? That he is “journalist” and “political analyst”?


2019-03-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The last article is very alarmist and the title is also devoid of understanding how modern war is fought. But yes, there is a whole strata of American “strategists” who still exercise delusion that they can replay Cold War 1.0 (not that the outcome of the first one was due to what they think it was).


2019-03-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In related news, the United States is also on the verge of developing death rays which will kill all hypersonic weapons. LOL. As per Brazil joining NATO, I agree:

In other words: never underestimate your opponents.

I definitely underestimated how dumb Trump and his “advisers” are. Hey, I am sure Brazil will make NATO stronger (/sarc).



2019-03-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, UKSK gets Zircon Lite. Yasens, 949As and 22350 are capable to carry it from the onset since are designed to carry Onyx.


2019-03-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Can you get the source, I mean link?


2019-03-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Washington is Stalingrad to the Swamp. Every building is another
DeepnState fortress. Hence… the quiet coup. And nothing is above
sacrifice… Ruin relations w Russ for a generation?? It’s a price
they’ll pay… and just blame Trump in any event.

It is a very good description–sinecures, the country be damned. In the end we know their names from Obama and Clinton clans to the utterly corrupt DNC and huge portion of gutless GOP. Constitution? What Constitution?



2019-03-16 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Life is complex–I also learned that, sometimes the hard way.


2019-03-15 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I have this quote by Morgenthau on my desktop on my computer–it is from 1957 lecture in Naval War College:

“I would say, and I have said many times before, that if the czars still reigned in Russia, that if Lenin had died of the measles at an early age, that if Stalin had never been heard of, but the power of the Soviet Union were exactly what it is today, the problem of Russia would be for us by and large what it is today. If the Russian armies stood exactly where they stand today, and if Russian technological development were what it is today, we would be by and large confronted with the same problems which confront us today.”

In 2015 Kissinger basically reiterated the point when stated that the goal of US elites is a break up of Russia.


2019-03-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Short answer–to literally paint additional target at US “national” elite’s (decision makers) foreheads. It is additional means of making sure they have nowhere to go if they decide to do the unthinkable. It also has a lot to do with US obsession (unhealthy and completely impractical) with weaponizing the space. Long answer, required here, well–my next book is planned to be out by October this year and I elaborate in depth on it there. It is also cultural (American) problem.


2019-03-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I doubt Klimov is smart and educated enough, other than crude raw desire to be “accepted”, to operate with FUD “tactics”. But I can see where are you coming from, but I think it is good ol’ BS on his, and his handlers, part.



2019-03-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Cause i feel he has some legitimate concerns

His only concerns are in making money. He is also connected to Ashurbeily (last time I checked) and this is a red flag, a huge one. Forgot to add, he cannot have them since he doesn’t have Form 1A for years now.



2019-03-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know who Klimov is and I am not going to comment on a somnambulist delirium by a man who has zero credibility and is in it for the reasons of his ego larger than cathedral.

I’ll give you one hint–all Klimov’s (mostly invented in his mind) claims about levels of noise and ranges of detection by Russian subs is a completely made up shit, including his pathetic, bordering on teenage amateurism “knowledge” of naval tactics, operational art, and not least lack of any grasp of the history and institutional culture of the US Navy (or Soviet one). But since we at it, allow me to make YOU some presentation:

the man might be mentally ill, but the article has some points which should always be the focus of discussion:

So, allow me to ask you–how do you think I have to treat people who make such statements?

1. What is YOUR professional claim, including peer-reviewed, and supported by academic and professional background to state that these “points which should always be the focus of discussion”? How do you know what points are supposed to be “focus”, especially written by a person who is pathological liar, manipulator and, indeed, moron? The guy couldn’t get clearance to stand duty officer watch on the sub…while in base.

2. You came here to a blog where I dedicate a lot of time in explaining to lay people how things work and I do care about professional and academic level of this blog–if you are interested in the opinions and fairy tales (a euphemism for mostly made up BS) of Mr. Klimov, why don’t you find him (it is easy to do) and ask him based on what he constantly invents a bizarre shit. I am, meanwhile, finishing second book precisely on the nature of military (and especially naval) power and how it works.

You answered partially you question, however, already:

it claims that means to destroy it has already existed in the 70s, he mentions nuclear depth charges and mark 50 torpedoes (though I find that suspect; never heard of torpedoes that can catch small targets that also move at 100 knots)

Yes, Mk 50 is a light weight torpedo with alleged depth of 600 meters and 45 knots. You are right, such weapons do not exist other than in fvcked up imagination of Mr. Klimov. The only reason this creep is in it is for the desperate desire of money, fame and for that he literally invents shit. For that he is ready to go any length.


2019-03-15 on sic-semper-tyrannis

But the moment the war ended, the new Cold War started. It was a struggle
between Soviet Communism and Western Democracy, led by the United States

Actually, as it turned out, it was not. I too shared this (wrong) idea through early 1990s but then American geopolitical realism of Hans Morgenthau got to me and I stopped worrying and loved the bomb. By approximately 2008 most of the pieces of the puzzle fell in place.


2019-03-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Vovan and Lexus–they will be studied in all military and intelligence academies in the world! LOL. These two dudes are something special, from Limpopo and Polynomo to the latest–unbelievable.


2019-03-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Again, the “article” is written by Maxim Klimov (aka Mina) known to be mentally ill person. As for Shoehanger, I am afraid he goes the same way as Klimov as of lately and I will remove his blog from the list shortly–simply didn’t have time for it.


2019-03-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Again, it seems you are not getting the message here–America’s Jewish/Israeli problem is primarily the problem of:

1. Perverted, often only nominally Christian (in reality not) derivative Evangelical sects, aka Christian Zionists;
2. General cowardice and corruption of American political and so called intellectual classes. I, for example, have no problem discussing Jewish dominance of US foreign policy and am not afraid to be called “anti-Semite”, so?
3. In general, a necessity to cover up own failures by means of excuse-manufacturing industry, which even simplest forensic experiment clarifies so well–imagine ALL Jews disappearing from the United States, what happens with US foreign policy and foreign wars by America? I’ll give you a hint–they will continue, with slightly different geopolitical accent and US still would be in the ME, just this time openly at KSA service;
4. General lack of education (sorry, nothing personal) of US public in actual global history, same as extremely weak knowledge of intellectual movements of XIX-XX centuries. Add here an extremely weak grasp of war and economics;
5. Traditional Jewish boastful and grossly exaggerating own merits narratives;

So, combine all that and you get the picture. It is difficult to explain to many (not all) Americans that the world outside is way more complex and no–it is not run by Jews.


2019-03-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am not a Sinologist but I would assume that there are similar processes taking place.


2019-03-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I noticed already, the whole Trump clan (maybe with the exception of Melania) are not exactly high-intelligence people, but then again, US “elites” today are mostly like that.


2019-03-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Hm, so. The book (a good one) you offered is also written by a Jew. You are trying to preach to a wrong choir here since there are plenty of other crooks, who are not Jews, around. The fact that the US foreign policy is formulated by Israeli-firsters has equal parts of Jewish dominance of the US establishment and vast and influential cult of American Christian Zionism which is not-Jewish, which are crucial in keeping the former in power. Take a look at this FOX bimbo Judge Pirro–dumb as a fvck and Israel and Jew worshiper. Guess who she is–a Lebanese.


2019-03-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Consider this: if we say that two ships (A) fire a salvo of two 3M22s each (A x alpha=4) at the force of 2 Bs, we, with a good degree of confidence, may say that that b3 will equal zero, thus eliminating B as a multiple, while b1=1. So our DeltaB=(2X2-0)/1 =4/1=4, that means that we have an overkill of B, whose Delta realistically will be not 2, but -2 if we are prudent with the signs of our change. In fact, it is an indication, in this greatly simplified case, that, if each Zircon functions properly, we will need only 2 missiles. Do not also forget that these are basic equations and augmented equations are much more cumbersome. Plus, the criteria of effectiveness will be a probability of the desired state (killing Bs)–that is the whole other game. Are you with me on that or did you mean something else?


2019-03-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There were reports of leaks of data from Roscosmos scientists to Western Universities

One guy was caught recently but:

1. He was leaking not to universities but to a damn straight intelligence services. He was obviously under the surveillance for a long time and probably “leaked” a lot of fake info on materials.

2. I don’t see why anyone will leak anything to university re: 3M22 or Kinzhal, or Avangard. I assume these are matters of highest national security priority for the US (NATO), so most likely only professional intelligence operations are involved and if any informational exchange is involved, it will be through professional intelligence people.


2019-03-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

So it seems that the mathematics of war has changed.

You nailed it.


2019-03-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

They will provide money, looks like 2.6 billion is already “in it”, but it is primarily for things of strategic glider nature. I doubt anybody would allow any move which undermines carrier-centricity. Even Navy’s desire to retire USS Harry Truman earlier created a shitstorm in Capitol. In the end, US is mandated by the law to maintain 11 carriers ready. Too many powerful monetary and power interests are tied to it.


2019-03-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, those are for any kind of missile exchange and could be utilized even for such occasion as the fleet against some ground installation. Mind you, augmented equations are more complex. Per your remark about Zircon or Kinzhal being almost (very high probability) leaker–exactly, that is the point. I already addressed this when describing a BS (traditionally) printed by TNI and its cabal of “experts”.

http://smoothiex12.blogspot…


2019-03-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I wrote about Ochmanek’s peculiar view on possible air operation against Russia two 15 months ago:

https://smoothiex12.blogspo…

This was a bizarre, to put it mildly, approach to calculating a required force and I can only guess what kind of calculations and assumptions were used.


2019-03-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, you will need to wait for my next book, then;-)) BTW, war is probabilistic.


2019-03-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I do not treat anything coming from Scandinavia militarily worth paying attention to. Their militaries are pathetic as are social and academic institutions which work in that field. Even SIPRI is full o’ shit. So, it is garbage. BTW, the range of S-400 was confirmed by Chinese.


2019-03-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Chicken soup

You bet! But as it turned out, Tamiflu is an amazing drug–helped tremendously.


2019-03-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Since “Culture” is everything, created by Man as above-animalcivilizational intelligent being (yep, that is how culturologists define it more or less) this is tautological.

Yes, it is also tautological for Russian, German, American or Hindi cultures. They are all the same and were created by Man. /sarc.

But don’t say it to fundamental Marxist, he will lynch you.

Hm, you are a little bit late here since been there, done that:

https://mltoday.com/book-re…


2019-03-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This whole thing is so strange that I from the get go decided not to even comment of that–what’s the point:))


2019-03-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I respect PolitRussia but they have no clue what they are talking about in re: Serdyukov. By the end of his “reign” Russian Armed Forces practically lost ability of effective command and control, had its OSHS smashed, including introduction of the brigade structure, and saw higher officer education system demolished. You really need to read my book, I dedicate a large portion of it to who and how was “reforming” Armed Forces. I don’t buy for a second all this pretty “torpedo” mythology. It was bad decision by Putin made under the pressure from all kinds of liberda, including ideological (and utterly incompetent) doctrine-mongering from SVOP, including but not limited to suggestions by late Shlykov to disband General Staff.


2019-03-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you, turned out to be Influenza 1A, I am on tamiflu and “knock you out cough syrup”.


2019-03-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is so outstanding that I cannot simply find words, from Limpopo, to Polynomo to today’s stuff. Truth is, they (in D.C.) continue to humiliate themselves as absolutely ignorant jackasses, across the board. It would be hilarious if it wouldn’t be also so sad, and dangerous, that such morons run a nuclear superpower.


2019-03-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Very well could be and that is why I am waiting for more facts to emerge, preferably from Russian MoD;-)



2019-03-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russians, however, seriously damaged the CIA analytical corps by killing them by inducing Homeric laughter when appointed Anatoly Serdyukov to the post of Defense Minister. I am sure there were many medical emergency vehicles at Langley HQ parking lot once news were announced;-))) I wonder, when reading all kind of pseudo-analysis today if Serdykov’s appointment was an operation of influence. LOL.


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This I am not aware of

You are generally unaware of Russia (and many other things too) and for now I only tolerate you to see how deep is your rabbit hole. You obviously mistook my blog, unfortunately, for some discussion board for fanboys and gamers.


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You really don’t understand what Russian Nuclear Energy industry is, do you? Nor, evidently, you have a faintest idea about what FSB does. Again, where is Deripaska “involvement” in all that, which is done under the auspices of State Company Rosatom and AEM and is the matter of national security? Then ask why Kirienko received (in closed ceremony) the title of Hero of Russia. You know who Kirienko was, and who he is now?


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You really have to have your facts straight, because you are so out of touch that it is difficult to even explain to you that your awareness of modern Russia is zero. Deripaska was begging Putin:
1. For help with RuSal;
2. To not nationalize it.

If he would “blackmail” Kremlin, he would have ended as Khodorkovsky and all his assets fully nationalized. Again, stop spreading a total rubbish.


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Deripaska via EN+ has a ‘joint venture ‘ with Rosatom

Main Participants of the Project: OJSC OKB Gidropress (Podolsk), VNIPIET ОАО (Eastern-European chief research and project institute of energy technologies) (St. Petersburg), RF State Research Center ‘The Institute for Physics and Power Engineering’ (Obninsk)

http://akmeengineering.com/…

So, how’s Deripaska is involved again in all that, which is mostly Rosatom project? I understand that you collect rumors and you are obviously do not have serious scientific or engineering background, but do you know what Obninsk even is?


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

And the sad part is that it is already operational and Deripaska ispreventing its declassification and commercial launch of this revolutionary product .

Sir, you have zero (none, nada) understanding of how Russian state works and that is why you spew here an utter bullshit and I don’t take these things kindly. FYI, Deripaska can not “prevent” anything related to Russia’s state-owned and supervised economic, scientific and other R&D programs. Last time I checked Deripaska was begging Russian state to help him.

That is the key point.Second key point is the economics because of modular construction and relatively less weigh

You obviously never heard of Samovar (and I don’t mean famous Russian water-boiling contraption) but the system of compact nuclear reactors which was tested, successfully, on Soviet diesel subs in 1960s. It was installed behind sail on pr. 611 and 641 SSKs.


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ahh, so some obscure paper by some people from MGU on Cold Fusion is now the evidence of Russians “having it”? You really need to get a dose of reality, I am not even talking about the fact that you do not have even a faintest idea how clearance procedures work in Russia and what is involved in them. You waxing insiderish about Russian nuclear programs is altogether ridiculous. For starters few of my classmates served on pr. 705 SSNs (NATO: Alpha) which had lead-bismuth cooled fast reactors. First hull of those subs entered service in 1977. Per Kudrin and others–there is SouthFront discussion board, you will find (maybe) some sympathetic readers to your delusional ideas.


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am not insulting you, I just underscore the fact that you supported ridiculous claims by a guy who says Russia already has Cold Fusion. Hey, it is your choice, not mine. I usually do not support people who have zero clue on the subject.


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russians already have cold fusion

So, you do not even understand that you are being laughed at? FYI:

Cold fusion is a hypothesized type of nuclear reaction that would occur at, or near, room temperature.The researchers who continue acknowledge that the flaws in the original
announcement are the main cause of the subject’s marginalization, and they complain of a chronic lack of funding and no possibilities of getting their work published in the highest impact journals.[83] University researchers are often unwilling to investigate cold fusion because they would be ridiculed by their colleagues and their professional careers would be at risk.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wi…

So, what’s the deal with Russia having cold fusion? Did RAN inform you on this issue or you have a special access to Russian labs? I am all ears and eyes.


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But we, real Russians are in between.

You are obviously not well-versed in Russian culture when using term “real Russians”.

Ok ban me, until then I’ll be visit and write wherever I want.

I ban only people who violently insult others and post all kind of conspiracy BS, so-don’t worry, it is your full right to parade yourself as ignorant hysterical defeatist.


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Just look at the pace of SVBR-100 lead -bismuth cooled reactor

Update yourself on projects 705 (Alpha) and 661 (Papa) SSNs before uttering any word on this issue.

but on account of pressure of elites like Depriska ,Friedman ,Vekselburg they are still in classified domain.

Sir, can you stop spreading an utter BS here, please? You obviously have no clue.


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I may once I finish off manuscript for the second book–I am under strict deadline.


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, we are. But I won’t even try to prove it knowing well your type of arguing

Yes, “my type of arguing” is mostly with facts and a context. Yet, you somehow get to this blog even despite “my type of arguing”, I wonder what can possibly attract you to my feeble attempts on speaking with facts, not BS? Fascinating, wouldn’t you be better off on Echo Moskvy or Novaya Gazeta commentariat?


2019-03-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No he is not. Neither are you.


2019-03-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

actually southfront is pretty good

Then you should write a piece for them. Seems logical.


2019-03-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The point about this is that growth in the US during WW2 was
artificially inflated due to the massive surge in debt (even higher debt
levels than today) to cover the spending and thus had nothing to do
with reality, and had to be paid at the price of lower growth in the
future. Something the Fed didn’t tell you.

You obviously have difficulty grasping a fundamental difference between the structure of GDP in the US in 1950, 1970 and 2015. The reason US debt came down after WW II dramatically was because the United States was main producer of goods in the world. Today it is largest importer of them–yet she lives as if she is in 1950 or 1960. I am honestly not interested in this discussion. You “explanation” about Brazil pretty much sums it up.


2019-03-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

without much military build up or taking part in the war, Brasil (forexample) was growing pretty good in the 1930s, something like 6 % peranum. During the war growth rate remained roughly the same.

LOL. You really-really need to educate yourself economically. Even today, Brazil, bar some few basic industries, including Embraer and auto, has very few enclosed technological cycles. Then–it was a backward third world resource appendix.This is not to mention the fact that you need to educate yourself on WW II and what it was.

Btw a large part of the “growth” in the US during the war was based on debt, as debt levels in the US exploded during the war, and were evenhigher than today. Thus this was simply growth taken from the future.

Again, miss. Because US Debt after WW II went dramatically down because it was the ONLY major economy of the world which was functioning fully. By 1970 debt was below 40% of GDP.


2019-03-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

If I had to guess, someone came up with the idea taking over Venezuela
and appropriating its oil wealth. Maybe not quite enough, but it’s a
start.

They are one trick ponies, who literally are not capable of learning. So, they know only how to rob, plus get paid by lobbyists, their loyalties are not with the United States, her people and Constitution.


2019-03-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

in 1939 and 1940, before the war.

FYI, World War II 1 September 1939 – 2 September 1945 (6 years and 1 day).

You really need to update yourself on simple historic facts, this is not to mention that you need to recall when FDR proclaimed the US to be “The Arsenal of Democracy” and what preceded that. So, no, do not push on me your urban legends because US Federal Reserve Bank. Here is a direct quote:

The recovery from 1938 to 1942 was spectacular, by 1942 output grew by 49%, fueled by the steady inflow of gold from Europe, including from the Soviet Union, and by the military buildup.

Recession of 1937–38, Patricia Waiwood,
https://www.federalreserveh…

So, can you stop telling here fairy tales? I don’t know how long you are reading this blog or my writing, but I am one of those guys who either doesn’t speak on the matters of which I don’t understand or don’t know, or when I speak (and write) it is 99% of the time is backed with facts, numbers, experiences and knowledge. Unless you want to challenge Federal Reserve official history but it is between you and them, but as you can see even they admit that it was war which saved the US. I am sure you also heard that by 1941 Great Britain simply ran out of gold, guess where this gold went to.


2019-03-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

And someone wrote recently (though I don’t remember who and when exactly) that the American Century died in Syria.

Could even have been me, since I wrote on this subject extensively–once first 3M14s started to fly from Caspian Sea and X-101s from Volga on October 2015 it was over in a virtual propaganda sense, that is why there was so much hysteria in mass-media. They recognized that. In reality, it was war with Georgia, which despite all spin by all kinds of “experts”, showed that Russia was getting ready and in this blog I wrote that 4+ years ago:

But it is already clear that by failing to achieve any sensible political objectives in Ukraine and in Russia, and, by this, starting a massive global re-alignment, the United States sustained a defeat. What will be the consequences of this defeat? I hate to speculate, I just know that they are already big and that the moment of facing the reality is coming. My suggestion to those who are still making decisions–open and start reading War And Peace by Leo Tolstoy. I don’t hold my breath, though. The moment US handlers of their Kiev puppets conceived that Ukrainian Army can “win” in Donbass, the stopwatch started.

http://smoothiex12.blogspot…

It is not in my rules to point this out, but let me gloat a bit;-))), but I wrote that when everyone were just counting days before defeated Russia will crawl back to Moscow, with the tail between the legs, and then she will be punished and eventually will be fully under Washington’s thumb. Well, we all know how it all turned out–can you imagine how many Russian “experts” both in the West and Russia do not like me? 😉


2019-03-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The US in the 30s was already the world’s biggest economy, so no, it was not a basket case.

You evidently need some insight into what was happening them and how very many American historians and such people as even Michael Ledeen admit that the US was on the verge of disintegration as a nation. No nation, no economy to speak of. Here is a direct quote for you:

New Deal pre-WWII America was still a nation which had to deal with a 1937-1938 recession which dropped industrial production catastrophically by 32%, GDP Contacted 10% and unemployment remained prohibitively high at 20%.

Do you have an idea what a drop of 32% from already debilitated by Great Depression economy means? I don’t know where are you from but you obviously have very vague understanding of real economy and come across as highly opinionated and not well-informed person. Enough to take at this your assumption, grossly inaccurate as it is:

Did the Roman Empire decline for 20 – 30 years? No.The decline took a long time.

Roman Empire didn’t have 4G internet, electronic means of communications, computer networks and internet, to start with. Nor did it have billion or two other things such as nuclear, precision-guided, stand-off weapons and space travel. Drawing parallels to Roman Empire is a first sign that the person really have to update himself on reality of the 21st century. US is NOT a Roman Empire and, FYI, One Thousand Year Reich went down in 12 years in a violence of such scale that all those puny Roman parallels look ridiculous. FYI, declines can happen today in a historically infinitesimally short time–I know, I survived one such thing and know first hand how it happens and how it feels, do you?


2019-03-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

If you mean fresh? It is possible certainly and as early as late 1980s plane-loads (IL-76s) were flown to European Russia with fresh (frozen) salmon, crab and red caviar in barrels. Remarkably, they were flown by the MTA (Military-Transport Aviation) formation from Ukurei. I am sure that at least some of fresh Salmon makes it there. As per smoked–absolutely. I would say western-most regions of Russia.


2019-03-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Maybe economic block?

Possible. How probable? I don’t know. All of it is predicated on the balance of geopolitical interests. What is for sure, Russia is not going to open her hi-tech labs to China anymore. Lessons of 1990s have been learned, it looks like.


2019-03-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

This is more a SWAG but IMO they were being (used and supported as) a
propaganda channel for Russia when the conflict in Syria wasn’t decided
yet. Now they lost that editorial, analytical, graphical (audiovisual)
and possibly financial support.

Very well could be. I am always suspicious about anything which doesn’t name its participants, be that all those numerous, and mostly BS, telegram-channels popping up as mushrooms after the rain, or any kind of “analytical” internet outlets, most of which are utterly incompetent.


2019-03-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Back in The Day, as a Blue, you knew the Eatanswill Gazette spoke The Truth and that was that.

Sadly, not anymore. In fact, lies become so poisonous, it defies belief. As per Southfront, wanted to stay away, but Paul Craig Roberts e-mailed me their latest piece this morning, so now I will write about that.


2019-02-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ship and crew come first. It is a common practice, I believe. As per what I would do? I am happy I do not have to make these kinds of decisions.


2019-02-28 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Maybe, somewhere in the Beyond, Sir Halford Mackinder has him Brzezinski
sitting in the corner with a dunce’s cap, being taught elementary
principles of geopolitics – how not to push potential adversaries
together.

I would say, based on of Sir Halford’s own conclusion to his Democratic Ideals and Reality–it is, after all, not even geopolitics (geography), but a man who decides. Geopolitics as it was conceived by him, Haushoffer and others does not exist anymore because of the main component of Geopolitical Potential–modern military power (with advanced economy on which this power is predicated)–going through truly revolutionary, genuine RMA, phase as I type this. What happens now with SLOCs (Shipping Lanes of Communications) couldn’t have been conceived even 20 years ago. Now it is a reality–they could be cut at will even without ocean-going navies, as an example. It is really astonishing what is going on.


2019-02-28 on sic-semper-tyrannis

INTERNAL POLITICAL CRISIS? From Southfront. Thesis is that sluggish living standards, stagnant political culture,increased taxes and the unpopular pension reform are seriously hurtingthe popularity of the government. My assessment is that, while there issomething to it, the authors overstate the case

I never paid much attention to Southfront until recently. I was, frankly, stunned with their interpretation of INF (had to write a rebuttal even) situation and then, of course, namely yesterday I read their “assessment” of Russia’s submarine forces. I had my eyes popping up, this is not to mention them recycling pure rumors and myths by some people of whom I know first hand and who are surprisingly still not institutionalized. I don’t know what their angle is, and Russia surely has her share of problems, some of them very serious but, frankly, they seem to “overstate” (politely speaking) their case on a regular bases.


2019-02-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, first those biker gangs’ freeloading bears, now damn RS-24 Yars jamming traffic in Moscow. One of those regular days in Russia, LOL.

https://youtu.be/IdaMxl4T6Fg


2019-02-28 on sic-semper-tyrannis

The integration of China and Russia through greatly expanded trade

There is no actual “integration” of Russia and China–it is a misnomer. They cooperate and trade for sure but no integration and rightly so. Russia obviously is instrumental in OBOR but people in charge of Russian national security, unlike it is with “business” circles, understand her role for now as primarily energy supplier, nuclear power builder (such as Tianwan NPP), provider of expertise for such programs as CR-929 (engine, design etc.) and arms sales. Soy? Yes, this too. It is cooperation, not integration and then, there is a serious purely geopolitical issue–Russia has her own claims to markets of former USSR.


2019-02-28 on sic-semper-tyrannis

All four sources, from Kommersant to Vedomosti are well-known “liberal” press well known for their often open lies and obfuscation of real economy. I wrote about these “experts” not for once. Including this Tuesday–these are precisely sources, among other similar, where US Intelligence Community gets its “intelligence” on Russia.

http://smoothiex12.blogspot…

Per Russian hi-tech–enough to mention arms. Those are real hi-tech, not some iPhone assembled in Chinese sweatshops. You could be surprised but Russia IT sector alone sells more than $10 Billion yearly abroad. Moreover, technologies of extraction, including such systems for liquefying natural gas, among many, are the systems of the highest level of complexity. Russia now produces those on her own. The list is huge, including this sector: As per trend, China and Russia are very different animals economically. The fact of China’s economy being much larger than Russia’s should not eclipse the fact of China still lagging in many crucial fields behind Russia and the West. All that translates into geopolitical influence.

http://www.rosatom.ru/en/in…

Of course, the US also hitches rides to ISS on Russian ships, while whole Atlas program flies on RD-180 engines. And then, of course, there is a commercial aerospace which is a very-very long story.


2019-02-28 on sic-semper-tyrannis

That is not backed by reality.

https://www.revolvy.com/top…

neither Russia nor China (more important) are able to provide competitive products. Get real.

Visited any COSTCO or Walmart stores lately? Per competitive: I can name you a few aerospace, shipbuilding, energy and other systems from Russia where the United States is not even competitor for the lack of those. While at it, check out US commercial shipbuilding and, also, while at it get acquainted with this:

https://media.defense.gov/2…


2019-02-27 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Are we impeding their way in the world or are we just deceiving ourselves?

Mostly deceiving. As I write for years American “Russian Studies” field is completely destroyed, for a long time now and it has everything to do with general monetarist (and only profit-driven) outlook on economy and choice of “expertdom” which has no expertise on Russia. There is no fixing it in academic sense, as per Russia’s real economy–at least some people in US Intelligence Community and a military one must have some ideas close to the reality, but are they heard? I don’t think so. Sanctions are good for Russia both economically and politically. Gas and oil are just some parts of Russia’s vast hi tech sector exports, hence non-stop US sanctions on Russia’s aerospace industry and shipbuilding, among many others. In reality, it is difficult to explain to political “science” majors and lawyers, who dominate US decision-making echelon, what is the (tectonic) difference between producing S-400 and iPhone, they simply have no faculties for that. Remarkably, thinking that US impedes Russia, the United States impedes herself because the US cannot outproduce China. Nor US LNG is competitive with Russian. US will continue to dominate for a while microchip markets and segments of aerospace, with some other few real economy sectors, but the miscalculation in regards to Russia will be recorded as an “academic” and geopolitical blunder of unparalleled scale.

P.S. Russia’s Rosatom portfolio is in hundreds billions of dollars and Russia leads the world and by far in nuclear technologies–that is where real money are coming from already, and even more in the nearest future.


2019-02-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Сын за отца не отвечает (c). Children are not responsible for parents, as Stalin used to say. One is not to lower oneself to a level of gangsters and war criminals in Washington who bear personal responsibility for atrocities around the globe and must face justice. Their children are not responsible for their parents being low life scum. It is a moral issue.


2019-02-27 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Good luck. Root canal today for me too.


2019-02-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

OK, thank you. Yes, I noticed the fund-raising thing now.


2019-02-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

How is Andrei Raevsky connected to South Front?



2019-02-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The moment I read about “do something about Ukraine” as many suggest, the same as listing of all kinds of problems without assessing seriously all of them, and then in connection to each-other–I stop reading because it begins to reek of BS. Russia does have problems but there is no “crisis”.


2019-02-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

If I remember right the most probable cause of Thrasher tragedy was
failure to account for water temperature and its influence upon blowing
tanks.

IIRC it was the design of valves themselves, especially nets which was conducive for appearance of the ice and eventual clogging which precluded blowing the tanks. Horrendous, terrifying death, especially since they all were alive and knew what was coming.


2019-02-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You was asked why Soviet/Russian submarines are mostly about Arctics not Atlantics or Pacific. Is water temperature or salinity of any influence there or not ?

What is even more remarkable, that you don’t raise the question of efficiency of near polar trajectories for SLBMs on both sides while launching at each-other. Both United States and Russia have their SSBN patrol zones in the Arctic.

Is water temperature or salinity of any influence there or not ?

Water and salinity, even dominating winds above around 10 m/s have influence anywhere in the world ocean. Depth, too. That is why sonars (acoustic complexes) have both means and algorithms allowing for account of these factors. In the end, the first thing any sonar guy learns is Diagram of VRSZ (Verticalnogo Rasprostranenia Skorosti Zvuka) which is crucial both for depth of PZK and gradient of VRSZ.


2019-02-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You didn’t find any reference to it because it was not germane to discussion. Just to give you a hint–Soviet Navy had SSN on patrol in 1982 in South Atlantic right near the events of Falkland War.


2019-02-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

you really can see realistic scenario when US or Russian navy (not proxy like Ukraine) would openly sink each other’s (again, not proxy like Ukraine) ships and it would not escalate into WW3

Yep. I will tell you more–such plan(s) exist on both sides and those are called contingency planning and many of those are played out in “war games” (KShU), including sometimes for the cameras. Guess what Vostok-2018 was. If you want to see how those may look–you can review some American (non-classified) variants.

https://digital-commons.usn…

Well, you are optimist.

No, I am former professional. In fact, if Russia’s General Staff wouldn’t have operational plans precisely for a conventional confrontation with NATO both in the ocean and land–then it would have been worthless organization, but we all know that it is not. Here is NP #4, read attentivelly commentaries on nuclear and chemical weaponry.

https://digital-commons.usn…


2019-02-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, plus pr. 949A Oscar-II class and any new SSK of pr. 636 and 677 Lada-class.


2019-02-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I would add my cents. Smoothie seems to ignore water temperature.

No, I don’t ignore temperature–a main factor (together with salinity and few others) defining hydrology and the depth of PZK (Underwater Acoustic Channel). In fact, I recall having good grades in academy on this issue. At my officer youth ships we had two sonars (dipping and underkeel) plus themograph.


2019-02-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I do not think it is relevant when discussing American Navy. Some other NATO states – sure. But even with French and British navy it is questionable.With American Navy firing those weapons in anger would immediately escalate into M.A.D.

I do not talk about Cold War style games, I am talking about real war and what both sides know. And no, escalation towards nuclear threshold is more complex than “immediately”.


2019-02-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Two of my staff are Cambodians in their late 40s who speak warmly of Pol
Pot as a true nationalist and passionate environmentalist. They’remystified by my talk of mass killings. I have asked others here inThailand and they’re equally baffled.

Even today, many Cambodians have positive attitude to Khmer Rouge–it is a fact of life, the same fact of life as slaughter of Vietnamese in border towns, in one more than 3500 people were slaughtered, 2 survived. This is Vietnam alone. Anecdotal evidence MAY be useful but only against the background of well-established facts. I can guarantee you that GRU and KGB knew about situation in Kampuchea really well–hence “Do the Czechoslovakia” demand by Army General Pavlovsky in meeting with Vietnam’s defense minister. Well this, plus me graduating military academy in which international politics and geopolitics was covered rather well, a lot of it being classified then. So, how to put it directly–my “sources” were damn well-informed people. As per “no slaughter” issue–there is an excellent review of operation of Western press from NYT to Sunday Times, to French media who went full out doing what they always do–lie. This time they were whitewashing Khmer Rouge for a number of reasons, among which on American side the factor of revenge on Vietnam played a very substantial role.

My favorite atrocity story is the famous (but nonexistent) massacre ofpeaceful, democracy-loving students in Tiananmen Square in 1989 whenthere was no massacre and there were no demands for democracy.

That might be true, and most likely is true, but China of 1989 and Kampuchea of mid-1970s are two totally different subjects. It is an axiom–Western media lie, always. So, what’s new, documented atrocities, however, are fact. Here is visual tour for you from S-21 Prison 15 kilometers form Phnom Penh.

https://vg147.livejournal.c…

I guess they all invented all those things. Including killing fields and other wonderful achievements of Khmer Rouge regime.

http://www.killingfieldsmus…

In the end, there were many Germans who never saw Nazi death camps, there are still many people even today who think that it is all fake well beyond Germany.


2019-02-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You state that Soviet union fully supported Chinese invasion of Vietnam?

Soviet TV and radio was reporting with a great deal of satisfaction Chinese losses in tanks and other war materiel. But, of course, the fact of then Commander in Chief of Soviet Ground Troops Grigory Pavlovsky and Vietnam’s Defense Minister Nguen Ziap meeting in 1978 at which Pavlovsky, I quote, told Ziap “Do Czechoslovakia” (referring to 1968) somehow escapes the data base of Mr. Roberts. This fact is hardly a testimony to an objective view of the whole affair.


2019-02-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I repeat, again, I do not need Chomsky to know my numbers and experiences. I also do not take The Nation magazine too seriously. As much as I like Stephen Cohen’s wife Katrina Vanden Heuvel and appreciate The Nation’s efforts, I take a lot of what comes from the American Left with a grain of salt, to put it mildly, I do the same for the so called right too. I understand your bias here since Khmer Rouge genocidal regime was in essence a Maoist regime, but while one may quibble with numbers (a reasonable approach), there is absolutely no doubt about genocidal nature of Khmer Rouge regime, including its numerous raids inside Vietnamese territory, including slaughtering whole towns and even taking hostages to Kampuchea, later to be slaughtered also. I reiterate, we may sit here and, legitimately, discuss American bloody heritage in Indochina, but Khmer Rouge were guided by Maoist ideology and had massive support from China, from weapons to thousands of “advisers”. No amount of mental acrobatics by anyone, including late Chomsky, can obfuscate this simple fact. As one Russian journalist pointed out, the tortures they used in some camps and prisons would have made SS officers faint. You probably never heard about cutting throats (often by Kambodian kids–one of the main “weapons” of Khmer Rouge) by palm trees’ leaves (they are hard) to save ammo. Plus, there was a huge reason for Khmer Rouge to literally turn the country in one huge agricultural concentration camp–the rice grown there was needed for China, which then was a rather semi-hungry country.


2019-02-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Actually, while war crimes against civilians by the US in Indochina are well documented, there is very little doubt that Khmer Rouge (actively supported by China) unleashed an unprecedented exhibition of horror there. Nobody still can count exact number, especially minorities, which were slaughtered on a industrial scale in Kampuchea. Both Western and Soviet/Russian specialists, however, agree on the number between 1.5 and 3 million killed–a mind-boggling figure for a population of barely 7 million. This was done NOT by the United States–it was methodical industrial scale genocide. If not for Vietnamese, the horror might have continued for longer. ,Per (late) Chomsky–I have issues with some of his positions and long ago stopped taking him seriously on any geopolitical matter. The reason, also, being that already in 1976-1977 Soviet Union was screaming from the top of its lungs about what was happening there. Moreover, there was a series documentaries in 1976-77 (we still lived in Sevastopol then) about what was transpiring there. I remember that extremely well, because it was in 1974-75 there were many Vietnamese children brought to the Soviet Union for adoption. My late father went then to Simferopol to see what we can do, but after agonizing discussions at home we (I was a kid and was all for it) decided not to adopt. A very vivid memories on my part.


2019-02-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

in defense of Cambodia

Sir, you really have to get your bearing right or I am beginning to believe that you exist in some parallel reality. At that time Cambodia was not Cambodia but Kampuchea and was the place of the worst (in percentage) genocide in history.


2019-02-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Oh, FFS!! Here is General Gromov and Dmitry Rogozin in NYT

In fact, we were the first to defend Western civilization against the attacks of Muslim fanatics. No one thanked us. On the contrary, everyone was impeding our actions: The United States, NATO, Iran, Pakistan, even China

https://www.nytimes.com/201…

Will testimonies of my friends and class-mates who went through Afghanistan where it was NORMAL occurrence to encounter Chinese-made weapons do? It was common knowledge in Soviet military that China had an active role in supplying and training mujaheddin. Try Google Translate:

https://history.wikireading…

Apart from supporting them, China had training camps for them in China proper. But, of course, those people in Kremlin are idiots and know-nothing fools when they openly speak about China’s involvement–I guess to tarnish China’s good name, especially the nightmare of Khmer-Rouge which was from the inception a Chinese project.


2019-02-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

smoothie , do russian SSBN that operates outside bastion area have SSN
escorts ? do USN also limit their SSBN patrols near US coasts and
operates with SSN escorts ?

Yes, to all questions. With small detail: US Navy’s SSBNs patrol zones (some of them) are not technically near the US, they are more to the North and are nearer to Canada and Greenland than the US.In general, it is highly classified matter who goes where. So, who knows really.


2019-02-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Of course they are, but the US a single most important market.


2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This did happen, actually.


2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Excellent article. I do, however, have one small quibble–about balancing China out militarily. A lot depends on Russia’s internal dynamics and we know this dynamics can change dramatically. China, meanwhile, yes–a neighbor.


2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

First, I doubt that China’s exports is 20 % of her GDP, to start with. It is around $2.4 trillion for 2017, which, if one discounts BS Western data of China’s GDP being smaller than that of US, while in reality being much larger than the US, roughly around $23 trillion, export occupies just around 10% of China’s GDP. In it, the main destination for China’s exports, and by far, is the United States with roughly $0.5 trillion.

https://atlas.media.mit.edu…

But the issue is not just the size of GDP, these are ratios which matter and, of course, revenues. Even for such mammoth economy as China’s the loss of such market as the United States, while not catastrophic, will be a huge economic calamity. Trump, for all his gross faults as both statesman and human, got one thing right–he leverages China’s exports depending greatly on the American market and knows that Chinese understand that too. Another matter–do Chinese understand the degree of American de-industrialization? That remains to be seen. But China DOES treasure US market.



2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

How would/should respond to threats of NATO to Arctic which Russia
traditionally considers its own backyard and a resource rich space ?

Russia can block NATO’s surface component by merely deploying MiG-31Ks with Kinzhals and other air and surface assets capable of carrying long-range AShMs. Russia can also “clear” the area of possible launch for Russian SSBNs by varying intensity of patrols (and searches) by ASW aviation. That will make life of NATO’s SSNs rather difficult, plus, of course, good ol’ counter-deployment of own subs (SSNs and SSKs)–good ol’ days of Cold War. As I stated, introduction of latest weapons ensures that no surface force survives in the 2500-3000 kilometer range from Russia’s Arctic, or for that matter any, Coast. Certainly it is possible to foresee some kind of US sub getting to the shores of, say, Taymyr Peninsula during Summer Time but again, it is all within the range of patrol aviation. Which can also be partially redeployed in threatening period closer to those areas. IL-38N can be on station for 10-12 hours, as an example.

How does ASW forces ( sea or ASW aircraft ) hunting for enemy subs says USN subs entering bastion ensure that they dont end up hunting friendly subs like their own SSBN ? There would be many subs in say a area of1000 km Russian SSBN , Russian SSN & SSK , then may be few NATO SSN , How would Russian ASW forces not end up hitting a friendly force ,Just acoustic distinction is enough ?

Signatures, all of them, plus, of course, knowledge of the positioning of friendlies. How those comm. protocols are set up today I don’t know but they do exist. They are pretty reliable, but as with anything in life–anything is possible.


2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Smoothie , Putin says Submarine and Ships can be in international waters
and strike US main land target , is this possible as they might get
hunted down submarine or ships

ASW is very important, and expensive, but it is obvious that US coasts are protected by a number of ASW systems in which:

1. Patrol Aviation (P-3 Orion, P-8 Poseidon) ;
2. US Navy’s SSNs;
3. Sea-bottom acoustic (and non-acoustic) sensors

are main means to conduct search, detection and annihilation of any submersed threats to US coasts. Yes, subs can patrol in international (and not always, wink, wink) waters within ranges of their weapons. The longer the range of the weapon, the larger is the territory (A=Enemy’s Weapon Range X Rough Length of the Coast) which needs to be patrolled and searched. If to very roughly calculate the Area of possible Zircon’s salvo, giving a base of US East Coast (from Maine to Florida’s tip) as 2,500 kilometers, we are talking about 1,000 X 2,500 = 2.5 million square kilometers area which needs to be searched against Zircon-carrying platform. You know what? Let me make a separate post about it.


2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

True. Deng was openly peddling China to the US as a counter-balance to the USSR. In other words, the movement was mutual on both sides. Mao, meanwhile, clearly saw scenario in which USSR wipes out Europe with NATO and then China comes in and rules Eurasia–a rather not very “communist” view, more of China nationalism-variety. This is why the split happened: Chinese didn’t like that stupid Soviets refused to die for China’s greatness. The rest of the story about differences in “interpretations” of communism is a complete baloney invented by ever vigilant Western historiography for the consumption of general public. Even moron Khrushchev saw Chinese plans through.


2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I told many people that China will surrender in the trade war and theycould not believe it. People should learn not to underestimate theiropponents. China’s economy is big, but in many areas it is not very well developed.

It is not well-developed in quite a few areas, especially in fields of commercial and combat aviation, submarines, some serious weapon systems, etc. Yes, it is not so rosy once one gets to review sectors which really matter.

https://russiabusinesstoday…


2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But again, this too was a method to defeat USSR, by making US civic economy more hi-tech than Soviet.

LOL. You really have to get a hold of yourself, especially while repeating a popular liberda talking points. Look at the accumulation of the American national debt and under who it started. US civic economy today (non-existent, bar some few exceptions) can not produce a thing if not for Asian suppliers, from China to Taiwan, to whatever–that is why US imports $2.2 trillion worth of commodities–largest, by far, importer in history. You obviously haven’t visited Walmart and COSTCO stores in a long time in a desperate attempts to find Made in USA anything. Guess when monstrous American trade deficits also started to accumulate? Take a look.

https://tradingeconomics.co…

It is precisely that time, under Reagan, that US started to shed its manufacturing capacity in earnest. And, in the end, what is hi-tech anyway? You really also need to update yourself who, what “quality” people Gorbachev was surrounding himself with and let’s not mistake the cause with excuse. Gorbachev is, as Ysha Kedmi correctly defined him, nichtozhestvo and autistic, and mechanics of Soviet collapse was very complex–I know, I was there when shit hit the fan. SDI had zero to do with that.


2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

By the way, Andrei Martyanov, what do you think about Karaganov’s comments?

Karaganov doesn’t say anything new. He is smart and highly smug individual who drifted in the last few years greatly towards what conditionally can be defined as centrist-patriotic position. I remember him spewing some utter liberal BS some decades ago. Good that he is learning (or changing colors?), as per general geopolitical assessments I always cringe when humanities “educated” political “scientists” begin to involve themselves with military-political issues. It also doesn’t help that Karaganov heads SVOP organized by one of the most damaging to Russian military “thinkers” such as late Shlykov–a colonel of GRU with economic education. Disastrous military “reforms” by Serdyukov were driven ideologically by Shlykov and SVOP. I have a significant segment on that in my first book. So, as I said above, nothing new–just political “scientist” chit chat.


2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In layman’s lingo — Russia surrendered and Abe pressed Putin (by not
always diplomatic means) into negotiations on Kuril islands with agenda
defined by the Abe, not Putin.

Demagoguery is not a good method of describing things. To start with Russia retaining Islands and, in fact, was driving negotiations. China, however, was coerced to the negotiating table by the US imposing increasing tariffs on more and more Chinese imports. Cause-effect?



2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

LOL, my favorite. Well, it is everybody’s favorite.


2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You mean Sivkov? I don’t know him personally, but he, together with this whole “Academy” of Geopolitical Problems (including defeatist Leonid Ivashov) are full of shit. Plus, Lenta.Ru in Russia has second moniker Lenta.Vru which literally means Lenta.Lie–it is a sewer for Russian liberal office plankton.


2019-02-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Every single aluminum fork, spoon, mug, bowl were stolen by Chinese visitors from diners. It became an epidemic–eventually silverware was changed to steel or other alloys.This is how China was addressing her shortages.


2019-02-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Starting with an industrial base smaller than that of Belgium’s in the

50s, the China that for so long was ridiculed as “the sick man of Asia”
emerged at the end of the Mao period as one of the six largest
industrial producers in the world.

Yep, except you have yourself to get a grip and learn who built China’s heavy and other industries in precisely those times. I would suggest you to at least get acquainted with opinions of Soviet/Russian historians on the personality of Mao and why, in reality, the split between USSR and China happened in 1960s. It was not about communism and its interpretations as usually presented in primarily Anglo-sphere historiography. Even by 1975 China was a backward nation not capable to compete despite all those numbers. Again, percentages of some “growth” mean nothing when PLA had its ass handed to it by Vitnamese in 1979. Literally, the floor was wiped with them. Not until late 1980s that the Chinese real growth started to be visible. You, obviously, would not know what happened in the Soviet Far East, Siberia and even Central Russia in, say, 1989-92 in public diners–don’t Google it, you will not find it. As per Mao’s times, sure–sparrows’ purges, and each yard in countryside having a mini-iron works are hardly any indications of good times. Meanwhile, I don’t know how it is important to you but for Russia it was and is important, sort of–but China is in no rush to recognize Crimea. In fact, it doesn’t like it a bit.


2019-02-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You may like Karen’s wonderful monologue.

https://youtu.be/GrscSTaqftA


2019-02-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Averchenko’s short story is one of my favorites, both brief and to the point, it is also hilarious. Here it is, I don’t know how Google with translate it, but in Russian it is hilarious:

http://ocr.krossw.ru/html/a…


2019-02-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Judging by his freshest idiocy:

https://vz.ru/news/2019/2/2…

and obvious lack of common knowledge about existence and operations of submarines, despite him being a graduate of Popov’s VVMURE (now VVMIRE), I begin to doubt his overall competency in general. When the “academician” begins to be corrected reasonably by commentariat in Vzblyad one has to ask questions about sheer idiocy this guy spreads all over the place.


2019-02-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What was SDI objective? Victory over USSR. Victory was achieved

Grossly flawed argument. In fact, not an argument at all.

1. Gorbachev, of course, had no ulterior motives by deliberately ignoring military and science professionals who told him that all this SDI was BS. The same pattern as it was with INF Treaty. So, yes–honest sincere faith in cartoons. </sarc>

2. Some Clausewitz is in order here:

“In War the result is never final”(c)

Vom Kriege.


2019-02-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Or enough to recall Pavel Falgenhauer, Alexandr Goltz or these smooth operators from CAST. Of course, Ariel Cohen comes to mind too, LOL.


2019-02-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thanks, I finally got to learn what NPC is:))


2019-02-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia losing people in the 90s is entirely different to the fact that
the remaining russian women in child bearing age have birth rate that is
dropping again.

Ah, so the lack of children born in 1990s due to atrocity committed against Russia, with millions of those who would have presently constituted most fertile child-birth pool of 24-29 year olds, never materializing today is not a factor. Alrighty then. And I thought even simplest arithmetic was enough to figure that out.

If this is how you are reading me then you can not read people and this is a weakness of yours

Maybe it is, but this blog and I have reputation for discussing primarily geopolitical issues and everything they entail, especially from military perspective.


2019-02-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, the Zircon is good. But are you going to talk only about the good things, just like they were talking during Soviet times?

I am talking only about things I know and have background in. If you want to talk about what is bad in Russia, especially in demographics (in which I know for sure Russia is going through the slump)–you have many “specialists” on the net in this issue, such as Mr. Karlin who pretends that he knows something about Russia. As per your obvious irritation with “only good” things–I am sorry for Russia leading the world in hyper-sonic weapons and the whole host of other cutting edge technologies which have historic in scale implications.

Lots of talk from Putin, but he failed to fix that problem and things got worse.

1. You better update yourself on Maternity Capital, for starters and how it really helped;
2. You obviously have a very vague understanding of the impact of 1990s on Russia and her demographics the consequences of which we all observe today. I’ll give you a hint, by different estimates Russia lost between 12 to 18 million of population due to “liberal reforms”–they almost reached Hitler’s score. That is why it is my long time position that initiators of these “reforms” have to be tried as criminals, and every Yeltsin Center be raised to the ground. I wouldn’t mind public execution on Manezhnaya of, say, Anatoly Chubais. Sadly, fat pig Gaidar is already dead.

If you want to ease your obvious irritation with Russia’s successes, which, incidentally, ensure survival of Russian nation and other people of Russia–CNN, Fox, NYT, WaPo discussion boards are at your service.


2019-02-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Implications for surface warfare are gigantic, in fact–historic, because Zircon will be carried by any ship and sub capable to carry 3M14-3M54. With the range of Zircon now officially confirmed, one can only imagine what 4 newest SSGNs can do in, say, Atlantic Ocean.


2019-02-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But I expect at least his article be internally consistent and not self-defeating on every junction.

Exactly. Good point.

maybe obsolete or non exact data

I misspoke, by “data base” I meant Sivkov’s skills as military planner from General Staff. The impression is that he simply doesn’t know the subject and, yes, is not updated on it.

Well, I am amateur, so I have no beef with Syvkov

My second book is precisely to help inquisitive and attentive “amateurs” to develop basic cognitive apparatus for competent geopolitical and military assessments.


2019-02-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is obvious that Sivkov is not aware of the real state of the hardware in NATO, nor he wants to turn on his former “data base” and recall that dyadic comparison is for amateurs, war is grossly non-linear and is calculated very differently. After all, Sivkov did serve in General Staff, he should know this.


2019-02-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Backing grunting? As in backing vocal;-))


2019-02-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Luka is a scumbag–that is for sure. Power corrupts. I have no opinion on that because I have no idea what is the possible arrangement being discussed. I mean Lukashenko’s privileges.


2019-02-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

9 nuclear submarines of which 6 areloud and outdated and there are reportedly times only 1 or 2 are on patrol,

Calling pr.667 BDRM (NATO: Delta-IV) “loud” especially after updates is a good sign of having no grasp of the matter, nor of the what is known complex of measures (meropryatii) implemented for deployment of Russian strategic missile subs to patrol areas. This is not to mention that the author forgets a rather large and modernizing fleet of Russia SSKs which has a vast experience with operations against latest US “attack subs”. I don’t know who this commentator is but he certainly doesn’t know the subject.

Per FAS article on short fuse nukes–absolutely inconsequential, just the matter of increasing efficiency of detonation. Absolutely secondary matter.


2019-02-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, we better start reviewing Salvo Equations;-))


2019-02-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

not even from a French point of view

French totally deserved what they have coming to them. In fact, I am not sure that France as an independent nation exists anymore. In the end, they elected Macron not anyone else. Now they have to enjoy it. I don’t think such “nations” can exist–it is a final approach.

https://www.rt.com/news/451…

I do, however, appreciate some remaining French humor.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media…


2019-02-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Bolton has a massive mental trauma because of him being a coward and he compensates for it by being, well, John Bolton.


2019-02-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This is why I don’t have any “social network” accounts, apart from considerations of general revulsion towards exhibitionism of new generations.


2019-02-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This Cold War v2 looks and feels much more dangerous.

It feels such because of unprecedented propagation of information, much of it sensationalist and doom-porn.

There are a few economists that report using the algorithms from before the 1990’s and the difference is dramatic.

My second book is precisely about this, how statistically-induced delusion prevents seeing geopolitical reality.


2019-02-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Indeed, seems that soon the very having interest in such topics would constitute a thoughtcrime,

It is already the case–the slide towards totalitarian state is in progress.


2019-02-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Though, being subsonic, I hope it still retains the ability to make a supersonic dash in the final approach to the target

Even if not, makes little difference since Petrel is a land attack missile and will have, with very low trajectory on terminal, little problem with non-existent US national air-defense system. It is extremely hard to detect terrain following low flying SLAM especially since the US has issues with its AD complexes and does not have fully integrated, deeply echeloned AD system. The cost of such a system are astronomical and no good outcome is guaranteed. US doesn’t have anything similar to MiG-31(BM) which was designed from the outset as a hunter for Tomahawks and has very developed and networked look-down-shoot-down capability.


2019-02-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

still cant grasp why in event of war , US think their space based eyes

wont be plucked out and degrade their functions in detriment to their

military units.. maybe decades of fighting weak nations made them think

they can also fight peer enemies with minimal losses ?

US military-intelligence circles are aware of the Russian and Chinese ASAT weapons and the impact they will have in case (God forbid) real war. I cite in my book Coates’ 2017 Intelligence Assessment on that: both Russia and China can simply “switch off” GPS and a whole number of comm and recce satellites. The problem here is with US policy makers and here I quote high ranking US general (Ph.D in physics) Latiff who served in DARPA and cutting edge Pentagon R&D–he echoes me: US decision makers are simply grossly ignorant on technological matters. They literally, and I quote him directly:

Make no mistake: the willful ignorance of the American public and its leaders will have dangerous consequences. Most Americans, including many of our political leaders, pay scant attention to military issues until a situation arises concerning our armed forces. Then they act based on emotion and political expedience rather than on facts, and that rarely ends well….Much of what the public knows or thinks about the military derives from entertainment

Political class by definition has no education in technological, thus tactical, operational and strategic matters related to modern war. It is too complex for the minds of Ivy League shysters with degrees in political “science”, white board Wall Street “economics”, law etc., who infest US top political echelon. As Tucker Carson correctly observed–Ship of Fools.


2019-02-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Space exploration–first and foremost. With space vehicles entering velocities’ ranges in hundreds kilometers per second. I know they already work on such engine.


2019-02-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Arctic Fox gave a very good answer–once US Dollar begins to crumble in earnest (it is already crumbling but in a less dramatic fashion, in fact no one wants it to crush abruptly), it will be over. How soon? Probably some time next decade of 2030s. Current US model is unsustainable on several levels.


2019-02-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I simply hope we are all lucky.

That’s our only remaining hope…for now.


2019-02-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Qantas 747 flew for 20+ hours, Air Force One can fly for more than 24 hours, TU-95s theoretically can stay in the air for 48 hours etc. There is nothing unusual for modern air technology to stay airborne for very long times. In case of Petrel which will only launch as a response to the attack on Russia it will be no problem to fly from Siberia, say, to South America and then to North America within 48 hours, nor loiter, if need be, for couple more days–modern air-frames can take more than that, especially since Petrel is subsonic. I see no problem with it to stay airborne for several days, at least.


2019-02-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

On a large number of occasions known widely appendectomy was performed under local anesthesia with what is known as Novocaine blockade. My mother underwent kidney surgery in late 1960s the same way because they were afraid to get her “under” because of heart issues–she survived just fine.


2019-02-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Putin is absolutely correct, most counties are not really independent and Europe is a good example.


2019-02-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Dugin, as always, misreads what Surkov (or for that matter anyone) wrote and it is not about preservation of elites. I don’t take Dugin even mildly seriously–same level of BSer as Kholmogorov–a lot of fluffy pseudo-philosophical rhetoric designed to hide ignorance on a whole host of really hot issues for which neither has cognitive apparatus. Some of Dugin’s venturing into science and technology is down right fvcking bizarre, aka delirium.


2019-02-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Of course they don’t–they would rather risk their lives (as Phil Giraldi brilliantly noted) with the possibility of choking on foie gras in Washington’s upscale restaurants.


2019-02-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Marco Rubio would be afflicted with a serious case of diarrhea when hearing the sound of good caliber guns going off…in a distance. Serving in Vietnam (moral judgement aside for now), boy, most of the US Congress would be afflicted with whatever would be en vogue in terms of armed service dodging, just like John Bolton;-))


2019-02-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree, rephrasing true great American, Mark Twain–the rumors of the intellectual capacity of the American elites were grossly exaggerated.


2019-02-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I doubt it greatly:)) But at some point the patient on the operation table must start asking questions on why removal of his appendicitis is performed by specialist in marketing or a plumber, instead of certified surgeon. Tucker does just that.


2019-02-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Very true. That is why rotation of the elites is important.


2019-02-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You damn intrigued me. Why there should be a big difference?

Because shooters in infantry do not have air defense complexes and EW systems, as an example, against bullets and a lot depends on the density of troops, as Osipov-Lanchester equations explicitly state. Modern naval battles are primarily missile-exchange battles and that is a very different game.


2019-02-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Vzblyad is turning into a complete yellow press with the same level of “experts”. In general, it is a dumpster already now.


2019-02-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, good piece. I liked this very much–I am writing about it since hell knows when and call it doctrine-mongering.

Кстати, склонность американцев к разработке концепций стала их настоящим
бичом. Каждая вновь выходившая концепция стратегического уровня
требовала разработки трех – пяти соподчиненных концепций, в развитие
которых выпускались концепции более низкого уровня. Под каждую
выделяются финансовые средства, благо, астрономический военный бюджет
(более 700 млрд долл.) позволяет. Поэтому конвейер по разработке новых
концепций никогда не останавливается. Каждая концепция с истинно
американским размахом представляется как очередной «прорыв в военном
деле». Так, например, специалисты ВС США объявили большим успехом в
развитии военной науки включение в нее такой составной части, как
оперативное искусство. Но надо сказать, что в СССР такое деление было
введено еще в довоенный период (до Великой Отечественной): стратегия
охватывала вопросы подготовки страны и Вооруженных сСил к войне и
ведения войны в целом, оперативное искусство – подготовки и проведения
операций, а тактика – ведения боевых действий тактическими
формированиями.


2019-02-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

1 – exactly quantitative not qualitative differences.

Larger displacement allows installation of greater number of systems from sensors to weapons–it is precisely the case of quantity translating into quality. But feel free to interpret it any way you want it.


2019-02-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, even the typo is symptomatic:))


2019-02-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

His observations

His observations, obviously, are done under the influence of some heavy stuff because his fake about Soviet AshM hitting USS Bainbridge in 1977 (including the use of photo of her launching Terrier missile as proof of Soviet attack) is beyond any redemption. The guy is a moron.

Is there a qualitative not quantitative difference between cutter and small ship?

1. Displacement: MRK is somewhat larger (Google pr. 1234 and pr.1241);
2. MRK carries an organic ZRK (Anti-air missile complex) such as Osa-M and more AshMs.
3. some other purely organizational differences.


2019-02-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Sheer delirium. I “liked” this especially:

малый каретный катер МУССОН

Of course how would he know that Musson was an small missile ship, not cutter. Well, I wrote about such “experts” recently.


2019-02-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Do we know if the 11356 require much more work before delivery (uncomplete) to India to get that Yard Space back

I don’t know, It is better to ask Yantar guys on Airbase forum. It is definitely totally worth seriously considering continuation of pr. 22350 series before getting to 22350M.



2019-02-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I picked a wowser form Mary Tyler Moore show of 1970s. Its meaning being a Surprise/Shock, as Grazhdanochka correctly noted. As per Aussie/New Zealander version of wowsers–these are horrible people you are talking about;-)))


2019-02-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There are plenty of towns which are not trash and, in fact, are wonderful. There is one problem, though–jobs. Unless I write New Your Times bestseller (not gonna happen) and become filthy rich, I have to work (plus I love my work), that necessitates a proximity to large center such as Seattle.


2019-02-11 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I don’t understand why you guys are arguing about intermediate range missiles

In 1980s it was RSD-10 Pioner and surveying work at Chukotka, for Pioner’s deployment, which made US more “flexible” in negotiations. That is the only reason this topic is being discussed here. In case of deployment of American IRange ballistic (I underscore it–TLAMs are slow) in Europe with flight times to Russian installations counted in very few minutes, the issue of Far Eastern deployment of IRaqnge ballistic missiles MAY come up again, as an insurance for responce-head-on (Otventno-Vstrechnyi) Strike.


2019-02-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Worth thinking about. Because if a member of the US House of
Representatives didn’t know then what he needed to know in order to vote
on such a serious matter as starting a war and killing a million people
– who was responsible for preventing him from knowing the true facts?

Exactly!


2019-02-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Looks like you are having problems with grasping the issue. So to help you–here it is. What say 30 launchers from Chuckotka can “cover”. FYI, this means somewhere between 90 to 120 MIRVs.

https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2019-02-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ashland Oregon

Boy, what a lovely place Ashland is. Oregon and North California–my favorite I-5 segments of drive. I literally rest emotionally when driving through those places.


2019-02-09 on sic-semper-tyrannis

You still cultivate a uneducated personal opinion that has been buried around ten years ago in serious scientific discussions

You mean science of a cultural suicide, scientific ignorance and promotion of globalist values (a defining features of any environmental movement)–yes, I guess I do cultivate that.


2019-02-09 on sic-semper-tyrannis

How is it possible that the Russian nation renounced the most death dealing ideology in human history

Russia had National-Socialism as her ideology? First time I hear that.


2019-02-09 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I really see no point of discussing intricacies of Kamchatka’s population, industry and military bases of which I have a very good knowledge (first hand), let alone what Vilyuchinsk as a main base of nuclear powered submarines is. But just to expand some of your horizons:

Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky (Russian: Петропа́вловск-Камча́тский, Russian pronunciation: [pʲɪtrɐˈpavləfsk kɐmˈtɕatskʲɪj]) is a city and the administrative, industrial, scientific, and cultural center of Kamchatka Krai, Russia. Population: 179,780 (2010 Census)

FYI, Vilyuchinsk is located right across Avacha Bay from Petropavlovsk and has normal (about 50 minutes of drive around) or about 30 minutes by ferry.


2019-02-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Then what about Seattle? Definitely no one would waste ICBMs on some
rust belt small rural town. At least you do not live in Norfolk.

Check where Ohios of Pacific Fleet (US) are based–a hint: naval base Kitsap, recall also what is in Everett. Seattle and around is one fat big target. So, while not Norfolk, largest Boeing plants are also in Renton and Everett. Plus Bremerton still has few old carriers in mothballs. It used to be home to Mighty Mo, but she was moved to Pearl. Sad, what a magnificent ship, a ship of distinction.


2019-02-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

OK, “true” not in a sense of being correct but being true as in correct;-))


2019-02-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There is a reason for my love for “one-story” America. Large cities? Not so much.


2019-02-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

it would be put in production tomorrow.

I envy you–to have briefings from Borisov on Petrel’s status, I can only dream about.


2019-02-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

it is technically true

This explains why it is technically, operationally, strategically and politically correct.

Нанесение неприемлемого для США ущерба мы можем сделать ракетами, подпадающими под нынешний Договор РСМД, даже со своей территории: не будем забывать, что от Чукотки до Аляски – всего 80 километров. И когда Рейган объявил о начале работ по стратегической оборонной инициативе, порой называемой «звездными войнами», американцам стало известно: мы проводим рекогносцировку на своих крайних восточных рубежах для размещения там мобильных комплексов «Пионер» (SS-20). Это сразу усилило в Соединенных Штатах желание начать с нами договариваться.

https://vpk-news.ru/article…


2019-02-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

My concern, as I discussed in my previous comment, is that events triggered by the Venezuela

Pretty much same here.


2019-02-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Say what?

Because I was running out of letters for genders and races I decided to use good ol’ Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance, Recon. I was seriously considering adding ASW (Anti-Submarine Warfare) to this thing too:)


2019-02-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

that is still far from parity

Pardon me, but you really have to update yourself on the meaning of “parity” and what leaker is. Per this:

Kamchatka/chukotka is the most “backwoods” part of russia.

You obviously never have been to Kamchatka. Nor, especially, to Vilyuchinsk, yet you try to pass judgement on the issue of which you, obviously, have very little understanding.

http://russiatrek.org/blog/… Google may help.


2019-02-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

They are projecting their own lust for power on others.

They are projecting mostly their utter military-technological ignorance, which is expected from people who primarily “studied” political “science”, law and “economics”. This is not an environment conducive to realistic assessments of anything related to modern warfare and its consequences. In other words, one has to have well-developed cognitive apparatus to operate in such a complex environment as military. None of neocons have it.

They figure that geography favors them

That is because they don’t know geography and didn’t take any serious course on physical, economic and military geography. Enough to recall Mr.Blank who demanded US Navy send ships to…Azov Sea. When I first read it, I couldn’t believe that this dude has some Ph.Ds in whatever–a militant ignorance. Yet, he taught at US military academies.


2019-02-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Starting from about 2004, the SPD and Grüne parts of the German left have become increasingly transatlantic

Greens, as any environmental Party anywhere, are simply not normal people–Greens’ role in setting Germany for energy failure is absolutely stunning, not to mention their, from the inception, sick cultural policies. One of the latest of it–Green Mayor’s of Cologne blame of German women for wholesale rape and mass sexual violence by a crowd of Muslim thugs at Christmas in Cologne. These people (Greens) are enemies of Germany and German nation.


2019-02-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

In order not to be verbose. Here is Google Maps with the account for Earth’s spherical (in reality it is somewhat elliptic) shape. You can easily recognize San-Diego at the receiving end.
https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2019-02-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I hear what you are saying. If I were paranoid I would think that all that LGBTQC4ISR baloney is meant to distract lefties from issues that matter, and to keep them from noticing, for example, that Marine Le Pen is actually quite far to the left on economic issues.

There is nothing paranoid about it, it is exactly what it is–an “alternative’ way to keep public away from serious economic and real social issues. Let deplorables deal with gender confusion and precious bodily fluids while Wall Street guys agonize over what new model of Ferrari or Lamborghini to buy. There is even whole school of pseudo-economic “science” in place to deal with that. What is remarkable though, couple of days ago Russian Orthodox Patriarch Kirill stated that dramatic economic inequality is a danger to society. If Church gets it…


2019-02-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

literally if you take the two closest points the tip of Washington state
to the coast of Kamchatka you are the very limit of the treaty ranges.

5,500 kilometers from Chukotka (e.g Anadyr) is all US West Coast and Hawaii, from Kamchatka–accidentally all US Navy’s bases in the Pacific. The “very limit of the range” is a confirmed declared operational range, even if it is 5,499 kilometers.


2019-02-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I understand what you mean. But how do you call a place home which is
run by people who have been and will continue to demonize Russia

Never in our life in the US have we encountered any anti-Russian sentiment, discrimination or contempt from the scores of everyday Americans–only friendly or professional attitude. We encountered Ukrainians and other Europeans who can not stand Russians, that is for sure. As per tax “argument” it is down right silly, I deal more “damage” to American economy by exploiting US Healthcare system for my health benefits–so consider this to be my “contribution”. In general, I am not going to be discussing publicly a myriad of private personal reasons for my life’s decision.


2019-02-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Never heard of him, but I will research him–sounds interesting.


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

OK, Poles also captured Moscow and “occupied” Russia, Napoleon entered Kremlin–is that conquered or what? As I stated while being “conquered” by Mongols Russia managed to defeat Livonian Order Cross-Bearers. OK, Western “occupiers”.


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, as US government “sources” (wink, wink) said it was only partially successful, whatever that means.


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

just look at ZH

I don’t read them. But I agree doom porn sells. What’s the deal with their damage control–I didn’t catch that?


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Returning to Russia should always be an option.

If shit hits the fan, it really wouldn’t matter. It is better to avoid it altogether, plus, I made this point many times–America is our home now, it is where so much is dear to us. In the end, people we know, our friends are wonderful people and that is what also constitutes home.


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I only now noticed this post. I want to state that I am very liberal in my moderation policy (I moderate posts of only complete mental cases)–I allow people of different views and backgrounds to roam freely on these discussion boards. I would request to maintain even heated discussions within basic framework of civility.


2019-02-07 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Since Russia wishes to cultivate allies in the anti-war left, perhaps an end to the INF treaty will help in those efforts.

I am not sure there is anti-war Left left as it was circa 1980s. Russia is really apprehensive towards all kinds of Euro-left which is a totalitarian LGBTQC4ISR sect which has nothing in common with Old Left. In fact, all of this left are globalist shills. Russia has much better chances addressing real European conservative and nationalist circles. But I am 100% positive that this is viewed, correctly, as a routine foreign policy activity and maintenance of contacts as it was previous years.


2019-02-07 on sic-semper-tyrannis

1. China and her primarily intermediate-range missiles in the region–in a futile attempt to “re-negotiate”–China may fold, but…
2. Russia will not, in fact, Russia already called the bluff, but the US also needs to threaten Russia from Europe while simultaneously putting Europe under the thumb.
3. In general, however, the main reason is US economy whose main two pillars are US Dollar and perceived, largely inflated, US military omnipotence, and US fading as a “hegemon” is not taken lightly by increasingly irrational D.C. It needs some kind of “triumph”, so we are entering the period of geopolitical volatility until US “elites”, in full accordance to Kubler-Ross Grief Model, transition from Anger to Depression (in process) and eventually to Bargaining and Acceptance. Granted US economy functions. US will have to learn to live as ONE OF the great power and maybe (just maybe) become a normal country dealing with own serious problems–there are many of those for sure.


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What about the Mongols?

What about them? In the end they also were kicked out and look at Mongolia today. While dealing with Mongolian issue, Russians “accidentally” took Kazan and then spread into Siberia;-) Do not forget 1242 and Alexander Nevsky–not too shabby, you know.


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In placing Aegis-ashore installations in Eastern Europe, the Obama
administration—possibly failed by its technical and policy advisors—made
an epic blunder, surpassed in negative consequences for global nuclear
stability, in my opinion, only by the Bush administration’s decision to
withdraw from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002. Both of these
political decisions were made with bipartisan indifference to technical
merit or long-term consequences.

Loved this phrase, LOL. What “advisers”? The ones which think that they “won” Cold War and defeated Nazism? I don’t know any others who exist in the top US power echelon. As I said, US power elite is wholesale delusional, even when professional and sober opinions actually make it to the top. Again, how can a lawyer or political “scientist” have any grasp of of “technical merits” or “consequences”–they don’t have cognitive apparatus for this.


2019-02-07 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Russia does not have military bases near US territory, where a large
number of intermediate and shorter range missiles could be deployed

This phrase alone discredits the whole piece by South Front which increasingly begins to remind sites similar to Russia-Insider, hell bent on fund raising instead of sound analysis.

Russia DOES have bases near the United States within (West) coastal range–those
“bases” are called Kamchatka Peninsula. Of course, Russia can recall 1980s experience of planning to position her RSD-10 Pioner (one example is currently in the US in Smithsonian) at Chuckotka, thus covering all of Canada and most North West and parts of mid-West of the US. One of the arguments which convinced the American side to negotiate. So, the article is a complete click-bait pseudo-analysis. This is not to mention the fact that national security is built and exists across all platforms and forces.


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

All kinds of combinations are certainly possible, especially once US “wins” in Afghanistan and settles with Taliban and ISIS elements transported from Syria, which, inevitably start testing Middle Asia. Kirghistan, as an example, wants second Russian base, granted only where Kirghistan wants it, not where it is operationally necessary–after all, Russian bases are huge cash cows–but Russia is in no hurry. The method today is primarily: Russia’s way, or highway. Middle Asians will run to Russia one way or another once shit starts flying at their borders. It has to be clearly understood that most “Stans” in CSTO are militarily practically insignificant. What arrangements Russia and China make? Who knows–it is all secret but we may learn about it in a due time, China certainly can help with Afghanistan situation if agrees, but I don’t see it, yet. China is more interested in Stans for the sake of commerce mostly.

It is sort of unfair that Russia takes all the hit economically and militarily by NATO/US while rest of CSTO/China keeps watching

As I said–it is what it is. Unfair? Sure, but then geopolitical balance is built primarily on military balance, which DIRECTLY implies world-class economy. Russia’s military history, military power, enormous operational experience, technologies make her by default a military leader in any possible alliance. I underscore–any. It is the only nation in history which kicked militarily asses of all invaders who ever tried to conquer her. This is both a burden and an advantage everyone, including Russophobes, even when implicitly, recognize.


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

He is CNO, he is obliged to make such statements.

but that sort of thought process can be dangerous and lead to overconfidence

True, but it is what it is.


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

“When I use a word it means just what I choose it to mean.”

A remote relative of a Newspeak.



2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Even without subs, even without not yet rebuilt railcars, Russia is vast and American TLAMs are slow.

Ah. good point. Size does matter in geopolitics and Chukotka is exactly within this INF “range” from the US and Canada. In general, there are so many facets to all this INF Treaty situation that it would take a separate book to review even some of them.


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

A usual pep-talk. In case of real war it is all about salvo, first and second. As I said not for once, even with 3M54 and P-800 things changed dramatically, with (officially admitted) 30 Kinzhals deployed in Southern District (includes Black Sea, Bastions in Crimea cover all of it) and who knows how many in the Far East–it easy to calculate FER (Fractional Exchange Rate) and probability of a leaker, I did it before. As long as NATO ships sail peacefully, sure, why not. As for “pushing back”, US doesn’t have resources anymore to push anything back, whatever that means.


2019-02-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

way Russia currently conceives using nuclear weapons, as a retaliatorystrike, becomes impossible, since there won’t be time to work out whichmissiles have been launched against Russia, what their trajectory and their targets are

It is slightly more complex than that and he can not possibly know how Russia really (emphasis added) “conceives” the use of nuclear weapons because it is beyond his grasp and clearance. As I said, there is a whole large science to ABM Defense which must account for, in this particular case, Russia’s defense and actual number of leakers which Russia’s ABM defense may allow.This is for a warm-up, he also didn’t get updated on how, say S-500 (just throwing some shit at the wall and see what sticks) in Kaliningrad can shoot things on a booster segment, what about mid-course? Questions, questions.

An implosion of the nuclear proliferation regime due to increasingly aggressive and unconstructive US behavior, coupled with their decline?

Yes. Plus inevitable question to these “strategies analyzers”, why did US all of a sudden went back to full blown nuclearism doctrine. I remember very well the times when the US proclaimed itself the greatest (conventional) power in history. What happened to this conventional “superiority”. I have a part of the answer, unlike amateurs from CAST those professionals in Pentagon, the ones who do not offer their faces in the US MSM sewer, can actually calculate and model and they are not happy. I know they are not happy. As per proliferation–yes, it will implode and for Russia this doesn’t make any difference, she is not going to invade anyone, for the US? It is a completely different game today out there.


2019-02-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Any thoughts on this guy he said is expert on tanks

I don’t know who he is, what I know for sure that I am not an expert on tanks. My point is that all those “experts” who almost universally are in the so called pro-western liberal “camp” (radically, if not rabidly, like Barabanov, anti-Soviet and barely hidden contemptuous of own people) spew their BS in an attempts to, in their minds, stave off what they are afraid most of–a final decline of the so called “liberal” economic model and Russia mobilizing for the Cold War, in which they might be forced to abandon their “free enterprise” in BS and find actual productive work, of which none of them is acquainted with. They do not have any useful skills, plus necessities of the new Cold War and configuration of the information sphere dictate the emergence of actual professionals–the process is ongoing as I type this.


2019-02-06 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Bolton was one of the signers of that manifesto, which was dated 1998 when I saw it in 2002. PNAC did not name Iraq

It did.

http://www.robmacdougall.or…

In fact, it was explicit.


2019-02-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

“the US lied to us”. That report convinced me that a significant shift was underway.

This was an eye-opening moment for many, but for me a true eye-opener was Iraq 2003, after 2008 and war with Georgia I was able to fully formulate for myself a huge issue with American “elites’. Since then it all proceeded as I expected culminating in 2014.


2019-02-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Our former neighbors, wonderful people, were a mixed couple: he, a full blown WASP, she is native American (I don’t remember tribe), but Victoria always, when we were dining together, spoke openly that because she is Inidian she would rather stay away from hard liquor since it was endemic in natives to be low resistant to alcohol. The max she did was a bottle of Belgian white ale.


2019-02-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The Key here is how sincere it was, but obviously by response the West and NATO were disinterested

It was “proverka na vshivost” (louse test). Now if you will recall–who were invited to personally meet Putin in Kremlin immediately after his election of president. I will remind you: Alexandr Prokhanov and Chikin, of Zavtra and Soviet Russia respectively. Plus, do not forget–he was limited in his maneuver while first–dismembering oligarch mafia structures while trying to keep some of the capital in Russia, while rebuilding armed forces and economy. He had to seek some kind of rapport with the West. Per this:

Joint Missile Shield etc

Most likely was done to placate liberal “westerners” and to buy some time.

https://youtu.be/8ux3oiWELIQ


2019-02-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

If Clapper said something analogous about genetic traits of black people or Central Americans… He’d be toast

Same goes to any Russian who would ever start questioning white Americans’, or for that matter any American, DNA. Pointing out some cultural traits? Sure–nothing wrong with that but, say, traditional cliche’ of Russian alcoholism while dramatically being altered for the better today, did indeed have some grounds in reality. It was a problem and it was cultural and socio-economic one.


2019-02-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Very true and very Biblical, indeed. Long before modern psychology and psychiatry.


2019-02-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Actually, to be clear–the guy writing on Russian DNA is not Doctorow. But Doctorow approach to Putin as being a disservice to the West is rather astonishing too.


2019-02-05 on sic-semper-tyrannis

while the Ivy League-educated neocons are getting everything wrong.

They are getting it wrong precisely for the reason of being uneducated. They have degrees, most of those degrees in pseudo “sciences” with garbage statistics supporting those, but it is not “education”. Moreover, American elites’ in general, and neocon’s cabal especially, understanding of the nature and application of military power is approaching zero. It is especially true for the modern warfare where no fancy “degrees” in political “science” can substitute military education and experience. As we all know, neocons do not like to serve and study things that are hard, they prefer to conduct their mindless pro-Israeli doctrine-mongering in the comfort of upscale restaurants and clubs in D.C.


2019-02-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

At the end of the day, I think the krauts have figured out on which side their bread is buttered.

It is about freaking time. I hope.


2019-02-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

TLAMs and second run on intermediate range ballistics. Aegis Ashore MK-41 will be loaded, at some point of time, with TLAMs. Nothing new under the sun.


2019-02-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yeah, I saw that. But famous 30 DISKR of the Black Sea Fleet (30th Division Of Escort Ships) was known as Wild Division (Dikaya) and…it was. LOL! Soviet/Russian navy also have a Division of Bad Weather–which had missile ships with names such as Hurricane, Storm etc. sadly, today they rename those coming to replace old timers after small Russian towns, what a shame.


2019-02-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The puppets are eager to support the US. They are propping it up.

Sure–Anglo-puppets. Read today’s Hudson’s superb piece.

http://www.unz.com/mhudson/…


2019-02-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The only thing I like about him is his wife.

Damn right, LOL.


2019-02-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

smugglers?

Yep, also illegal catch and sale of fish resources, moving objects of value, drugs what have you. FYI in 1991 there were number of coordinated operations by USCG and Kamchatka 1st BG Division on the Far East in fighting primarily Chinese and Korean industrial scale poaching of resources. Here is work of Shikotan Brigade ship against people who do not understand what State Border is and how not to steal resources etc.Here they don’t shoot back, often they do.

https://youtu.be/dNvXOy7bXYw


2019-02-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Yes, of course Mexico and Canada have entry controls and if you avoid those you will be arrested if caught.

There you are–you just answered your own question. To add–no airline in the US (including domestic leg of flight) will board you if you don’t have visa during your domestic leg. If you fly Seattle-Moscow (via JFK) they ask you for passports already in SeaTac.That is border control–each country deals with it differently. We DIDN’T deal with that, we dealt with people who were often armed, dangerous and often acted in significant units of the company size and even larger, such as were the events at Lenin’s Border Post in Tajikistan in 1992 (IIRC)–the attack of mujaheddin was repulsed. Again, our people died. Just to give you some heads up–one of the first serious units of Soviet Troops in Afghanistan in 1979 were Border Guards, who were actively involved in operations inside Northern Afghanistan by means of operative groups and detachments. I reiterate–Soviet/Russian Border Guards are nothing like US Border Guards, in Russia Border Guards are formed as separate force known as BG Troops KGB/FSB. Even today naval units of Border Guards are larger than most NATO navies. Needless to say, in June 1941 with Axis invading USSR these were namely Border Guards who fought first battles.


2019-01-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Great that you mentioned exchange with Iran. I read news earlier today and was like, hm–that’s significant.



2019-01-30 on sic-semper-tyrannis

2. As a border guard, was your mission also to keep Soviet citizens from leaving?

If this was done illegally, yes. It is, however, a typical Cold War propaganda question–try to leave US to Canada illegally while defying either USBG or Canadian Border Guards–see what happens.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/wor…

But by far the most important issue was to prevent escape of criminal and diversionary element. That was the main task in this respect (that is about those “leaving” USSR) and we were briefed constantly on these matters not only through KGB proper but getting orientirovkas (short brief) from MVD via KGB about smugglers and criminals.

1. Was there much mmigration, legal and illegal, to the Soviet Union during your time of service, and

There was some, but I didn’t serve as customs or immigration agent. Just to give you some heads up on what my service was all about–it was about primarily defending border against well-armed non-state actors or serve as a first line of defense in case of other state-attack. That is why we were very well-armed. And our people died on many occasions facing all kinds of contingencies, including foreign ones.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wi…

and this (as of today)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wi…


2019-01-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yeah, the guy has an acute case of terminal butt-hurt and militant ignorrance. LOL.


2019-01-29 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Every CBP agent worth listening t

I am a former Border Guard from USSR, apart from my purely naval (and marines’) background I went through VKK and then guarded maritime borders in a tight coordination with ground units those being both on the coast and in depth. Here is my take: not only the wall is necessary, it is absolutely imperative, as is the KSP (Kontrolno-Sledovaya Polosa–Control Track Strip), video-surveillance, other sensors and on most probable positions of forced crossing well aimed machine guns–all necessary, as well as other means employed in defense of the border of the sovereign state. I omit here operative measures employed both clandestinely and by other means in the border zone. That goes without saying. People who want to enter the country–there are official check points and official procedures to do so, everything else is a blatant violation of the state sovereignty–it is a crime. Period.


2019-01-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There is little doubt that NOT the best R&D and procurement ideas dominate American military-political establishment.


2019-01-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Allegedly acoustic officer in Soviet subs sat at something resembling bicycle steering handles

On old sonar complex–yes. In reality, since 1970s things were not what propaganda wanted one to see. They were digital already. You can take a look at SSK of project 641B (1979) with most of her guts and even then there was no sonar operators rotating “steering wheel” to see where the arrow will point too. All you would rotate would be handles of PKD (Podvishnye Krugi Dalnosti) to electronically fix the distance to target. I guess variety of CRTs speaks volumes.

https://youtu.be/jMDxNlABcjw

By mid 1980s color displays and other computer periphery became a norm. Take a look at, say 1970s-early 1980s consoles of AD complexes such as Shtil among others.


2019-01-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Вероятно, аналогичная диаграмма направленности была у гидролокаторов надводных кораблей середины 20 века.

In Шумo пеленг (Passive)–a main mode, with Эхо пеленг Active) being last resort combat mode–it is all about hydrophones literally listening to noises with hydrophones being spread along sub’s hull (apart from traditional nose-mounted array) and such a spread allows to process info (data, noises) which is obtained through hydrophones. Modern signal processing allows for a very good accuracy (plus there are always ways to maneuver for refining tracking data) on noise sources. Here, you may find this interesting and helpful.

http://www.personal.psu.edu…

Needless to say that active, that is Эхо пеленг mode, is a sure way to disclose sub’s location.


2019-01-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, rationale for keeping Newport News busy is valid–it is expertise, employment etc. In military sense–sure, if Senator Kaine wants to accelerate a decline of US Navy (and economy in general), who am I to stop him. Kaine is professional lawyer and politician, so I am sure he knows what he is doing (wink, wink), specially by breeding fat targets for war. But then again, what do those professionals know;-))


2019-01-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

true many americans are not in the camp of the stupid and ignorant , but
they are not holding the wheel , it is the ignorant and prodeful that
hold america’s wheel..

Majority of America is whipped into the militant frenzy by “elites”, especially media class which is bound to power and money class. But then again, once one looks at US elections–it becomes plainly clear that only about a third of eligible voters take part in this sports. Two thirds simply see no point and don’t even bother.


2019-01-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, it is a mode of “doing something” and the first thing which came to mind was some sort of Star Wars. I recall quite a few years ago, while Margaret Thatcher was still alive, she was a keynote speaker at American Enterprise Institute on the issue of Star Wars and “victory” over USSR. It was really down right bizarre seeing an audience filled with top military brass discussing technology which “defeated” USSR with this technology being nothing but cartoons and drawings. It was surreal.


2019-01-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

That is my publisher’s call, of course. I do have influence on how things are done but, as experience shows, writing on such issues as I do exhausts you profoundly and by the end you really care very little about formatting or anything else for that matter. I think it should go better this time, but truth is–now I found appreciation of writer’s labor, it is hard.



2019-01-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I do touch on topic in my first book. I am, however, not a specialists in Russian acquisition practices per se. Of course, I have some ideas but it will take additional research to come up with “juicier” write up on this issue. I’ll try at some point of time.


2019-01-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The distance of latest TLAMs (2500 kilometers) and the range of carrier aviation. In case of war (God forbid) anything closer and being ready to strike will be destroyed.


2019-01-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you. Of course I will periodically give a sneak peek, plus–a lot of material in raw, unrefined, form is already in this blog.


2019-01-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Aussie Football is mad. I never could understand the round field thing but it is brutal.


2019-01-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

One of the greatest personalities who ever represented the beautiful game.



2019-01-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You may have touched the nerve here for many Americans, but to the best of my knowledge a noble sport of Rugby (from which obviously American football originated) has a full name of Rugby Football.


2019-01-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Truth to be told but Soccer is British in its origin and it migrated to the US as such.


2019-01-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Did celebrations in Berlin follow a Russian or the Croatian goal?

Russian. It is the same goal, just one is reaction from some gigantic sports bar in St.Pete I believe, another from Berlin. FYI, there is a huge following of German football and Mannschaft in Russia, not to mention the fact that not even Bavaraia but Borussia Dortmund was followed fanatically while universally adored by Russian fans Jurgen Klopp was head coach there. He trains Liverpool now.


2019-01-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Navy guy to Navy guy… the mind-busting training, the sweaty palms, the
loooong nights, standing watches, the “snap” tests & drills, the
utter adrenalin of being involved in a hot situation… The overall
shock waves of reality that drive a sense of understanding deep into
your soul.

Poetic and true.


2019-01-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Captain 1st Rank Igor Kurdin (CO of couple of SSBNs, including one of pr. 667 BDRM, Delta-IV), while finishing (together with late Peter Hutchausen) book Hostile Waters (later HBO movie with Rutger Hauer was made too) were invited to Clancy’s home, spent some time talking, then ate steaks and drank Chivas (I know, we communicated with Igor) for Clancy written his review of this book. My question to Igor, who incidentally invited me to become a member in his St. Petersburg International Submariner’s Club despite me being dedicated SuWa guy (he argued that they had surface people) was many fold: I was unpleasantly surprised (while understanding that this was done out of pure commercial considerations) with Clancy having any say on the work of two two top notch, Russian and American, naval officers and I did ask Igor why Clancy became a member of the Club, while Norman Polmar–a man with recognized high expertise in Soviet/Russian naval matters did not. This was public discussion (we also had short private exchange on Kursk, not for open discussion here). I was pissed, honestly. Anyway, such is a power of publicity, I guess. Insurance agent judging the work of a CO of a Boomer and US Naval Attache (and Intelligence) to Moscow. Totally bizarre.


2019-01-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Just yesterday, while getting to sleep I watched (parts of) 1951 Quo Vadis movie. Boy, could Hollywood make movies then!! Peter Ustinov as insane Nero (granted, there is a lot of fiction in the movie) is simply stunning, but what a portrayal of a madness, corruption and degeneracy. And, inevitably, parallels with today’s events started to be drawn. Not per Nero per se, but per what mad delusion is capable of. Burning of Rome, to free space for new palace complex? In this sense, the US DOES remind Rome to be sacrificed at the altar of diabolical vision, from replacement of traditional America to bankrupting the country almost in a deliberate manner.


2019-01-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Obviously Mr. Axe spends too much time writing comic books to know the difference between relatively short range guided projectile and modern anti-shipping missile. As I said–it is really difficult sometimes to get those people’s credentials. They are well hidden or obfuscated.


2019-01-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Oh, there are many of them. Serious military analysis long ago turned into business on public ignorance (sadly, Russia also caught this flu, however less severe) and became domain for people with no background whatsoever–Tom Clancy’s precedent is poisonous. Those who know, usually seldom comment in the public domain. Such as Yuri Solomonov.



2019-01-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

When it comes to economy, Putin is only slightly different from
Medvedev. I watched his 4 hour press conference, when the matter of
economics is raised he shows no doubt about the correctness of
neoliberal recipes and that’s why I have doubts about Russia regaining
its sovereignty as Putin tries both be the representative of essentiall

Russia’s economic course stopped being neo-liberal long time ago. It sure as hell not pro-Soviet course, but it is not neo-liberal. Especially with the state returning back its control over most strategic resources in Russia. What Putin says and what he does sometimes are two different things, for a reason I may add.


2019-01-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Seeing these mourning mothers nearly knocked me down.

Not you alone. A satanic act of deliberately killing children. I also remembered and still remember not a note of sympathy or pain from Western media who…blamed Russia and Putin for this.


2019-01-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In terms of US so called “elites”–yes, arrogance multiplied by ignorance. In case of Bolton, moreover, probably some serious mental trauma.


2019-01-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I ask myself seriously: How many casualties would it take, till the US
would collapse inwardly, their military and US society – for wars
started on foreign soil?

In (God forbids) nuclear war–5-6 major cities. In conventional–look at 911 and what it did to a country which lost completely its collective mind and compare this, as an example, to a campaign of terror which was unleashed at Russia from Chechnya in 1994-2004. Way more (orders of magnitude) people died in those vents than in 911, Moscow alone was subjected to a series of brutal terrorist acts. Again, it is difficult to explain to a major in political “science” in government in D.C. that they have no clue what real modern war is. None of them do–it simply is beyond American historical experiences.


2019-01-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Even this ignoramus Clancy is on record with his:”When US submarine commanding officers are having nightmares–it is about Akula”.


2019-01-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This is Polmar and Noot’s table for 1990 (their book came out in 1990) with estimates. By 1990s levels of quieting of Russian vis-a-vis US subs are at least equal at most important for sub operation speeds. Yes, USSR lagged in 1950s through roughly 1985 in this while steadily closing gap. There is no gap for the last 30 years.

https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I posted this at Saker so i hope it is not against your blog’s rules to repost here:

You are more than welcome to re-post anything on subject.


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Very good write up. Good job!


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

We may only speculate here because, obviously, we don’t know actual math expectations (or probabilities) by these systems, albeit I (or you may do it) think we may find “commercial” probabilities for Barak and Aster–but those are generic and do not account for:
1. EW situation;
2. Configuration of Brahmos salvo (“pulse”, number of missiles in salvo etc.);
3. Some other factors

But generally, the formula I introduced in this post works for both sides–Brahmos carriers and Air Defense complexes and could be used for either side. Once we know at least “commercial” probability for either Barak or Aster, we may roughly calculate how many Brahmos missiles will it take to defeat them.


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Sir, I can’t think of one failed empire in history that has re-bounded

Check Russia, which rebounded as a nation-state and with proto-empire around her. I agree, it is a matter for discussion, but if the US will be able to avoid massive violence, it will go through something similar as Russia did in 1990s and will re-emerge. I am just thinking is it anyway possible to let San-Francisco and suburbs be surrounded by a wall? ;-))


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

LOL! Soundgarden was a superb band and it is crying out loud shame that such a voice as Chris is not with us anymore. But they are not really grange, they were grungy but more on the edges. I would say that they were primarily hard-rock contemporary. Nirvana had couple of good songs. As per Pearl Jam–this was goddamn Eddie who introduced the fashion on singing while having severe constipation–hated it and that for me closed all, otherwise significant, strong sides of PJ musically. The constipation singing reached its apotheoses with this Creed dude who definitely needed monstrous doses of laxative. As for me, born again Seattleite, the only local bands which truly matter and which are untouchable are my favorite girls Annie and Nancy (aka Heart) and Queensryche–that’s the rock music as God intended.


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Sure, how would I know;))


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I mean decision making on a tactical level. No freedom without higher-up command. Without it, they get confused.


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

OK, then. So let’s leave it at this.


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

We were playing volleyball in the morning in the Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky school #3 gym, the school which was a subsidiary of SRV (СРВ–Судо-Ремонтная Верфь), which also was abbreviation for SRV (СРВ–Социалистическая Республика Вьетнам), when we started getting numbers through Radio Mayak. Things changed since then, yet Vostok-2018 was a revelation for Russians.


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know where I was, what I was doing when the first info on burned tanks started to pour in. Having said this, things changed and Chinese definitely improved tremendously. Not to mention them growing economically by leaps and bounds.


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You know what is funny–how about you check out which engines Russian-Chinese CR929 will be equipped with? P&W, PD-35, can you find me any Chinese-made engines? While we at it, how about you compare development of MC-21 and COMAC 919 and while at it check out how PD-14 already got certificate of type from EASA. Can you point out to any Chinese engine there? Per subs quieting, I would say I am not at liberty to disclose people who know this first hand.


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Pretty much anything Chinese state about their jet-engines and quieting of their nuclear subs.


2019-01-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I, honestly, don’t know.


2019-01-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Some certainly do. James Holmes, however, always came across as a robust professional. But, far from sounding condescending, I do have a degree of a professional corporatism with US naval professionals and I can understand how difficult it is to face so dramatically changing reality. I know, I’ve been there. But as Saker (quoting Dmitri Orlov, I believe) stated–correctly–America will rebound, too many talented and industrious people still, and so will US Navy which will have to eventually reinvent itself, granted based on realistically formulated strategic tasks. After all, too great of a history and a tradition. What will emerge? Who knows, but once the US gets into the hyper-sonic competition (and it will) outlooks will change dramatically. But yes, these are hard and bitter lessons.


2019-01-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What is remarkable, this whole development was in the open for years (not actual engineering, of course), not that it came out of nowhere–P-700 was a huge hint where it all was progressing, including development of the AI in salvo, this was 1980.


2019-01-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Most honeycomb core used in aerospace is aramid-based (phenolic soaked) and is not something out of this world.


2019-01-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Or is it that all these extremely fast missiles use thrust vectoring to maneuver?

For hyper-sonics–most likely. As for high supersonic–they do have control planes.


2019-01-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Carriers are magnificent ships.


2019-01-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Excellent comment–nothing less is expected from people and professionals of your quality. I also can totally grasp both pain and attachment to an institution. Damn, I lost the whole country. It is struggle, always, especially when dealing with something so objectively (and deadly) magnificent as CVN and its air-wing. I totally can understand that and even relate on some level.


2019-01-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Winston Smith moment “2+2=4, everything else follows”. Orwellian reality, sadly.


2019-01-06 on sic-semper-tyrannis

NSR will become full-year operational once Russia completes transformation of her nuclear Ice-breaker fleet, especially with Lider-class mammoth vessels.

https://thebarentsobserver….

Per US closing the NSR–it is not that easy with Russia’s Northern Fleet being rigged, especially its submarine forces, for precisely ASW missions. US surface fleet, in view of latest developments of weapon systems, will become simply a sitting duck.


2019-01-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I firmly believe that this Chinese one road one belt project is

detrimental for the whole world and is only good for China long term.

Obviously, it is primarily about China and access to still gigantic consumer market of Europe. I wrote about it before.

The Philippines or Indonesia cannot compare to the advanced economies of Germany or France. Europe, not just the EU, is a different game. With her almost 750 million population and a GDP larger than that of China or the US, Europe is the only truly wealthy market left in the world. China desperately needs access to this market both through the land bridge and SLOCs and it is here where the geopolitical dance of the century becomes extremely intricate. Several
important facts must be considered before drawing any conclusions on the mid to long-term developments:

http://www.unz.com/article/…

It is ALL about Europe and the game is much-much larger than merely commercial considerations, however important they are.



2019-01-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I agree, Chinese economic statistics is grossly unreliable, and there is even the case (which was made) that actual size of China’s population is much-much smaller than usually declared–definitely under 1 billion. Agricultural analysis testifies to it. But still, in some key manufacturing sectors China simply kills it.


2019-01-06 on sic-semper-tyrannis

They do technology transfers though.

Not in submarine development–absolute no-no. The only known case of leasing out nuclear subs is Soviet/Russian-Indian cooperation since 1980s when USSR first in history leased pro. 670 SSGN to Indian Navy. Indian officers of that sub were trained, primarily in tactics and navigational complex in my naval academy.


2019-01-06 on sic-semper-tyrannis

It is today the matter of what Russia wants to sell China. Chinese definitely reverse-engineered SSKs of pr.877 Warshavyanka and took it, at least that is what they say, from this point to greatly improve it. But Russia is not selling or leasing even pr. 971 (Akula-class) to China, anything newer–altogether out of the question. Even 3rd generation Akulas are extremely advanced subs which are on par with LA-class subs in terms of quieting and sensors and the only country to which Russia leases these is India. Letting Chinese operate Akula is like letting a fox into the chicken coop. So, for now, it is out of the question. Maybe when 5th generation of alleged Husky-class subs hit the waves something could be discussed with Chinese but this is purely my speculation. Speaking in more general terms, however, Russia is quiet content with the fact that China lags significantly behind in submarine development and there is a geopolitical and cultural twist to this too both on Russian and US side. The club is too exclusive.


2019-01-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You know, I also started wondering what is a real size of China economy.

It is colossal. Consider the fact that China produces 9 times (9!!!!) more steel than US.

https://www.steel-technolog…

Then comes energy, China also surpasses US by large margin. I am not even talking about China’s shipbuilding industry which is a behemoth–no.1 in the world. The US is not even near.

https://www.steel-technolog…

So, whatever we may say–the capacity, even if inflated (most likely) is there. As per real growth and bubbles? Absolutely, Chinese economy suffers from the same ills as American one, including a massive dissipation of the economic growth through fake sector of FIRE.


2019-01-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I went further with these guys’ channel and found this.

https://youtu.be/6Y6MeAOGxt8

I was immediately struck with their attitude and generalizations (granted China is not America and she cannot be), but:
1. Do they even have a grasp of the REAL size of Chinese economy?
2. They, despite their alleged knowledge of China, spew such a nonsense that OBOR is for the sake of China’s projection, while in reality it is for the sake of moving a gigantic goods surplus produced by China into the markets specifically in Europe (Africa comes later). In other words, they put the cart before the horse.

I sense a lot of butt-hurt on their part. Of course there is a corruption in China but at least Chinese execute them. In general, it is impossible to deny a colossal economic expansion in China and that seems to bother these guys, especially the fact that China is a global player.


2019-01-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

funnily india also have to make a choice , after all it is so obvious that US only using india as a doorstop toward china

True, plus Russia also wouldn’t mind India as a close ally. Just in case;-)


2019-01-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Kinda makes sense–to demonstrate that this is not a bluff.


2019-01-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Very interesting video, the bit about education was surprising since I though that at least in large urban centers in China school education should be pretty good. I know it is uneven but my impression was that people (foreigners) with financial wherewithal wouldn’t mind the best Chinese schools can offer.


2019-01-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree, China is a complex ally.


2019-01-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia is NOT going to help–this is 100%.


2019-01-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The homogenization of world culture.

Mostly Western pop-culture. Late USSR and Russia today were and are very Western in their outlook, which is only natural. Albeit, I would dare to state that Russian rock lyrics is stronger.


2019-01-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Then You better learn about this Novosibirsk trio of girls and what they do;-)

https://youtu.be/qvrS6z4tUtI

https://youtu.be/LajCFMlYABo


2019-01-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ahhh, this one (aka Shit-magnet), I don’t even remember where I got this from–I loved this zits-ridden geek.


2019-01-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

My wife–the same. It becomes a torturous process to get something one can relate to and…remember.


2019-01-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But you at least have attained everlasting glory through your writing.

Tom, for that I’ll have to become Pushkin or Tolstoy–an impossible task. I am just trying to do my best…sometimes;-)


2019-01-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

My publisher asked me for my mug (urgently, of course), I told them that my prison mugs have been lost, so I asked my son to make a photo at our dining room. LOL.


2019-01-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia could maybe invite Pentagon generals to tests of its new weapons so they can take back the message to Washington…

I am 100% positive that many tests were conducted in a deliberate manner for demonstration purposes–literally for American satellite sensors, from optical to radar.


2019-01-04 on sic-semper-tyrannis

And China just keeps racing ahead.

Let’s not rush to the conclusions–things are a lot more complicated that they look. US deep space exploration program (un-piloted) is simply in the league of its own. Chinese piloted taikonautics is nowhere near in terms of time in space, space stations and some crucial systems (such as life-support ones) Russia or the US, for that matter. Yes, Chinese progress is impressive but it has to be considered against some damn high benchmarks and Chinese are still not there quite yet. Space exploration is difficult and requires measured steps. China, certainly, made one with this excellent mission to the Moon.



2019-01-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

He doesn’t have answers, none of them do. BTW, although in Russian, it still gives a good idea of dependency (functionality) of the Power of the warhead on accuracy of delivery. In general it varies proportionally as the cube of RMS error. In general, if one has accuracy of 10 meters against well-protected target, 10 meters it is here where one reaches a threshold of transition from nukes to conventional means of destruction of several tons of TNT. With accuracy of 50 meters one can do the job with 1.5 kilotons. But I am sure Mr. Rogan knows this.

https://uploads.disquscdn.c…

I am also positive that he studied what MDR is and why US Navy was worried in 1997 about the level (very low) of noise of Russian subs. But then again, what those real professionals really know. https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2019-01-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

That’s their only defense–because this type of “experts” are clueless on the subject they write about and are good only in regurgitating beaten to death propaganda cliches, they will avoid any substantive discussion under different pretexts.


2018-12-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

For speed (around 4 hrs), there is always Sapsan. But one has to beat Chinese to the bar if one wants to have a scotch:))) Sapsan is…. fabulous.


2018-12-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you for your kind words. Per Moscow and St.Pete–prepare to be overwhelmed in mostly positive sense. There are so many places to visit in these two–it is simply impossible to list them all, if you mean going somewhere for one day NOT in these two, if I get you correctly, there are places such as Peterhoff you might like to visit Tsarskoe Selo.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wi…

Try cuisine in some dives both in Moscow and St.Pete. If out of Moscow–Sergiev-Posad.

but I have had a few drinks whiile typing this and it seems like a good way to bridge the divide between west and east 🙂

I know the feeling:)))


2018-12-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, no sci-fi for me. Human affairs, more like it.


2018-12-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Maxim Klimov is mentally unstable man who wasn’t allowed to even stand as duty officer on a sub, I heard. If South Front wants to lose its reputation–it is entirely up to them. They should also refer to Mr. Barabanov, Falgenhauer, Goltz and others–wouldn’t make any difference in terms of quality of “material”. I don’t read Klimov’s (aka Mina) delirium and prefer not to waste my time commenting on his BS.


2018-12-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

“Their subs are loud” repeated ad nauseam seems to be the same brand of self-medication

It is exactly what it is. Here is another butt-hurt “expert” (this one got injured on IED) who is more into comic books on war than actual modern war expertise.

https://nationalinterest.or…


2018-12-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Since an antideluvian B-52 can do this as well as a Tu-160, the question boils down to how good the missiles are

You nailed it.


2018-12-25 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Merry Christmas, everyone. Stay healthy.


2018-12-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Plans within plans within plans;-)


2018-12-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But it is better with payload;-))) Can you imagine a Kaboom!


2018-12-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The greatest weakness of US defense systems, in general, is the lack of
historical understanding, and lack of imagination of people who set
policy.

Zumwalt was certainly a man with imagination. IMHO.


2018-12-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I’d like to know more about the design bureaus… They’re independent
from the construction houses, as I understand it. But they must
communicate, back & forth. And where does final “technical
authority” reside? In the Russ equivalent of NAVSEA or NAVAIR? Or at MoD
level?

Yes, Design Bureaus are separate entities, sometimes competing entities, but it is Navy, or generally MOD, which decides what it needs and then “talks” to DBs (“orders” a project) and, once project is approved, to OSK (United Shipbuilding Corp.) and arrangements are made. Something to this effect. In the end, it is also Navy which formulates requirements. It is a rather mysterious process, LOL! Considering Russ Navy’s constant “floating” set of requirements (enough to take a look at the epic with 20380, then 20386, which no one really wants) it is not clear to me how it all works nowadays.


2018-12-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Continuation by Frank’s son and this Anderson dude of Star Wars fame) is abomination and should not be even associated with the book.


2018-12-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, it is not about parallels with Arrakis, it is about (from the top of my head, by memory) Dr. Kynes who, observing Duke Leto, notes to himself that such a man commands fierce loyalty from his subjects.


2018-12-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, it is about Duke Leto. There is a direct quote about it.


2018-12-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Is this something that sounds good on paper but the flexibility will end up not being used much?

You nailed it. Most likely, in case of 22160, it will be just additional strike platform plus other tasks as I mentioned above (pirates, escorts etc.). ASW, of course, is a huge issue.


2018-12-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is much simpler and less dramatic (as WHAT correctly stated), it is all about shifting balance. Mobilization in Russia started much earlier than 2015. A hint, 2008 was a good year.


2018-12-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

4 from a sub in one go is not enough for me anymore.

Wasn’t it five? There should be video of this in this blog, somewhere:)


2018-12-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

And I deal with people who work. Equipment operators. Machinists.
Metallurgists. Strong backgrounds in science. Engineers. Many mil &
former mil. And almost none of them have any grudge against Russ. ( A
few… poorly informed.). Almost all want to “get along” w Russ.
Crimea?? “Russian.” Kerch? “Russian”. Baltics?? “We wish them well..
They need to get along w Russ”. Ukraine? “Crazy people, picking fights w
Russ.”

Exactly the same experience here and I work with both working class and engineering class all day long, this is not to mention that very many of us are military veterans, including former officers. In fact, former XO of one of major naval air base (wink, wink) once he heard that there was some former Soviet naval officer looking for a better job hired me within an hour–I kid you not.

on the test ranges; not for real, God Forbid!!

Amen!


2018-12-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, looks like it is good to go.


2018-12-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

They are deemed “inferior” by some segments of Russian navalists, but it is a good utility ship–a lot depends on what kind of combat packages (other than Kalibrs) it will be able to carry.


2018-12-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

As events with Norwegian frigate demonstrated–sometimes even redundancy doesn’t help.


2018-12-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

1. I think it is a normal reaction of an institution which recognizes its weakness–to do something, or perform some kind of activity both in practical and self-medicating senses;
2. I do not believe those timelines and consider them unrealistic, after all hyper-sonic weapons are more than just advanced materials, in which the US has a great deal of expertise–the trick is guidance, I mean active heads and updates, that is a trick of an enormous complexity to perform on a plasma-insulated weapon I do not, however, doubt that the US will have true hyper-sonic weapons at some point, but that does not obscure one very simple operational fact, see below:
3. It is one thing when you can shoot at someone, but what happens when someone shoots back at you with velocities of M=10+? US simply doesn’t and will not have weapons capable of any (forget reliable) intercepts of something like Kinzhal. A salvo of those? What about in stormy, foggy weather? lasers? It is not even serious for another at least a decade or two.

4. What happens then with US Navy’s carrier-centiricty? There is NO modern US Navy without it. And that is where we all have to ask question–who is going to change institution? But even what you provided link for is a tacit (well, semi-open) admission of a failure of the doctrine of carrier-centric navy in the peer-to-peer competition. I stated on long ago–it is a doctrinal Pearl Harbor meets Stalingrad in one bottle. I am not going to even count costs of catching up.

That is my response to you off the calf, I am actually eating right now;)


2018-12-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep. This whole family is responsible for many things against many people, including what they should consider their own, but they don’t.


2018-12-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Excellent comment and welcome to the world of Newspeak and Ingcap (or Ingsoc) if you know what I mean;-)



2018-12-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Who defines what is blizhneye zarubezhye?

It has been defined on a number of occasions, including by such people as Andrei Kokoshin and it has nothing, zero, in relation to former Warsaw Pact. This term applies to former Soviet Republics exclusively. Hungary, Poland etc. are not even considered. But there is much greater argument against Russia being interested in anything to the East of Kiev–because Russian economy is not what is generally assumed in the combined West, nor is real military balance. Russians do not know how to fight off say Middle Asian “stans” who suddenly want Russia’s hand outs, plus, if one wants to see Russian modern attitudes–one have to see Putin and Bulgarian PM’s press-conference in Moscow earlier this year, when Putin cringed when Bulgaria had an audacity to count them as “friends”. Russians, overwhelming majority of them had enough of this “friends”. Nothing personal–just business.

But the last time we had a positive image of russian
armed forces is WWI, Eastern Front when russian generals and officers
still behaved like gentlemen.

I don’t know if you are aware of that, but at the Stalingrad and Voronezh fronts in 1942-43 an unwritten rule was “Do not take Hungarians POWs”–atrocities committed against civilians in Voronezh, as an example by Hungarian military, sometimes would make SS officers cringe. So, it is not that simple and black and white.


2018-12-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

had the honor of meeting the man I believe.

He was a superintendent of my naval academy–early in 1980 he was still a rear-admiral, by the end of 1980 he was promoted to the rank of vice-admiral. I studied 5 years under his command.


2018-12-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Who can forget Puhdys;))


2018-12-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, I do respect military opinions when they are exchanged quietly or in an appropriate setting. This statement is nothing more than PR action which fits perfectly into the latest PR spin by all D.C. top brass including Mattis directly insulting Putin or Pompeo issuing ultimatums to Russia. Even good professionals have to toe the party line.



2018-12-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

However this is not literature blog, so let it slide.

Actually it is. You know why? Because it is my blog. It is, btw, is also very blues-influenced blog. You better start educating yourself on those issues, especially if you start reading, say, introduction to Vom Kriege by Anatol Rappoport which is centered around Clausewitz and Tolstoy. This is not to mention the fact that General Dragomirov thought that W&P must be in the Strategy course in the Imperial Academy of the General Staff. But sure, what do they really know. As I said–you obviously didn’t read W&P. In fact, you fit extremely well in Tosltoy’s description of Phul (Pfuel) and if you think that Prince Andrei’s monologue on the even of Borodino or post-battle assessment in Bagration’s HQs after Shoengrabben or hundreds of other occasions describing in detail operational and strategic thinking of protagonists, are not about the war, pardon me, you definitely never read the book.


2018-12-03 on sic-semper-tyrannis

are Margin Call

Have to admit–an outstanding flick due to acting and script. For a movie shot mostly in one-two rooms (building) it was a nail biter for primarily moral considerations. Once in a while Hollywood delivers. This was one of those movies.


2018-12-03 on sic-semper-tyrannis

The man was a bona fide WWII combat veteran and because of that was viewed in Russia with a great deal of sympathy. Even yesterday many Russian ant-Western sites, while describing his failures, gave due to his service and concentrated on positives.


2018-11-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But it is capitalistic logic at work . It is far easier and more
profitable to mine strip assets. Less risk. More margin. The whole FIRE
economy is about that

It is not true, in famous documentary Pretty Woman Richard Gere in the end decided to build ships after his hired prostitute turned out to be deeply moral and wonderful woman and influenced him to take a higher road:))))


2018-11-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ziad, you are trying to reason with a troll. I already banned him anyway.


2018-11-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Just got home and got to good ol’ Soviet course on Theory of Operations by Elena Ventzel. Some topics immediately came back:

1. Problems of Theory of Mass Service (Network);
2. Stream of Calls (Requests)
3. One and Multi-channel Systems With Rejections
4. Target distribution

etc.

I am not talking about purely utilitarian things such as Reconnaissance, Assessments of Effectiveness of ISR, of attacks (fire) etc. So, yes, this was pretty much the thing. Granted, that many things such as modelling by linear programming was already included in Higher Math, plus, of course, separate course within it on Statistics and Probabilities.


2018-11-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Here is a transcript (in Russian) for “exit” courses per 1985 from diplomas of the Specialist (rough equivalent of M.S.–6 academic years do not forget we studied on Saturdays, thesis). Google should be able to handle this.

1. История Коммунистической партии Советского Союза

2. Марксистко-ленинская философия

3. Политическая экономия

4. Научный коммунизм

5. Партийно-политическая работа

6. Основы военной психологии

7. Высшая математика

8. Физика

9. Механика

10. Начертательная геометрия и черчение

11. Иностранный язык

12. Корабельный устав ВМФ и методика боевой подготовки

13. Навигация

14. Курсовая работа (проект) по навигации

15. Кораблевождение при ведении боевых действий

16. Курсовая работа (проект) по кораблевождению при ведении боевых действий

17. Морская астронавигация

18. Навигационная метеорология и океанография

19. Навигационные приборы и системы; физические поля корабля и Мирового океана, основы автоматики

20. Навигационные комплексы

21. Курсовая проект по навигационным комплексам

22. Радиотехнические и астронавигационные средства коррекции

23. Основы радиоэлектроники

24. Курсовая работа по основам радиоэлектроники

25. Тактика ВМФ

26. Военная история

27. Военно-морская география и Международное морское право

28. Морская практика

29. Основы советского законодательства, организация и экономика корабельного
хозяйства, Обще-воинские уставы и строевая подготовка

30. Основы ЭВТ, БИУС и их боевое применение

31. Теория, устройство и живучесть корабля

32. Электрооборудование корабля и систем вооружения

33. Тактика морской пехоты, топография и огневая подготовка

34. Основы электротехники

35. Физическая подготовка

36. ОМП, защита кораблей и объектов ВМФ

37. Боевые средства флота и их боевое применение

38. Математическая обработка и анализ навигационной информации

39. Эксплуатация технических средств кораблевождения

40. Курсовая работа (проект) по эксплуатации технических средств
кораблевождения

41. Гироскопические и инерциальные навигационные системы

42. Радиоэлектронные средства и их боевое применение

Практика и стажировка:

1. Общеморская практика

2. Штурманская практика на учебном корабле

3. Практика по специальности на боевых кораблях

4. Стажировка


2018-11-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you, guys, all, for your kind words. I am trying my best.


2018-11-27 on sic-semper-tyrannis

For PR or for real?

Both. PR, poking Russia and, obviously, trying to get any combat (correlates) experiences. A lot of it is domestically driven.


2018-11-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I wouldn’t be surprised the Ukrainians have something else retarded in mind.

Chemical weapons, another passenger plane, terrorist acts–wide variety.


2018-11-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, it will be a rump around Kiev. But the issue is not just territories–it is who lives there and that is the huge issue.


2018-11-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, I forgot this. Ukrainian scientists already proved it beyond any shadow of a doubt. Now without jokes and factoring Donbas out (it is not the subject for jokes), but I do sometimes get a tremendous pleasure from observing EU’s morons facing the music of their own making (with US playing a huge role too) with Ukraine. EU, US and Ukraine totally deserve each-other.


2018-11-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You missed, evidently, main discoveries of Ukrainian archeology and anthropology that Ukrainians predated Sumerians and, in fact, are the founders of Sumerian civilization. Of course, some go as far as stating that Ukrainian language is from Venus. And who can forget famous Ukrainians such as Alexander Suvorov and Jesus Christ:)))) It is, without jokes, is mentally unstable nation.

https://youtu.be/D_jT-1f4ygg


2018-11-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

On the other hand I felt particularly ashamed from the ambassadors of the various EU countries.

EU “elites” are total degenerates, some, like France and UK, with phantom pains of lost greatness. They are badly educated (not in terms of “degrees”–those they have aplenty) and are basically pawns who pretend to be queens.


2018-11-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ukraine as a political nation did happen, that is formed, but as a state–well, what do you expect from raguli and utterly corrupt “elite”. Ishenko was prophetic when stated that it is going to be either fascist dictatorship (however grotesque) or Gulyai Pole. West will make sure that it will exist in some form for a while, until West itself disintegrates (or weakens) and trickle of cash stops. Then–collapse of the Ukrainian state and a violent breakup. Obviously the most desirable thing for the US is a war with Russia (with expected outcome) and then corralling EU wussies into American energy projects under the slogans of Russian Mordor killing democratic Ukies and that is the plan.



2018-11-26 on sic-semper-tyrannis

painting the Ukrainians as full on crazies.

Actually, there is a case to be made (obviously without any conspiracy theories) of mind-boggling stupidity of contemporary Ukraine’s “elites”. This is even apart from sheer military incompetence.


2018-11-26 on sic-semper-tyrannis

about the prospects for Ukraine electing a government willing to negotiate with Russia

Probability of that is approaching zero. US will not allow this anyway even if to imagine that such prospects do exist. In fact, this latest provocation could be, as one of the commenters at Unz short time ago astutely observed, an attempt by Trump to avoid meeting with Putin at G-20. Realistically speaking, at this stage there is really nothing to talk about between the US and Russia.


2018-11-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Primarily:

1. To save Poroshenko’s regime by martial law and postponing elections.
2. To continue to do US bidding by using Ukraine as a ram against Russia and her energy projects. Europe must be smashed and put under total control.


2018-11-26 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I don’t know about that. The whole thing was about martial law–Poroshenko barely clings to power–and he got it now. Any provocation in Azov Sea will be met fully within appropriate protocols (namely Law on the State Border) and ROE of other forces, so militarily speaking there was nothing extraordinary. I really doubt this version with SADM–comes across as a complete baloney.


2018-11-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Do you know anything about this claim?

Yes, it is 100% BS.


2018-11-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

He produced it. The Director of Italians was Eldar Ryazanov.


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is essentially Russian-Ukrainian Lake. But Kiev needs more. Well, Russian maritime law attorneys (and, ahem, cruise missiles) are better than Ukrainian maritime law attorneys;)



2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It was called like “Powerpoint thinking”, that upward the chain of
command the unconventional facts are more and more blurred and
optimistic slogans more and more take their place. Step by step.

Arctic Fox can confirm that PPP in the US Navy became an almost profanity among professionals. Here is my favorite “planning” method;-) https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The good-for-nothing “policy” civilians, who look at themselves as a
priesthood, and who think their priesthood represents civilian control
of the military, are being edged out. Apparently, it is not necessary to
fire them. Just cut them out of the loop, demoralize them, defrock
them.

Exactly, excellent point.


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

We just adopted a major increase in retirement age with barely any public discussion and very few protests.

Hm, you do sound like Russian “liberal”. Or a troll. The reason being that while you may be “in Russia” you obviously do not understand what last Presidential elections were about in Russia.

And if you’re triggered by this comment

I am not triggered by anything and my skin is plenty thick, I am just trying to get your “angle” and figure out what script (sheet music) are you singing from. Again, so far you are spewing same talking points (and pseudo-reasoning fodder) which I see everyday in Russia and, unsurprisingly, in the US. In the end, you ended up in my blog which has a very specific flavor, yet you are not aware of Novaya Gazeta, NG +NVO, Echo Matsy etc. This is strange isn’t it? And if you don’t know who Igor Korotchenko or Viktor Brantes are–you sure as hell do not come across as Russian who would be spending time at the blog which is dedicated precisely to the issues those very high profile people in Russia are known for. You also continue to avoid answering (n-th time now) my question–are you a Pole?


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Most people in Russia do not care about politics

Again, when was the last time you were in Russia?


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

That should be absolutely normal. Finns, some of them, however were irritated by the fact that Russians were buying too much real estate in border towns. That was done by well-off Russians out of purely practical considerations of skiing and weekend shopping other than in Piter. Albeit, I have no idea what difference Finnish or Russian shopping has–all the same stores in all the same shopping malls. We went to Galereya in St. Pete (among other malls) in desperate attempt of finding Russian shoe stores–we found one at the third floor, thankfully. Other than that–same food courts with Sbarro and Starbucks mixed with some Russian outlets, same H & Ms, Victoria Secrets and whatever else. No Sears, though. :)))


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Per 20386–evidently there is still a confusion re: nomenclature of strike weapons and lack of Poliment while having Redut is a strange way to do things. So, yes, this is a controversial ship.


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Why do you think that everything I say is some kind of dig aimed at you

At me? be my guest–take those digs at me. I am surprised that you are so “Russian” that you never heard of a plethora of “Russian” liberal media who do promote people like Golts. In the end, every normal Russian knows and deplores Echo of Moscow, as one example out of many. This is precisely the strata of people who pass in the West as “experts”, which none of them is. But as Russian you should know this. So, I repeat my question–are you a Pole? You are obviously not Russian.


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

BTW, BMPD is stuffed with people such as Golts. The only thing they are good for is as news (and sometimes rumors) aggregator. Their “views” are amateurish which is expected from people who “populate” CAST. None of them have serious professional military background and are “humanities” educated people. They, obviously, are not open Russo-phobes, but people like Barabanov (whose degree is in either theater or movie criticism) are visceral anti-Soviet revisionists.


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

for warfighting is entirely focused towards US forces operating in the same-old-same-old “permissive” environment that US has enjoyed for many decades. All this as the world has dramatically changed in a matter of a few years… and we await our Starship Troopers moment, landing large forces on the Bug Planet and getting smashed, per your amusing video the other day.

I myself always surprised that the understanding (as your post also suggests) among many US military of this whole issue of “permissive scenarios” does exist, but the higher up one goes the Command and Control ladder less important this crucial knowledge becomes. In the end, Roger Thompson wrote his excellent treatise, published by US Naval Institute Press no less, in 2007 precisely about that:

https://www.usni.org/store/…

Yet, the institutional rot continues. When Russians started to get it, they really got scared–it is, sorry for analogy, a monkey with a grenade, who thinks that it is an 800-pound gorilla but it is not. March 1st speech was about it.


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

That’s for sure or he is often called Armageddonych.


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

And buses. In soviet times those were buses literally covered inside completely by plastic–to ease washing away vomit. LOL! I remember in 1984 in Leningrad (we just returned from round the Europe cruise) stumbling on bodies of drunk Finns all over the place. A weekend in Leningrad, LOL!


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am not a specialist in Shipbuilding–my knowledge of that is rather limited. But I may at some point of time consider giving a review, but not now, like in the nearest future. It would be worth, obviously, reviewing shipbuilding for Russian Navy. Project 22350, BTW, fixed issues with Poliment-Redut and it is fully operational now, the issue for these ships are, currently, gears for “transmission” (reductors) but the program seems to be finally on its way and if they will limit (hopefully) pr. 20286 to one hull, Russian Navy has a very good chance to have 22350 and 22350M be on their way, which will be huge for surface fleet.


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Real journalism today is a very rare commodity–people with integrity, and who report for the sake of the truth, not agenda–very few of them around anymore.


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What this guy describes is a classic Fire Raid (Ognevoy Nalyot) adjusted for benefits of Netcentricity with heterogeneous sensors–from UAV, ground observers, staellites etc. capable to provide real time targeting (azimuth, range or geographic coordinates) which allow for instant development of firing solution. Russia DID provide LDNR with this capacity–it is not a secret, but it is merely evolution of the old “artillery” tactics adjusted for modern sensors and comms. This is not what I was writing about–I was writing about tactics of units and formations of Russian Army which there were none in LDNR. Volunteers? yes. Formations? No. His thesis also suffers from a repetition of a US propaganda about Russian mythical Wagner and allegedly Russian mercenaries (of which around 20 were killed) “supporting” something-something. As per development of artillery and rocket means–IIRC it was around Shali (I could be wrong, could have been Bamut) that Russian Army by a single Tochka wiped out concentration of Chechen and Arab jihadists. So, yes, the piece is obviously more “professional”, yet suffers from same “talking points”.


2018-11-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

LOL. Evidently you never heard of such people as Khodaryonok, Murahovsky (chief editor of a serious publication Arsenal Otechestva), or Igor Korotchenko with his Natsional’naya Oborona.

http://oborona.ru/

All former or acting officers, leaders of military-industrial complex and you, yet again (a first sign of a troll), missed the point completely–Russian military analysis is orders of magnitude better than the same in the West but US in particular prefers to work with losers and amateurs. Nice try.


2018-11-21 on sic-semper-tyrannis

In good ol’ Soviet times high level Party nomenclature who screwed up was usually given the assignment of ambassador to one or another African country. At this stage I am not sure Estonia realistically better than Africa. Tallinn is a cute city, though.


2018-11-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

LOL! Oh come on–what about Yasha Kedmi. Zhenya Satanovsky, while not military, sure as hell comes across as “our person”. His forecast to low life Nekrasov to be shot first soon was really good–I found new respect for him;-)


2018-11-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I can not pass judgement on all this because I am not a specialist in the issue–I can judge only on humanitarian grounds and no doubt, the way Palestinians are treated in Gaza is unacceptable. What is the solution? I don’t know.


2018-11-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Haaretz could be sometimes surprising. Sometimes. But there is very little doubt that Israel miscalculated.


2018-11-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

i am curious why you never comment on moa?

I do once in a while. I used to comment more but I am currently “rotating” some ideas in this blog and am writing the book, so naturally I spend less time on other web-sites. Per Helmer, as I already stated–I don’t read him.


2018-11-20 on sic-semper-tyrannis

There is a reason I admire Melania (after my wife, obviously) so much;-)


2018-11-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No problem. Obviously EU imbeciles will continue to scream “bloody murder” about Azov Sea but they are really butt-hurt seeing as their project of “Democratic” Ukraine sinks fast.


2018-11-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ridiculous article written by amateurs. Here is how it is going to go in Azov Sea: couple of SU-30SM with 4-6 X-31, 20 minutes and that will be it–no more Ukrainian “fleet” there. On the other hand, could be a good SINKEX for Buyan-class ships.In fact Russia already demonstrated last year (in the Black Sea) the fate of Ukrainian “fleet”

https://youtu.be/kc5VMnK_GDk


2018-11-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, he also was the one who stated that Russia has different “anatomy” and Western economism is inapplicable to her.


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Sometimes i wish that Sovjet grabbed Norway in 1945 tbh

Nah, Russians would love to have Norway as a good neighbor, that is for sure, but Norway has her own very distinct identity and path. But Russians wouldn’t mind visiting Norway. Sad, but understandable as this BBC report shows:

https://youtu.be/S_LZJRh2pr0


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Jeffrey Sachs, btw, articulates similar position very well:

https://youtu.be/kZU0IXO7AQw

While he comes across somewhat naive about the situation in Scandinavia, his general assessment is very much correct. It is inevitable in the system whose horizon of planning is limited by the election cycle and by, incidentally, rigid elite consensus (such as foreign policy consensus) which is resistant to evolution–one gets what we are getting. That, plus dramatically declining (in fact precipitous) quality of “elites”.


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, that is what printed in Russian.


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I like the start of the lecture on History as a science. ;)) Those who read me for the last 5 years will agree that my and Grover Furr’s views on that are remarkably close.


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Melania–Denial, Trump–Bargaining, Merkel–Anger, Macron–Depression. Putin’s bold top sums it up as coming Acceptance;-)


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Don’t perceive my question about a Pole as insult. I didn’t mean that at all–I really meant to ask you if you are a Pole. The only reason I ask because you do come across as contrarian for the sake of being contrarian–the feature which I observed about very many Poles on all kinds of public forums. If I came across as offensive, I apologize–no malice was intended.


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, I didn’t ask with insult in mind at all, I really want to know if he is a Pole.


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

because when Putin singed Minsk agreements (twice), he didn’t envision that Donbass would be transformed into Gaza strip!

What!? Donbass is a Gaza Strip!? Are you for real? Donbass cannot be equated nor will it become a Gaza Strip even in wildest imaginations. No person with even rudimentary understanding of geopolitics and military would ever use Dombass and Gaza in the same sentence-yet, her we are. Are you a Pole?


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

a certain serenity

A very good way to describe her.


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

True, but these medical personnel are, indeed, true heroes–they put their lives on line under horrible conditions to save their patients, most of them old people.


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Do not forget, Warsaw has a square named after Dudayev.


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No. They are denial, BARGAINING, ANGER, and depression, in this order

Irrelevant since this is not the issue. Meanwhile the actual order is given in the link to the model I provided.


2018-11-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The article is a typical Bloomberg BS.

And what happens if further sanctions come, as the US is threatening?

Nothing, Russia will continue to develop.

They do appear to be working on Iran, which is entering a recession.

Pardon me, but Iran is an economic midget compared to Russia–it seems that inability to deal with scales is a huge problem in the West.


2018-11-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Not gonna happen. Maybe some PR trick but that is the extent of it.


2018-11-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Why didn’t Russia decouple itself from Chechnya,

You are not well-informed about Khasavyurt treason by late General Lebed and the fact that Chechnya for three whole years had a de facto independence, that is until it turned into Wahhabi terrorist shithole, financed by a whole plethora of Arab and Western intelligence services and invaded Russia’s Dagestan in 1999. Read this attentively–Chechnya in 1999 committed territorial aggression against Russia.


2018-11-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Isn’t he journalist

More like professional BSer.


2018-11-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Avigdor Eskin, Israeli nationalist, uber-right, and lobbyist. Former Soviet dissident. Background–musical college (piano). Served in IDF for a year or so, as enlisted, most likely. Specialist in Torah and Kabbala. Neocon’s neocon. Known for conspiring constantly to use pigs’ heads against Muslim holy places. Pretty much speaks volumes–a nobody who has no clue. That is why he was kicked out from all Russian TV talk-shows for being pathos-ridden hot air balloon (and buffoon, I may add). .Why Sputnik published his BS is beyond me–maybe to enliven their discussion boards? I don’t know.


2018-11-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

With Kinzhal being procured in numbers as of now, obviously, interdiction of Atlantic SLOCs, crucial for resupplying of NATO (US) on European theater, plus construction of new TU-22 and TU-160 also capable of carrying both Kinzhal and X-32, becomes a much more plausible task. So, inevitably the issue of pre-deployment and pre-positioning of forces becomes crucial but such actions are easily detected and traceable. In general, there are ways to act within what in Russia is called Threatening (Ugrozhayemyi) Period. I don’t think that Russia will allow to preposition any large force. What is large? Well, I don’t think that three-four US divisions will make a crucial strategic difference. You can take a look at some of the capabilities here:

https://www.msc.navy.mil/in…


2018-11-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There is nothing wrong with “gaming out a conventional war”.

Absolutely. What matters, however, is a real assessment of adversary. This is not American forte in a fairly long time (25 + years). While US went in grossly overestimating Soviet capabilities and intentions during the Cold War, it went to the other extreme after it. to the point of being ignorant.


2018-11-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I just want to say, however, that while everybody were talking about Denise Richards who allegedly was “hot”, Dina Meyer, as Diz, who is still an astonishingly beautiful woman and much better actress than Richards ever was, stole the show for me–to be able to be both tough and feminine.


2018-11-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The whole segment of it on Elmo Zumwalt is practically word in word from my book and articles in the same USNI blog. Like here:

https://blog.usni.org/posts…

Technological paradigm changed, it is a missile paradigm and because of that strategies and operational requirements changed dramatically, US Navy was sleeping too long on its WW II laurels and carier-centricity, now it is facing some really hard choices. So, in a sense the article is about those choices.


2018-11-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Why would ruling elites care?

Because today those “elites” can get a nice, personal conventional high precision stand-off munition delivered to their homes on a very short notice and this will not even harm all those deplorables they try to dispose of in their military adventures. That is why those “elites” are so hysterical.


2018-11-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Militarily Chinese had a very limited impact on the main component of war with Japan–namely a naval one. Pacific War produced some of the, if not the greatest naval battles in history which were unprecedented in their scale and scope. So, no US victory at Sea, so to speak, Chinese would have had to wait for the Red Army to finish Japanese off on land in China for much longer. So, the American decisive contribution to the victory in the Pacific War is undeniable. It did come down to major navies and expeditionary forces battling on a huge theater of operations.


2018-11-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

US never fought with the adversary which can strike to the strategic depth and wreak havoc in the rear. Russia is fully capable of that. NATO knows that.


2018-11-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I really would love to hear what a military professional would plan for such an attack.

To start with–the US does not have required conventional force to fight without massive body count, let alone win conventionally, that is destroy Russian Armed Forces in Russia’s geopolitical vicinity. With or without NATO. Introducing draft to fight Russians? Good luck with that. Russia’s mobilization mechanism is on orders of magnitude better designed and operated than American one, for obvious historic reasons. Again, consider my post about Russian Academy of General Staff with Russian ministers, deputy ministers, governors and other high ranking authorities, all going through training on mobilization plans and warfare at this world-renown academy.

https://youtu.be/SmUC6M2sWNw

In simplest terms Russia will be able to mobilize in case of NATO unleashing aggression against Russia around 1-1.2 million reservists very fast. Russian reserves for the most part did serve and have basic or even advanced military training. So the second “echelon” can have several tank armies really fast, not to mention a large number of motor-rifle divisions. So, US simply has no numbers in equipment and personnel.


2018-11-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Has anyone ever “gamed out” a conventional war between US and Russia/USSR that did NOT go nuclear?

There are strong indications that this was done in mid-2000s, on both sides. Massive growth of Russia’s conventional capabilities was designed primarily for possibility of such a war. I wrote not for once about Yuri Solomonov’s 2008 interview where he talks about American efforts to de-nuclearise warfare. I was writing about this even earlier–the US assumed that Russia will not be able to respond to wrongly assessed US conventional capability. US is biased towards nuclear weapons (it tried to rationalize their use in Korea, MacArthur Affair, and in Vietnam), it is even more biased in case of a conventional war with Russia due to a large number of operational, strategic and political constrains a conventional war with Russia imposes. Russia’s calling American conventional war bluff is a major factor in current hysteria and mental break down. Empires don’t like to be not scary. Russians, of course, are afraid of war, as any normal people would, but they are not scared of US real and imaginary conventional military might–that drives many in US totally insane. After March 1 world changed.


2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Moreover, there was a great deal of respect during the Cold War of other side–I know, I’ve been there. Indeed, while still having many crazies, US side also had military people and thinkers of scale. Today, holy-molly. I am always reminded of Paul Verhoeven’s tongue in cheek Starship Troopers version of new Sky Marshals coming on board after each disaster. All with “new” strategy, the same as the old one. Who would have ever thought that the movie was about Iraq and Afghanistan.

https://youtu.be/WsHjpy9WZK8


2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

And you can even vote the straight Dem ticket and be “deplorable” in the eyes of those with hands on the throttles of power.

Dems are a national disgrace. I would vote corrupt, pathetic, disgusting GOP just to not vote for Dems. Goodness gracious, only two choices and those two are only about lesser evil.


2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Exactly and the reason it is biggest because it produces a shitload of stuff. Granted, not all of it is good but the best forensic experiment is always going to Walmart or Even COSTCO. Most of it (consumer goods, appliances etc.) made in China.


2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Oh, semantics. Then I can point at the difference between “it is
inevitable FOR america TO remain…” and “it is inevitable america
remainS…”.

At this stage I completely lost the grasp of what is your point?

But yeah, USSR is USSR no more.

Historic Russia whose one of the embodiments USSR was, is still there however and, of course, nations (and states) have a historic life measured in centuries (or even millennia) not in years. Again, what is your point? As I said, two can play the game and changing of frameworks and angles is not difficult for me.

See Kissinger, or Paul Craig Roberts, they all were crying foul for years, but they were not at steering wheel. And ,remember Cassandra the earliest known diagnostic pro 🙂

Kissinger was, so was PCR in his impact.


2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

When you asked “will USA save itself” it implies that USA is in deadly
and still worsening conditions. When you say “inevitably remains hi-tech
leader” you see USA as getting out of temporary pit up the maybe hard
but certain highway to success. Those mindsets are mutually exclusive.

I think it is mutually exclusive to drag almost four years’ old assessment (the post was written in 2015) without context and ignoring absolutely semantics of “decline” and “saving” (you see, I can do this too), that is without giving it proper definitions. But, hey, whatever floats your boat if you have the time for this. But while at it–try to come up with the definition of “saving” and “decline” (I’ll give you a hint–Huntington writes about it in his seminal work and it is…drum roll…relative).


2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

IOW by “inevitably” and “certainly” you presume that (a) Congress would radically change their ways from last decades,

The Power of Purse rests with US Congress, not POTUS. It also rests with massively influential Appropriations Committees. I am talking specifically about industries, not a whole set of social problems. In other words, I am talking about American machine-building complex and this issue now is getting a much larger attention then it was before. American decline is obvious but even Soviet collapse which was much more violent and catastrophic than what is going on now in the US did not prevent Russia from retaining some of the most crucial technological competences and skills. US is a different game (as is her decline) altogether. I wrote already about hypothetical scenario of Boeing’s shareholders deciding to dissolve the company. Few will survive.

I also wonder how much interconnected or localized what remains of US industry is. Imagine USSR-style dissolution. Cross-USA railways go bankrupt with less demand, then so do industries having lost cheap and reliable transportation to their production chain next irreplaceable
link, that triggers next logistic services to go belly up – and snowballing, like it did in USSR. Or not? Or would USA economically split then to compact self-dependent clusters that require not
nation-global logistics?

Complex issue. In aerospace it is predominantly US-made but tooling varies. E.g. AVISMA’s landing gears, some Chinese and Russian made machining centers etc. A lot, however, was decimated. To answer this fully a whole new study is required, as per clusters–Robert Reich, a former Clinton’s Labor Sec was writing about economic regionalization since mid 1990s. It does exist.


2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am not sure I understand you point. I spoke about this, and I quote:

What
defined “West’s” domination was reduced to 14 points. West’s domination
(expiring as I am typing this) was achieved largely through military
force. That’s how it looks like.

1. Owns and operates the international banking system;

2. Controls all hard currencies;

3. Is the world’s principal customer;

4. Provides the majority of the worlds finished goods;

5. Dominates international capital markets;

6. Exerts considerable moral leadership within many societies;

7. Is capable of massive military intervention;

8. Controls the sea lanes;

9. Conducts most advanced technical research and development;

10. Controls leading edge technical education;

11. Dominates access to space;

12. Dominates aerospace industry;

13. Dominates international communications;

14. Dominates the high-tech weapons industry.

Out
of those 14 points, highlighted 11, that is 78.6%, are directly connected to a very serious manufacturing or, in modern lingo, “real economy”. If one throws away BS about “considerable moral leadership” (a delusion still propagated by Huntington’s founded Foreign Policy
magazine) and the point about control of all hard currencies, this share increases to 11 out of 12, that is roughly 92%. It is also what makes one a military power. And even this list is still incomplete….


2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

it is not something that Trum

Trump really has no grasp of issues outlined in this, at least most of them–it is the work of people who, in many important respects, wrote Trump’s election program. He merely signs executive orders. It will be, in the end, the job for Congress to provide for this. Even realization of a part of this program will ensure US competitiveness and, however diminished, global status–equal among equals.


2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There is NO inevitability or certainty there.

OK, two can play this game–it is inevitable for the United States of America. Because if those conditions are not met, after that, it will stop being the United States of America and will turn into the United States of North-American Brazil. Because the nation which may emerge without Boeing, GE, Intel etc. will not be USA, it will be something else altogether.

Again, here is some taste of “inevitability”. It is not going to succeed across the whole spectrum of issue presented there, but it will succeed in some crucial parts.

https://media.defense.gov/2…

In the end, recognizing and diagnosing illness is the first step in curing.



2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

AS/E/OS development

I have no idea what it is.

But when you say “US will continue to be one of the leaders….” – you demand this success sine qua non.

Yep, if no success here–it is completely over for the US and many people in US know it. I demand nothing, I am writing a second book on what can broadly be defined as Barnett’s 14 points, with 11 of them being an ultimate requirement. No those points, no first world status and eventual slide towards the status of North American Brazil.

https://smoothiex12.blogspo…


2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, it certainly implies, but it absolutely doesn’t guarantee it. Also, do not forget that while US will try to re-industrialize others will not sit idly. In fact, they don’t. Tax cuts will not… well, cut it.


2018-11-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

i was never in Russia, but i see that within Russia there are disputes on this

Ahh, so you are capable to answer pointed questions after all. Yet, you have no problem dragging here “data” (in fact a single phrase) from representatives of the Sulakshin sect, known as a fringe cabal of trough-addicted so called “opposition” and present it as a valid data. Moreover, your choice of Moscow Times–an open uber-liberal fake news organization stuffed with people with very specific world outlook–is also not a problem top you despite the fact that MT speaks about immigration as a whole not really a brain-drain, this is not to mention, yet again, references without providing a single link or name to some “researchers”. Moreover, “educated Russians” and their immigration, which does exist, is a very broad category which does not involve any data on real brain-drain, and by that I am talking about specifically scientific-engineering cadres (nobody gives a shit about bankers or “entrepreneurs” with economists leaving Russia). But let’s move even further, this, so called “Presidential” and supposedly “prestigious” RANEPA organization IS a brain child of Russian uber-liberal oligarchy related “economists” under the auspices of then President Dmitry Medvedev (a village fool in Russia)–an organization openly promoting Western economic and social ideas and stuffed to the hilt with people who, for the lack of better word, are incompetent. Yet, you continue to drag here all this “data” and sources which are at best dubious, at worst, many of them openly do bidding of Western NGOs. So, my dear, as I said–for a guy (or whoever mans your moniker) who never have been to Russia, doesn’t speak Russian, has zero sensory relation to the country and nation, which are enromously complex, using consistently tendentious data and sources openly hostile to Russia and overwhelming majority of its people–don’t you think that, I repeat again, you come across as a bot?

Then again, I see no comments from you about Bershdsky’s piece. Unlike you, however, I do have some grasp of the REAL situation with brains in Russia and those, in fundamental sciences to complex design and engineering projects, not only retained nowadays but have great future in Russia. But I am not going to discuss with you issues of regime (secrecy) and programs those people work in. Most of young scientists (philosophy, economy, finances–are not real science but purely utilitarian sets of skills) in Russia stay in Russia and the “brain-drain” data should be considered not through 2005-20017, but namely through circa 2005-2008-10, and separately approximately from 2013-2018. It MUST be considered ONLY for people with precise sciences and engineering background, even excluding software. Why it is so, is a separate issue altogether but I’ll give you a hint–Russia of 2005 is a different country from Russia 2012 and is entirely different in 2017-18. And yes, my Dear, my sources are better than your sources, by the order of magnitude. Feel free now browsing all kinds of Russian “liberal” (a euphemism for incompetent and openly hostile to Russia) sources but don’t try to move goal posts. But for starters, as I already stated it for you, try to learn the difference between designer and engineer in aerospace and nuclear power generation and PH.D in economics or journalism–two different levels of skills. The latter can migrate whatever they want, they are not “brains”. Former ones are.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

FIRE is a derivative and you are spot on, Ziad, that “beyond that they become a hindrance” as precisely happened to the US which is a motherland of a “post-industrial economy” chimera. We now see what it did to the US. United States, inevitably, will continue to be one of the leaders in aerospace, NASA still has a magnificent deep space program, certainly US will continue to be one of the leaders in electronics but the times of the unilateral dominance are over. There is also no debate (unless we are talking about some brain-dead people) that standard of living in the US continues to decline.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, a husband, I meant father, evidently. But hey, they are “people within Russia”.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Tanker was not a problem, because it is by definition a limited maneuver vessel. Tanker was accompanied by a tug (it was this tug which also dragged frigate to its place of sinking after collision) and it was to a larger extend frigate’s responsibility to conduct safe passage. Here is what COLREGS also state:

18. Responsibilities between vessels Except in narrow channels, traffic separation schemes, and when overtaking (i.e., rules 9, 10, and 13)

A power-driven vessel must give way to:

a vessel not under command;

a vessel restricted in her ability to manoeuvre (this may include vessels towing one another)

http://files.balancer.ru/fo…


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

So, I don’t discount the possibility of a non-imperial US still as one piece

Neither do I, but in order to preserve itself the US must avoid committing suicide–so far, no signs of that. But, in the end, we live in now and that matters.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

So, you offer me here to prove that her data is false (it is false based on official data) and you have no problem with presenting here link to Sulakshin and his cabal (sect) of followers is false, when what she offers is a spread from 2005 to 2017.

http://rusrand.ru/about/exp…

I asked you a question, when was the last time you visited Russia? You exhibit all signs of either svidomy bot or some other “opposition” bot who ignores the questions. And continues to push an obvious agenda:

Russia has World Life Expectancy ranking of 105. This means that there are 104 countries where people live longer (currently). This is simply too low compared to other countries. Whatever the causes are, i can not call this a first world country.

By avoiding inevitable and only legitimate comparison of a dynamics between Russia’s catastrophic decline of life expectancy in 1990s and early 2000s with improvement which was achieved. So, you decide–you continue to play dense and attention deficit afflicted bot (including by avoiding answering pointed questions) and I ban you, or you answer these questions:

1. So, what about the “brain drain” which is not there by Bershidsky, and Bershidsky is as liberal as they come. No answer so far;

2. Again, when was the last time you have been to Russia? I am not interested communicating with someone who works from script, a very recognizable script. and whose knowledge of Russia is on the level of BBC or Svidomy propagandists.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

So you are a bot.

But Nadezhda Khvilya-Olinter, a senior expert at the Center for Scientific Political Thought and Ideology

How do you think should I view you?

While it have improved somewhat, it is still 72 years

So you don’t remember 1990s.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

He repeated in the last hour almost a full “script” of the bots such as used in Ukraine svidomy circles. Same old tired cliches.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I think quality of life matters too as lack of it it destroys human
capital. In the case of Russia there is brain drain and low life
expectancy and those are not good things.

Have you’ve been to Russia in the last 7-6 years? Please answer this question. I repeat, most of the data about Russia in the West is bunk. You repeating same old BS propagated in the West as a mental therapy.

https://www.bloomberg.com/o…

What “brains”? Financiers, “economists”, bankers–they are useless “brains” good only for employment as office plankton. Then, what what “human capital” are you talking about? Have you seen Russian school programs?

https://medicalxpress.com/n…

You really begin to strike me as a bot, honestly.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yeah, I have some issues here with “holding the bag” foreign entities. As per taking oneself out of the hole–eventually, no doubt about that. Small detail, though, will it be full United States or some rump?


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The point about China is that these are still industries, and China
losing them means losing money and jobs. Of course they are not
strategic industries but this also means that China will have less
money in its budget due to that.

Again, power of the nation primarily is defined in those very same “strategic industries”. I simply have no time nor, frankly, desire to explain how serious manufacturing processes work, especially in the fields which define THE framework in which real power is assessed but, as the last resort–anyone can offer a shoe or a accessory for sale, very few can offer commercial jet or commercial tanker. Or, for that matter, modern extracting equipment.

As for General Staffs knowing things better, US Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Joseph Dunford himself said that it is unlikely that Russia will pose the same threat that China will pose to the United States in 2025-2035. adding that “demographic and economic indicators are falling there”.

LOL. Let me put it this way–take a look at US military’s and CIA’s records in forecasting things and let’s be done with this discussion, OK. As per Russia not posing a threat–absolutely, Russia’s posture is explicitly defensive, thus non-threatening. This is not to mention that fact. that US doesn’t really have a General Staff in traditional meaning of the word. China, however, will at some point land in Taiwan.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Again, you really need to educate yourself–ONLY, I repeat, only nations which have a fully enclosed economy, that is capable to extract and process own resources, build machines and all other products internally really matter. You also missing the most important factor of the status. Try to start educating yourself from here:

https://smoothiex12.blogspo…

Now another “secret” for you–in terms of military technology Russia is so far ahead that words “global” become meaningless and you, obviously do not understand what real hi tech is. For a forensic experiment, using the fingers on one of your hands, count how many nations in the world can manufacture state-of-the-art commercial or military jet totally out of own resources.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The debt of US does not matter, though as it is denominated in USD.

But it does, since large parts of it are held by foreign parties stupid enough to hold it (for now) and because of the inevitable budget pressures for servicing the interest on this debt. The more world is being detached from USD the larger will be volatility of the so called “market”. Per actual manufacturing (that is industry)–the share of US manufacturing in its GDP is almost twice smaller than the same is in Russia.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Again, mostly consumer and electronics “light”. China is already anchored in what really matters–manufacturing of means of manufacturing. There is a gigantic difference between assembly of some electronic gizmo, let alone “manufacturing” of the the shoes and accessories. Again, do you understand the difference between 8-axis CNC machining center and manufacturing of gas turbines and essentially screw-driver assembly of the TV set?

Now, i see that there are some sectors registering growth but you will
need stats for the last 5 years and further russian gov estimates for
the future, and not simply data from one year, which could be a one off
event.

Be my guest:

http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/c…

recognized estimations, including by Russia

Not by Putin.

https://smoothiex12.blogspo…

In reality, no serious analyst will ever touch most of US monetarist data anymore, be that size of GDP or market “indices”. I’ll open you one slight “secret” where it matters, such as strategic planning, serious General Staffs rely primarily on own intelligence sources and serious analysis of the open ones because they know that most of the “data” and analysis is bunk. That is why serious military and intelligence organizations have their own way more comprehensive analysis and forecast methodologies than any “consulting” fraudulent agencies. In fact, if you wake up you will see in the last 20 years vast majority of all those economic, military and geopolitical forecasts which originated in the deep recesses of US business community (well and so called public “military and intelligence” so called “experts”) to be a complete trash. Again, if you believe that the actual size of US economy is $22 trillion–you are in a very wrong place.


2018-11-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Trump said that his trade war is good in the sense that it is slowing down China. It is not about reindustrialising the US so much but about moving production away from China to other countries.

Wet dreams. Do you understand what “production” is?

the sanctions on Russia are about slowing down Russia and giving the US more time. Russia was growing quite fast before the sanctions. Now that Russia has very slow GDP growth, its share in the world economy is declining too.

Again, wet dreams. Russia’s actual industrial and agricultural output growth is above average globally. But then again, explaining to a product of US “economic” education what real GDP is, is a waste of time. Plus, what “time” Trump is planning to win? To do what? Wall Street and real economy are two absolutely different entities. Here is the peak of US sanctions in 2015-16.

https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-…

I repeat–American “interpretation” of GDP has very little relation to economic reality. And it certainly has very little relation to two most important pillars of national power–agriculture and machine building (full cycle) complex.


2018-11-13 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Chesterton comes to mind immediately:“The true soldier fights not because he hates what is in front of him, but because he loves what is behind him.”



2018-11-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

That is kinda (along the same lines) what I also thought.


2018-11-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

My point was that audience reacted namely to Polyushko-Pole a Soviet song (granted in Lena’s version she sings Russian Army–in original it is Red Army), but still–it is a war song.


2018-11-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is amazing to see stadium in Cologne getting up as one to Polyushko-Pole (starting at 10:00). I have an idea why it is. Obviously by far not all in the audience are Russian Germans.


2018-11-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Najibullah could control situation while USSR sustained him.Exactly like Poroshenko and West.

Not quite, only superficial parallels.

While NATO is fighting radicals in Afghanistan, local regime is not capable to do it on his own. While local regime is not capable, NATO must stay and be fighting on their behalf. Add that the local regime installed by USA is interested in both keeping USA in and in saving their people by substituting GI for fights, and we have a little perpetuum mobile here.

This is exactly how it didn’t happen after USSR withdrew, Kabul needed materiel mostly and was doing OK on its own–it was, of course, filled with corruption but it was able to operate, current Kabul can operate only with the US militarily present in Afghanistan. Once US leaves it will be over in a matter of weeks, if not days. That is a gigantic difference. And yes, security of borders and realms costs money and resources–it is an axiom.



2018-11-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

That story is as old as radio-communications.


2018-11-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Political objectives of that war were largely met, with Najibullah government capable to control situation for 3 years before Yeltsin pulled the assistance–which in itself was a crime (not the first nor the last the cabal of “reformers” committed against Russia).

https://www.nytimes.com/201…

Here how Gromov and Rogozin identified political objectives for the US in 2010.

A “successful end” to the operation in Afghanistan will not come simply with the death of Osama bin Laden. The minimum that we require from NATO is consolidating a stable political regime in the country and preventing Talibanization of the entire region.We insist that NATO troops stay in the country until the necessary conditions are provided to establish stable local authorities capable of independently deterring radical forces and controlling the country. That is why we are helping NATO by providing transit for goods and training personnel for Afghanistan, including anti-narcotics officers.


2018-11-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Or is it just your standard issue anglo envy talking?

Very little doubt that since 2014 butt-hurting is driving many people in the West insane. Mearsheimer is not one of those, but Anglo-American public military-political analysis field does suffer from this syndrome, Mearsheimer draws from this field. In general, as I state constantly–US Russia Studies Field, for all intents and purposes, is dead.


2018-11-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

“we are a warship – we have right of way”

Yep, first sign of a very poor marine practice and culture.


2018-11-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

with Russi practically next door to iran. it would be easy for them to supply or replenish iranian warstocks..

Yes, including by the sea direct to Anzali, or by rail through Azerbaijan, which is being built as part of the North-South corridor. Baku always had rail link to Tehran, including in Soviet times–it was normal to meet Iranians traveling from, say, Moscow to Tehran by rail.

i wonder if iran also interested in advanced weapons from russia

Yes, she is–Iran desperately needs to patch up her rather decrepit Air Force, for example.


2018-11-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ukrainization of America goes full-steam…

Agree, this is an apt description.


2018-11-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Crews train constantly, including weekly training of elements. As per damage–it seems very severe, but I don’t know if it could have been kept afloat.


2018-11-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ship has damage along compartments which contain power plant, from diesel-generators to turbines themselves. No operating power plant, no power, no pumps, no a lot of things. We still do not know what happened but one thing emerges, it seems, that Frigate was underway and crossed Sola’s course–if that is confirmed, two things become clear:

1. It was in large enough distance from the shore and it testifies to a complete un-professionalism of the crew which should have been constantly aware through all means of observation about situation;

2. Survivability means and actions “kick in” immediately upon any distress situation and, among most important things involve measures for preservation of ship’s power (electricity), part from trying to control flooding, right ship up, fight possible fires etc. Of course, different navies’ manuals and instructions also differ in detail, they do not differ in principles.

Any well-trained watch officer, let alone CO or XO on bridge, MUST have enough training in maneuvering WITH or WITHOUT technical means (such as collision avoidance means in radar etc.) and any normal watch officer will follow not only COLREGS but will “account for fools”, whether he has the right of way or not. Voice communications MUST be established through FM with the vessels (tanker) and, if in doubt, steer to the stern of other vessel. Of course, good all rule of “if bearing doesn’t change (constant)–it is the path to collision” is known to the naval cadets in any naval academy in the plebe year in the course of basic navigation (before getting into combat maneuvering later). A freaking, unprofessional, shame, all that is.


2018-11-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What he said has nothing important in terms of church (or Church)–the point is of Putin unequivocally stating the nature of a conflict, once again. When Putin speaks, world listens and it is a conflict between globalist elites and a nation. It is immensely important message when delivered by the head of such state as Russia, not some political “science” scholar. I will abstain for now describing immense ramifications of Putin “staying on the message”.


2018-11-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Nah, it is all SJWs–Dem. Party brown-shirts. If the serious shooting starts they will be first to claim victim status.

Where is the justice department to investigate splc and antifa? With
sessions gone perhaps someone with sense and balls will take over and
act.

Sessions is a despicable coward and careerist–a defining characteristic of the American “elites” as per DOJ–until last Obama and Clinton operatives are not purged from corridors of power, this will continue. Plus, FBI, reputation? After Comey or Strzok–what reputation are we talking about? These creeps threw it under the bus. But the problem here is that Trump himself is not good (in fact he sucks) at choosing his people. Real life is not a TV show.


2018-11-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

At this stage it is difficult to say HOW it all happened because number of contradicting versions emerged–some say frigate was actually moving, others add that she lost power etc. Let’s wait for more information becoming available. Plus, in the picture from 1943 it is clear that the bulkhead in the front held and watertight compartments had a perpendicular (lateral) “amputation”, the buoyancy was retained together with power plant. Here, meanwhile we see a major longitudinal damage which flooded several crucial compartments and made the task immensely more complex, if possible at all. After all, we don’t know also what is underwater damage–consider the bulb of this monster tanker. So, let’s wait for more info.


2018-11-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The guy, correctly, was and is viewed as not just reactionary but a nutjob, he, eventually, simply went complete bonkers in his doctrines, including his, drum roll, anti-semitism. You can read his views on “education” here. I am sure, though, he is still popular among all those “the world is run by almighty Jew” crowd.

https://www.jstor.org/stabl…


2018-11-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t hold opinions of the guy who saw illiteracy of Russians as a virtue in any regard. I know who he is (was).


2018-11-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am keenly aware of that. It is abhorring just to read this. A suicide of a nation.


2018-11-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The key distinction is: Jewish participation in Russian Revolution, which nobody denies, and “Jews destroying Russia in 1917”, which is an a-historic fantasy. But the US IS, indeed, in this baneful bondage with Zionism which is almost impossible to break. It harms country tremendously.


2018-11-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Because of personal and military experiences, I have class-mates, both from public school and naval academy years, who fought in Afghanistan etc. After speaking, at the request of some of my acquaintances (pastor of evangelical church) prior (I predicted publicly that something big was afoot) and after 911, with people literally coming to me and crying into my shoulder–with US LO not knowing what Wahhabism is, I was stunned. Then, of course, the issue of Ummah–while Turkic people did relatively well, with Turkey being largely secular and Azerbaijan having a revolutionary change through Soviet times, with splendid Baku intelligentsia contributing mightily, the rest of Ummah is very backward and one cannot explain this backwardness by colonialism (which often, actually, served as an impetus for development) only was not sufficient–roots of the problem were and are deeper. So, I started to read more on the issue.


2018-11-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Of course, in what nation the armed forces of other nation will be hailed and rewarded by cash in prominent public spaces? Pathetic. But then again, this is precisely the reason that many US so called “scholars”, who, justifiably feel humiliated by American subservience to Israel, are so eager to consume any kind of a Jewish conspiracy BS about Russia–not to feel too alone in their humiliation. Of course, they are not capable of doing even simplest mental forensic experiment imagining what would happen if any, other than Russian. Armed Forces had such an event in Russia. Zhemchuzhina, a very prominent figure, was sent to GULAG by Stalin for daring to propose Crimea as a place of compact Jewish settlement. As per “lessons” US “learns” from those “great” IDF–it is the whole other story altogether.


2018-11-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It well might be, which absolutely doesn’t change its nature from “payback”.


2018-11-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, Jerk is a very “rich” word.


2018-11-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, and Arabic theology was different from the 8th to the 13th century
than afterwards. However, before it was Islamic too, wasn’t it?

Well, then we may state that Pentacostal practices or charismatic churches, such as Branch Davidians or, for that matter Jonestown People’s Temple are also “Christian”, aren’t they, how about Prosperity Gospel? This is not a strong argument for a simple reason that Christians know that New Testament is written by Greeks mostly, in “real” Islam, however, Quran is UNcreated and anyone who doubts it is bound to face some very serious consequences. Try now to “interpret” that beyond the limits of Hadith or what Ulema tells you (or Al Azhar University), not to mention the fact that Mohammad is central to Islam as not only spiritual but political figure. You want to read Sunnah or Reliance of the Traveler? I would suggest you do so. Some real surprises expect you.


2018-11-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yet, positive discrimination is a fact of life.


2018-11-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Was rise of Hitler organic for the German culture of 1930-s, or not (random fluctuation, foreign onpiracy, whatever)

Probably, same as it was true for the rise of Stalin in USSR. I leave it to Anja, though, to answer Germany-related question. In the end, the driving force behind Hitler was Prussian military organization, from Shlieffen to Von Seekt in its evolution to the Wehrmacht and Blitzkrieg Doctrine which defined WW II. We do identify Germans largely with, indeed, grim German genius, panzer assault, industries, Wagner and Die Mannschaft (well, with the exception of the 2018 World Cup, LOL). It is also not a secret that under de-Nazification, a necessary process, West Germany was subjected to unprecedented emasculation and promotion of the Queer culture. This is not to say that it didn’t exist before, it is known fact that Hamburg was a well known LGBTQERTSP hot bed before those things were known widely, that is even before WW I.


2018-11-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You state there is something culturally persistent in Islam that drives
people less civilized and more prone to terrorism. But won’t then the
same be true for German culture, interwar at least?

Come to think about it, concentration camps were invented not by Nazi Germans but by British. Per Islam, contemporary Islam (Sunni one) is a reaction of Ummah to the loss of civilizational “competition”. Enough to see what some most esteemed Islamic leaders state about Islam. How about Dr. Mahatir, current PM of Malaysia:

The Islamic world today is full of paradoxes and contradictions. Despite being resource rich, we are
economically poor and weak. While some of us live amidst plenty, the majority of the ummah live in abject poverty. While there are many breakthroughs in science and technology, for most of the Muslim ummah the condition is one of widespread ignorance and backwardness.

“We hire other people to do everything for us,” he said in a recent address. “The whole Muslim Ummah of 1.5 billion is one huge consumer society, procuring all our needs from outside our community, including our defense and security requirements. We produce practically nothing on our own, we can do almost nothing for ourselves, we cannot even manage our wealth,” he added.

https://www.lariba.com/site…

Yet, even he continues on the “Golden Age of Islam” which primarily came through shocking (for Islam) cultural encounter with Christianity and first and last experience in toying with Mutazalites’ (largely Greek influenced) world view that Quran is created–didn’t last long, by the end of the Fourth Abbasid Caliph it was over for reasoning and the era of Asharites and dogma unfolded. With it, came decay. Then came economic and military weakness and obscurantism. Could it have been otherwise? Well, it is not for me to decide but we sure as hell can observe results. So, Wahabism IS a response to the “Golden Age of Islam”. Since, this Golden Age (expansion) was based on Jihad and rejection of modernity–there you go. No Sharia, No Islam–period. Sharia defines everything in the life of a Muslim, from how to pray to how go number two, or number one. So, I guess it leaves those inferior infidels to find cancer cure, fly into space and build multi-axis machining centers.


2018-11-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I do not doubt your experiences with Chechenyan extremism – and their role in the Soviet Union.

Events in Caucasus in 1988-1991 were not dominated by Chechens, albeit Chechen separatism, and ethnic cleansing and genocide of predominantly Russian population started in those years . Eventually it would evolve (surprise, surprise) into Jihad. Pretty fast at that.

However, I doubt that the use of those mentally deranged Islamists we experienced, by western secret services, happened out of naiveté. I think it’s malice.

Again, it very well could be in SOME cases but Arabization (Islamization) of France, same as absolute hell of UK’s multicultural degeneracy could hardly be blamed on any intelligence structures but primarily on intellectual and political class. Sweden becoming a rape hot-bed of European Civilization couldn’t have been concealed even by Orwellian BBC:

https://www.bbc.com/news/ma…

This is not the act of intelligence structures–it is appalling combination of degenerate pseudo-intellectual “ideologies”, arrogance and incompetence multiplied by cowardice of “elites”. So, Houllebecg, actually, is not that far off when exposing a thinking process of those who, pardon my French, would slide their wives and daughters under the rapist just to stay “tolerant”.


2018-11-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Light speed is finite.

But not quantum entanglement;))


2018-11-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

While the Islamic world has certainly undergone a self-inflicted decay,
which left deep traces in the quality of Muslim theological and
philosophical understanding ever since the sclerotic narrowing of Muslim
clergy ruined the blossoming Arabic world since the 14th century (and
the Ottoman Empire as their heirs,

This decay has everything to do with culture. Culture is a behavioral matrix. I do not want to go too deep into this discussion on Islam–as I said I have experiences with it on a different plane–but I would suggest to trace a rather poor state of Sunni Arab world to precisely theology, all other things, including interference into the ME by external powers, considered. You are absolutely correct–the decay is self-inflicted.

I have pointed out to you that every single incidence of alleged “Islamistic terror” on our soil showed clear scret service involvement. In every single case of alleged terror, people who actually committed or intended to commit terror attacks had regular contacts with either German or other western under cover agents of national secret services or Nato services.

Why do you think I wrote that those “westerners” are amateurs? In the end, Tzarnaev brothers were relatives through marriage of a former CIA big shot who made his career in keeping oneself ignorant on Islam and Russia. But while I give you an advantage of physical presence in Germany, I have my own very reliable “sources”, as an example, on France and what is going on there is a cultural suicide. Contacts of Islamists with Western intelligence services (whose professional “level” was demonstrated through Skripal’s affairs) in and of itself do not serve as direct evidence of local security organizations inspiring terrorist acts on their soil for political gain. Such things do happen once in a while but, again, there ARE no go zones in UK, also known for covering up for rape culture of “Asian” (euphemism for Pakistani Muslims men), and France. Not everything can be explained by intelligence provocations reasoning because often things happen just because they happen. Again, believe me–I was in the epicenter from where the collapse of the USSR started and I am talking about things which I would rather, even today, not talk freely on the open discussion boards.


2018-11-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You like to brag about your service

I don’t “brag” about my service, I merely state obvious that I did serve and have a professional (officer) military background. If I will start “bragging” you’ll be surprised.

I intimately know cold steel and should all hell break loose, deplorables and racists immigrants from estearn europe shithole countries should know that I will stand – demonstrating to ”superior” man who’s really the weaker vessel. We will beat them like we did before…

You have a lot of hot air in you and a lot of anger.

1. Detroit and New Orleans are shitholes, so are vast parts of Chicago and D.C., among many. Prague, Budapest, Krakow, Moscow, St. Petersburg, among many other, are world-class cities with stunning culture, architecture and history. Including the level of high art simply available, and with some caveats at that, in the US only in NYC.

2. You see, you invented this whole “superior man” completely on your own. I don’t view blacks in the US as “inferior” to me–I know many well-educated, hard working black people and families who are upstanding citizens, but if you want to talk about culture in general–there is absolutely no discussion about the fact that black community was completely corrupted by “grievance culture” propagated by their “leaders” and real racists and black radicals and here we are today.

Again, if you wish to explain this FBI data

https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-i…

And how 14.6% of US population, which is Black or African American, is responsible for almost half of the crimes committed by nominal “whites” (including Hispanics) that is roughly (without Hispanics) is 62% is rather telling statistics. So, pointing this out, including rampant drug use, thug culture prevalent among black youth today–is this “racist” or just pointing out to the fact that something should be done about it? Somehow, people like Neil DeGrasse Tyson, or black PH.D in physics or black astronauts are not in high regard among blacks.

As per “standing” and “beating” someone? What the hell are you talking about? Unlike you, I have a very clear idea what happens when state begins to implode and ethnic and racial tensions break out unchecked–believe me, you don’t want to deal with that. No normal person wants.


2018-11-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know good, warm and intelligent people among Muslims, I can call good
pals. They are important for keeping their people sane and civil.

Anja, there are many good, decent people among Muslims. In fact, I have a truck load of friends who are Azerbaijanis or Avars. Nominally they are “Muslims” but in reality–they are products of Soviet system of education, smart, intelligent, very well read etc. Such as was great General Kerimov, close friend of Sergei Korolev and later the head of Soviet Space program for decades. I knew brilliant Arabs, ironic, well-educated. But all that does not erase a huge issue we all have with political Islam, which is…Islam. Think WHY people of the scale of late Abdurakhman Wahid tried to “RE-interpret” Islamic teachings (to no avail).

https://www.hudson.org/rese…

But it absolutely does not eradicate a simple fact of Ummah’s sad state but the fact that general principles and values we take as self-evident truths do not apply deep in Ummah. Recall what Attaturk did first in Turkey upon getting to power–he ordered removal and burning of Al-Ghazali’s works from libraries. There was huge reason for that. But there is absolutely NO way of comparing ideology-“mandated” radical terrorism of non-Muslims (both Left and Right) and Jihad as a core issue of faith in Islam. KSA or Qatar natives have a very high standard of living and yet…. look at them. As per terrorism in Europe, MOs of European native terrorists and Wahhabi operatives and their (vast) support base are dramatically different. While economic, social, external and other factor play crucial role in the chaos in ME–they all play this role within the framework of primarily Islamic religious response, hardly a good way to respond to reality. After all, writings of Sayyid Qutb, or “scholastic” works such as by Malik are widely available. In the end, Europe is case in point and there was a reason that, no matter how one tries to rationalize it–Europe is being Islamisized and current EU “elites” are utterly unqualified to deal with that. In the end, Anwar Sheikh was spot on when defining Islam (Sunni) as a tool of Arab imperialism. Once those simple facts are appreciated, one will understand strategic rationale behind Russia’s engagement in Syria as primarily attempt, successful, to save the remnants of Arab secular nationalism against the tide of Jihadist forces. Needless to say, Russia’s experience with Islam, both peaceful and war-like, makes contemporary European “professionals” dealing with the issue look like amateurs.

Just a snippet form Elena Chudinova’s prophetic (way before this Houllebecq’s novel) view:

https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2018-11-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

but that’s how it is.

Have you tried applying to the position of Senior Analyst at Brookings or American Enterprise Institute? You should try.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Therefore I want a clear cut between Europe and the US

I totally understand where are you coming from, and especially it is understandable from German. But that, in itself, is a huge issue to discuss. Per:

The problem is not that people are Muslims. I have grown up with Turks, know their merits, know their weaknesses. Had good Turkush pals, but would, as Christian, never have married one – and know why. By now we have as well a considerable number of people from Turkey who are in reality Germans. Others remain Turks. Good. Syrians are much more diverse. Depends on the region they are from.

I, actually, was born in Azerbaijan and know issues of Caucasus first hand, same as of Middle Asia, I even managed to serve there. Well, I also visited Libya and had an experience with Soviet military (and civilian) advisers in Arab counties. In the end, these ARE people and how they identify themselves which matters. Turks are by far not full representation of Ummah and they are NOT Arabs–a key distinction. So, I am keenly, in fact, on a very serious personal level (how, is not for public forums), aware about Wahabism and how it is being both promoted and financed, including propagation of most radical Mosques in Europe, which are “supplied” with “appropriate” radical mullahs, by KSA, Qatar etc. I know it may come as an unpleasant news but NO European nation, Germany included, has required resources–material, human, operational, most importantly, moral and spiritual–to deal with that and it is not just the matter of IF but When. As events in France showed, especially with Nice attack, Europeans are not equipped to deal with that. It will get much worse.

https://sputniknews.com/eur…

So, identerian movement, for all its major flaws, is not some hair brain scheme–it is a symptom, of a huge illness. But, in the end, none other than Irina Yarovaya, very influential State Duma MP, Chair of Security Committee of State Duma is ON the record at massively influential V. Solovyov’s talk show and I quote her:”We DO have problems with Islam”. But these are Russians, who “shoot first and ask questions later”, so to speak who have an unparalleled experience with countering Wahhabi scourge–Europe is a totally different thing, completely. Including a complete retardation of legitimate operational means due to “political correctness”. European no-go zones for police are reality. So, it is a bit more complex than just Ozil’s affair and, what Christoper Caldwell calls (from European’s themselves) a “grave test”, with huge numbers of the so called new “Germans”, “French”, “Dutch” preferring to be buried in the countries of origin–most of them Muslim.

I agree with you characterization of the European so called “Left” being nothing more than shills for neoliberal policies, but we have to admit in general, as you yourself write, paradigm shift is upon us and not just a Huntingtonian one, it is a time of the system which was in overdrive to compensate. People are what they are–in the end you stated it yourself:

but would, as Christian, never have married one

Exactly. We better recognize and account for all those racial, ethnic, cultural differences and act accordingly, based on common sense and respect to the “other” as long as this “other” doesn’t try to impose, and from there we may be able to move on in a more peaceful and productive direction. In the end, each time I hear Saudi Arabia chairing UN Human Rights council, one clearly understands that it is over for the old world. How NEW arrangements will be made-well, I am almost forced to recall Frank Herbert’s Dune and Ecumenical Council which finally created the Orange Catholic Bible, Inshallah;-))

Just some addition–speaks volumes. So, could it be that GDR, after all, was preserved as true Germany? As Stalin (correctly) observed: Hitlers come and go, Germany remains.

http://tundratabloids.com/w…


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am sure there were some unofficial agreements between Iran and EU. It is a common practice.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, good review. Key phrase:

Russia, China and Turkey have announced that they will not abide by any sanctions, with or without US blessing.

Pretty much sums it up.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, I gave the link to Rwanda, but ALSO mentioned Zimbabwe which succeeded in cleansing white farmers and now, well…you know the rest.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

When I think of Merkel and refugees, I have, unlike the shrill and
ignorant US discussions, not that selfie with Merkel and a refugee on my
mind, but her contribution to the escalation in Syria – by the criminal
EU sanction regime. It made Syria’s economy plunge – and was like
dynamite under Syria’s society in 2011. This was an act of utterly
idiotic transatlantic vassal behaviour – and transatlanticsm is the
morbid construction which is bound to decay. This is what this madam is
guilty of. Thus seeing her posing for a cameras in 2015 only makes me
vomit.

Agree, but let’s start with the issue of refugees at the inception, which was not really Syria, but it was first, so called, Arab Spring and Libya–courtesy of France and UK, with Sarkozy playing a decisive role in unleashing hell there. Remarkably, as much as I cannot stand Obama it is true that US hand was forced in Libya. I even know, apart from Sarkozy, another French (accidentally Jewish) war criminal–Henri Bernard Levy who was main ideologue behind this atrocity. And here we have to be very particular–while admitting a criminal role US, France, UK played in unleashing this hell, we also cannot ignore the fact, that by far not all “refugees” were and are refugees–very many are in it for social benefits of European version of “socialism”. Moreover, Islamization of Europe has started way before any Arab Spring. South of France, today, has very little to do with France–it is Arab and Sharia zones do exists all over Europe, including in Germany. This process goes back to post WW II Europe and its “intellectual” elites who, for a variety of moral or philosophical reasons, saw no value in preserving Europe for Europeans. Enough to recall one of the most notorious representatives of European “Left”, Swedish Socialist Mona Sahlin, who said that Swedish culture is inferior in every aspect to that of Muslims. This is not an exception, it is a dominant point of view among European so called “Left”.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Did I warn you, moron? Goodbye.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

LOL! So, is this the best you can respond? Barely hidden creeping complex of inferiority–indeed, the sign of times. For starters, nobody says here that Russians are “smarter” than Americans, albeit Russian educational system even today is far superior to the American one–the United States is a great nation in its own right. What is stated here is the fact that you have no idea what are you talking about. Your comparison with Texas is a classic example of ignorance. Take Texas OUT of the US, highly integrated, however declining economy, and it will shrink in a matter of couple of years to a size of economy of at best Italy, most likely that of Spain but I guess, what if and “taken separately” is a pastime of self-assurance based on kindergarten level assumptions. This is another thing–how to explain to people grown on Wall Street virtual economy what is enclosed technological cycle (a full cycle of production, from raw materials extraction, R&D to manufacturing)–impossible task. Can Texas out of own resources manufacture commercial jet plane? Can Texas out of own resources compete scientifically, technologically, economically let alone militarily with Russia? The answer is so obvious. In the end–the whole NASA is not Texas “thing”, it is national, American thing of which Texas is only a part, closely integrated and tied in with common market of American national economy.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It was the Muslim world that brought Europe out of the Dark Ages into the Renaissance and on to the Age of Enlightenment.

No, it was primarily European antiquity and age of Empires which was in the foundation, together with depopulation of Black Death, together with works of Tomas Aquinas and rebirth of European philosophy which brought Europe out of “dark ages”. Of course, you have no fvcking idea that Europe had another, much earlier, renaissance–look at the Chartres Cathedral, it is an embodiment of that era. Now about Islam–learn what was the role of Nestorian monks in translating works of antiquity and China to Muslims, who by 12th century were completely shut down in terms of development, courtesy of Al Ghazali and Asharites, and who by 1571, after they had their ass handed to them in a Battle of Lepanto, were already in debilitating state of backwardness, both economically and intellectually. Learn God damn real history, not some BS propaganda. By then, Europeans were writing first laws of physics, which later will be unified in Newtonian mechanics, and these were Descartes and Copernicus who fundamentally changed humanities view of the universe and started a real scientific revolution in Europe. By that time Islamic input into that was ZERO–in fact, Islam was already a retrograde force. After Newton and Leibnitz it is pathetic to even mention anything Islam related. So, spend some time learning before posting here utter BS. Modern state of Ummah is a perfect demonstration of a baloney you are trying to push here as some kind of valid point.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Texas population 29.3 million
Russian population 148mlion.

Texas GDP: 1.70 trillion
Russian GDP: 1.28 trillion

No, my dear–only ignorant amateurs calculate GDP based on nominal value. Professionals in serious lines of business use, as the least lowest common denominator in accuracy, PPP (Purchase Power Parity), in reality additional and serious indexation is needed. Per PPP (and even that is inaccurate comparison) per, say, CIA Factbook per IMF gives Russia’s GDP at $4.1 trillion (mind you US nominal GDP and PPP are the same, precisely for the reason of using grossly overvalued USD as a benchmark).

https://www.cia.gov/library…

But if we will go further and look at what matters, which is a structure of GDP and CINC–Texas would have its bottom falling off trying to match Russia’s Airspace, Russia heavy industries, her Armed Forces, her education just to name a few things–so feel free to reside in your ignorance and illiteracy. Again Houston or Dallas look like a backwater shitholes compared to Moscow, St. Petersburg or Kazan.

LA and San Francisco are amazing!

No, they are not–I visit them periodically. Downtown L.A. and surroundings are crime-ridden trashy neighborhoods, same goes to SF. I know how Berkley looks like, if you know what I mean. So, try to pull somebody’s finger. Again, you throwing some numbers around means absolutely nothing–compare F-35 with SU-35C, you may get an idea, albeit I doubt it. Again, have you been to Russia?


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I wonder where that population would have been now without those awful imperialists

As usual they would be slaughtering each-other on industrial scale and blame it on colonialism.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wi…

Obviously the experience of Zimbabwe is also not being learned.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Nestorian monks played great role in translating those texts.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What a clown.

I warn you, you continue your smug ignorant attitude here–I’ll just ban you.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Texas has a bigger economy than Russia.

No, it doesn’t. It is sweet BS used as therapy for people who experience mental breakdown due to severe cognitive dissonance.

Russia is a dump.

You need to get there to pass judgements on that. Detroit is a dump, as well as huge parts of L.A. San Francisco is a real shithole. Moscow or St. Petersburg, or Kazan, just to name a few, would make any Texan reassess own understanding of the issues of scales and culture.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I think Apocalypto by Mel Gibson was a very good movie in a historic sense. Sure, European colonialism etc. No doubt. But what those “great civilizations” of South America were–death cult, human sacrifice systems. Now, 200 (TWO freaking Hundred) Spaniards manage to destroy Incas civilization. 200! When Incas assembled armies numbering in tens of thousands. Sure, Spaniards were greedy, nasty, whatever, but what is always forgotten to be told that those “wonderful” Incas themselves were God awful colonialists who assembled their empire by coercion, wars, torture etc. In the end European colonialism for all of its ills (and crimes) was nothing new, slavery flourished in Africa and its northern end-Maghreb-well before Europeans appeared there. I am very particular about European Imperialism–it was bad, there were a lot crimes committed there, but in the end those Imperialists also brought with them administration, schools, first basic health care, in the end–industries. Nobody today, for some reason, cries about significant part of Indian Armed Forces officer corps being a product of the Sandhurst, of of electoral system of India being that of democracy. The picture of evil Europeans just being evil–does not correspond to reality in any way. It was simply better bigger imperialism smashing smaller weaker one, grossly retarded and backward.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, it was known as early as 2000 when GIs in Afghanistan had issues with supplies and had cases of frostbite since didn’t have proper tents, heating etc. Things got progressively worse as time went by. The whole program of fighting Chinese counterfeit electronic parts in US military was launched several years ago.

https://www.military.com/da…

But, in the end, issue of education is well captured in the article. And, of course, shipping industries abroad–so much for “patriotism” of the American capital, which, of course, in transnational and boys from Wall Street do not give a damn who to rip off.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

If that will continue to be your “contribution” to discussion, I don’t think you’ll find many sympathetic readers.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The United states is a white nation ?

It is not black and white, pardon my unintended pun, but the US was always predominantly white nation.

It’s really news to me as an African-american who’s ancestors fought in every war on this continent and can trace his ancestry to the 17th century. Those stupid immigrants come to our country in North America,

AAs, Blacks, whatever, were always a huge factor in US history–no one denies that.

We don’t want to integrate ? I learned something new everyday, I must’ve skipped reconstruction, jim crow and segregation. Or for that matter the burning of thousand prosperous African-american cities when ”superior” europeans couldn’t compete economically with Africans (we did most of the work after all)

1. No, most contemporary black culture is based on the rejection of “whitey”.

2. No doubt, slavery, Jim Crow etc. are shameful pages in US history, as is say Serfdom in Russia but…

3. No, you didn’t DO “most of the work”–spare me this BS. American industries, infrastructure, science, education, high culture, including flowering of jazz, blues etc. was done primarily by European (that is white) people.

There’s deplorable and deplorable, go back to Russia we have enough of those over here to deal with…

How about you get back to your shithole Africa or wipe out this prefix “African” from your identification and become normal American–didn’t occur to you? I will decide on my own what and how to do without your suggestions.

The greeks learned everything from black Africans in Egypt, they say so themselves in all their writings. Starting from Herodotus the ”european father” of history. The latest genetic research shows greeks are closer genetically to Africans than most europeans

And you dare to accuse others of racism?



2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Dedollarization is accelerating literally by the day. It is interesting what Colonel Wilkerson describes as two final scenarios for the US in his latest.

https://youtu.be/RBW_0wyuzyo


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But the real, bottom line, is defense–Trump admin is infested with Iran hating loonies and while the land war will be a catastrophe for the US (and Iran), bombing her is a very real scenario and there is only one country which can give Iran a fighting chance and we all know who that is.


2018-11-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

EU mostly is restricted. It is not just France. This is a huge chunk of change for Iran. I believe their currency (rial) dropped three fold in the last month or so.


2018-11-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

SWIFT. US can not kill Russian alternative even if it tries.


2018-11-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Those shithole countries will not get much better even if the US disappears tomorrow completely–the reason is in those countries and has nothing to do with colonialism. Brazil, Argentina or Mexico will not improve much even if their debts will be erased, the IMF is destroyed (good idea, btw). Life is slightly more complex than mere existence of Homo Economicus.

Why do you talk about the end of USA as we know it as a bad thing?!

The US as we know it is already done. The racial war in a nuclear superpower, however, is one of very many things which must be avoided for strategic, cultural and humanitarian reasons at all costs. The US also must be “landed” as softly as possible because, well, it is nuclear superpower and a huge debt bubble. These are just some reasons, by far not all.


2018-11-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The worst part of all this primitive parallel drawing is that…it is primitive and totally superficial. It takes significant qualifications to develop and apply adjusters for this kind of parallel drawings but it takes more than just industrial output, however important, to be a genuine superpower. Britain today is not just declining–it is done as a nation and Islamization is not far away for them–it is a mad house.


2018-11-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The west is being copied?

Simplest forensic experiment–rent any Bollywood movie, then we’ll talk.

Today whimpering and sniveling ignorant and aging white Brits and Americans are afraid of losing their identity to immigrants

I am Russian and I (I don’t think I am “whimpering” but it is not for me to decide) am “afraid” of losing my identity. Not only I am proud of being Russian, but I am proud of being white and of belonging to Western civilization in my outlook and culture.

I give Germany a great deal of credit for transforming from Fascist Nazism to welcoming more refugees than the US or GB combined. They’re an economic powerhouse in Europe and a force to be reckoned with.

You are not well informed on European issues to put it mildly.


2018-11-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Were you home schooled to know that actually the math was “invented” by Indians? Again, modern physics in this case was “invented” by Greeks, as well as modern geometry–you know Archimedes, Pythagoras and all that jazz. And again, you are obviously having huge difficulty understanding a gigantic difference between ancient primitive “math” and what it became in mid-ages through the work of many brilliant Italian mathematicians which would result eventually into Descartes discovery of complex numbers and Newton’s “invention” of calculus. You also have issue distinguishing between “invention” and “discovery”.


2018-11-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You “suggesting” that the majority of the worlds major advances are due
to white people certainly does not make that statement true except in
your trumpkin mind.

Modern world is shaped by white civilization. You can play with beaten to death cliches about paper or ink whatever you want, but industrial development, with unprecedented ideas, however abused today, of human rights is a strictly white idea. It could have been born only through ideas of Enlightenment which is a, hm, “white” thing. Let’s be real and not pretend that West as a whole is not being copied, sometimes successfully, often with failure, around the world. In the end, I am sure, wheel hasn’t been invented by a “white” human, Ford Model-T, however, was. I wonder if you can enlighten us on the “invention” of slavery.

https://qz.com/africa/14509…


2018-11-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Preserve European Culture….

Exactly, this is where it all should start. And we are talking about European “culture” of not Merkel or European “Greens”, we are talking of culture of great European philosophers, scientists, artists. For all European faults, even today it is the best culture humanity ever produced, it took us into space, to the Moon, gave us chances in fighting cancer, gave universal literacy and education and the list goes on and on, and on. Damn, it gave us greatest art. We either preserve it or it is over.

Immigration??? Euro/USA are “full”. Enough people. The cities are bursting. Suburbs sprawling. Roads clogged. Net food importers. Net energy importers (despite fracking, windmills, etc). Water shortages. Legacy pollution. Health care rationed. Education expensive & failing. Vast underclasses (Calif has 40 percent poverty rate). Politically tribal.

BINGO!
.


2018-11-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Murakhovsky, who is a tank officer by background, merely quoted some Telegram-channel of allegedly “military journalists”. Murakhovsky, sadly, is known as defeatist (enough to mention his doomspelling quagmire Syrian scenarios) and, of course, data provided in that “channel” is a complete baloney since the only case when drone attacks succeeded was in last December with an empennage of a single SU-24 slightly damaged by shrapnel. So, yes, all this is BS and Murakhovsky should have known better than quoting some anonymous and grossly unreliable source. Not a single Russian serviceman suffered nor single aircraft was damaged by those drone attacks, which testifies to the fact of effectiveness of S1.Yes, they were augmented by Tor-M2M later but it was to give Tor good test run. As per Western media–it is a sewer mostly. And here is original. Nobody took it down etc.

https://vz.ru/news/2018/11/…

Still there.


2018-11-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Armenians were always heavily present in military service, some of them, including naval officers (knew many of them personally) were top notch professionals. So, yes, we are talking about real symbiotic existence between historic Russia and Armenians, despite some few unpleasant moments. In other words, Armenians seldom were viewed as “other” entity, Jews were. In the end, Sergei Victorovich lavrov, a living legend of Russian diplomacy is half-Armenian. As they say in Russia (this saying varies but–when first Armenian was born, Jew cried;)


2018-11-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In US Jewish lobby is powerful and a lot what it does, from media, culture to foreign policy is damaging to the US. But here we are talking about Russia and Russians being as in Russkie fairly cohesive nation (people)–this changes outlook dramatically. And then, of course, Armenians always have huge one over Jews in Russia–Christianity. Armenians can invoke (and they do it once in a while) a common christian root with Russians, Russian resolution of Armenian genocide and always massive Armenian presence in Russian key industries and political structures: be that Mikoyan family, military leaders of Bagramyan’s scale, to modern Pogosyan of Sukhoi fame to Armo Babajanyan, even Stas Namin (another Mikoyan’s clan offspring), to Sergei Kurginyan and, of course, Karen Shakhnazarov (recall who his father was) etc.It is a massive influence top bottom. So, Russian Jews have a damn stiff competition. Well, only moron Garry Kasparov unifies bot Armenian and Jewish DNA, and look at him, LOL!


2018-11-02 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Baku 1988-1990. Not good memories. Initially only in the air was allowed at “crowd” (there were some “crowds”), and then, things get much messier, especially when shots are fired at you. Albeit in Baku BTR, BMD, T-62s, block-posts and nightly barrages etc. were a normal picture until the whole thing imploded. It is not a good situation, in the same time, right or wrong–nations are defined, also, in terms of state borders. Borders must be protected.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

OK, Jesus Christ was a Jew, if you know what I mean;))



2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia has an influential jewish lobby as well.

I’ll open you a small secret–Armenian lobby in Russia is also very-very powerful. In fact, Jewish lobby was absolutely powerless in stopping a No-Fly Zone over Syria, many Jews in Russia actually supported it, while the issue of Armenia is a whole other story in Russia. In the end, be that wonderful Margo Simonyan or Roman Babayan–major media figures in Russia with huge influence and even own major media–no, I am not talking about famed Armenian Radio, LOL, I mean Regnum.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yet which ethno-religious group has been at the forefront of pushing all
sorts of leftist/globo-homo values (antitheism, abortion, feminism,
multiculturalism, mass immigration, pornography, pop culture,
homosexuality, transexualism, etc) for the past 80 years? Let me link a
few books written by Jews regarding this issue(s) in their own words.

You really need to get your facts straight. Just an example–pornography was legalized and promoted, and I quote–for masturbation, by Denmark, namely by Danish parliament in 1960s. I really doubt that these were Jews who pressed this agenda. In general, youth counter-culture and with it ALL that followed can hardly be blamed on Jews. Sure, Bob Dylan is a nominal Jew (albeit he “traveled” a lot and was even a Christian) but others, who promoted big time sexual “freedom”, drugs and other “achievements” of counter-culture were hardly Jewish. Beatles (unless Sir Paul is a Jew, or John was, certainly not Ringo nor late George) left an indelible mark on drug-induced psychedelic culture in which all those “wonderful” intellectuals nurtured themselves. Sex, drugs, R’n’R was primarily Anglo phenomenon because the music and art environment which defined generation was a fusion of blues and rockabilly. The fact that there might have been few Jewish radicals here and there can not obscure a fact that it was Beatlemania not Epsteinmania. in the end, these were not Jews who dragged the US into Vietnam, albeit I am sure there is some theory about that too somewhere. After all, Andy Warhol was Slovak. What was very Jewish, no doubt, was Hollywood–this one IS a Jewish establishment. But Pink Floyd is not, albeit Henry Kissinger shots are used in their Dark Side of the Moon. In general post-modernism is a very Euro-US post-WW II thing, especially their indigenous (that is not-Jewish) elites. Come on, rationalization for pedophilia started with purely Russian Nabokov, while existing always (Baca Bazi–are Pushtu Jewish?). If you know Robert Reilly–get his Making Gay OK. It is all about rationalization. Was fvcking Ted Kennedy a Jew? So, again–get your facts straight. Trees move because wind blows, not because of Jews.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

See, menu is just menu.

Govorila Mama–vot boby vskipyat, a sama varila kamni dlya rebyat. (Mommy said to children, let the beans boil, while she was boiling stones) If my Alzheimer doesn’t fail me it was in one of Gorky’s descriptions of gathering of fairly high-positioned society in Kiev in late XIX-early XX century specifically re: yet another famine–he recorded people crying unstoppable, literally emoting to do something immediately etc. Well, system was non-reformable by then. Too little, too late.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The forces partially at fault for this occurrence are the very same ones you claim to champion and protect

Here is one of those few truly brilliant works in the last decade by an American political scientist Christopher Caldwell which explains HOW this all happened:

https://www.amazon.com/Refl…

I strongly suggest you read it. It is incisive. But before you jump to conclusions, get this: Marine’s Front National actually offers and provides (as in present) protection to Jewish communities in France–they are threatened by Muslims. You have to also understand a dramatic difference between Old Left and so called New Left, often called Cultural Marxists, which in reality are a final stage of degeneracy of Western liberalism, such as Green Party–these are people who are responsible for what is happening to Europe. It is complex issue, of course, but Eurabia was written by Bat Y’Or who is Jewish. You also have to keep in mind that on average Europe is very hostile to Israel.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

against people in Russia challenging the holocaust.

People in Russia who “challenge” Holocaust are challenging the history of Great Patriotic War and I know what type of people does this.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

If that is your method, great! But you come across as dismissive of
anything not fitting your narrative, and casually assert that only your
sources are true.

Strange, I thought that Russian archives, documents, memoirs, literature of the discussed time periods, cultural evidence, statistics were really good–you know, like Krivosheev’s wonderful statistical studies of Russian Wars of the 20th century–the whole world now references it. Is Military Digest by Russian Imperial General Staff (say for 1909 or 1912) good enough? How about transcripts of lectures and books by leading Russian Empire statisticians, doctors, economists, variety of political and military leaders are good enough? How come, that Pavel Milyukov mentions Jews only thee times in his seminal treatise? So, I don’t know–my method seems to work so far, if you will start reading from the very start of this blog. I am no oracle, in fact–I do not even pretend to be one, but I think I can honestly say that I am pretty much within the vector (or trend) of current geopolitical developments precisely because I use ONLY serious sources and, certainly, know Russia, especially her Soviet period, better than most US “scholars”. After all, I had Form-1A clearance in 1980s and I can even today compare and conclude how much BS about Russia/USSR was propagated in, say, US Russia “Studies” field which today is completely destroyed. In the end, nobody anticipated the fall of the USSR so fast and with it–a massive opening of archives which started to literally kill Western narratives about Russia. They also played a crucial role in demolishing Solzhenitsyn. So, hm, who should I believe, Mr. Conquest who pretty much made shit up about USSR or opened archives of NKVD/MGB, including KGB’s report to Khruschev? Again, I will repeat–there was never There There. In fact, for the most (not all, there are exceptions) English language books on Russian “history” (f.e. Anne Applebaum–she is not historian, she is crude propagandist, as an example, same goes to Anthony Beavor etc.) a universal sticker should be printed and attached–the sticker should read “This Is Not How It Worked”.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

LOL! I saw this one earlier. You cannot take Asiatic boasting and egos larger than cathedrals from these kinds of Jews. But then again, it shows how free are Russians in discussing those issues. Plus, of course, Jews such as Zhenya Satanovsky or Misha Khazin (despite being often too conspiracyish), or even Solovyov, not to mention Tolya Wasserman are real Russia’s national treasure and are more Russian than many nominal Russians. Tolya Wasserman for sure–he is in a league of his own. Brilliant guy.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I mentioned two books. You admit you don’t want to read them, and for
good measure dismissed them as written by ignorant Anglos. Very academic
posture on your part.

Oh, it is academic, believe me precisely for the reasons of being aware of how manipulation with facts and sources happens, especially so in the field of operational research which is, unlike “general” history deals with very many specific numbers and models.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In related news, overwhelming majority in US thinks that US defeated Nazi Germany. Rephrasing you:

“even among Americans and American sources, one can find many articles, books, etc that concede a American role in the lead up to the defeat of Wehrmacht at Kursk”. Don’t believe my rephrasing is accurate and pointed. Here is a fresh example:

“Kursk was an Anglo-American victory as well as a Soviet one:”

https://nationalinterest.or…

How bout that? Hey, its an article, it concedes the “role” of Anglo-American Allies in sharing victory at Kursk. Obviously the author, Michael Peck, who is NOT a military historian, lies through his teeth here, see my few points about Peck’s BS:

https://smoothiex12.blogspo…

But it is an article, in the end Earl Ziemke, whose book even today can be downloaded from US Army War College site, stated that Nazism was defeated at Anzio, North Africa and elsewhere. It is a book, you know, it is published and was pretty popular at some point of time. I can continue here with such examples non-stop–huge parts of Anglo-American historiography on any issue related to Russia/USSR should be studied–but only by medical students of psychiatry and by practitioners of psychology of suppressed trauma. As “scholarly” works most of it is not scholarly nor factual. I know–hard life, so much information, so little knowledge.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It was, same as watching St. Petersburg, Moscow and other cities’ restaurants filled with joyful and wealthy public, while not being allowed to walk on promenades and sidewalks and not allowed to ride trams in 1914-1917.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Perfect summary. Or how they call it nowadays–bread and butter issues.



2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You posted on a topic which you admit is controversial

It is controversial in the West, whose “grasp” of Russian history is about the same as my grasp of Kabuki dramaturgy. In Russia, those things are discussed openly and there is a reason why Russians do not particularly concentrate on Jews in matters of Russian Revolution and what followed.

I also am not interested in pretending I agree with all your points. Not a sycophant.

You missed the point completely–I do not expect everyone to “agree” with me, I just prefer people have viable argumentation not some internet trash which passes as “history”. The method I use is very primitive: I look at material and cultural manifestations of time period, I use only confirmed facts and sources.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Regarding the Jewish role in the revolutions: I was only making the
point that they cannot be ruled out as a significant factor in the cause
of the revolutions just because they were only a small minority.

The scale of Jewish problems pales, thus pales the scale of impetus, in comparison to the actual state of Russian peasantry–the parallel of a size of a compressed spring and of its potential energy is more than adequate here–Russian spring was simply incomparably larger and thus contained orders of magnitude more energy than Jews in Russia then. In the end, 1905-07 Revolution was dominated by SRs (Social-Revolutionaries) see their manifesto below:

https://alphahistory.com/ru…

It was heavily Jewish party and it could have taken power in 1905-07, the reason they didn’t–they followed Marxist dogma about proletariat as a main driving force of Revolution and, Russia being overwhelmingly agrarian country, in their view was not ready for real socialist transition. Talk about being dogmatic and “philosophical” (albeit Marx was primarily sociologist and economist). Marx himself didn’t fare that well in his predictions when foresaw revolution happening first in the US due to high level of development of proletariat. Boy, talk about being blind–even Marx couldn’t foresee a slaughterhouse of WW I, as neither could Spengler conceive a scale of utter horror of WW II which damaged irrevocably the DNA of Western Civilization and we all live today with consequences. Lenin, however, was really deep into war and warfare. Well, he was a practical man first of all.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

1. I would avoid bringing here anything written by Nikolsky Jr.–a son of Nikolsky Sr.–a “famous” co-author (with Kuzin) of 1990s fame reference guide to Soviet Navy. Nowadays Senior sits in prison for selling technical documentation on Zubr-class landing ships (IIRC) to Ukraine, while sonny became “famous” after his piece of utter delirium about “The Zoo of Soviet Admirals” in which he insisted that USSR should have built 15-20 aircraft carriers to “force” US to negotiating table. I will omit some paranoid statement his father made in his “reference” in 1991. Let’s put it this way–this family of shipbuilders, not to mention NG and NVO, are not exactly good sources on anything related to Russian naval history.

2. Per percentages–it is a matter (and not a difficult one) of basic Operation Theory and linear comparisons. Japanese were simply BETTER on the order of magnitude. Per Clausewitz–“It is legitimate to judge the event by its outcome for this is the soundest criterion”. Novikov-Priboy’s account of Tsushima generally stands and is a good one. In fact, one can write a system of FER (Fractional Exchange Rates) equations based on this encounter. It will in general confirm both Osipov-Lanchester augmented equations and Salvo Model.


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I would prefer you not dragging here all kind of pseudo-historic trash, plus–please, I am not here to address your personal cognitive dissonances, for that there is a wide variety of all kinds of conspiracy forums for obsessed people I am sure you will find a much more sympathetic reception there. I assume you are a product of American education?


2018-11-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Also, those conditions did not come into existence in 1905 or 1917. What is unique about those years? Why not 1904 or 1918?

This is precisely why I “berate” so called modern philosophers. Before you wax “philosophical” and into the faux-reasoning you should learn a bit, at least, about School in Longjumeau and how it related to issues of tactics of political struggle and issues of underground work which has as much relation to philosophy as I have to China. Again, you have no argument–you continue with open demagoguery which ignores completely military, political and other realities which increasingly deteriorated with progression of the war, this, of course, not to mention Bloody Sunday, original one.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wi…

I repeat–I am not interested in opinions of majority of Anglo-Saxon “historians” and political “scientists” on most issues related to Russian history. I have credentials to back it up and call out a whole set of BS propagated, under different titles, in the West as a “scholarly” work about Russia precisely in the field which most of those “scientists” have zero expertise–war and warfare.

Consider the profound influence they have in the US today relative to their numbers.

United States has ZERO modern experiences with continental warfare and its consequences–if you do not understand a significance of this statement we have nothing to discuss on issues of Russian history.


2018-11-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

During my visits to Russ, I’ve seen the fancy palaces, etc. Hermitage.
Peterhof. Winter Palace. And it struck me how rich were the rich, but
how poor were the poor. When people figure that out??? They sharpen
their spears.

Exactly. That is why this sarcastic term RKMP (Russia We Have Lost) and Under The Sound of Crunch of French Baguette. Russian peasantry led hungry existence, that is why there was very little if any actual growth of size between 1812 and 1854.

Per Jewish part of tsarist Russ population… During a trip in
Lithuania, I was told that large cities in the Pale had very high
percentages of Jews. Vilnius. Smolensk. The countryside was filled w
Orthodox peasants.

True, and it was a countryside where most of Russian economy was, including shipping high quality grains abroad while peasantry remained hungry.

Russo-Japanese war is (used to be?) a major focus of study at US Naval
War College. We called it World War Zero. There was deep coverage &
discussion in class… And professors encouraged more study in personal
time. Every angle… from railway movements of troops to logistics of
supplying Russ fleet on its fatal voyage.

Moreover, even “replaying” scenarios on maneuvering boards in USSR/Russia in desperate attempts to see if there ever was an alternative outcome (there wasn’t)–this battle remains forever ingrained in Russian naval (and national) consciousness as a ground zero, a mark zero of measuring national catastrophes. Even in 1941, in the year of Wehrmacht’s and Luftwaffe’s greatest victories Red Army was grinding Nazis’ best in hundreds of thousands, but Tsushima–unprecedented. Not a single major Japanese combatant seriously damaged, let alone sunk.


2018-11-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Lenin’s (verbatim) Three signs of revolutionary situation:

(1) when it is impossible for the ruling classes to maintain their rule without any change; when there is a crisis, in one form or another, among the “upper classes”, a crisis in the policy of the ruling class, leading to a fissure through which the discontent and indignation of the oppressed classes burst forth. For a revolution to take place, it is
usually insufficient for “the lower classes not to want” to live in the old way; it is also necessary that “the upper classes should be unable” to live in the old way;

(2) when the suffering and want of the oppressed classes have grown more acute than usual;

(3) when, as a consequence of the above causes, there is a considerable increase in the activity of the masses, who uncomplainingly allow themselves to be robbed in “peace time”, but, in turbulent times, are drawn both by all the circumstances of the crisis and by the “upper classes” themselves into independent historical action. Without these objective changes, which are independent of the will, not only of individual groups and parties but even of individual
classes, a revolution, as a general rule, is impossible. The totality of all these objective changes is called a revolutionary situation.

Pitirim Sorokin’s variation:

1.the suppression of base instincts at the majority of population.

2.the disorganization of authority and social control.

Both complement each-other. FYI, desperation in Russia–less than 4% of population are Jews, concentrated primarily in the Western parts, 85%–Russian peasantry, also desperate, hungry and slaughtered in the war–much worse situation. We, of course, may quantify levels of desperation and even play with weighted averages (a favorite BS game by Western statistics, which can not find its own ass with two hands in brightly lit room) but if to consider that per census of 1897 Jews numbered in Russian Empire 5.2 million, while Orthodox Christians–88 million, most of them peasants, who do you think constitutes larger and more powerful driving force behind Revolution? While majority of Russia was illiterate it doesn’t mean that Russian peasants were complete morons and didn’t know their interest, they sure as hell did. But then again, it is Western shtick to deny Russian people any agency, while finding all kinds of excuses from Jewish evilness to indecisiveness (I guess from the excessive “intellect”) of all those in charge of Russia then. And 1905t was just a warm-up (or dress rehearsal, as Lenin put it) before WW I hit the fan and millions upon millions of coffins started to go back to Russia–overwhelming majority of them peasants.


2018-11-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Then you better recall what Lloyd George told Woodrow Wilson when he proposed all those famous points, of peace w/o contributions et al, at Versailles. I will remind you, Lloyd George told him the number of British soldiers KIA in that War and that was it–end of discussion.


2018-11-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

His troops sacked Athens, Georgia after 119 Illinois’ patrols were killed by Southerners.


2018-11-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

For propaganda, and for some sectarian “credo”.

If your division (or brigade) loses 30% of its personnel KIAs and other 30 wounded–there will be very little “propaganda” and “credo” issues involved. It will mean, depending on the opposition, a destruction of formation and some serious tactical and operational repercussions. Who, how and why killed how many matters because this is the only real metric in history, sadly. But that is life. That why still such a fierce fight for the history of WW II is ongoing, propaganda or not. The rest–is sophistry.


2018-11-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I read Toynbee in relation to war but what practically ALL historians or people who pass as such fail to understand that WW II started countdown unlike anything in human history. It is all fine and dandy to find symmetries and patterns, but history as science (that is activity of collecting, systematizing and finding causalities about and in the surrounding world) long ago failed to account for precisely scientific method in describing WHAT brought us here, to present situation. It is no surprise that primarily Anglo-Saxon history (same as Anglo-Saxon economic models), that is the history of island people, is simply not adequate in applying warfare models to civilization since can not grasp the scale of what happened in Europe between 1939 and 1945. It also failed to account for the effects of the continental warfare on the industrial scale. This failure, partially due to ignorance, partially due to ideological demands of the time, is what, among other important things, in the foundation of the pitiful state of modern Western “elites”. As per Russia being unique–she is but in terms of ancestry, Roger Scruton gave good definition of the Western Civilization.

“The roots of Western civilization lie in the religion of Israel, the culture of Greece, and the law of Rome, and the resulting synthesis has flourished and decayed in a thousand ways during the two millennia which followed the death of Christ”

In this sense Russians are Western fringe people. Even Zbig promoted this theory, but here is the problem–The West stopped being West long ago. Contemporary Western culture is degenerate, anti-Hellenistic and irrational. Economy follows not far behind. The transformation which happened in historically unprecedented short time (literally–one generation) was a result of the loss of civilizational cohesiveness because of new “elites” being completely unaware of the warfare and its consequences. Liberalism is death in a long run, as Barnett asserted in 1970 in his seminal work.


2018-11-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Did Bolsheviks have an “imperial” plan for governance as well?? Or just
sort of… inherited it all… and now have to administer it ( under
communism)…

Yes. the Empire was reborn as USSR with all of its pros and cons. Bolsheviks invested into the fringes a great deal, this, in some sense, gave the rise of local elites which were educated and wanted bigger-better deal.

And many Russ scholars I’ve encountered are Jewish… May have changed the name to more Anglicized sound. But all have had their bar mitzva. I definitely don’t want this to come across in the “wrong” way. Speaking of Jewish people as dominating much Russ scholarship in West. It’s just
the fact of the numbers. Many Jewish people have become writers & scholars. Disproportionately large numbers… like the faculty at Harvard or Yale.

There is very little doubt that American Jews dominate US humanities field thus being able to manipulate in some cases with the flow of thought and with interpretations of history–a fact having a baneful effect on the US. But, while also present in Russia’s academe–Russian experiences with Jews are entirely different. than in US. Experience of Zhemchuzhina is one of the most indicative cases. It is also immensely more hard to “industrialize” Holocaust in Russia–Russia simply lost much more In other words–it is a whole other world. Also, Russians sneer at Jewsih “choseness”, not the case in huge swaths of American Cristian-Zionist circles, who worship Jews and Israel. Russia doesn’t worship them and, in fact, was always rough on Jews–in the end, Pales of Settlement WERE and ARE gross violations of basic human rights even by standards of early 20th century.


2018-11-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Per Second Church, one of the damning historical facts to all this RKMP crowd is the fact of Red Army having larger number of “White” (in reality Czarist) officers joining voluntarily Bolsheviks than it was the case with White movement. Famous cliche that they were forced by blackmail is a complete bunk–majority joined when understood that the only force which could save Empire were Bolsheviks. There is a remarkable document by very notable White general Markov to Kerensky in which he writes Kerensky precisely on the issue of saving Russia and her army and stresses that “we should never go back to the horrors (of Czarism) of the past”. The fact that Russian officer corps was already completely split even before February 1917 is somehow “missing” from all those Russian “histories” in the West–in the end, it was the Red Army which saved Empire and, in the end, it was brilliant Chief of (General) Staff of the Red Army, Boris Mikhailovich Shaposhnikov, himself a Czarist officer a graduate of imperial Acaddemy of General Staff and who never joined communist party remained on the highest positions, including being very close to Stalin, till his last days in 1945. And then, of course, there were people such as Denikin or General Mahrov, former Chief of Staff of, no less than Vrangel, who from immigration in France in June 22, 1941 sent letter of request to Soviet representative Bogomolov to allow his return to USSR and be allowed to enlist with the Red Army to “defend his motherland”. These people, actually, were the best people and officers of White immigration and, in many ways, preserved the historical continuity of Russian, then Red, then Soviet, then Russian again Army. You will seldom find these facts in the “history” which is published in the West. Or if find it, they will be downplayed grossly. Something like that:

Bakhmeteff Archive of Russian and East European History and Culture, Columbia University). P. S. Makhrov Collection. Box 8

In the end, Tolstoy, Dostoevsky, Turgenev, Lermontov, just to name a few, all Decembrists, were military or intelligence people. Their cultural impact on Russia was and still is immense. They did constitute also the bulk of Russian thinkers.


2018-11-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Loosing culturally and politically in Central Europe, cost Russia dearly
last time and it is question – if can be replaced with Middle East and
China IMHO.

Good question. But consider now a simple Russian geopolitical egoism in which Central Europe is primarily viewed as a market, plus–it is NATO territory. In such matters as, an example, Poland, Russians are simply tired and do not want to deal with Poland in any way. So, the cultural shift is there and it is tangible. In the end, Dostoevsky’s predictions came so true. It is today–only business, nothing personal.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Superb addition. Famous truism: They loved themselves in Russia, not Russia in themselves.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You are most likely correct. I meant RSFSR only.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Numbers matter, great deal. Contributions and Costs matter. All propaganda caricature on Soviet Union in the West was built around numbers–100 million dead, 5 billion in GULAG etc. It was always about numbers, the whole history is about numbers.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

List sources don’t give me names of Red Army generals.

That is why we have nothing to discuss. Again, read Pahlen report on Jews and, while at it, read this on, say Armenians, and how they resisted Plehve’s policies. Go to page 503 in Milyukov’s work.

with Karamzin, Solovyov, and Klyuchevsky

Never heard of those distinguished Russian names writing about WW II, matters of Blitzkrieg, Goebbels, Luftwaffe, concentration camps, genocidal bombing of civilians. None of those Russian historians also caught WW I, Prussian General Staff and battle at Masurian Swamps. Anyhow, good time to you while reading Mulyokov. At least he is not “Red Army general”. albeit Krivosheev was a general in the Soviet and modern Russian Army.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You have also grown up in the most thought controlled and free speech
killing environment in the western world. Doesn’t leave much room for
open discussion.

LOL.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Read the authors I mentioned if you want more details on the role outside forces played.

OK, I guess it is impossible to convince you that no matter outside forces, their influence was minuscule, compared to the combined effect of the WW I. You evidently have no concept of famines or villages being decimated… You know what, instead of suggesting me to read all kind of pseudo-scientific BS on Russia written in deep recesses of US “academe”, here is Russian fervent nationalist Constitutional Democrat Pavel Milyukov, a notable figure in Russian history, writing about how much wrong was in Russia in 1905. So, let’s stop this discussion, we approach it from completely different POV and they are irreconcilable and you have to deal with your dissonances yourself. I don’t recall Milyukov ever mentioning a single Jew as a reason.

https://www.questia.com/rea…


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yet, one can not dismiss the Jewish element in the lead up to the
revolution nor afterwards, at least until the Great Purge. You can list
other minority groups that were Bolsheviks as well, like Armenians or
Georgians for example, but unlike Jews, there were no wealthy Armenians
from the West sending money to finance their co-ethnics in a conspiracy
against the Tsar.

Yet, there were truckloads of Russian wealthy people (such as Savva Morozov) supporting Bolsheviks, well RSDRP. Again, do you understand the issue of scales? Do have a concept that effect can not precede a cause? It doesn’t happen, except of course, in Solzh literature, in Rezun’s “treatises”. Do you understand those concept? If understand them in terms of basic determinism, that the ball flies after I kick it and that trees’ crowns move because the wind blows, then you will have to have at least some appreciation of the fact of Russian Army and civilians bleeding white on the fronts of WW I until Russia could not take it anymore. No amount of “Jewish money” could ever equal, not even in the same universe, of the effect of killed, missing, POWs, maimed, famished millions which was a result of WW I? These were not Bolsheviks who overthrew incompetent and spiteful Czar, these were Russia’s “liberals” with the blessing of ROC who did it in February 1917. This was Czarist regime which lost Russo-Japanese War (sending rail cars filled with Bibles instead of shells to the front) and which caused unprecedented humiliating catastrophe at Tsushima? In what sense all this is connected to Jews?


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Actually there are more monuments to the victims of the white terror than the red, even though the latter killed more people.

No, they didn’t. A thesis blown out of the water by not one real Russian history scholar, not to mention Lieutenant-General Krivosheev, a world renown military statistics authority, who not for once destroyed all those “figures” by surprise, surprise–you know who. Listen, you are free to live and believe whatever you want and, as I wrote not for once, the scale of cognitive dissonance on Russia and her history for many people in the West is such that many simply lose their marbles. I don’t know if you read my book but it is a fact of life that Russian “history” in the US is a caricature written and presented by people many of whom wouldn’t past a smell test even in the lower level academy, let alone among big time professionals. The worst what could have happened to all this Western “history” was the opening of the Soviet Archives.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I already, if you didn’t notice, made those conclusions, several times at that–Russian revolutions came not by the way of Jewish evil plans but by the whole evolution of Russia in 19th-20th Centuries. The point of my posts to show, including using actual historical sources, all utter BS about “Jewish Bolsheviks”–a propaganda cliche used to confuse ignorant Westerners.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What plans? My point is that Jews’ role in Russian revolutions was minuscule, as well as their negative “role” in Russian history.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Wasn’t Solzhenitsyn somewhat hostile to the role Jews have played in Russian history?

He was extremely hostile, thus promoting this narrative of all-powerful Jew. In fact, Solzhenitsyn supported the Soviet Jews right to return to Israel merely out of his desire to see all Russian Jews leave. Talk about being delusional.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

West (Europe) is also known as a hot seat of pedophilia, plus, Nabokov effectively is not a Russian writer, even despite his reviews of Pushkin. The question is, indeed, what real Russian experiences could this person convey when he, being in a tender age of 17 was forced out of Russia by events and since then had no viable connection to Russia in the age of a snail mail? A very reminiscent pattern of Solzh losing, never strong, connection to Russia during his exile, only to find out that he knows practically nothing about it upon his return in 1994. Hence 200 Years Together–the last attempt to remind people about himself by pushing same ol’ Jewish narrative. After his death he took reputations of other notable Russian thinkers, such as Vadim Kozhinov, to the grave with him, with Kozhinov turning in the last years a sycophant of Solzh. Same for Rasputin–money do not smell, I guess. As Nikolai Patrushev stated in conversation to modern Russian writers about 10 years ago (while still being FSB chief)–those writers were denouncing each-other to KGB (and FSB) non-stop. He called it revolting. To the question to name few honest writers he stated that there are no decent human beings among them, or something to this effect. Kinda gets one to respect tremendously Leo Tolstoy or Nikolai Gogol, for that matter, or even Nekrasov who wrote that he doesn’t like himself.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Small correction–Russians in USSR constituted about 50% of population, in Russia–they are 85%, an overwhelming majority in a very specific geopolitical realm which was forged by modern warfare. Can it be broken? Sure, anything possible but as Clausewitz wrote–this will come only from the inside. And here is another issue–Russia is rich and today is in technological paradigm to exploit those riches entirely on her own–this is a huge centripetal factor. In the end, glitz of Moscow, St. Pete, Kazan, Yekaterinburgh etc. matters, it attracts fringes. in the end, recognition of Russians as in Russkie has started. Putin’s Russian World is Russkii Mir and he spoke about it first time, granted with all necessary and required clarifications on ethnic issues, in 2014. Russkie are the core, no Russkie, no Russia. Putin today signed measures for Return of Compatriots–a long awaited initiative allowing primarily Russians (as in Russkie) return to historic motherland.

https://ria.ru/politics/201…

I can tell you a lot about this issue–I know it first hand.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

what is ongoing for years is removal of middle ground

It has been removed long ago–it is a fact of life but divide and conquer doesn’t work either since the process, also long ago, is in runaway mode and there is no real control of it. As Marxists would say–objective laws, or as Ayn Rand, who stole this idea and sold it in the US as allegedly her own, “objectivism”. Nobody controls anything anymore in terms of social processes–it becomes clear once one looks at Western so called “elites”, including boys and girls of Davos culture–pathetic. The systemic crisis of “liberal” capitalism is upon us and it is only Russia’s deterrent which keeps the world from sliding into the abyss.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Culturally, Russia will always be “right wing”–I am about write about this. In fact, the separation of European nationalists (which is a healthy trend) and real ultra right wingers (crypto Nazis et al) is long overdue.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Exactly! And yes, he harshly criticized them in Russian Question In The 20th Century–another preposterous and false account of Russian history by this self-proclaimed “consciousness” of Russian people.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Although I’m compelled to note that much of the Russ & Russ-Jewish
story, as told in USA, is filtered through the lens of Jews telling the
story (meaning, descendents of immigrant Jews who became teachers and
who wrote the books on so many angles of the subject). Between about
1880 and 1920, US received a mass influx of Jews from central &
eastern Europe, western Russ, Ukraine, etc. Jews from “The Pale,” so to
speak. Many realms & sectors of academe have been dominated for many
decades by Jewish scholars… That’s just the fact of the numbers.

Bingo! There were accounts to settle and as a result we have Russian “history” written in the US by either Polish Jew such as late Richard Pipes–who hated Russian guts (his son is the same BSer as father), or Polish maniacal Russophobe such as Zbig–these are just very few examples among myriad. Recall what Colonel Lang tells about how Russian “history” is taught in Intelligence School in Garmisch or USMA West Point etc. Especially the way Russian “White” immigrants taught it. I have a very close personal first-hand account with this–I may tell about it later, some people wouldn’t believe it.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Turchin’s trial after sacking Athens, Georgia became in effect a public hearing on slavery and Lincoln, under the pressure from media (press) not only promoted Turchin to general’s rank but finally decided to go with Emancipation Proclamation.

https://www.warhistoryonlin…

Talk about Russia meddling in US politics, LOL! His wife, BTW, was nothing to sneer at–she actually, when Ivan fell ill, commanded 19th Illinois in some battles.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No. I treat any Western writing on Russia’s modern history after 1991 with a great deal of skepticism and, in fact, bar some minor exceptions, lost interest in Western “interpretations” of Russia long ago.


2018-10-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What comment? I don’t see any comment and I removed nothing.


2018-10-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Avangard is already in IOC, the deployment will be for the first regimental formation.


2018-10-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Trying my best–it is not an easy issue to tackle in all of its complexity.


2018-10-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Saker, Andrei Raevsky, is a separate case–he is Russian and he is genuinely engaged, a very commendable position for a Russian born abroad. He is a good thinker.

the phenomenon that the two shaping and completely antagonistic visible
political wings of a country, representatives and their plebiscitarian
followers alike, relate in such an extreme and obsessed way to another
country, to which they cannot even remotely relate any painful encounter
with, is unique.

I wish you could understand the finishing scene with Ataman Chernota (in Naumov and Alov’s stunning adaptation of Bulgakov’s Beg–Flight) in Paris and his monologue with the hat in a front of Paris bums under one of the Seine’s bridges. It encapsulates it perfectly–Russia doesn’t fit into the hat. But then again, West knows only Solzhenitsyn, Pasternak and second rate Hollywood adaptation of absolutely inconsequential Doctor Zhivago.

https://youtu.be/OreHjCSDvsQ


2018-10-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

it won’t have any effect on the related USAmerican audience, which is
especially bizarre, as basically all allegedly ‘pro-Russian’ websites
are dominated by the US storm-front fan-club, starting with articles of
the most obscure historical revisionist kind, but even more in the
obnoxious comment sections

It is not being written for them, it is for people who actually try to think critically and learn something–there are many those people around all over the world, USA included.


2018-10-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I will answer this later but Rail Guns are, for the most part, do not work as intended and any drone could be “separated” from control center or jammed.


2018-10-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The article is written by Maxim Klimov, aka Mina on some professional forums. The guy is a complete mental case–literally. In fact, dumbfvck of unbelievable scale. That is his actual reputation among people who served with him, e.g. Klimov was not allowed to carry duty officer watches at his sub while in base. So, basically BS written by mentally unstable person. VPK-News, meanwhile, same as BMPD blog (infested with humanities educated amateurs who learned couple of professional terms) are not serious sources of ANY assessments. FYI, I once offered Klimov to meet me in person in either Moscow or St.Pete, LOL. Still waiting for the response.


2018-10-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The reality is in many ways these things have Evolved far faster than
Humans can necessarily keep Check or Observe…. We are playing catch up
to our Technological Creations

It was (is) inevitable–good ol’ days of parallel ruler, maneuvering board, sextant and tables, while by no means are gone, are mostly back up methods today.


2018-10-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

China’s superpowerdom was always Confucian, moral

I have to disagree a little bit. Morality in international relations is a very vague concept for everyone and China is not an exception. China suffered massively under Japanese but she surely aided a nightmare in Kampuchea. There was, indeed, a moral dimension to anti-Axis forces in WW II but, in the end, it is always an interest in the foundation of which is a survival, an instinct in the foundation of modern day realism.

The CCP has made it clear that they seek moral leadership and their first step towards attaining it will occur sometime between 2020-2025, when every Chinese will have a home, a job, plenty of food, education, safe streets, health and old age care. On that day there will be more suicides and executions, and more homeless, poor, hungry and imprisoned people in America than in China.

Certainly possible but not preordained. FYI, Russia IS having some issues with Chinese banks and even ports who slow down significantly both processing of funds, cargoes etc.–all in anticipation of November sanctions. Forget about Honk-Kong entities–they refuse to work with Russia altogether–but these “little” issues with China now have to be resolved on intergovernmental, and fairly high at that, level. Considering the fact that these are Chinese state organizations which do this one has to ask the question of how reliable is China? I, for once, know for sure that China’s main geopolitical goal is absolutely not “moral” but is reincarnating herself as the globalist USA 2.0. So, it is not simple, let’s put it this way. Russia knows that in the end of the day she is alone in all that. We’ll see, I guess, soon enough. Russia is ready, is China?


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know who he is, because my daughter’s former boyfriend–a rather noticeable musician (I will omit his name here), really liked him and he exposed me to his music. But I always was gravitating towards progressive-oriented guitar players (that is why I am a devout fan of Steve Hackett) or those working in fusion. So, I can not say that “I like” him but I listened to his music and he is definitely a very talented musician.


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In contrast, meanwhile:

MOSCOW (Reuters) – The United States is likely to impose sanctions on holdings of new Russian sovereign debt but Moscow’s own budget rules make Kremlin finances more resilient to even harsher restrictions, Moody’s Senior Vice President Kristin Lindow said.

https://finance.yahoo.com/n…


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Perfect summation. One of the major points of, in many respects, revolutionary in its honesty books by David Glantz and Jonathan House on the Eastern Front were chapters (in both editions) called Contributions and Costs–these US military professionals and first rate military historians had enough courage and integrity to put forth the issue which, in the end, matters most.


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Here are 15 months old news but still–fascinating (including about PS-90ATM) since real head-honchos professionally talk about it. Since then PD-14, obviously, got certified and it means some huge experience was accumulated for PD-35.

https://youtu.be/FMGSkWfll8Y


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Iran is important–she is in underbelly, plus fates of Caucasus are directly connected to it. Baku, BTW, is a major buyer of Russian miltech. So, it is complex, of course.


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But they designed for very different tasks and skills of pilots and very different thrust/weight rations of the vehicle.

Exactly–collision avoidance in radar, Doppler radar scanning of weather and monitoring systems are rather mundane tasks when compared with high G super-maneuvering with simultaneous engaging of several targets with ready firing solutions while being fully engaged in the combat net on the theater–I would say it is like comparing old VW beetle with the latest Ferrari on the racing track. Yes, those are, indeed, very different tasks and that is why there are some modern avionics companies out there and only very few, if not the only, which can provide soft and hardware solutions for what I just described. In fact, only Russia produces what I just described in full, because one can only guess what it means to have FADEC for Saturn-AL41F1S turbofans. This is not to mention sensor fusion algorithms which allow to use heterogeneous sensors (optronic, radar etc.)–it is a different universe complexity wise than what is required for decent commercial aircraft. So, it is a safe bet that those who deliver viable solutions for the latter will have very little problems for delivering much (in fact-grossly) simpler solutions for the former.


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thing about “sells political stability and survival” – it is a perfect
case of American maxim that “service already delivered no more has a
price tag”. There is no nation that truly can make a one-time payment
big enough to compensate all the geopolitical costs of protecting
pariah regimes from free democratic world. And after the geopolitical reality changed – there is no more any pragmatic reason to pay the debt.

This American maxim applies only so far. There is always clientele and there are always ways to make things profitable. Think about S-400 and SU-35 which everybody now wants, among many other things. After that comes energy–and everyone needs it.


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Here is a full text: It is from May 2018 and they forgot to mention that Brussels Airlines wet-leases SSJ-100s from Irish.

A Russian aircraft maker is exploring plans to make a modified version of its Sukhoi Superjet 100 regional airliner so Iranian airlines can buy the jet. The move comes after the Trump administration withdrew from the Iran nuclear proliferation deal last week, and reimposed sanctions on Iran.

The fresh U.S. sanctions effectively prevent Boeing and Airbus from further pursuing ongoing efforts to sell commercial aircraft to the Islamic republic because planes from both companies contain many U.S.-made parts. Russian aircraft makers, who can skirt the U.S. sanctions, are already working on deals, Russian-state owned media outlet Sputnik reports.”Russian airplane builders have a historic opportunity to receive a new foreign market for its latest designs,” Sputnik trumpeted in a second report on its English language website last week.

One potential winner: Moscow-based Sukhoi Civil Aircraft, which makes the Sukhoi Superjet 100, a twin-engine single aisle regional jet introduced in 2008. It’s working on plans to make a modified version with no parts from the U.S. so it will be legal to sell to Iran, Sukhoi Civil Aircraft President Alexander Rubtsov said. The Superjet 100 can carry between 98 and 108 passengers up to 2,385 miles. The jets have a list price of $50.5 million each, according to Sukhoi’s English website.
Sputnik said Sukhoi recently signed memorandums of understanding for 40 Sukhoi SuperJet 100 passenger planes with two Iranian airlines, involving deliveries between now and 2022.
The airlines were not identified but the deals were brewing for months after President Donald Trump threatened to withdraw the U.S. from the Iran nuclear deal. A memorandum of understanding is not quite a firm order. Iranian airlines have had difficulty finalizing deals in the past.

The Tehran Times reported that the two Iranian airlines involved are Iran Airtour and Aseman Airlines.Aseman Airlines is one of the Iran buyers Boeing was trying to win as a 737 Max customer.
In June 2017, Boeing and Aseman signed a contract for 30 737s, plus options on 30 more jets in a deal worth $3 billion at list prices. The Tehran Times reported a Sukhoi Superjet 100 jets made a landing in Tehran back in February, where Iranian aviation experts studying future airplane purchases inspected the jet. Sukhoi says it has delivered 159 Superjet 100s to date. Operators
include airlines and government agencies stretching from Russia (Aeroflot) to Mexico, Ireland, Kazakhstan, Switzerland and Thailand.


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

He should stick to topics he knows well!

It is a generation of office plankton–a product of US “humanities” field which basically makes them unemployable in any serious capacity in any serious industry, with the exception of virtual hipster “economy” like blogging, writing reviews about some…I don’t know..iPhone of Cosplay, gaming, I guess. Real world needs actual applicable serious skills–they are the real product. When the only product this generation has to sell, which is smugness, doesn’t really sell–they get frustrated and start writing all kinds of BS.


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

For example, few years ago Russia offered Iran “oil laundry” with
announced oil-for-goods swaps. Next year EU started re-blockading Iran,
and now Iran no more needs Russia and would trade with EU.

Russia remembers this, especially how Iran fast forgot about Russian favors (not to mention Russia’s natural geopolitical rear for Iran) and ran to Airbus to sign contracts. Iran was reminded recently, including after delivery of S-300s, that without Russia she would have been bombed into the stone age long ago.

https://www.bizjournals.com…

Pecking order matters, always did, always will. Russia today sells a product only she can sell (China is not even there)–she sells political stability and survival. This product is paid for in much more than just hard cash, albeit this too, but in geopolitical currency.


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Having the line of own fully made from scratch, not only competitive but extremely competitive jet engines, own FADEC, own APU, other aggregates not to speak of avionics is a huge deal. In fact, it is gigantic deal because it goes across several major clusters of industries. E.g. China is still not there. As per design–there is nothing new in principle out there, all modern aircraft are powered by the same ol’ air-breathers as it was the case 10-20-50 years ago. But the difference between 1965 and 2018 are rather startling. Until we begin to use anti-gravity nothing ever will be considered new in principle.

We also do not know how good MC-21 avionics is fitted for civilian pilots – and would not know until mass usage starts.

Avionics and soft for SU-35 or SU-30SM are on several orders of magnitude more complex than avionics for civilian aircraft, yet SU-35 and SU-30SM fly. Per mass usage–B-747 has a horrendous safety record in its first decades, yet–here we are, it matured and became a truly queen of the skies, and a very safe airplane. Technological maturity today, in the age of gigantic computing and processing power, happens much faster. Well, if one discounts F-35, other than that–it is faster.



2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In an ideal world, that should have been, as Arctic Fox stated a G2. But unipolar moment went into the head of the D.C. “elites” and we know the rest of the story. They, indeed, perceived Russian naivete and good will as weakness. Now we have this, with incredible Dmitry Zolotukhin (best ever Peter The Great with stunning similarity) from the Peter’s Youth–Shut The Fucking Window To Europe Back Tight, LOL. https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

thanks for your post and the continued opportunity to learn and also share…

My pleasure, thank you for your kind words.


2018-10-26 on sic-semper-tyrannis

In the end it will be Russians who will take the fall. Some Arab media actually reporting that Khashoggi’s murder was also some Russian intelligence operation. Man, makes me proud to be born into the nation of demigods. Russia’s omnipotence and skill in killing random people is absolutely stunning. Same as the professional level of Russia’s intelligence services;-)


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I have practically all his albums (with few exceptions)–he and Steve Vai are one of my most favorite guitar players and composers in what is wrongly defined as “metal” guitar genre. Great shredders too.


2018-10-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

IT is not that law of physics changed much during last century.

Materials did. There are only other two aircraft, from different niche, with “black” wing–B-787 and one of the As. I have a fairly good idea what is it to work with composites in aerospace (read my CV) and what it takes. Plus, I don’t do hype, I leave it to others.

Notice the wording

I did, that is why I wrote the post.


2018-10-25 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Democratic Party and many (not all, of course) of its supporters are a real danger–from suicidal identity and gender politics to unhinged progressive “brown-shirts” totally capable to start a fire they will not be able to control.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The US ought to protect its borders, and its near abroad.

Absolutely–it is most important FIRST task.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, that’s the whole point.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Obviously, any serious advanced industry does not operate on linear indices, there are many criteria which are used for judging a performance. AirInsight is correct in recalling issues with SSJ-100, which were largely resolved. Yet, the issue of fuel efficiency with full load is a crucial one and PD-14’s performance is excellent.

This sentiment will cause some airlines to refrain from buying or leasing Russian airplanes.

Undeniably so, but MC-21 right now is primarily internal Russia market-oriented aircraft which will be phasing out the fleet of older A-320s and B-737. The same as SSJ-100s beginning to make an impact on regional jet market of Russia. That is why a lot of bad “publicity” about Russian weapons–despite obvious fact of their superiority in some most crucial fields.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Absolutely, it is a well known fact that everything bad in the West is Russia’s fault, and the result of operations of influence. On a more serious note, Colonel Lang just now posted a rather grim assessment (it very much echoes Phil Giraldi’s and even Bezrukov’s of SVR POV) of “intelligence” services in the US:

Hiring and promoting policies over the last 30 years have changed the nature of the work force at the national level. The Cold War era IC work force was a lot like a monastic order. It was devoted to the trade of espionage and to analytic studiousness in modern scriptoria. They were intensely proud of the often elegant results of the work. In
the era of identity politics and political correctness the emphasis in hiring and firing has been on things like gender, race, sexual orientation, etc. The old breed are largely gone. “Showboats” are everywhere.

Russian existential question of the era–Are They Really That Dumb–stands. But part of the answer is known already.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There is a school of thought, which had a point, that Russia was supporting till recently some of former Soviet (they are, of course, not Ukrainian in any meaningful sense) high tech remnants in Ukraine for a fairly distant future when Ukraine will disintegrate and those may “come back” into the Russian fold, after all Antonov is originally Novosibirsk organization. As recent events showed, with Putin signing order on Ukrainian sanctions, nobody wants them anymore and they will be completely “phased out” as viable entities in due time. After all, PD-14 is not alone, there are PD-8, PD-18 derivatives coming. Plus issues of ship propulsion are being solved.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree, a lot of truth in your post. “Free” market and “free” enterprise is mostly for public consumption.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

that Russia stuck with capitalism

Economic fusionism in action, Russia is many things simultaneously economically.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I actually believe it will lead to gradual deterioration of what left from the Soviet Union legacy. It already happened.

This is where we diverge. Numbers are already there. Just to give you a simple example–read this:

https://ru.wikipedia.org/wi…

Then check how revitalization of Zaliv is ongoing.

http://voicesevas.ru/crimea…

Meanwhile, Zvezda is growing hourly and it is a direct competitor to Chinese and South Korean shipbuilders. With 10 Aframax already contracted:

http://maritime-connector.c…

And more very large vessels to come and then, of course, there is Navy. How’s that not an improvement? It is not just Soviet legacy, it surpasses it. And this is just one example in one industry. Guess what OSK (United Shipbuilding Corporation) is? It is state-owned corporation and it is giant.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

smoothie , what do you think of russia-chinese economic and military
cooperation in the next 5 and next 10 years ? do you foresee US govt
become more deranged and resort to open war to curb the alliance ?

Certainly possible. How probable? I don’t know. Currently, Trump Admin still acts out of firm (delusional) conviction that the United States is attractive to Russia and Trump tries to “detach” Russia from China (or vice-versa)–it is a definition of living on another planet in relation to Russia. Russian-Chinese relations, in the same time, are very complex and I don’t see them progressing to full alliance status. As per actual war and position of parties–I didn’t hink about it yet, plus, I am not a very knowledgeable person on the dynamics of the region.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, the main implication is, as paradoxical as it sounds, a confirmation of how the US is desperate to spoil the trend on its departure from its “unipolar moment”. MoD provides very serious accusations but, knowing how Russia’s MoD operates, there are all reasons to expect that the story is real (or close to real). US desperately needs some kind of “victory”, even if it is a local one and primarily media-oriented. It is also obvious that, if true, the main point of those provocations was to initiate a “full capability” regime of Khmeimim’s AD and ECM assets.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

is definitely not a “free enterprise”

Lack of reading comprehension much? Where do I state, first of all, that new structure is a “free enterprise”, please point it out, when the whole explicit point of this post is hailing of the creation of a fully nationalized hi-tech sector? As per this ever uber-liberal BS about:

How many of its employees are friends and relatives of officials?

If not for Rostec and its capabilities Russia wouldn’t, most likely, exist today as an independent state. Somehow I get the feeling that you simply want to ignore what Rostec does. I’ll give you a hint–from the concept of the submarines of the fifth generation to MC-21, to microchips–this is all Rostec.


2018-10-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It was painted on several white bed sheets sewn together.


2018-10-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

OK, during Gorshkov’s review of the Black Sea Fleet in 1979 in Sevastopol, on one of the cruisers of pr. 68 Bis a Jolly Roger made out of bed sheets was hoisted. I know who did it;)) Well, Gorshkov was no stranger to facing my naval academy, I also remember well his 1982 visit which later was reflected in very widely read literature in Russia. Truth is, military people, due to stresses of their service are prone to all kinds of petty hooliganism. Most of the time, it is harmless and often funny. I can write a separate book on this, LOL.


2018-10-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Israel is a spoiled brat, especially having US foreign policy to a large extent being designed and implemented by Israeli-firsters. But many in Israel do understand that real guarantor of Israel’s security will be Russia and this security will be provided on Russian, not Israeli, conditions. Those conditions do not allow for being spoiled brat but imply more-or-less normal behavior of Israel as a state. After all, almost quarter of Israel’s population has Russian citizenship.


2018-10-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is not, but then again–littoral does not necessarily imply “shallow” waters.

You can “play” with depths in the theater here:

http://fishing-app.gpsnauti…

Hunting subs is difficult.


2018-10-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Remember “the officer who saved the world” ?

Yes, another one, Admiral Vasilii Alexandrovich Arkhipov was superintendent of my academy. I was privileged to study under his command and know man personally.

With nukes starting from Poland there would be no such time.

And that is why Russia has national highly integrated and deeply echeloned Air and ABM defense system which is unique in the world–nothing comparable simply exists. That is why there is also a great deal of worry about S-500 in the West–the capabilities are simply mind-boggling. That is why there is full coverage radar field with over-the-horizon systems, not to mention satellites etc. Again, have you heard of Israeli strikes on Syria lately? I haven’t–it is in the second month now. And those are “merely” S-300PM2s and one S-400. Those assets in Russia, apart from obvious task of repulsing any kind of air assault on Russia proper, are also designed precisely for early warning and defeat of all types of targets–VLO, low flying, ballistic etc. So, for subsonic TLAMs launching from Poland, will have to cover 600 kilometers of Belarus and her Air Defense (that is 40 minutes) to even reach Russia’s borders, if placed in Baltic states, well, certainly possible but they will be shot down over Baltic states without even leaving their air space. It is purely technical issue and, call it a hunch, even crazies in Washington D.C. are not necessarily in such a big rush to have their asses and their prized real estate and stock options go down in flames. Another matter, that due to really low intelligence level of people like Bolton they think that they can repeat Cold War 1.0 or even some sort of purely European war with the US staying safe and later capitalizing on the situation. Well, Trump is real estate developer and a TV entertainment industry personality, Bolton is a lawyer who knows very little about real war and modern war machinery. Bar Exams, to the best of my knowledge, do not involve Salvo models, Chaos Theory or Operational Research, let alone physics and math (highly classified) of modern cutting edge weapon systems’ design. So, there you go–good ol’ boys stuck in Holy Reagan times. Indeed, they create their own “reality” as Karl Rove once said.


2018-10-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, it is not–technologies realized in Avandard are what could be defined as radical asymmetry. The United States has nothing comparable, so it is purely strategic and operational decision within precisely the field where there is no any race due to lack of any other “racer”. US Prompt Global Strike (PGS) program didn’t do that well, to put it mildly, nor hyper-sonic development is as advanced as it is in Russia. Russia trying to match the number of US aircraft carriers or submarines–that’s the arms race and that is for sure what Russia is not intent to do.


2018-10-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Difficult to say anything definitive–the info on that is scarce, but the more they deploy and try track US subs the more, obviously, they will improve. But as they say, the best ASW is another sub and here PLAN simply doesn’t compare that well with US Navy’s superb submarine force.


2018-10-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Dude, You decide if I ban you or not for pulling here a propaganda trash. You want to study history in accordance to Solzhenitsyn–be my guest, but I have a feeling that you need to visit psychologist not my blog.


2018-10-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

http://www.unz.com/article/…

Here is my year old piece precisely on INF.


2018-10-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well any last hope that Orange would at least not be as bad as other Presidents

All, not treaty capable. Russians know that.


2018-10-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Good piece. In the same time Bradbury’s Usher-II short story comes to mind. One quibble, though, we are in industrial paradigm and will remain in it (if we survive) for a long time. Post-industrialism is a figment of imagination.


2018-10-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In the end, nothing really changes

Exactly. Just some informational background (level of noise) changes–militarily it changes very little because Russia anticipated deployment of American missile systems in Poland, Romania, what have you. Iskanders, as an example, will simply receive longer range missiles. Well, more Avangards will be procured etc. The issue here is that US ABM systems turned out to be a paper tiger.


2018-10-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Isn’t the US in better position because they can deploy thousands of
nuclear armed missiles in Europe but Russia can not do the same in
Mexico? It means that Russia will have far less time to react to first
strike nuclear attack compared to the US. Just like in the Cold War.

No, it is not–one of the major reasons why US us exiting INF Treaty is a dawning realization that warfare changed, namely on March 1st. Of course, people who make decision of exiting INF Treaty are in it for some significant domestic purposes such as “revitalization” of Military Industrial Complex but this boat sailed long ago because, as I said, the gap is not just qualitative but generational. As per reaction time–modern early warning systems allow to see launches practically in real time.. So, as I said, most of the US behavior under Trump and last two (Obama, W) administrations are, increasingly, signs of American decline and last attempt to increase chaos in global system in an attempt to find ways for cure from implosion.

Same for China. I heard that the US is dropping the treaty due to issues with China too. The US can deploy such weapons near China but China can not deploy weapons in Mexico or Canada.

Again, what people miss often, despite China’s gigantic economy (this one is very real, unlike American virtual one), China’s nuclear (largely, deterrent forces) are nowhere near those of Russia. It is literally an issue of two different universes. Russia today can strike the US proper even conventionally with decapitating salvo(s)–this capability will continue to grow , once more Avangards. Petrels et all arrive. China doesn’t have such capabilities and, in fact, it is China where the US will try to realistically push since US has an overwhelming advantage over China in the ocean, primarily due to US Navy’s world class massive submarine force. China has realistically nothing to counterbalance it with. She is trying to catch up–it is not easy.


2018-10-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you for your kind words. May be down the road some publisher from Spanish-speaking nations will express interest in having the book translated.


2018-10-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

B) His Rank it suggests he was not a simple Pilot, he probably came from said System but was not current….

He was Depury something of AF Command of some area. He was not stroevoi. Having said that–he still was morbidly obese. Not on a plump side, or acceptable beer belly type–we was down right fat. Such people must not be allowed into high performance jet-fighter’s cockpit. This is apart from the fact that the aircraft completely exhausted every single resource by 2009 and not a singe repair. It is, what is known as an extreme FUBAR and a clusterfvck to top it off.


2018-10-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The German war industry could never have built up their war capacities without generous USAmerican help

Actually, Germans are known to be able to build things on their own, especially prior to June 1941 when they had whole Europe’s industries working for the Third Reich. But my issue here what is the point of posting here well-known facts of Israeli atrocities and highly questionable racial practices–what does it have to do with Russia and her revolutions? In the end, there was also Treaty of Rapallo between USSR and at that time NOT Nazi Germany. None other than Goering studied and trained, together with many other Luftwaffe officers, in Lipetsk Training Center (still exists to this day and is world-famous), while Alfred Rosenberg, one of the major ideologues of Nazism, was an alumni of a world-renown Moscow State Technological University named after Bauman. Everybody also knows that Ford hated Jewish guts. But how does it relate to Russian revolutions and history? After all, Nazi war machine was built primarily by Germans themselves.


2018-10-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is, of course, the matter of taste but here how some Tatar girls also look. Of course, Alina Kabaeva was simply drop dead gorgeous at an earlier age. Today, being grown up woman she is still beautiful, but she was simply dazzling.

https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2018-10-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Recently finished re-watching Road To Calvary (Хождение По Мукам) and Flight (Бег). Masterpieces, just hands down stunning works of movies and TV.


2018-10-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Bershidsky cannot be taken seriously in any issue related to Russia’s geopolitical situation and goals. That I can tell upfront–very few things (yes, they do exist) he writes about Russia are serious analysis. He is, after all, a banker and, from what I gather (if I am wrong, please correct) a Prohorov’s “creature”, Prohorov, of course, being one of the Oligarchs. The rest, I need to read Israel, but I can tell you also upfront–NO database contains anything on people working in deep undercover.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Remember Leonardo da Vinchi in 70s

Oh Yeah! It was superb Italian TV series and later, the accompanying richly designed and superbly printed book came out–was difficult to get, man! In the same time–Rossya Molodaya (Russia The Young), Rus’ Iznachalnzya. Volkov as Peter The Great–there simply can not be better Peter The Great ever. From striking resemblance to a superb acting.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

He actually was responding to reporter who mentioned Solzhenitsyn. Putin is decent autodidact and I think he will learn more as time progresses. He still emphasized Great Patriotic War–which always was an acid (or holy water, depends on POV) to this “preserver” of Russian people Solzh, who lied about it non-stop from Vlasov’s propaganda POV approved by Goebels, and who helped so much to millions of these very Russian people perish in 1990s. As Alexander Zinovyev, an intellect from different universe than Solzh, admitted in the moment of atonement: We aimed in Communism but hit Russia.(c) This is exactly what happened.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

With magnificent Stepanov playing him and charming Ilsa Liepa as his wife. Loved every single part of it.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

So you taught NVA officers?

Do you mean NVA as Nationale Volksarmee? Per Elliot Higgins–he has no any knowledge regarding anything Russia/USSR related. I have a post dedicated to this. It is a collection of morons, most likely on a payroll of British intelligence services, who have no clue. I am not kidding, but in Russia, including in prime time media, let alone public forums the main question today is this: are they really THAT dumb in the West? People cannot conceive that such a trash can be promoted as a valid POV.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Practically all command officer corps of Volksmarine 4th Flotilla were graduates of my Naval Academy. There are still quite a few guys registered on our, now defunct, academy web-site. They also hung out with us at our academy’s discotheques in 1970s and 1980s–many married local Baku girls.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

in Rostock

Visited Rostok in 1982, after we circumnavigated Scandinavia to the White Sea and back. Lovely town, great maritime museum. Varnemunde was also nice.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Fixed. I think it is Disqus.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I see it too–let me check.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Excellent comment! This:

Geopolitics is the consequence of European colonialism; it started when the expansionism implied in the inner dynamic of capitalist competition between European colonial powers left no longer any room for compromising arrangements (as, more or less, guided, despite all animosities, British and French arrangements to divide up huge parts of Asia and Africa, along with other colonial nations like the Netherlands, Belgium, Italy, as well Spain and Portigal).

was the truth available to even Soviet high school kids studied in the Newest History classes in the 10th Grade. In the end, WW I was in essence “a war for colonies”. But somehow Jewish role in that war (insignificant as it was) eclipses a massive clash of interests of European by far not Jewish industrial and political elites. Lenin’s definition of WW I as Imperialist stands, it is simply correct. But even that is not that important–generally, fluffy “democratic” rhetoric especially promulgated by one of the greatest falsifiers of history, Sir Winston Churchill, was to merely obfuscate baneful influences of industrial-financial elites. In general, geopolitics as a stand alone science is a fiction–it is an attempt to project physical and economic geography on development of civilizations without deep excursion into serious economic, social, military, cultural engines of the said developments. Once, however, this excursion is done–geopolitics (or in Mckinder’s title of his famous article–geographic pivot of history) becomes anything but geopolitics as it was conceived initially. It is, in fact, difficult to make any serious generalizations and develop viable taxonomies within “pure” geopolitics. If there is no treatment of the world as a system (hence Systemic Analysis) no amount of geopolitical sophistry will help.

I am currently reading John Mearsheimer’s latest The Great Delusion but even in this, otherwise, needed (I don’t have my opinion on a historic part yet–I need to finish the book) he repeats, of all people, Fukuyama’s false statement that Liberalism defeated Nazism. Meanwhile Fukuyama, who for some unknown reason continues to pass as scholar in US, publishes in latest Foreign Affairs article that..well, yeah, sort of national identity matters but should be contained within political creed. Really, La-Di-fvcking-Da, pardon my French, it took this guy two and a half decades to come up with sheer triviality understood around the globe as an everyday constant for centuries. And then, of course, the issue of warfare comes and that seems for many in “academe” an insurmountable obstacle intellectually.



2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

One div. is somewhere between 8 and 12 launchers. If to take minimum of 8, then we have 8 x 4 =32 missiles per div. 32 x 3 = 96 missiles. Per 12 launched div. komplekt it grows to 144 missiles for 3 divs.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Just read Halford Mackinde

What is important in Mackinder’s magnum opus Democratic Ideals and Reality is one of his conclusive phrases that in the end it is still up to a human to choose path and act. It should be noted, however, that Germany had her own Karl Haushofer, who admitted that one of the features which formed him as geopolitical thinker was him, during his extensive travels, seeing British Union Jack waving on naval and commercial vessels. It was infuriating to him to see the expanse and influence of Britain globally.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

That will be greatly, in fact-grossly;-)) appreciated.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Please, don’t commend him–he stole my thunder, LOL. On a serious note–a very decent summary The Arioch provided. Yes, Russo-Japanese War catastrophe and first 1905-07 Russian Revolution which could be called first national Russian peasant uprising of modern era.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I’m no ivory tower academic..

Neither am I. And I clearly understand the place you are coming from. It took me at least a decade, decent command of English, traveling around the US (driving mostly) and reading a lot of namely American writing about themselves (obviously my generation grew up with great American literature from Dreiser, to London, to Twain, to O. Henry Et al in superb translations to Russian) , including political philosophy, history, first hand acquaintance with American culture to only begin to understand things. Some of those I didn’t like, some I fell in love with and still love to this day. At least a decade to start removing myths and misconceptions.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russian Orthodox Church Outside Russia.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

but as well shaped pseudo-‘museums’ like the so-called ‘House of Terror’
in Budapest. I have visited it with my daughter – and we were rightly
shocked.)

Red Army’s soldiers and officers fighting around Voronezh in 1943 had unwritten but well known rule–Don’t take Hungarians POWs. Meaning, execute on the spot. Atrocities Hungarians committed in and around Voronezh stunned even some SS.


2018-10-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Kevin McDonald cannot offer any valuable perspective on the issue of Russian Jewry since he has no clue about Russian history of XIX–early XX century and Russia’s economy and peasant-land issue, nor is he military historian to pass any judgement on effects of warfare–a defining feature of most Anglo historiography and so called “political science”–a complete ignorance on the nature and application of military power. Most US historians, with some few and notable exceptions, simply do not operate with scales and proportions–a problem recognized by many American military professionals, even if they can hardly be termed as Russophiles.


2018-10-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

1900-s that craze of massive Navy building was not a thread better.

http://lib.ru/RUSSLIT/SOBOL…

A key fictional, too close to reality, masterpiece by Czarist Navy Captain First Rank Sobolev (Kholmogorov never heard of him, of course). Just read. A book which also defined Soviet Navy in some crucial aspects. Per what “Ifs”–Stessel literally sold Port-Arthur.I generally agree with you but Naval topic and influence of Tsushima, its legacy is too huge of an issue and requires a special treatment. This influence lives even today.


2018-10-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Excellent post. Stick around, please;))


2018-10-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

American ROCOR monk

Excellent addition. Tzarebozhie (Divinity of last Czar) is also strictly ROCOR shtick and we already know who (or what) is behind it.



2018-10-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I can only imagine what was going through Col Nehring’s mind when he
boarded the aircraft with his Ukrainian counterpart. Did he have any
second thoughts?

My thoughts exactly. Didn’t he see what he was getting himself into?


2018-10-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I served with all kinds of people, some of them were down right baboon looking while in reality being top-notch professionals and decent humans, then, of course, there were sophisticated nice looking people some of whom were simply disgusting jerks. But here is the difference–that was naval service. Here we are talking about piloting high performance fighter jet, the guy is simply fat. It is not some little beer belly, no–we are talking about morbid obesity and that, of course, is verboten in fighter aviation. Evidently this dude was the best UAF could offer to fly with US pilot.


2018-10-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

He also was a General. So, your post is a typical troll ejaculation because I quote you:

says he was Heer also

I seldom use Wiki but this is his biography.

https://www.syl.ru/article/…

Actually good that you trolled here, he was Brigadenfuhrer SS. Why I made this mistake you will not understand, but FYI SS officer wore Heer uniform too. Talk about historically ignorant.


2018-10-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Will do. You know my long-standing position which crystallized years ago after I pained myself to go over the whole spectrum of American thought on Russia, including some things which would give anyone with even rudimentary consciousness an aneurysm–Russian history in the West is primarily, with some few notable exceptions, is written by political and ideological operatives, not real historians. Sadly, that was a majority of what I had to “endure”–“studying” rubbish. I had to do it to know how those primitives think–they do think primitively. Now to Jewish question. I repost my answer to Sergei (aka Vasya Pupkin) from Unz:

you have to understand–you are talking to people whose only task is to project their depressing and colossal complex of inferiority against the background of actual Jewish dominance of US media, power structure,
foreign policy etc. In other words, they are insulted losers and cowards, who spew their BS from under some monikers, unlike Phil Giraldi’s measured and honest work, in the end–I also write about US being Israeli bully myself under my own name, and these people need to justify anything bad in the life of the US and, possibly, their own lives, by almighty Jew. Russia is merely a vehicle:
1. As an ideological reinforcer of their perverted (grossly uneducated) world view–that is “look what Jews did to Holy Russia”.
2. Russia, in their ideology, is viewed also as a potential vehicle for “settling the score” with Israel, Jews, whatever.

In fact, many people literally went completely mental–even the events with IL-20 and Russia imposing no-flight zone (in the last 30 days–not a single IAF attack) didn’t prove to them anything. That means rational thinking is not there anymore. But can you imagine their cognitive dissonance? They thought Russia was in the apocalyptic struggle with global Jew and was already under its control, with Putin being all but subverted. And here it is, Russia closes sky for Israel. They do not understand that world is much more complex–in the age of internet and of all kinds of nobodies offering their “from the couch in mom’s basement” opinions–it is difficult to orient. The amount of (info) noise is simply overwhelming. So, yes, it looks like I will have to at least try to offer rational explanation of Russian history NOT as a Jewish conspiracy.


2018-10-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Karlin, can you resign yourself to writing incompetent rubbish in your blog? But since you came here, you might as well try to answer to the post where I answered in short about Russian Czarist aviation? Not to mention that “opinions” of semi-literate hack such as Kholmogorov on anything related to actual history, geopolitics and warfare, are promoted in US only by you. So, are you game to challenge the work of Russian Czarist statisticians, general staff officers, can you challenge General Denikin, or leading Russian Imperial economists and doctors? Both me and you we know that you cannot but I can offer you parade yourself a Russophobe that you are here.

Now, per this:

a reminder that Martyanov left for the US before the Soviet corpse was cold and doesn’t know the difference between manufacturing and industry

1. We settled in the US in mid-1990s with everything we had gone by that time in Azerbaijan. You ended up in the US as a toddler and you are as Russian (not only ethnically) as I am Chinese–you know nothing about Russia.

2. OK, I don’t know the difference between manufacturing and industry. You can read my CV, I am actually working in both. Unlike you who never worked productively a day in your life.


2018-10-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

OK, Yvonne, let me be more specific on just one substantive point, I think I owe it to you, to prove to you that Kholmogorov, being uneducated demagogue, a semi-literate incomplete “humanities” hack. Here it, a quote:

Russia had its own military industries and was capable of building airplanes designed by
Sikorsky (promptly kicked out of the country by the Bolsheviks) and especially battleships, which the Soviets failed to produce a single example of. In 1941, Leningrad’s main defences consisted of battleships and the Krasnaya
Gorka fort, all built under Nicholas II. Likewise, Sevastopol fought back with coastal batteries designed under the Tsar, with Battery #35 equipped with gun carriages from the Poltava, another Tsarist battleship.

This is trash written by mentally unstable cretin:

1. Russia in Czarist times WAS NOT capable of building airplanes because what Sikorski “built” was what today will be called fuselage and a wing–all engines for Sikorski’s only aircraft of note, a bomber Ilya Murometz, were of British and French manufacturing. Ilya Murometz was produced in very limited numbers and had negligible impact on the front. Well, neither Kholnogorov nor Karlin know, of course, that the most crucial part for power flight is engine–it is expected from people who never served a day in uniform and have no viable education.. Russia had NO own engines, all were produced abroad, at best assembled in Russia. Here is Krovosheev’s famous table (of course, unlike Karlin or Kholmogorov, he is a professional military historian and lieutenant-general) of comparison of aircraft production in WW I In second from the top is Russia’s aircraft “production” in thousands.
https://uploads.disquscdn.c…

First circle (from the top) number of machine guns. .Yes, what you see what Germany produced was order of magnitude more in machine guns and airplanes. Same goes for Russia’s Entente allies Britain and France. So, to put it bluntly–Kaiser’s Germany produced 15 times more aircraft and 10 times more machine guns than this very “advanced” Csarist Russia. o, Russia depnded primarily on French and British aircraft for her service. I will omit here pure operational and industrial aspects of that–those are beyond the grasp of a BSer such as Kholmogorov, same goes to Karlin who saw real military hardware oonly in movies and computer games.

2. Here, I could easily wipe the floor with both since what they write about Soviet Navy, specifically in the defense of Sevastopol, which I lived in for years and then was connected with Black Sea Fleet, this is not to mention the fact me being class-mate of Alexy and Mikhail Chalyi (you can google who Alexei is–a historic figure), his brother–with both playing a crucial role in creating a magnificent memorial to 35th Battery. Obviously, Kholmogorov has no idea how defense of Sevastopol was organized and he mentions a coastal batteries which traditionally, around the world, were equipped with large caliber guns from older ships. That is to say–from obsolete ships. So, when Kholmogorov writes about Polatava, he should know really well that a lot in Russia’s Czarist Navy ships was not Russian at all, from generators, to radio-stations (such as French Ducretet) to high precision optics, often of French and British design and production and so on. After all–it was Czarist Navy which is known for one of the most one-sided catastrophic loss at Tsushima (google) including capsizing of Russian built Peresvet-class battleships, with Oslyabya having a dubious distinction of a first battleship sunk by gun fire alone.

So, I will stop here, because it is not in my rule to respond to bottom-feeders such as Karlin or Kholmogorov, they are BSers and ignoramuses with ambitions which eclipse their (very limited) abilities, skills and knowledge many times over.


2018-10-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is a mental asylum. Militant ignorance multiplied by complete idiocy.


2018-10-17 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Wait until it becomes clear that Israel in actuality negotiates her safety with Russia (it is ongoing as I type this)–that’s when the party will start in earnest.


2018-10-17 on sic-semper-tyrannis

and the financial system are returned to a position of subservience to the rest of the economy.

Excellent key point. But here comes a monster of a question–who will audit this whole pseudo-economic monetarist system which is completely rigged to a virtual non-productive economy. Do you know that the last year the Facebook, a site which generates vast number of mental breakdowns and has a baneful social effect, and is limited to several buildings with servers and 200 or so pages of code had several fold larger “capitalization” than Boeing which produces and enormous, beneficial tangible value not only for the US but for the world? How do you beat that, when the General Electric, which for all its faults, still produces world-class jet engines and hi-tech equipment was removed from Dow Jones Industrial and was substituted there with Wallgreen’s–a freaking retailer which sells somebody else’s added value. That is a monstrous problem.


2018-10-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is not stealing–it is free good faith fair use. They always get references and authorship–my issue is not with that. That is OK. My issue is with their position. Unites States does have issue with Israeli lobby but using Russia and her traitors (not to mention SS butchers) as a false witness is unacceptable. I will not be associated in any way with Nazi scam.


2018-10-17 on russiainsider

I categorically forbid this site, which somehow calls itself Russia-Insider (this site has no “inside” on anything re: Russia) use in anyway under any circumstances my name and content of my blog. I categorically refuse to be associated with not only largely ignorant people who run this site, but to have now this site promoting writings of OberGruppen Fuhrer SS Ataman Krasnov, known for calling on Russian Orthodox Hitler, as a valid “interpretation” of Russian history is beyond redmption. I will publish official disclaimer at my blog shortly. Those who publish this rubbish here have to understand–they have zero qualifications for passing any even remotely knowledgeable judgement on modern Russian history.


2018-10-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It looks like, for now, it is a lone teenager who went off rails. He is Vladislav Roslyakov and while any mass killing is a terrorist act by definition, a lot has to be investigated before motives and possible puppet masters could be identified. A horrible tragedy.


2018-10-16 on sic-semper-tyrannis

a stable political system

Absolutely huge factor.


2018-10-16 on sic-semper-tyrannis

i have a good friend and neighbor who retired this year from one of
americas most venerable and high precision tool and gauge makers. at his
retirement he oversaw a division which made extremely precise
(0.00001″) gauges used to repair among other things military aircraft
turbine engines. he has told me many times over the years that the
schools were not turning out graduates who could do much more than run
cnc machines. if given drawings of a project and all the machines
needed to bring it to life most could not do it without a lot of help.

It is kinda true. The kids who do moderately well in school in STEM they usually choose paths different from CNC operator and, importantly, a programmer. So, what you usually get are the kids from schools who have very rudimentary understanding of a rather basic math and easy CNC operation (especially true for 3 axis routers) and most can never overcome even basic G-coding and if they get there “there” it is mostly through learning some tricks in SolidWorks or Cam etc. There is definitely some issue with school STEM education and it may take a very serious effort to address this. But that was the issue for decades now.

trump ran on this very platform in other words and imo had a lot of very
high level people within the us government who quietly supported and
still support that effort. when you speak about the real deep state
those are the ones not the comeys, mccabes, sztrok. et al.

Very little doubt that he was supported by competent people during campaign. Somehow, I don’t think it is the case now. Especially when I look at his “team”. But I could be wrong.


2018-10-16 on sic-semper-tyrannis

It’s kinda more complicated than that. Plus, outsourcing real hi-tech is a different game altogether.



2018-10-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t know about Russia. I think it should be some kind of interest from Russian publishers expressed. That will be my guess. I know some fairly recognized Russian media were re-publishing some of my pieces they picked from Unz primarily, such as my discussion with PCR–Svobodnaya Pressa published it, but who knows? Consider also this rather sad fact–there is a very famous Andrei Martyanov in Russia–he writes fiction and fantasy, is some kind of gamer, he is also much younger than me and he graduated from medical military academy and worked as a doctor in MChS for a while. I think he, being rather recognizable name in Russia, “screens” me. That doesn’t help.


2018-10-12 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Atlantic Council has a very great Ph.D consultant, and strategists’ strategist and tacticians’ tactician, Dr. Blank. He, of all places, taught in US Army War College. He taught, of course, about Russia, since he has Ph.D in Soviet/Russian “history” or whatever passes as such in US “Russian Studies” field.

http://www.wikistrat.com/ex…

His strategic concepts are so devoid of even basic high school level knowledge of Russia (and her geography, BTW) that one is forced to ask how is it even possible to have this kind of “experts”? Among many outlandish ideas Dr. Blank proposed in his academic career dedicated to fighting evil Russians was to send US Navy to the Azov Sea to demonstrate the US Naval might.

http://www.atlanticcouncil….

This was one of the most profound facepalm moments of my life–I mean it. Not only Dr. Blank has no clue about Russia, he also has no clue about US Navy. Yet, he is an expert, alright.


2018-10-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is a sort of a stop-gap measure to maintain expertise in wide-body, including, of course, Air Force One for President, and also a sort of a hedge against CR-929. There is a definite discussion on installing 4 PD-14s instead of PS-90s on IL-96 and, in the future, once PD-35 comes around, making IL-96 two-engine wide body. That’s the talk, at least for now. A lot will depend, I think, on how JV for CR-929 will come through.


2018-10-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

SSJ-100 was conceived initially precisely as a sort-of compromise for a faster reach of the foreign markets. And yes, sabotage of Russian commercial aviation on international markets: from bad-mouthing (nothing new here) to sanctioning and delaying all kinds of procedures are to be totally expected.


2018-10-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Complexities and experience in one niche do not directly translate into other niches

Actually–they do. I have a wealth of experience with that. In fact, the whole premise of my work in the last 4-5 years is precisely that and I will quote myself here:

But for those who want to really learn—you want to know what the real economic might and geopolitical weight of the nation are, look no further than what its military can do realistically,
not in CGI animation. This is the most reliable predictor of them all in the last 100 years. Always was, always will be and that is why dogs always bark but caravan passes on
.

http://www.unz.com/article/…

In fact, well documented and catastrophic failure of Western “elites” in re: Russia almost entirely rests with your statement above. It is especially true in relation to Russia’s hi-tech indistries. But if you want to have an angle on that, here is a simple example out of very many: one of the reasons Russia leads the world in Ice-breaking is rather simple–from nuclear technology to navigational complexes, especially their, initially gyro-azimuth and gyro-verticals, and, later, inertial platforms–all of that, in a much simplified form, was transplanted directly from nuclear submarines development. One cannot navigate in higher altitudes on gyro-compass. Same goes for a huge number of applications from military space to, obviously, commercial aviation with venerable Tu-104 being an off-spring of Tu-16. And it is a technological truism that the team of designers and developers of the avionics for a mind-boggling set of integrated weapons-sensors and control systems for the state-of-the-art cutting edge fighter will have little problem developing much tamer applications for commercial aircraft. That is why there is so much worry abroad about Russian commercial aircraft. Nation which produces SU-35 and SU-57 can produce world-class competitive commercial aircraft. Empirical evidence is there and you can easily observe dyads: Eurofighter–A3…, F-15E, F-22–B-7…, SU-35, 57–MC-21. Do you see here any truly world-class Chinese fighter? Not really, hence…


2018-10-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The avionics is very different in their priorities.

The avionics are different in complexity of tasks they solve. Solutions to flight tasks in SU-35 avionics are on several orders of magnitude more complex both in soft and hard parts when compared to any commercial aircraft. Same goes to the whole range of applications from materials, to engines, to assembly culture, production setup etc. It has no relation to priorities–only to formalization of math in soft and hardware. Per An-148-it is not a Russian aircraft, not to mention the fact that it is not even being produced in Russia anymore. It is also not even in the same universe as SSJ-100, despite being a regional jet too. It was, stupidly, acquired by Russia in times to support dying Ukrainian commercial aviation and Antonov KB. Waste of time and energy. The same was the story with An-70 which was basically R&D thanks to Russia.


2018-10-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank God for SAS (Emergency Escape System–Systema Avaryinogo Spasenya). I liked the phrase of Russian cosmonaut upon landing–“Hey, That was fast”(c) LOL. I agree, though, US-Russian space alliance should have been a match literally made in heaven. Sadly, well…we know. Per preliminary version–looks like one of the explosive bolts of one of the stages malfunctioned, so the separation was deemed a failure by computer. What can I say–better safe than sorry. They need now to send another Progress to ISS–they may run out of toilet paper soon, LOL.


2018-10-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Hm, strange. I know users here do use Russian.


2018-10-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

True, but as experience of Interjet shows, not only they realized their options for more SSJ-100s, which fly to US also, but initial problems with servicing and logistics have been resolved. So, it is the work in progress. In fact, Interject had more issues with SAM engines, which are not strictly Russian but Saturn-Saffron, Russ-French JV, with Saffron responsible for the hot part.


2018-10-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

SSJ is a regional jet, if that’s what you mean? Yak 242 is what became MC-21–two very different aircraft.


2018-10-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Honestly, no. Bernhard of MOA does it better than me anyway, plus I already posted about “qualifications” of morons from Bellingcat. Everyone with a half-brain pretty much knows that British government simply invents shit as it goes and is desperate. Those who want to “believe” will continue to believe no matter what.


2018-10-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is UK Amazon–UK is long ago a place of Alice in Wonderland. On US Amazon site book is available in both formats. You can even buy it in France.

https://www.amazon.fr/Losin…


2018-10-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Daniel, thank you for your kind words, but I think you can easily address the issue by buying an e-pub or Kindle version of the book here:

https://www.amazon.com/Losi…

Or from my publisher site here:

https://claritypress.com/Ma…

In the end, you can probably contact Clarity Press directly and they will be able to help you if you want a paper copy.


2018-10-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Now I am curious to see how all those “victorious Shoigu vs Putin coup”
propagandists of recent weeks gonna twist their narrative

That S-300 PM is bad and that Putin is still controlled by Jews. It is one of the variants–I am sure they will come up with many more. Per meeting, let’s wait for official confirmation from Kremlin, albeit such a meeting could be beneficial for Israel primarily, to explain new rules to it.


2018-10-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Antey-2500 index or old S-300VM

This is what I was talking about. No relation to S-350. S-350 is interesting to me only insofar as a navalized version in a full Poliment-Redut package.


2018-10-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

S-500 is honed, albeit not exclusively, precisely for intercepts of highly maneuverable hyper-sonic weapons, akin to what was envisioned initially in mid-to-late 2000s in Prompt Global Strike program. Antey is rather anti-ballistic-biased system. But truth is, S-500 is something completely out of a left field. It certainly has full ABM capability.


2018-10-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Gorshkov just now (few days ago) successfully tested out Poliment-Redut on several types of targets–this is a milestone. So is for S-350 Vytyaz.



2018-10-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Undeniably, the geopolitical angle is there. But in the same time, everyone understands that in BRICS the only three nations which matter are India, China and Russia. So, it is a very Yin-Yang type arrangement, especially since China also is a major beneficiary of Russian mil-tech (she does have S-400s and SU-35s in Russian domestic variants) and, of course, Russian-Chinese Joint Venture on CR-929 is massive in its scale.


2018-10-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia is aware of the US on orders of magnitude more than it is other way around. I never thought I would say this in my life–but level of discussion and debate on key international issues in Russian media especially MSM, makes US media look like saving coupons publications for local grocery and hardware stores. It is simply from different universe.


2018-10-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Typical now US military pseudo-intellectual fodder, provided by some “former” whatever with (Mahir Ibrahimov) Soviet Army Ph.D. in linguistics. Sure. The paper should create vast discussion in State Duma, LOL. It is same ol’ nauseating doctrine mongering with low to zero academic or practical impact.



2018-10-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ernest, I wish I have more time. Believe me, I am a very busy man and sometimes I simply forget things. Per quantum technology–I need time to get a good enough grasp of it to convey it in a simpler form.



2018-10-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Then they are not diplomats.


2018-10-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Hm. I thought that “color revolution” in Syria is getting to the close, no matter number of diplomats. As per things “for naught”, Putinvseslil, Russia turns other cheek, everything is going to hell–I hear this tune on a daily bases, for the last five years.


2018-10-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Respond how? Zaharova already stated what’s necessary. How do you respond to morons? Albeit, they are not that moronic, they worry about weapons–that means they are scared, that also means that some of them are rational enough.


2018-10-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

and what is to stop Assad from going full SMERSH on their asses

Russia.


2018-10-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t know where this conclusion of yours comes, but Nautilus, same as DDT, same as Mashina etc. became, fast at that, liberal establishment heralds and as such have been promoted wildly since mid-1980 through early 1990s–because they gladly obliged. And no, we do not discuss just political content of the songs–for that there are bard (avtorskaya pesnya) genre and that is precisely where most of Nautilus and likes belong since they wrote bard songs framed into some “rockish” style. Pop Carmen has more rock music in their songs than Nautilus ever had. But that is life. In 2000 or 2001 (before 9/11) our Dish Network Russian package included NTV and I believe it was on Isheevea’s and Hunga show that all those “rockers” from Butusov to Nikolskyi etc. were discussing with sorrow how they lost that “thing” in the midst of bacchanalia of pathetic popsa and one of them (not Butusov for sure) gave a concise explanation of their demise, almost verbatim–we forgot that rock is first of all–music, instead of writing music we started writing slogans. This is not to mention the fact, that most of them could barely play and sing anyway. Mind you, this was when Aria was playing to packed stadiums. Here is my friend Oleg Plastinkin–he is a winner of all-Russian guitar players contest of 2004 and then played lead-guitar with Kozlov’s Arsenal for years. I have Oleg’s and Igor’s (his brother) original (both are amazing composers) and cover pieces. This is the level of music composition and playing which is beyond the reach of all those “rock-stars” such as Nautilus and they know it. How I know it…well, let’s leave it alone for a while. This is not even his best–I know and have his best.

https://youtu.be/CAToB0wC4mg



2018-09-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The only and truly great representation of Ural’s Rock was San Sanych Pantykin’s Sonance and, of course, Urfin Juice. Theirs “15” (Pyatnashka) album of 1982 is simply beyond the reach of highly derivative Butusov–simply different leagues musically. The time of the top form of Kormiltsev. In fact, Urfin Juice together with few other projects, such as Kuzmin’s and Chernavsky’s Dunamik and, pure Chernavsky’s Banana Islands, or Aftograf were musically simply several cuts above most of what came later in mid-1980s on under auspices of Russian Rock.

https://youtu.be/G7mLzOtPSoA



2018-09-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The main complain for Serve the Soviet Union (Служу Советскому Союзу) TV was–enough showing pr.205 Missile Boats and mine-sweepers, can we show something better? I remember our GDR contingent being given the tour of our academy’s “closed” for them areas, including what was a replication of some crucial parts of SSBN of project 667 BD (Delta-II class). They were stunned–they could not believe capabilities and technologies involved then. That was about 1 hour tour. It also showed how Russians trusted Eastern Germans. No one else was allowed anywhere near those facilities. Today, their remnants could be seen on Google Maps.



2018-09-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

According to QM the probability of that is NOT zero. It is low, but it is possible.


2018-09-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I will prepare a separate post about it, because it is very important topic and requires special treatment and me gaining enough insight to be able to explain it in a simpler language. Obviously in quantum communications and radar issue of quantum entanglement is involved. This issue is down right scary–just simple view: so called “paired” elementary particles know what what each-other is doing across massive distances. They change spin the same way and do other bizarre things through some invisible “connection”.


2018-09-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There are no examples here as of yet. In the next post I do present examples of artillery duel. In missile salvo missiles could be dependent events–consider situation when first missile from the salvo of say 4, hits the ship thus disabling its EW suite, the rest of the missiles thus “increase” the probability of the hit since will be less affected by jamming.


2018-09-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know Israel personally and he is a fine journalist and human. I, actually, agree to a large extent with what he wrote.


2018-09-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, it is in your words. But no doubt–combat experience and real (not fixed as some did) war correlates are priceless.


2018-09-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Omegas (real ones) are highly classified parameters obtained through actual combat, exercises and trials. Plus, analytically and through serious modelling.


2018-09-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In old Russian Army and Navy soldiers and seamen literally dressed before battle (see Tolstoy’s prose or anything written on Varyag, among many other things), also, anyone who was to attend everyday general military duties, from guarding the flag of the unit to staying a watch over whatever–they were dressed, sometimes in parade uniforms, hence also Naryad, which in Soviet times became the euphemism for any military duty. Naryad Sil (Force Required) is official operational term used everyday in staffs and in the field.


2018-09-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

https://tass.ru/v-strane/56…

Just one example out of many. The reason it didn’t work in USSR was utter incompetence of Gorbachev and party “elite”. Plus, they were more interested then not in conversion but in privatization.


2018-09-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russian higher education in STEM field, and even high school one still remains very potent–one of the best in the world. These are workers (modern–I underscore it) professions which require serious boost. It is being done. Paradoxically, programs such as Air Washington, which was tasked with preparing labor force for aerospace (mostly Boeing) were somewhat similar.

https://www.coeaerospace.co…

The issue were students. Many were to put it mildly not very good material. But still. What Russia does now, however, she reopens good ol’ Soviet specific plant attached GPTU and technical colleges–this is the way to go.


2018-09-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, to be honest, it started much earlier–in mid 1800s with Jeune Ecole, and then, of course, there was INS Eilat sunk by P-15 in 1967.


2018-09-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know who wrote this “article”:))) I usually do not read this kind of staff.


2018-09-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

they also tend to overestimate their capabilities.

Evidently, you are not acquainted with Operation Trident, which among very many other examples, constitute another trend–underestimation of own capabilities.


2018-09-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Vast majority of what specifically Russian VPK does are dual-use. Conversion is also in plans.In fact, it is already underway.



2018-09-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It depends whose quote is that–if it is from any discussion boards to many “expert” military sites–it is not surprising.


2018-09-25 on sic-semper-tyrannis

John Helmer is very imaginative on Russian affairs, but most of the time he speculates. He applies to Russia American (or generally Western) metrics of how government-media “complex” operates in US and he is dead wrong. He obviously doesn’t understand how Russian military operates (which is no surprise), and, of course, any discussion between permanent members of Russia’s Security Council can always be “interpreted” as something else. And then, of course, a man who calls Russian General Staff “Stavka (in full Stavka of the Supreme Command”) should immediately raise suspicion. Stavka existed for 4 years, from 1941-45, during Great Patriotic War. It was way MORE than just General Staff. Stavka operated under the auspices of the GKO–State Committee on Defense. Any reference, if any was implied, to Stavka as in Russia’s Tsarist Army is altogether–utter amateurism and BS.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

but I felt the contradiction between MOD and Putin

No contradiction, Putin does listen to arguments. It is a well-established fact. After all, Kutuzov, per Tolstoy’s War and Peace, was trying to reign in Russian officers’ desire to give a general battle to Napoleon. When he understood that it was the time–Borodino happened. Military will always have more aggressive posture in a conventional framework, but it is Putin who ties together all necessities and makes a decision, he is Supreme Commander after all.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Though the latter ones are probably very EW-prone.

USSR very early had a very effective technology of radio-altimeters’ suppression and that is what happened when those TLAMs simply disappeared, whenever that salvo at “chemical weapons” at Shayrat happened–my memory is foggy.

Also to some degree there are optical guidance systems, and surface-scanning radio-reflection guidance systems.

There are all kinds of methods, including notorious TERCOM and other, optronic, means, especially on terminal. Per modern EW–we’ll see. Something tells me, and call it a hunch, that new generation of them is a game-changer. Some, only some, of those capabilities have been demonstrated in Donbas and provided an operational, technological and cultural shock to…well, US Armed Forces.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I have Jewish friends, one of the best American TRUE Russian scholars and a voice of sanity is Dr. Stephen Cohen–a Jew. Well, Ron Unz is a Jew.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Any stand-off weapon by definition is INS-driven. Aka Inertial guidance. Israeli Delilah, for example, has INS-guidance with GPS mid-course and near terminal correction.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thanks Evald, you never disappoint. Great job. I also loved Project 22350 in the Caspian Sea;-)


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Izvestiya, that is I think a big Hurdle to overcome in Trustworthyness….

True, pretty much any liberal (Commersant, RBC etc.) and other “outlets” such as Iz are, well, let’s put it this way–very dubious. In the same time, who would’ve thought that Komsolmolka will produce a top notch material (courtesy of Baranetz) on IL-20. I guess, stranger things happened before.

A) Security maintained without Syrian ‘Trust’
B) Russia to ensure a wide ‘Net’ over Syria and all Targets that Israel etc may desire to hit but without the risk of Syrians incompetence and likewise – without the ‘valid target’ that Syrians would present
C) Russia maintains the image of supporting its Ally – Syria whilst also not completely burning some the Bridges with Israel or trusting some its most valuable export Prospects to a Client whom is considered a ‘valid Target’
D) All Actors know the risk in hitting this assets, and Russia maintains its Operational Control AND Supports an Ally – but without burning a Bridge completely nor with absolute dependance on Syrian capability

Let me put it this way: Syria is a snake-pit of dual, triple and what have you loyalties and I am sure OOs (military counter-intelligence) do and will have their hands full–after all, facts of significant strata of SAAs high command being actively pro-Iranian, as well as many facts of plain simple jealousies and envies are well documented–it is ME, after all. How the security will be organized? I don’t know, I assume Russia knows what she is doing. Per relations with Israel–Russia will need Israel (and vice-versa) once the end, which is in sight, of active phase hostilities starts approaching for a simple reason–intelligence and counter-balance. The most important issue in any war is the question of contributions and costs and Iran, for all its status of an ally, is a wild card. This is just one facet out of many. There is an issue of Golan Heights, there are other things involved which will require settlement or arrangements of some sorts and all this because of the fact of the US being dramatically reduced in the ME. So, there is no easy way to answer all that.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I doubt this issue has any relevance nor importance for what is going on.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t think he will be able to answer–I just banned him. He really needs, well, let’s call it help.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No inertial system exists without correction, from GPS/GLONASS to celestial correction in ballistics. Even with all modern lasers and other new physical principles, all INS have the issue of a drift (uhod). That is why the main method of correction is GPS for western nations and GLONASS for Russia.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Helmer is a very strange fellow and, I suspect, he is very unreliable. I don;t read him at all.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you for your kind words. I am trying my best.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

EW means, of full domestic use, are already in Syria. So, the jamming starts once systems are fully deployed. Possibly already. EW means are even more sensitive than S-300.


2018-09-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Dude, doing hard-drugs is not good for you. I think you came to a very wrong place for this kind of “opinions”. I think it is better for you to leave before I ban you.


2018-09-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Israel (and the US) have to get used to dealing with “opponent” which is in no way inferior, and in some aspects superior, in its C4ISR capabilities. New paradigm, although to be frank–not that new.


2018-09-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am curious as to who will man these systems.

Syrian officers Mustafa Ivanov and Akhmed Petrov;-)


2018-09-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, this was expected

This was expected from the get go.

Also, it is quite interesting to see on the net the flurry of articles that Russian MoD forced this move on poor Putin which has to face the discord and disobedience of his generals.

There are many eggs currently to be washed off the faces of all kinds of internet “experts”.


2018-09-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

AESA are more resistant to jamming, but PESA has its own benefits. Passive channels allow a much greater range of detection, as an example, when using weapons. It is impossible today to control emissions with 100% reliability. Once target emits (and it will)–there you go. Another example, for Positiv (IIRC) radar which is installed on Karakurts, passive channel allows over the horizon targeting for 3M54. So, when PESA used in combination with other sensors, such as IRST (sensor fusion). So there are many pro and cons for each system, but any modern radar has to have passive channel.


2018-09-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Those are single issue “warriors” who basically know shit about Russia. But then again, any warning on not studying Russia properly having a baneful effect, usually falls on deaf ears.


2018-09-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is a well-known fact that Putin (and Russia) are controlled by Jews, because Putin didn’t go out immediately on TV and started screaming, threatening, calling Israel bad names and, preferable by many, he absolutely didn’t roll on the floor. He should have. This massive empirical evidence points out to Putinvseslil and Putin being in the pockets of neocons. Wait, there are no neocons in Russia and American political (sad, I may add) experiences do not apply there.


2018-09-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Sure, there is very little doubt that Russia will change the posture. It could be anything–from S-300 PMU for Syria to who knows what else–maybe even additional interceptors to Khmeimim. S-500? I doubt it will be deployed:

1. It is a completely new system and a very prized one. It is in IOC now.

2. S-500 capabilities are excessive for the theater, unless Russia expects to shut down Israels nuclear deterrent, which is not in plans, I think. S-400 and S-300 PMU2 are more than capable to shut down the skies over area. There are also BUK-M3 which may augment the whole system.


2018-09-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

And any sense of legality, due process, propriety is shredded in the storm winds.

Exactly. This is most worrisome. US obviously not an angel and never was but there was one huge factor which played, apart from good living standard, for the US always and attracted many (yours truly included)–US was viewed as the Land of Law. Yes, give and take, but there never was doubt that one will have his day in court, both real and of public opinion. It is completely gone now. It happened in a front of my very own eyes–it is a surreal experience.


2018-09-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I usually do not take rumors seriously but there is very little doubt that Russia does have options in Syria. There is also no doubt that Israel is in a hot seat now and Russia wouldn’t mind keeping Israel there for a while.


2018-09-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I may, but then again–the whole “spread”, so to speak, became clear the moment IFF issue was removed. After that, it is just putting last strokes on the canvas. Israel is directly culpable, the last thing now is to completely establish its intent (or lack thereof) and then go on figuring out procedures of Syrian AD and interaction with Russian contingent there.


2018-09-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Sure, no problem. Feel free to use it, just mention my name.


2018-09-20 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Correct me if I’m wrong but the impression given is that the Russians
aren’t interested in any of that. They just want to get the job done
and finish.

You may say so. As in definition of strategy which is developed for attaining political objectives of war. Many of those objectives have been met already.


2018-09-20 on sic-semper-tyrannis

RE(Appearance) of P-800 Yahonts (Export term for Onix) in Syria’s arsenal is certainly possible. Among other possibilities. I can imagine what a loud noise will be in media, granted that Russian-operated Bastions are already in Syria. .


2018-09-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Andrey, I want to be clear, my point was not to contradict yours but to indeed add to your Criticism.

I totally got it, that is why I upvoted you;-) I just simply added a heart surgeon analogy. In the same time Galleottis of our time are same ol’ Lyapis-Trubetskoys from 12 Chairs in search of “Животворящие источники gonorarov”


2018-09-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You just confirmed my thesis, that I can not be an “expert” in open heart surgery and I completely understand that and act accordingly. Here is the issue with contemporary “military expertdom”–they have no idea how complex and difficult Military Science, for which in Russia people get MS and Ph.D degrees, is. But then again, I am writing a second book on that right now. Per Galeotti being a pleasant man–there are many pleasant people around, but being there is no such profession or expertise as being a pleasant man. I don’t want when undergoing open heart surgery (God forbids) to be operated on by pleasant under-qualified man, I would rather prefer an obnoxious, arrogant and foul mouthed world-class professional doing it. It is akin to Start Wars movies which lobotomized sci-fi genre, that late Tom Clancy (or rather John Lehman, then Secretary of the Navy) who lobotomized and trivialized one of the complex fields of expertise which is war. You can observe it right now, this very minute with the unfolding situation with IL-20’s tragedy. As per competitiveness in the field–I personally am not competing with anybody, my task (I know it sounds pretentious) is to get to the truth.


2018-09-20 on sic-semper-tyrannis

No, IFF wasn’t involved there in any way and as I stated in the beginning on the 17th, once Ionov’s statement became available, it all came down to a classic, oldest trick in the book–masking by the use of much higher RCS target. That target happened to be IL-20.


2018-09-19 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Do you have a link…?

Of course I do have a link, I also have some very juicy updates from active senior officers of Russian VKS Main Staff and AD Regiment, fresh from Syria. Per specific Ionov’s answers, here is his interview to Zvezda (in Russian).

https://zvezdaweekly.ru/new…


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This is from Haustov’s interview and he reviews basic tactical things about IFF. He also gives a description of how F-16s could have used IL-20 as a mask. He describes the case in which Syrian S-200 possibly had IFF compatible with Russian, but as General Ionov noted and it is a fact–export versions of S-200s were not properly equipped in terms of IFF. Do not forget, S-200s has been completely removed from Russian service long time ago and, most likely, Haustov is speaking from the point of view of Soviet versions of S-200s which he probably encountered, in best case scenario, in review of the old Soviet AD Systems in his military academy. The same as our introduction course in 1980s into guided missile technology started with a venerable P-15 Termit which was, effectively, 1950s design. Then, after that, we went onto more modern things;-))


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I think that is a possibility. We’ll see but Israeli military delegation is on its way to Moscow and this is very significant.



2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Nothing “breaking” about it, same measures were taken about a week or so ago–a closure of many areas due to exercises. Will see where it all goes, but IAF Commander arrives to Moscow tomorrow–unprecedented step on usually adamant Israel part. So, will take it from there–but very little doubt that Israel’s posture and MO is already being “pressed” into a significant change. If that wasn’t bad enough, now Turkey accused Israel of recklessness and of sabotaging this “good” Idlib agreement. Turks have a point. It is finally getting warmer and curioser and curioser(c). But yes, the tragedy was, indeed, a result of many bad factors which came together in the most unfortunate way.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Igor Korotchenko is very direct in what has to be done (his opinion is within Haustov’s interview):

1. Fire Israel’s Defense Minister;
2. Apologies and compensations for families;
3. After that begin a discussion on what is allowed and what is not.

Seems sensible to me for starters.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No new info but with what now becomes an avalanche of very good information from really competent Russian sources, it becomes clear that French weren’t involved, plus in the fog of war somebody could have simply been quoted by “journalists” wrongly. After all, there was also RAF Tornado from Cyprus in the area, but it was one hour before the event and Briton left for the base way before the tragedy unfolded.


2018-09-19 on sic-semper-tyrannis

The Syrian S200 doesn’t sound very plausible at all…first is the fact
that the missile would not lock onto a target squawking a friendly IFF
code…that’s a pretty big one right there..

Export variants of S-200 missiles never were supplied with IFF (if any at all) compatible with Soviet/Russian systems. I guess former Deputy Chief of Main Staff of Russian Air Force Lt. General Ionov knows a thing or two about it, when made his statement yesterday precisely on this issue.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This certainly seems very likely.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Be extremely careful with all those “independent” war reporters and “information” they provide.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

A U.S. Patriot missile shot down a British Panavia Tornado GR.4A of No. 13 Squadron RAF, killing the pilot and navigator. Investigations showed that the Tornado’s identification friend or foe indicator had malfunctioned and hence it was not identified as a friendly aircraft.[159][160]

U.S. Patriot missile batteries fired two missiles on a U.S. Navy F/A-18C Hornet 50 mi (80 km) from Karbala, Iraq.[166] One missile hit the aircraft of pilot Lieutenant Nathan Dennis White of VFA-195, Carrier Air Wing Five, killing him. This was the result of the missile design flaw in identifying hostile aircraft.[167]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wi…

This happens all the time, I and my ship we almost died under friendly fire from ship next to us in line behind us. The electric wrist for nose AK-230 didn’t engage and didn’t release limiting rods thus not turning the turret and shot all 40 (20 per barrel) 30-mm combat rounds at us instead of 90 degrees away from us–we got lucky like hell to be alive. It is technology, it is complex and it fails as well as procedures fail. Even IFF is not a 100% guarantee. That is why people attend military academies and get their graduate degrees in combat technology apart from tactical education. It is all complex, and that is why laymen are usually very badly informed on real issues which accompany professional military service. Let’s put it this way–real military is not Tom Clancy’s novel, not even close. Some of those issues are altogether–highly classified.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

“Russia has paid a heavy price for its unwillingness to exploit its
superpower position in Syria, and for its failure to prevent any
external force (US, EU or Israel) from bombing its allies in a theatre
under its own control and dominance. In order to protect a perimeter
where its forces were deployed, the US attacked and killed hundreds of
Syrians in the al Tharda mountains under Obama, and hundreds more in
Deir-Ezzour and al-Badiya. By contrast Israeli missiles flew over the
Hmaymeen Russian-Syrian airport and the US Tomahawks which hit the
Shuay’rat airport travelled over the heads of Russian forces”, said the
source which is part of the Russian command in Syria.

Plus he uses “decision-making sources” several times in article.


2018-09-19 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Hahahahha good try smoothie

Yeah, I am not evidently very good in conveying sarcasm.


2018-09-19 on sic-semper-tyrannis

There is a growing sentiment, that Russia is handling too softly the attacks on its armed forces.

Growing among who? Armchair strategists? Granted, I am one myself.


2018-09-19 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Perhaps there is some divergence between Russian political and military policies with regard to Israel.

This divergence is mostly a fantasy of Western political class and media. They project their own view on how their own government operates (or rather does not) onto Kremlin and that is why they always wrong.


2018-09-19 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Right. One must ask why Putin is acting this way. He has actually
taken Trump off the hook. If the offensive had gone in Trump would have
been under a lot of pressure to take military action when the WH drama
played out.

Bingo! Plus a chance for Turkey to clean up her act a bit. It is a good old anecdote about two bulls (old and young) standing on the hill looking down at the cows’ herd.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But for that one has to actually read and comprehend the article–obviously he didn’t, picked some things out of the context and presented it as a fact. Obviously the “opinion” of some Russian “officer” in Magnier’s piece that some Israeli missiles “flew over our heads” is another obvious exhibit of a complete baloney.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia chickened out due the threat of large military attack against Syria.

You evidently do not understand what “large” military attack is. You come across as Hasbara troll who already offered two highly dubious “sources” and now begins to move the goal posts. Again. Here is your quote from Elijah Magnier who quotes some “source” in Russian Command in Syria. I, who unlike Magnier, am a former cadre officer of said Soviet/Russian forces can tell you one thing (apart from obvious fact of me, by the virtue of the environment, education and experince knowing about Russian military on orders of magnitude more than Magnier) that his sources is imaginary,at best: Per other matters.

1. Russia didn’t chicken out but decided to keep Turkey close and gave it another go; You obviously missed some ships and subs in Med, but never mind.

2. I introduced you to a high ranking CIA officer with some insights from CENTCOM and what actually happened with TLAMs;
3. I am not interested in opinions, especially on Russian strategy and her military, from some war reporter with degree in terrorism (whatever that means), especially in terms of combined arms warfare and netcentric warfare.

Feel free to follow Mr. Magnier, he certainly has his own audience, but, as I said, he, obviously, lies on his “source in Russian Command”. Why I know this, is a separate matter altogether. Right now I am just deciding if to ban you as a troll or give you another go.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Really. Here is CIA high ranking officer whose identity is known to the owner of the blog, himself Arabist and retired Colonel, Green Beret.

http://turcopolier.typepad….

So, you do sound as a troll and I think you found a wrong place to expose your ignorance. Try to find some gamers’ and military porn forums (there are plenty of those around) and try to push your ideas there.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Decision-making sources said “Russia was seriously concerned about the
US and European intention to destroy the Syrian army in the event of a
staged chemical attack. The US had managed to gather behind it a
coalition including Britain, France and Germany to bomb Syria, making it
very difficult for Russia to react militarily. Putin is aware of US
intentions and is not in Syria to start WWIII but to stop the war. But
it goes against US interests to see Syria recovering and Russia
expanding its control in the Middle East”.

This is immediate red flag on those “sources”, especially when one considers a “coalition” of barely flying 4 German Eurofighters, France, whose Macron in April openly begged Putin not to sink French ships and I am not event talking about required weight of salvo in order to “destroy” SAA, Iranian forces and Hezbollah. So, no–these are not reliable “sources” if that is what you mean. I do have huge doubts about “source” in Russian Command in Syria, apart from grossly distorted “version” of the events of April 13. Yes, I call it BS. In fact, I know it is.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I will try to concoct something readable starting tomorrow. But, IFF is an electronic Interrogation “Friend-Foe” system which prevents “friendly fire” and allows to identify on radar where are “friendlies” and where are bogies by different means (marks, color, notes etc.). In older radar “friendly” marks were small arches underneath (on some above) radar mark of the target. Export variant S-200 (and that is precisely what Syria used) are not equipped with IFF blocks compatible (because of high sensitivity of the technology) with Russian assets.


2018-09-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

According to John Helmer

This is the part where I should stop communicating seriously with anyone invoking this name.

There are people in the russian military who agree with this view.

Link, please.


2018-09-18 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Does Israel really care? It seems that Bibi Netanyahu and Avigdor
Lieberman believe they can act with impunity since no one has held them
to account to date.

Yes she does, otherwise CO of IAF wouldn’t have been on his way to Moscow and Bibi urgently calling Putin. Once one gets more complete details of the event, such as teeny-weeny fact of Russia not providing Syrian AD (and with a good reason) with own IFF technology and codes–things become much more clearer. This was confirmed today. Of course military counter-intelligence still has to do its due diligence but it increasingly begins to look more as FUBAR rather than some “special” operations. Most likely, in fact highly likely, IAF F-16s were detected and tracked (and even possibly locked on) by Syrian S-200 and they “masked” (the oldest trick in the book) by descending IL-20. Putin was explicit in his conversation with Bibi that Israel not only violates Syria’s airspace but violated previous agreements with Russia on matters of attacking Syrian/Iranian targets. There will be consequences and Putin also was explicit today when stated that, and I quote, “everyone will notice them”. While it is a sad day for Russia and is agony for families of the crew, it is also clear (and thank God) that France and her ship had no hand in it whatsoever.

Is Putin between a rock and a hard place in Syria? He’s committed
significant capabilities to assist Assad in regaining control of Syrian
territory, but FUKUS and Turkey are playing a spoilers game with the
possibility that they could enter the Syrian conflict with an even
larger force structure.

Actually, he didn’t commit “significant” capabilities. They are very moderate by Russia standards. You want to see significant capabilities–Google Vostok 2018. That’s significant. The appearance of new capabilities in Syria is long overdue, precisely for the reason that it is Russia who is keeping a barrel to Turkey’s temple, not the other way around. They are needed their anyway just in case FUKUS decides to respond to absolutely unexpected and evil chemical weapons attacks by Assad.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There were clear cut ROE between Russia and Israel. Putin today told Bibi that Israel violated them. IAFs F-16s were tracked by SAA’s S-200 radar, most likely even further away from IL-20 (I am sure IAFs Emission and Lock On systems were screaming) and being in the area of IL-20 which was approaching for landing it almost “makes sense” tactically to hide behind huge RCS slow turboprop. What should have happened, however, at the SAA’s S-200 crew (raschyot) should have been aborting the engagement. The rest we pretty much know. This is the picture which emerges as of now. The fact that IAFs Commander is on his way to Moscow is a testimony to the fact that on, at least, operational level there was no any intent to “engage” IL-20.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Putin made to Bibi some interesting “presentation” during phone conversation right now: (in Russian only for now)

https://ria.ru/syria/201809…

That Israel not only violates Syria’s sovereignty but also violated Russia-Israeli agreements. In diplomatic language it means–no fly zone most likely. It also means, most likely, a dramatic change in ROE and new Russian-manned S-30PMU or S-400. I don’t think Syrians are ready yet for a technology that complex. Of course, in coming days we will learn more but the initial set up, so to speak, is kinda emerging already now.

Already comments of the “IAF can do whatever it pleases”, “Israelis are
years ahead on EW from anyone, look how they confused Syrian ADs”, “Russia cannot stop Israel” etc type, however stupid, are formed in the minds of the many. And one day maybe politicians might believe that their country is invincible (how can a professional military man argue when all the people see are successes?) and do something really stupid.

Internet was invented for amateurs and ignoramuses expressing their “opinions”. It is to be expected, especially from the audience whose only acquaintance with serious military service and technology is through video games and Youtube.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Aren’t you in a wrong blog? There are many armchair strategists and gamers blogs and forums around who are in a full mobilization mode, as I type this, to fight world’s evil by means of moving from chairs to couches, making themselves another sandwich and issuing orders on deployment of troops. I am always fascinated by internet warriors who are incredibly good at contingency planning and combined arms warfare, while fighting wars to the last life of… not their own.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Chinese TV couple of days ago invited Russian (LOL) military “expert” Pavel Falgenhauer to comment on Vostok-2018. Yes, it is the same as inviting me to comment on open heart surgery.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree 100%–the issue of ROE is in the foundation of this whole situation.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yet another broad and purely propaganda statement from you.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No doubt, Syria’s AD procedures (ROE) must be looked into now.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The friendly fire story is already on offer by western media. They blame
the Syrians for it (to twist the knife a wee bit more.) While
plausible, it is also plausible that it is merely the face saving avenue
of retreat offered to Russia. We in the public will never know for
sure.

Doesn’t work like this anymore. For a simple reason–the deal on Idlib with Turkey is coming into effect and Turkey will sort SOBs out one way or another, or operation commences. That makes absolutely no difference if Russia “admits” a “friendly fire” or not–nothing changes strategically. By far more likely scenario here is that someone’s nerves begin to give and it is equally applicable to Israel (no news here) and to France which suddenly started seeing herself as a valid player in Syria ready to bite the piece off. Somebody is surely upset with whatever was settled between Erdo and Putin in Sochi yesterday.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

If Israel is a culprit–agree. No fly zone.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I’m really ignorant about military matters, but shouldn’t Russian radars have a clear picture of what happened already?

Russian plane with turned on IFF should be marked as “friendly”, so no targeting (lock on and tracking) on it can be produced. So, while not completely impossible, the version of “friendly fire” is also of fairly low probability.

I mean, otherwise, in a shooting war, every fatality would need several hours of inquiry and investigation before clarifying who did what and eventually retaliating?That seems absurd

No, it doesn’t seem “absurd” because it is one thing to deal with couple of KIAs and wounded, totally another of sinking a NATO Frigate with couple hundred crew and symbol it represents.

If I had to bet, I’d bet on the Israelis, that’s their style. USS liberty

IF true–then real no fly zone and shooting SOBs the moment the leave Israeli airspace. But that has to be solid justification, not some knee-jerk reaction.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

IF true, there are several ways of dealing with it. But before all facts do not come in there is no reason to assume things other than very generally.


2018-09-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

How about getting facts straight, for starters? Could it be a “friendly fire” incident? Certainly possible. Then what to do after that? Bomb Israel, sink French Frigate?


2018-09-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Truth to be told, for all British heroism and superb professionalism in 1982 they realistically were 2-3 Exocet hits away from failure. Lucky for them Argentina ran out of them and Reagan Administration IIRC made some hints on authorization of nukes. So, it was touch and go all the way till the end.


2018-09-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, actually, UK Armed Forces’ capabilities are rather unimpressive–to put it mildly. In fact, the actual combat readiness of these forces is somewhere around Russian Army’s circa mid-1990s. This is not to mention that in some key technologies UK is completely dependent on the US and is NOT an actual global player. Spoiler, provocateur? Sure. It has huge problems with her Armed Forces. So, as Pink Floyd once sang: Quiet desperation is the English Way(c) but we have to take into account to what degree British society and especially elites degenerated since The Dark Side of The Moon hit the shelves in 1973.


2018-09-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

By now, I am pretty sure, Russia learned how to bargain and knows extremely well the level of trust (or otherwise) afforded to each partner (opponent).


2018-09-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But you see–you do have actual skills in logistics. That’s the difference. You do have actual applicable skills and as you may recall the famous truism: while amateurs talk about tactics, professionals discuss logistics. But once logistics is sorted out the issue of real tactics comes into play and that has very little to do in modern armed forces with merely Combat Manuals, however crucial, but how network is set up. There are currently only two armed forces in the world who are capable to operate within unified battle-space–US and Russia. The rest are not even close operationally. China is trying to catch up, she may yet. Plus in Vostok 2018 Russian and PLA units operated as a unified integrated force–this is unprecedented.


2018-09-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The whole Galeotti’s piece is one huge exhibit of a major butthurt. The clue to this is this phrase from his article:

The headline figures for Russia’s Vostok (or “East”) military exercises, which began yesterday, are dramatic: 300,000 soldiers, 36,000 tanks and other vehicles, 80 ships, and 1,000 aircraft operating across more than half the country. That’s double the size of the British armed forces.

Galeotti is a product of British family and education. That explains a lot.


2018-09-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

So. That is why Erdo is in Sochi–to get some kind of deal for now for his SOBs.

I doubt Turks are going to withdraw after December 15.

For those who remember what happened to Turkey after shooting down Russian SU-24, one has to recall that it is Russia who administers a level of pain, not the other way around.


2018-09-15 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I believe he was a Colonel, Colonel…

He was a Colonel Maxim Maximovich Isaev of GRU. He was known to Center (Alex) as Justas and he was Standartenführer SS Shtirliets Max Von Otto (btw, Berlin’s Tennis champion and the member of NSDAP since 1929 IIRC).


2018-09-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This requires some thinking about and expanded response. It is Friday, however, LOL. Man, I would love to write fiction novels like in Paperback Writer.


2018-09-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Me neither, especially since C.C. is NOT Совершенно Секретно (Completely Secret in Russian = Top Secret in US) because it MUST contain GRIF (Гриф Секретности) a classification code which must be legible and leave NO doubt about importance of the document. I know, I had Form 1A (Особой Важности–Special Significance=Code Word in US) clearance. The Maximum which can be compressed is Сов. Секретно. Kinda like T.Secret. I am stupefied by the creeps who today pass as “experts”.


2018-09-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Matvienko is not really liked. Natasha is somewhat on a wild side with her “Tzarebozhie”, albeit the girl is one tough cookie and commands respect of many (mine too), but Masha (Maria)–she may end in UN as Rep and that is a trampoline to the head of MID. She is a whole package.


2018-09-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

In the movie he was Standartenführer SS but there was a factual mistake in uniform which should have been grey. The quality of the movie (12 parts) is superb.BTW, screenshots are 180 degrees rotated for some reason.


2018-09-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Note to myself: don’t visit UK.


2018-09-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

putting forward of his 2 GRU guys

Those are not G(R)U. But Russian meme machine already hit high gear and this one is the best. For those who wants to know at least some background–Google Soviet TV series 17 Instances (Moments) of Spring. SS officer in the meme asks:”How are you, new generation”.

https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2018-09-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I agree, and that is why I made a clarification–“if true”.


2018-09-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

In Russia SWIFT is a sort of fetish for moneyed and liberal (under)”class”, since most of this class is tied to businesses involved with the West. Plus, this shut off was used several times by, mostly American, luminaries as a threat. At this stage it doesn’t matter anyway.


2018-09-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I am not sure what is your point. Russia is long of her way to an Independence from Western “economic” institutions, especially against the background of the structure of Russian economy and how it is becoming namely Eurasian economy. What these people can do only is to throw tantrums (OK, let’s say they shut Russia off SWIFT–Russia already has her system in place) .New sanctions? Sure. Russians do not care, Russian economy is self-sustainable now for a long time. Dedollarization is also in progress and is accelerating.


2018-09-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

They have another guy who is unsung hero of the modernization–Borisov. Per Mattis, at least he is the guy who has an idea of what may come out of it once shit hits the fan. If the rumor that Trump calls him a Moderate Dog is true–this is not a good sign.


2018-09-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

If Trump is throwing cold water at Mattis, it is only to watch to find
out who switches to support Mattis who may not have done so previously.

I will be glad to be mistaken.


2018-09-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Actually, yesterday the bombing raids were also stopped to give Erdogan time to think. Operation for Idlib is set and will proceed as planned once all diplomatic means will be exhausted, Erdogan position notwithstanding. But if you want to play here Captain Obvious–you found a very wrong place to do so. There are plenty fanboys and gamers “military” forums who will fit your MO of stating obvious and where the issue of causality is the last thing on their mind. Let me explain this to you for the last time. This is your statement:

All it took is one Op-Ed from Erdogan asking US for help to stop Putin in his tracks

Obviously it is exactly the other way around since it is Erdo-dude who faces a real trouble for his domestic SOBs. He is given some time to come to his senses and sort them out. If not, well things will get adjusted operationally but the end-result will be the same. There will be no new Ottoman Empire. But you are obviously living in the world where wind blows because trees are moving.


2018-09-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

They are completely unhinged. Per sanctions–good, as Karen Shakhnazarov recently expressed, also my long term view, on Solovyov–Sanctions are good for Russia(c) Agree absolutely. Yet, Rick Perry is still in Moscow. It is now down to:” Are you people for real?” LOL.


2018-09-13 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Russia, Iran, and Syria will be such pariah states that they will envy Venezuela and Cuba’s access to U.S. markets.

Russia does not depend on US markets and the trade between two countries in relative terms is minuscule–something around 13 Billion Dollars. US for Russia is not any economic prize. Per “pariah states”–it is funny, especially today after conclusion of Vostok-2018 and a large Chinese military contingent being a part of these major maneuvers. But sure, Venezuela and Cuba are good analogies for Russia;-)


2018-09-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

So, you consistently continue to push here your “vision” of the issue which has very little connection to realty, right?


2018-09-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, definitely top 5 European Armed Forces;-)


2018-09-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Passed through Paris recently. I was stunned at the ubiquitous
graffiti. Seemed to be everywhere… Lining every road. Every wall.
And yes, the city was filthy dirty. Saw many people camping out in
tents or under plastic. Grinding poverty. Worse than South African
townships or Brazilian favelas.

It is a shame, especially when compared to Kazan, Novosibirsk, let alone Moscow and St. Petersburg. Those are true European cities among many in Russia. How world has changed in such a short time, good grief!


2018-09-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I do not take them seriously. Honestly. Su-57 is absolutely not needed at this stage, albeit it is conceivable that pair of those maybe included in the Naryad Sil (Required Force) on the theater.


2018-09-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

My blog seems to be under attack and Mozilla simply refused to work and I just wasted a huge response to you on some peculiarities of how the defense and operations on State Border (maritime) are conducted. To make it short–no, Ukies will know what is going on once their SPO will start “screaming” about some weapons locked onto them. At this stage it doesn’t matter what US wants or not.


2018-09-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

And that is why not only I support US Constitution 2nd Amendment but practice it.


2018-09-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

They did not read “The Notre Dame de Paris Mosque” – the dystopia of a Russian pen-writer.

Actually they did and it was a national bestseller in France in mid-2000s. Even Lefebvrists read the book aloud in a front of Notre Dame De Paris. Houllebecq’s novel is secondary and derivative of Chudinova’s truly powerful novel. But Houllebecq is France’s “own” and he writes about office plankton–where most of the so called “intellectuals” originate from.


2018-09-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Alternatively our CG ships would have to convoy EVERY civilian one, like near another Somali.

You don’t have to do that–enough to have real time picture along and inside the territorial waters–easily done by technical means of CG. Both ships and air and PTNs (Post Technicheskogo Nabluydeniya). Then, of course, there are MoD warning systems which cover whole of the Azov Sea, so, basically, any attempt to “intercept” any vessel in the neutral waters can be prevented anywhere. You can take a small glimpse of it here: Russia DOES have full (sploshnoye) radar field in Azov Sea with high coefficient of overlap.

https://youtu.be/1b-KkrAWSXY


2018-09-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

They will need first to get underway to get tied to their “victim”–there are FSB Coast Guard forces there.


2018-09-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

US military can muster enough force simi.lar to the 1991 desert storm beat down..

One of the key factors of the Gulf War for some reason always escapes a discussion–apart from Iraq being military and economic midget, no Coalition’s staging areas, shipping and deployed troops were subjected to any serious fire impact (ognevoye vozdeistvie), this is not to mention that Iraq didn’t have operational air force. It was very easy to mobilize and assemble such force against such an opponent as Saddam’s army, grossly incompetent at that. Iraq could not attack any C2 centers, Russia, as an example, can reach them anywhere in ME and Europe. It was precisely the Gulf War which completely screwed up already grossly inflated US military capability. Colonel Daniel Davies was explicit on that.

The truth is, the United States is nowhere near as powerful and dominant as many believe. In the aftermath of Operation Desert Storm in 1991, there was great celebration in America that the crushing military victory over Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, “ kicked the Vietnam syndrome once and for all” and demonstrated the United States was now the world’s sole military superpower. That was no empty bluster. Even Beijing and Moscow were impressed and openly lamented they were militarily inferior. Americans across the board were optimistic and proud. However justified that pride might have been at the time, it quickly mutated into distasteful arrogance. Now, it is an outright
danger to the nation. Perhaps nothing exemplifies this threat better than the Pentagon’s dysfunctional acquisition system.

https://nationalinterest.or…


2018-09-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am not sure if such a rocket would be able in the dead of the night to
target a relatively small Ukro-CG ship tied to a larger fisherman or
cargo ship

It is not going to be tied to it forever–it has to get on the way. Once on the way–it is an easy target. Targeting data, be that radar or visual is extremely easy to get.


2018-09-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t really read Zero Hedge but I have a good tool against trolls–I am a moderator here. So is, btw, Colonel Lang. I do, however, welcome different points of view and see nothing wrong even for delusional people to have a voice, as long as it is not completely whacko.


2018-09-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t think they will start pirating ships since the flight time for Black Sea Fleet aviation SU-30SM armed with X-31 to the point of “drop” while receiving targeting is about 10-15 minutes even without afterburner. So, they may try to pirate, once. As per provocations–I don’t think Russia cares that much anymore.


2018-09-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I merely used MGIMO reference as an indicator of an access to Western funds. Of course, there are top notch graduates of MGIMO, enough to take a look at Masha Zaharova or Lavrov.


2018-09-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Very true, but isn’t it also fascinating, in terms of coincidence, that one show-biz person brought this neocon cabal on board big time in 1980s–Ronald Reagan. Now another show-biz person infested, likely deliberately, his whole Administration with the same types.

Hijacking doesn’t explain the bad appointments

Completely agree. This was the point at which I refused to see what is not there.


2018-09-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I guess NeoCon’s believe exceptionalism is proof against nuclear war –
god would not let it happen because God loves Americans and hates
Russians. I recall a time when intelligent people in the US and USSR
believed in only proxy wars as the risk was too great.

One of Russian intelligence (deep undercover) SVR officers who was outed during Anna Chapman “affair” Andrei Bezrukov wrote this in a popular Russian media 2.5 months ago:

What is THEIR weakness? As enemies these guys are mediocrities, second rate. They overate. Their previous generation was stronger. They respected us, we respected them. We don’t respect these ones, they didn’t deserve it. They can bully, as for the real fight–we’ll see about that… They are enraged that soon they will have to live within their means.They forgot how to do so long time ago. That is why they want to solve a problem with us now, while others are still afraid of them.

As military people neocons are not even the third rate, they are amateurs and a (incompetent) doctrine mongers. Of course, ovewhelming majority of them never served a day in uniform nor know what real war is. Just to give a taste of the difference, ALL Russia’s top political figures, starting from the rank of deputy minister to governors of territories are required to attend either serious courses or take full (2 years study) in the Military Academy of the General Staff. All of them, no exceptions. And exams are deadly serious.


2018-09-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Not really. If true, however, I have only one question–what’s new.


2018-09-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is very indicative that he pulled it from the Twitter of Maxim Suchkov–a very very busy body of MGIMO fame, who went through the whole routine (on several grants from Fulbright Foundation to Georgetown University) and who is, of course, Ph.D in “political science”, who also is the member of the Medvedev’s Russian Council on Foreign Affairs–a think-tank designed in 2011 specifically for “Integration of Russia into Europe”. Kinda tells one what “platforms” he uses. I know the type (I am about Suchkov), what about this particular guy–I am still trying to figure it out.


2018-09-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You found a very wrong place to try to push your agenda. If you come here to exhibit your complete detachment from the reality on the ground in Syria–wrong place, as I said. This is not to mention that no normal person will report the date of the start of offensive.


2018-09-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I assume the Russians have considered that in their plans.
If they haven’t, well, they should.

If there will be situation of “leaker” on Russian assets, there will be retaliation at carriers of particular “leaker”. In case of TLAM these are primarily Arleigh Burke-class DDGs. Last April Russian forces had a direct order to sink ships. I believe this was as were any other features of Russian ROE conveyed to American colleagues. In fact, and I reiterate, Macron was on record when begged Kremlin not to sink French ships.


2018-09-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Excellent summary. But as WSJ reports today, I quote:”

During the debate this year over how to respond to the second attack, Mr. Trump’s national-security team weighed the idea of hitting Russian or Iranian targets in Syria, people familiar with the discussions said. But the Pentagon pushed for a more measured response, U.S. officials said, and the idea was eventually rejected as too risky. A third U.S. strike likely would be more expansive than the first two, and Mr. Trump would again have to consider whether or not to hit targets like Russian air defenses in an effort to deliver a more punishing blow to Mr. Assad’s military.

Madness continues but in the case of a progressing coup, which is now evident is in progress, how much DJT even is aware of what is going on–is a complete puzzle to me. Granted, I take an offset for WSJ’s primarily neocon hysterics and lack of competence on these issues.


2018-09-09 on sic-semper-tyrannis

You have to be very specific on WHAT air war over Syria. Bombing the hell out of unicorns? I am sure USAF is more than capable to sustain the campaign (with some debate about its tempo). If against SAA, at some point in time it will, inevitably involve Russia and then it is a whole new paradigm.


2018-09-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Putin folds

Yes, he is about to turn himself in to Mueller’s probe.


2018-09-04 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Strikes me as weasel words

Exactly.

Smoothie, commenter J Villain said earlier:”If I remember right, along with all that floating hardware the Russians have 3 landing ships full of service men and kit.

These are what is known in USSR/Russia BDK (Large Amphibious Ships), which are not really that large. Each of them is capable of carrying around 10 tanks (or larger number of BTR-82s and trucks) and around half-battalion of naval infantry (US equivalent of marines). It is normal practice to “pickle” marines in the remote sea and ocean zones. They are very well trained people but three BDK hardly make any difference on such a theater of operations as Syria and the only use for such a limited force (about 1.2-1.5 battalion) is defense of bases or creating of some limited beachhead, until cavalry arrives. So, NO–these are not US marines expeditionary force with its larger landing capabilities.


2018-09-04 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Bolton and Pompeo are not negotiating partners

They are by the virtue of their positions in Administration. In fact, their positions presume them as negotiators. Russians are well aware that Trump if fed all kind of BS by these two, thus they represent very little value to Russians side in terms of serious discussion with them of any issue of Russian-American relations. Thus, Russians invest very little effort in trying to negotiate anything with them.

The WaPo write-up on Woodward’s book points to Mattis as being the person exercising restraint.

Because he is professional and a high ranking at that–I mean operational experience, not just rank. The rest of DJT’s Administration is a collection of opportunists, AIPAC stooges and cowards. Trump assembled this administration himself. Pretty much the same could be used to describe previous administration, and one before that.


2018-09-04 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Thank you for your interesting comment. It did fill for me some gaps. I had some idea, now you confirmed it in your remark on Iowa semi-rural area(s). Per this:

The Msm just doesn’t want to acknowledge that Trump voters are also
their well to do neighbors. Trump carried Suffolk County/Hamptons in
New York state.

Nowadays American MSM can not be identified as news media, they are a full blown propaganda machine, with all that comes with the territory, including manufacturing of blatant lies, and as such they are not obliged to acknowledge anything they do not want to.


2018-09-04 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Trump, Bolton and Pompeo have all issued warnings

Trump’s warning was measured, though. I don’t think anyone in Russia takes Bolton or Pompeo seriously in terms of negotiating counter-parts.


2018-09-04 on sic-semper-tyrannis

There have been reports of large scale casualties of US special forces
at Russian hands in East Ghouta in March-April 2018 in Chinese military
publications

I doubt it very much.


2018-09-04 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Could you, and others of our committee who have deep knowledge of these matters offer their thoughts?

I definitely do not have deep knowledge of these matters but I am absolutely positive that Russian ROE have conveyed to American counterparts through appropriate channels, which, luckily, still exist. Just to illustrate–Russia’s VKS this morning already conducted strikes at unicorns in Idlib and this, generally, is Russia’s MO. You can follow my conversation with Paul Craig Roberts at Unz–it is precisely on the issue you raised.

US unpredictability (arguably irrationality) leaves Russia in a terrible bind.

My feel is that this point is defined by what DJT and Putin discussed in Helsinki tete-a-tete behind closed doors and by existing but not publicized, as is the case with deconfliction channel, other channels of communications. As some people here suggested that Putin and DJT could be in cahoots. The probability of this is, certainly, more than zero.


2018-09-03 on sic-semper-tyrannis

to show the Russ are unable or unwilling despite their utmost efforts/empty talk to protect their ally from harm

Last “showing”, to put it mildly, was a rather underwhelming one. The issue, however, is not some virtual PR campaign on pissing contest, but in the final result of Idlib offensive. Russia cares little about how Western public is brainwashed, she works with operational and strategic tangibles, not with some grandiose PR claims. Last time, April this year, Russian forces in Syria did have a direct order to sink any NATO missile carrier if Russian assets were attacked. Syrian Air Defense performed admirably in April.


2018-09-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What makes you think that a single S300s

What makes you think that I was talking about single S-300? FYI, systems like S-300 and up never operate without subordinate integrated systems such as, among many, Tor or S1. I guess you missed well publicized combat experience of Russian AD in Syria.


2018-09-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

BTW, for anyone who looked at her pictures, there are number of those from Cossack Fair where, Elizabeth Taylor picture features prominently with good ol’ Liz being Kazachka. LOL. While Bystritskaya was amazing Axiniya in Tikhii Don, Liz Taylor, kind of, fits this type too.

https://i.mycdn.me/image?id…



2018-09-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Have you retained any contact with him?

No, we were very remotely acquainted in academy (he was two years senior) and we never had real contacts. I do, however, have a number of very good friends (one is from the childhood, actually) from that class of 1983. My point was to merely demonstrate what kind of human and professional material my former academy produced. I am very proud to be associated with that in my life.


2018-09-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

May I use this graphics in the body of my post? I will make references to you.


2018-09-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, thank you–very good graphics and quite accurate. Except for one small mistake–Bastion, when shooting P-800 Oniks. P-800’s speed is not 900 kmh in anti-shipping mode–it is up to M=3. Plus any aircraft (from Su-27SM to SU-34) carries also M=2.7-3.3 X-31 ASCMs. Other than that–excellent.Thank you again for illustrating this.


2018-09-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

As to your Class, you have had the privileage and honor to know some quite esteemed (by even International Means) Figures….

I did have this privilege, of which at the time I was simply not aware of for a simple reason of being part of this historic process. Google Sergei Menyailo;-) But as hey say in China, as a condemnation, “let you live in interesting times”. Boy, didn’t we all live through them. Some, actually, didn’t live through those times.


2018-09-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

My question for smoothiex12 is about the new hypersonics: How many
Kinzhals do you think Russia has produced and has operational at this
point?

Kinzhals are fully operational and are deployed on MiG-31Ks on the airfields in Southern Military District. It is a well established fact now. That covers Eastern Med if the “drop point” is somewhere in the middle of the Black Sea.


2018-09-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I cannot speak of your Experience in the 80s, but what it lacks is possibly – Sincerity…..

That OLD Baku–truly, in a most positive connotation, multicultural and cosmopolitan is long gone, of course. So are some older communities which today are substituted with modern real estate developments. My old place, where I was born, on Bailov today is unrecognizable, albeit my grandparents flat is still there with its house but we, by common family vote, allowed then already nearing his last days grandad (and dad) to rewrite that amazing flat to a woman who took care of him after grandma died in 1991. There are, indeed, very few places in Baku remaining for me to return to–yet, I am planning getting there to visit my grandparents graves and, of course, meet my classmates and friends there. This is how it used to look, Bailov, with Caspian Flotilla and Brigade of Border Guards ships still there–today most of it is simply gone. https://uploads.disquscdn.c…


2018-09-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Anastasya, as well as some other Russian women, young and older, are a welcoming change of a paradigm in definition of femininity which in the West in the last decades reduced woman and a true beauty, which manifests itself both externally and, primarily, internally, to a consumer, and often horrible, item. I merely posted her here as one of the symbols of this positive change–I also do feel this change when even entertainment sites have almost universal reaction to what they call Muklas. As per immorality–who am I to judge anyone, we all have our own тараканы, but it is indeed pleasant to see an actual femininity and beauty winning over well…Kardashyans of our times. Long overdue. Just an example, for me one of the timeless symbols of femininity and beauty in the larger sense of the world remains Lyudmila Savelyeva who forever remains Natasha Rostova from War and Peace and Serafima from Beg.

BTW. I also have Cossack roots but, obviously, for the reason of both ideological and cultural nature, I am not really that “excited” about this whole Cossack “thing”.


2018-08-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Stalin created, built up and inspired people

War and idea created them, Stalin just understood what it was. His genius was, as it is with any colossal political figure, however flawed (they all are), in harnessing those energies. In some sense all great statesmen are like eagles–they catch air streams. In the end, someone has to explain how FDR had four terms.


2018-08-31 on sic-semper-tyrannis

subjected myself to short stints of CNN and MSNBC

What’s wrong with you, man? Addicted to self-mutilation much?;-)) LOL! I can not stand even 30 seconds of that drivel. I just can’t. Although, truth to be told–I suffered out Mudd’s “performance” on CNN. I had to. I wasn’t sorry–I learned a lot.


2018-08-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

A major failure of the DNR’s special services and counter-intelligence.


2018-08-31 on sic-semper-tyrannis

What source do you have in mind?

All Russian–both general media and more analytical ones. I know which ones are competent.


2018-08-31 on sic-semper-tyrannis

It’s confusing, of course, given that the US is an enemy, of sorts, of the SAA

Right now the US is more enemy of Erdo-dude, than of SAA. This is this second dynamics which may seem as confusing by overlapping with the first one–SAA (R+6) against US, albeit it seems Israel is modifying her position in the last days. So, it is kind of a mess but the general direction is clear. If we all to survive (I certainly hope so) Turkey eventually will be contained, sort of. .


2018-08-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is IN his quote–the whole quote is a link. Works for me, just checked.


2018-08-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Contemporary American doctrine “thought”, if one may use such a term, is reminiscent, sometimes to the point of being indistinguishable, with speeches on the Party Congresses in North Korea or Mao’s China.


2018-08-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Same as before–US desperately needs to stay in Syria. As per false flag–it is MO, everyone understands that and at some point of time Russia will begin to shoot down NATO missiles. When? I don’t know.


2018-08-28 on sic-semper-tyrannis

God forbids Kinzhal be used on any US asset, same goes for any American missile, be that accidentally or by design flying, into Russian asset. Hopefully the deconfliction line will do the job. Per neocon crazies–I will reiterate: overwhelming majority of those people are not on the front lines and, being mostly concentrated around upscale D.C. communities, in words of Phil Giraldi: “the only danger they face is choking on foie gras”. Those people do not operate in a normal logical, moral, let alone military professional frameworks, so until they know that they have literally a bull’s eye on them poor dears and countdown starting they will continue to push the envelope. But that means only one thing–Russia striking US proper–the last thing Russia wants to do and is not going to do unless attacked first. I wrote an article precisely on this issue at Unz on Friday.

http://www.unz.com/article/…

Neocons are American people’s responsibility to remove from power and, hopefully, make many of them face both the court of properly educated public opinion and a court for war crimes not to speak of a treason.



2018-08-26 on sic-semper-tyrannis

nor the fact that yesterday a member of the Duma suggested deploying tactical nukes to Syria

Vladimir Gutenev who offered this advice should know that any Russian Navy’s large combatants deployed around Syria do have “tactical nukes”. Presence of the tactical nukes in Syria makes absolutely no military sense and is nothing more that one of the MP PR himself on a new wave of mindless American actions in Syria.


2018-08-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know. BTW, at least here, can you imagine what Russians felt with drunk Yeltsin peeing on the front landing gear of his airplane at Shannon. Or this moron being chased by Secret Service and his own security detail along Pennsylvania Avenue when this drunk ass-hole, in the trunks only, was trying to “buy” himself a pizza. But, in the end–it served Russians right. I hope this will also serve (I am absolutely positive, actually) as a lesson in reassessing own, American, “elites”. I know, it is painful for me too–as a Russian I suffered shame in 1990s, today, in the country which is our home now, I almost have to endure the same watching this media bestiality.


2018-08-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No problem. I am always glad to share with what little I know.


2018-08-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

As an outsider looking in, it seemed to me that Putin & advisers first addressed the national asset-strip of 1990s

Bingo! First they returned natural monopolies back into the state either ownership or under control and then industry followed, with cutting edge of it concentrated in such giants as Rostec. Absolutely–you nailed it. Russian catastrophe of 1990s was not macroeconomic–it was in a sense metaphysical, when a collection of lowlifes from Party apparatus and simple criminals decided that they have the right to own a national treasure. The rest followed. Only by mid-2000s some signs of revitalization started to appear.


2018-08-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is going to be over within an hour the most for Ukraine. Probably less. Well, most likely less.


2018-08-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Avoiding insolvency is macroeconomics 101.

Bringing back strategic resources and strategic industries under state’s control is what created this “avoiding of insolvency” not some “macroeconomic” BS. It was the change in the fundamental control of property, including arresting to a large degree 1990s oligarchy’s debilitating effects, which gave the ability to both collect the rent and start investing back into “osonovnye fondy” (main capital). Again, you read very inattentively and, obviously, have issues with the chicken and egg problem.


2018-08-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia’s revival to a very large degree is based on steady rejection of those very liberal, largely monetarist, that is NOT real economy, “macroeconomic” dogmas. Per the rest–I would suggest to read what I write more attentively, I never called for being “insolvent” or for refusing sensible financial (budget) policy. What I know, however, by 146% and can argue that with anybody: no serious real industry, especially and primarily world-class machine building–no serious nation–major geopolitical player. Precisely for the reasons of the real economic development being anchored in real industry, not in some “financial” sector which merely serves this industry. In the foundation of the American decline is de-industrialization and a complete triumph of FIRE economy. So much for “fancy hardware”–I visit Walmart and COSTCO quite often to arrive to my own conclusions.


2018-08-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Maybe you ought to expand on this point in a (near) future post

Most likely I will. This topic does require a separate and thorough treatment both culturally and geopolitcally. I think Putin’s talk to youth at Valdai last year had this message of regret (not schadenfreude as one may misconstrue it) re: what is happening to US civilizationally.


2018-08-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Here is Timakov’s superb article which captures the whole Russian essence of Soviet Project.

http://rusnext.ru/recent_op…


2018-08-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The Idea that Russia is screwing American Democracy suggests a lack of
self confidence, as does their demand for ever increasingly emotional
responses….

You nailed it. I also wrote a book about this subject;-) Absolutely–rising pitch of a hysteria is a first sign of things going very wrong on many levels.


2018-08-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Just another promo-video. What’s the big deal about SARH–I don’t know. It has been around for a long time, same as active radar homing by missile. ESSM is not going to make any difference against hyper-sonic missiles. I guess the key phrase here is this and I quote:

spoke with unnamed Raytheon and Naval officials who described how the advanced technology is a game-changer for NATO:


2018-08-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Let’s start with a bit of history–Soviet Union finished WW II with largest and, arguably, most competent tactical-operational Air Force in the world. The only time Soviet/Russian and American pilots met was in Korea. Per modern AFs–in case of Russia, the title of VKS is not accidental. Russians never viewed AF as some kind self-contained system, unlike it is the case in the US, where some even proposed (out of ignorance of real warfare) that AF alone can win the war, but always viewed in the context of integration with powerful Air Defense system. USAF and its carrier-borne aviation never encountered anything even remotely as capable as Soviet 1980s/current Russian AD. That is why not only I am positive, but I have a very sound case to make, when I say that NATO cannot win conventionally in Russia’s vicinity, because it will be denied, both by means of a horrendous attrition and disruption, including attacks on AF bases, a pivotal element in every single American war strategy since WW II–a preponderance in the air. If history is any teacher–one has to take a look at USAF and Naval aviation losses in Vietnam. These were 1960s-70s. So, in this sense, US air supremacy over USSR/Russia never existed, maybe with the exception of 10 years when Russian skies were opened for political, not technological or operational reasons in 1990s.


2018-08-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Sergei, it is going to be a mixed system. In Russia, for sure. Government has no business in a huge array of economic activity such as retail or, other than providing necessary support, farming, small and medium business such as software, IT, development, consumer goods, from clothing to appliances, other so called “tech” activities. This will be called “socialism” only in a sense of providing a necessary social safety net and equal STARTING conditions for everyone. This, plus, of course, control over strategic resources and industries.


2018-08-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t think they even grasp what an irreparable damage they already did to the country and what this damage entails. They are literally destroying a “democracy”, whatever is left of it anyway, and of Republic too.


2018-08-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, it has nothing to do with bad metal works but a classic issue of ANY naval ship in the world called in Russian Bukhtievatost’. What is the term in English I don’t know. Here is Arleigh Burke-class DDG. You can see the same issue there.

https://i1.wp.com/whiteflee…


2018-08-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Dem.

Here, comments slowly begin to pour in–it is night in European Russia now:

https://ria.ru/world/201808…

A legitimate question is if they go through medical certification before becoming Senators? Those are not sane people.


2018-08-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Today it is not just Yak, but OAK–so, it could be cooperation. Per Kuznetsov, while not CATOBAR this ship still has a lot of life left in it, also as a training ship for carrier aviation. It seems that they are doing serious upgrade, including for most electronic guts. We’ll see where it takes them, but the fact that Putin personally order STOVL speaks volumes.


2018-08-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Is it a joke?

Most likely is. As per this thingy:

https://results.searchlock….


2018-08-18 on sic-semper-tyrannis

By developing smarter, more rational diplomacy

People, personalities develop all those wonderful things. Those people are known as cadres. Last people I recall who could do that professionally and competently were people of the scale of James Baker and Jack Matlock. Those people since then (early 1990s) are in a deep retirement and all we get are badly educated careerist who in the last 20 years effectively buried American diplomacy. Exhibit A of this is a former so called Ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul, who in US passes under the tutelage of “Russia scholar” but in reality is an embarrassment on several levels. You want to have professional opinion about US “diplomacy”, read this from American diplomat:

https://www.politico.com/ma…

Since then, things got even worse.


2018-08-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, very many understand. There are many good level professionals there. It is the political part which sucks.


2018-08-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Very well could be, even most probable.


2018-08-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Many future Walmart greeters, in a more perfect world.

Can’t stop laughing, LOL!


2018-08-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia should call her weapons along these lines: strategic missile complex Tenderness, TLAM Caress, SSBN “Friendship”, Global Space Intelligence System Cunniling… Oh wait, Russia has a wonderful set of artillery ranging from Acacia to Peon (this one is one SOB with nuclear capability). 😉


2018-08-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Here I suspect Russia too adequate behaviour can encourage this

Actually, I am beginning to like what I see and you yourself pretty much answered this question–sanctions, on everything, from sneezing to space, desperation! But what is the obverse side of this desperation? Realization. Are there adults in Washington? Some sure are present. We might not like them but they try to do their job as they understand it and it is not to fight. On Russian side–no worries. We all know the score, Russia will do utmost to prevent war. In other words–it is exhausting and nerve-wrecking job, but it is being done. Some of it we just don’t see. Trump is no friend of Russia, but he is not suicidal. I wish I could just take an 1 second glance at the letter Rand Paul delivered to Putin.


2018-08-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I suspect they will be among the last to move and among the lowest beneficiaries as result

Exactly. Evidently Brahmos didn’t teach them anything, granted, and it has to be given, that Russia did screw them somewhat over Vikra (Gorshkov), but they have got a top notch carrier aircraft–MiG-29K.


2018-08-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But no remembrance of VE/VJ Day..

I would settle for a good movie about Taffy III and, specifically, USS Samuel B. Roberts. What a remembrance this could have been.

https://smoothiex12.blogspo…

But I don’t hold my breath. Anyone, a movie about Gerow’s V Corps? Nope. Ahh, what about an honest epic about Ike? Yeah, right. Bo-o-o-ring. Let’s make a movie about… thugs or yet another, PC, Star Wars.


2018-08-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

So yes… Best situation is to prevent war for the generation or so it might take for some key idiots to age out of the policymaking positions. And hope that their underlings aren’t as big a bunch of idiots. And hope that voters don’t keep electing other idiots to high political office… Where they can continue to muck things up. And hope that more and more Americans just self-educate on the issues…

I work with many both educated (engineering, QA) people and, of course, with proletariat–overwhelming majority of these people are inquiring, smart, many, indeed, do seek out alternative and majority are cynical about present situation. They do understand. Obviously the level of grasp varies but there is absolutely no denial that there is this silent majority which is down to earth, just basically decent people. And I work with many of them. As per aging out–I know it is bad but the title is both hilarious and in many ways symptomatic.

https://medium.com/@caityjo…

https://bipartisanreport.co…

Why, indeed, the best leave early while McCains of this world linger for what seems to be eternity.


2018-08-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Kinzhals stay to the best of my knowledge.


2018-08-15 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Oh, goody, Dugin–not this demagogue again.


2018-08-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree on India. These guys do have propensity to shoot themselves in the foot as events with FGFA so vividly demonstrated.


2018-08-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is a funny “think-tank” which apart from employing some graduates of MGIMO who had their short “schooling” in some allegedly national security issues in France, plus certain chum Mister Mikhail Barabanov, who by education is a film critic or something like that, and all of whom in this outlet never served a day in any capacity–this is this the type of people who run this overtly national-liberal (in reality classic liberal) think-tank which some US military “experts” also refer to. I am not joking.


2018-08-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, it is a well known fact. Main issue, of course, if if something locked onto USS Donald Cook. They would have known that they were being tracked but locked onto? Who knows. Maybe.


2018-08-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, you misread it. The kinetic response will happen ONLY if targets inside Russia are attacked–then, yes. What I said was that Russia already today has a conventional response for US proper. It is a nightmarish scenario I do not even want to contemplate, but this is reality. I do not foresee an all out nuclear exchange in case of war breaking out, the escalation, most likely, will be gradual.


2018-08-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

To the extent that many Americans remain educable.

Many Americans are not stupid and totally educatable, many of them still seek out the information. But the issue is that for present state of America–Russia is an existential problem and even Trump’s overtures towards Russia are, for the most part, political ploy. At this stage the only viable course of action is to prevent the outbreak of war. Russia will not i9nitate war unless attacked.


2018-08-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Another stunner from them–with Moogs and synthesizes by Hensley just blowing everything away, with Byron’s stunning range.

https://youtu.be/QufKWBxwTdw


2018-08-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree, H&M was the end of it–the end of an era. Only three songs from it were great: Weep in Silence, Misty Eyes and One Way or Another (with a killer riff). The rest? As you say–contrived mostly.


2018-08-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Has this Gentleman missed the entire Point? That Russia has continually
demonstrated an Intent and capability it would appear to develop
TACTICAL Hypersonic Missiles – Zircon, Kinzhal and Avangard (HGV)
demonstrates Russia has far from ignored the tactical Benefits and
indeed has focussed on them?

He absolutely did. He is also very frustrated, and it shows–he is physicist and he should have a good grasp of issues involved into M=10+ Precision Guided Weapons. The paradigm shift is so dramatic that those five stages of grief do play a huge role.


2018-08-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is an excellent rant worthy of discussion. Let me gather my thoughts (it is Friday, after all);-)


2018-08-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, exactly my thought. Albeit, it has to be also admitted that many of those technologies came from military. Forgot to mention–this was a centerpiece of Dwight D. Eisenhower’s philosophy.


2018-08-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

IMHO, you make a big mistake : to think that Americans are only
emotion-driven people and unable of strategic thinking about
contemporary international issues.

Define Americans, please. Modern US foreign policy establishment is unable to think strategically precisely for the reasons of lacking any understanding on the nature and application of military power. They are simply not taught that and most of them are from backgrounds (both academic and social) which preclude any grasp of military-political realities. Last vestiges of competence today, as paradoxical as it may sound, in foreign policy are in US military. Comes with the territory, I guess. Per political power elite, since the times of George H. W. Bush and James Baker I don’t recall any serious statesman emerging from Washington. Trump, though, may yet surprise all of us, but it is yet be seen.


2018-08-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

IMO the EU will eventually come to see that their interests lie in
accepting Trump’s brutality. Switzerland is nothing in this game

Agree 100%. Europe is not a subject but an object of serious geopolitics precisely for the reasons of not being a serious military power. I don’t see it becoming one in the future and without being a military power one is nothing more than a market, however developed (for now).


2018-08-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

it’s just a Washington-only embargo now

Qualifier “only” is out of place here since it is never “only” when Washington gets involved, US Dollar being reserve currency, oil contracts denominated in US Dollars etc. But it is a definite overstretch which also, together with US Congress about to impose yet another round of sanctions on Russia (they call them “crushing”) with identifying her also as sponsor of terrorism, creates a very peculiar geopolitical dynamics in the region. For Iran this is especially true because Russia becomes for Iran the only viable alternative both economically and security-wise. Europe will follow the US in the end no matter what. I would love, of course, to read what is in the letter of DJT to Putin Rand Paul delivered earlier this week, but I am sure Iran is one of the points there, plus–I am almost 99% positive–request for Putin to remain patient for a little bit longer. It is a huge game both domestically for the US and internationally.


2018-08-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Politics in general attracts sociopaths & psychopaths

Indeed, power is a…well, powerful attractor and aphrodisiac.


2018-08-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Colonel Lang, just this or last week, speaking of McCain stated that the tapes of his “singing” in propaganda broadcasts of North Vietnam are in Pentagon. While no one of us know (and hopefully will never have to) how would we have behaved while being taken POW (albeit, I would assume that being POW in North Vietnam was much better proposition than being one in ISIS) by North Vietnamese but offering one’s cooperation on demoralizing of one’s own. Maan, that is a serious flaw of character. Plus, evidently McCain barely graduated USNA and, rumor has it, largely thanks to his influential father.


2018-08-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know this site. I meant in the West. What Russian “elites”? Uber liberal cabal left from Yeltsin’s times the FSB has materials on? Media? Then there is military elite–that is the real one, then there is industrial elite etc. This talk about Russian “elites” reminds me of Girkin complaining of Surkov’s alleged sliv of Donbas, the conspirological idiocy propagated by Girkin’s worshiper, so called Colonel Cassad (Boris Rozhin), who nowadays passes in some Russian media as “military expert”. It is much more complex system than it is usually assumed.


2018-08-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Nino Burdhanadze, in her interview to Vzglyad on the 10th anniversary of 080808 War directly accused McCain in unleashing that war.

https://vz.ru/politics/2018…

Here is a quote:

Но, напомню, тогда была предвыборная кампания в США. Сенатору Маккейну и его команде очень нужно было показать, что именно они – та сила, которая может сдерживать Россию. Есть факты, указывающие на то, что Маккейн и его команда подстрекали Саакашвили, уверяли, что в случае военных действий Америка не оставит Грузию.

Tr: I will remind that then it was an election campaign in the US and Senator McCain and his team were in dire need to demonstrate that it was namely them are the force which can contain Russia. There are facts which testify to McCain’s inciting Saakashvili and also convinced him that in case of possible hostilities Amerca will not abandon Georgia.

Pretty clear. Add to this mix, apart from basically a war criminal McCain (for some he is a “hero”–what an insult to heroism), mentally unstable Saakashvili and voila’ . The rest is history.


2018-08-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t know about that, because actual economic data from Russia is hard to come by (it is possible, though), while what passes for it is not reflective of anything other than currency fluctuations. Russia’s economy, however, is growing–even Western “analysts” grudgingly admit that.


2018-08-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia is not a hostage, she is an obstacle.


2018-08-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

To the best of my knowledge–there have been two radically opposite factions inside Vietnamese Communist Party: one pro-China and another pro-“Western” for the last 30 years or so. Western being in quotation marks for a reason. While studying in naval academy (it was either 82 or 83) we (our group) had a fight with much larger Vietnamese contingent from Socialist Countries Faculty–a complete no-no in moral conduct (luckily it never went out to big bosses). We (5 or 6 of us) really kicked their asses, which was especially gratifying since they started the fight. The fight was about.. drum roll… playing soccer on our mini-football filed, which they shouldn’t have been occupied by them. They could be violent people, even under circumstances when there is no necessity for it. It spiraled out of control really fast, which was even more amusing since they had not only naval cadets there but junior officers as well.


2018-08-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

A definite possibility of at least parts of this hypothesis being true.


2018-08-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Guido was hilarious in Married With Children, especially during spirit communication sessions. Well, Kelly Bundy was too hot for her own good.


2018-08-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Hands off my urinal! 😉


2018-08-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

IN MA it is plain simple national security. Better them fighting ISIS and Taliban with Russian help now, than Russia fighting same with them sabotaging this fight. Yes, all those “proud” former Republics fast turned into shitholes–no exception. Well, some exception for Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan.


2018-08-04 on sic-semper-tyrannis

had Mrs Thatcher sat back and accepted the new position – and there was very strong pressure on her to do so – she would have been finished politically. Our military response was hastily improvised, and no guarantee of success, but she grabbed it as soon as it was tabled. Anything else would have been political suicide.

It was Reagan who basically informed Argentina that the use of nukes was discussed. Royal Navy’s Harrier pilots gave a superb account of themselves but it was there that the true age of Anti-shipping missiles unfolded. Obviously, Falkland was Thatcher’s great hour and it had such a baneful effect on UK ever since.

I did not keep the reference but if memory serves the work done by Cambridge Analytica during a recent Latvian election was targeted to arouse anti-Russian feeling in Latvia. If there are reports of that going further that I suppose will be an indication that the Hawks still call the shots in the Trump administration.

My, very humble, opinion is that the only real adult in the room is Jimmy Mattis, the rest are… well, they are hawks–it easy to be a hawk when you never served a day in uniform.


2018-08-04 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Pantsirs? where and when? got a reference? I do not believe that the rebels got much from Russia:

It was in 2015 or earlier in TV news and it was captured in either RuVesna or whatever came after it.

https://youtu.be/dljxQ7eRnv4

I wouldn’t use Colonel Cassad (he is neither Colonel, nor Cassad) , whom I had to, together with his demigod Strelkov, debunk all the time at Sevastopol Forum in 2014. The best indicator is Vladislav Shurigin’s post on Северный Ветер, which finally shut them down.

“Rebels” got a lot from Russia, apart from what was there all along.


2018-08-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I have friends here, and they, despite me not knowing them in person, are real–they come to this blog for years, we interact, we discuss things. They know mine, I know their idiosyncrasies–this is real, however over the internet. Plus, I have experience of getting drunk on several occasions over Skype, LOL. Yet, I once registered on FB few years ago, posted a single comment I needed, and then killed my account. SOBs were sending me spam for couple of years and then bugged off. How we interact is what matters, not some BFF and in this

I personally don’t understand how you can befriend anyone you don’t know and have never seen

I largely agree with you. But there are exceptions and there are modes of communications which bypass this.


2018-08-03 on sic-semper-tyrannis

While I agree largely, the Situation in 2014 with the apparent ‘Северный ветер’ is in my Opinion maybe quite the exception

True, the same as Voentorg. In the end, the way Ukie AF was grounded is quite obvious, including those pesky Pantsirs “accidentally” shown by TV news being deployed in LDNR areas.


2018-08-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I feel bad for people with children, coming events will hit them the hardest.

That is the main point. Per historical references–it has to be admitted that today, unlike it was whole human civilization existence before, we are capable of killing the planet and that is a huge factor which does change thinking. Are there psychos who would still do it? Absolutely. They have to be uncovered, identified and removed from any power.


2018-08-03 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Russia is NOT present in Ukraine in any a form of any serious military formation. It is also not a big secret that there ARE some volunteers (that is legal) from some cadre Russian units. They go there for both glory and for a combat pay. Those numbers are very small.


2018-08-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yeah, I know:-)) Too bad Gary Oldman who I like as an actor is acting in this cretinism. In the same time this is an excellent example of projection. And, of course, return of Russia as a main villain is very symptomatic. Sadly, for the most part, Hollywood long ago stopped producing a real art and is in business of either open sewage production or of… nah, mostly sewage production.


2018-08-02 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Omar and Iran [being only deep section for tankers] for all insurance being cancelled for all rankers – no more tanker traffic.

There are massive geopolitical consequences for Iran in that, since this will bring other parties into the game and Iran doesn’t want this. For all their rhetoric–they are practical people and do not want to bring this whole thing to the brink of big guys getting into the fray with each-other. In this case Iran gets it one way or another. Russia is working currently on avoiding this. As I said, there is a price to pay for Iran in all that and it is only natural for such kind of arrangement. In the end, Russia supported Iran’s forces in Syria against Israel’s demand for a complete withdrawal. Iran’s security currently rests not on it’s ability to shut down the Strait, however debatable this real ability is. It is with Russia’s whole game in the ME.


2018-08-02 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I doubt anyone knows Iran’s electronic warfare capabilities.

Russia does, she supplies Iran with some of those.


2018-08-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

First of all, their small boats – some of them, at least – can launch antiship missiles of the Zafar, Nasr, Noor and Qader class. “These are radar guided anti-ship cruise missiles

If those missiles are “beam riders” and have no good active head and good ability to overcome jamming–I wouldn’t put too much stock in them. The communications, including radio-commands will be jammed for them over water. US Navy will have no problem obtaining targeting (if push comes to shove) data and will have no problems in dealing with those boats be that by means of good ol’ Harpoons (be them from ships or F-18s) or whatever will be in the air around the Gulf at this moment carrying JDAMs, JASSMs or JSOWs for those boats.

or missile bombardment of Saudi Arabia

Yeah, this is where it all becomes really interesting. Per Iranian AD–you are underestimating it. Call it a hunch on my part. This is not to mention the fact that we can only speculate on what Shoigu discussed (not for once) in Tehran. Russia has Iran’s back but there is also a price to it for Iran, as it is supposed to be. I only hope that all these scenarios will remain a figment of our imagination.



2018-08-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Cohen on the other hand may well be America’s greatest Russian scholar ever.

Currently, for sure is the greatest. I would, certainly, add Esteemed Ambassador Jack Matlock to this short list.


2018-08-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

And an excellent one, I may add.


2018-08-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Excellent summary. This:

Giving up on carrier-based ASW…

Per Russian carriers–exactly, where is this “golden middle”. Excellent about Cold War chess pieces. Top shelf.


2018-08-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Consider this fact–FB’s “capitalization” was recently four times that of a Boeing–surreal. And FB is not alone, there are whole segments of economy which are literally non-existent in any practical sense and produce nothing of value. Per Navy Day, yeah–there are some big changes coming since power plant issues for large surface ships has been finally resolved and Almaz-Antey is under “warning” to finish, finally, with Polyment.


2018-08-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Fareed will normally try to have a somewhat balanced panel but on Russia, he will only have Neocons and ultra-Neocons

Zakaria is a joke as geopolitical “scholar” as, in general, most of US civilian “academe” on this issue and, especially so on anything related to Russia.


2018-08-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Tes, they can make the Straits – and indeed the entire Persian Gulf – a
very dangerous place for ships. They have tons of small boats armed with
missiles and guns, and they can also fire antiship missiles from their
coast which is very long. The Gulf is very narrow, especially in the
Straits.

In real war with at least couple US Navy’s CBGs and other assets involved there it will not be easy at all to fire ASMs. I don’t know if Iran has Russian P-800 Onyx ASMs–those are a very real danger–but getting targeting will not be easy for Iran. I can foresee some sporadic salvos but to have a saturation strikes on Iranian side–I don’t think so. Small boats is a separate issue under the condition of them not being able to get to main US Navy assets. Guns? Is it a joke?

Iran can dump floating mines from practically every little depression in their long shoreline. The last time the US Navy conducted a mine
clearing exercise in the Gulf, they only found half the dummy mines that were released.

This is, certainly, the case and this will be done.

The US can conduct a nice, expensive air campaign that will cost
hundreds of billions and bomb Iran’s infrastructure into the Stone Age,
and do this for the next decade, but Iran will never surrender.
Eventually the US will have to give up and go home, with nothing changed except a lot of corporations got richer.

Isn’t it what I wrote initially? Moreover, as I said earlier (see my original post)–I am not particularly positive that Iran will be “bombed into the stone age” precisely for the reasons of her having a respectable AD and, inevitably, having a benefit of Russian Early Warning and tracking capabilities which will be made available as necessary. No, Iran will not surrender and that wasn’t the point under consideration to start with.

A war with Iran will be four times bigger and four times more expensive than Iraq and Afghanistan combined. And the losses will be at least four times bigger.

I don’t know where the number four came from but I think we must talk about order of magnitude in case of (suicidal) decision on ground campaign in Iran. Take a look, as an example, at the highway #71 (among others) between Bander Abbas and Tehran, see the terrain and while at it–count how many tunnels are there. Unlike Iraq, Iran also has a whole Caspian Sea and Azerbaijan in her rear for a safe delivery of supplies.


2018-07-31 on sic-semper-tyrannis

He
believes that we could fight a maritime campaign in the Gulf with next
to no losses and that if necessary we can bomb the Iranian people into
unleashing their economic deprivation wrath against the mullahs.

Theoretically it is possible to do the Air-Sea Battle (or whatever hurling Tomahawks and other stand-off munitions is called nowadays) against Iran. Bomb it and declare the victory. I am not sure that Iranian Navy has any real means to do much, nor do I believe in the Iran’s ability to meaningfully close the Strait of Hormuz. But, whatever one says about Iranian Air Defense, one cannot discount a massive number of domestically built Iranian systems, knock-offs of Russian Buks, plus some number of actual Russian AD systems from Pantsir to S-300PMU2. That may represent a real danger to any aircraft, especially if Russians managed to integrate all those systems. The glory of April 13 Syria’s AD performance, which now has become the stuff of legends, is a good motivator for Iranians. Well that, plus Russia’s global ISR capability which will be utilized for Iran’s benefit the moment any pre-deployment of forces starts. Per Iranian EW capability–who knows…


2018-07-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I grew-up thinking that having a handful of TRUE friends was good.

Exactly. Those FB “friends” … well, you may remember, there were even companies which for money were providing “friends”, “likes” and other “goodies” for FB addicts. How pathetic is that.


2018-07-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The entire company is meaningless to me

Not you only. Until the myth of “post-industrialism” is not completely discredited and meaning of productive labor is reintroduced into the economic “mainstream”, the bubble will continue to grow and inevitably will explode with catastrophic consequences.


2018-07-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

US Navy put ASM development on the back-burner due to carrier-centricity which is deeply rooted in WW II Pacific Theater.


2018-07-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am not going to lie–I initially bought into LCS concept, that is until it became clear that their weapons suite will be, hm, politely speaking-lacking. I am absolutely flabbergasted with US Navy’s gigantism mania. Plus, the missile gap, in terms of anti-shipping missiles is huge and it is growing.


2018-07-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

My very humble opinion on that is that PD-14 is an ultimate future. It is, in the end is a family of engines with PD-35 eventually removing PS family from both commercial and military business. PD-14 is doing great and will be used on MC-21s for domestic flights, while waiting for international certification (whatever the title of it is).


2018-07-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You can also add Il-112, 114 to that. There is no doubt that some huge moves are made in Russia’s aerospace.



2018-07-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

If you would recall, at the dawn of the anti-shipping cruise missiles in USSR they were called Samolyot-Snaryad (Aircraft-Shell).


2018-07-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Travel safe and I am waiting for your feedback.


2018-07-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia sometimes, very rarely, DOES use “fake” videos but, what matters, Russia most of the time posts very real ones and those who are real specialists and experts, not media types and fanboys, they get the message. I am sure US space assets had no problems “observing” many Russia testing her latest weapons. Something tells me that, such as the case with Kinzhal, some of those tests were even “opened” on purpose–to send the message. Per Oscar shooting something recently? I didn’t see the video. Recall the reaction in 2015 after Russia launched 26 Kalibrs from Caspian Sea–from some fake news of 4 missiles never “making it” to open hysteria in media. Well, we all know the end-result, don’t we?


2018-07-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Modern signal processing and computing power are such that they basically render all this VLO in radio-diapason too expensive and too ineffective against first rate military. Maybe they got the signal? In the end, the way the “incident” (obviously lock on and (near) hit) with Israeli AF F-35 and ancient Syrian Soviet S-200 (granted integrated with Russian AD contingent in Syria) was “removed” from media and judging by immediate hysteria in Western military porn “expert” circles–the message was clear.


2018-07-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Let the force, I mean Google Translate, be with you;-)

http://tehnoomsk.ru/node/2522

https://www.mk.ru/politics/…

http://www.arms-expo.ru/new…

https://kret.defence.ru/art…

There are plenty materials which describe this technology aka “microwave photonics” (in the West) and there is very little doubt that such a technology is coming.


2018-07-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep–first prototype is working and is able to detect and track targets. This was in interview (in Russian) link to which I posted somewhere here last year, IIRC.


2018-07-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t know. I think, for the common military sense sake, it is not a bad idea. As per tanks, yeah–not exactly a success story.


2018-07-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yuri, I apologize for delay. It is really good and Polina, certainly, has some talent. But my favorite cover is by Olga Kormukhina–a combination of a monstrous in its power voice combined with a subdued doubt.


2018-07-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The biggest, most pervasive, problem for the Russian Navy are not funds, nor state programs–it is the absence of coherent Naval Doctrine, which would necessitate a realistic shipbuilding program. Granted, it is difficult to formulate one in this madly changing world. One thing, however, is clear beyond a reasonable doubt–Russian Navy can not and will not become a carrier-centric navy. But this whole thing becomes a completely moot point if one considers the fact that the problem of communications (and thus targeting) with plasma cloaked hyper-sonic weapons has been resolved. Today it is 2 000 kilometer range, tomorrow it is going to be 5 000. Wait, what about this funny little thing Avangard;-) Wink, wink.



2018-07-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Possible, but I think Putin has a clear communications channels to both Merkel and Macron and if anyone would issue such a warning–it will be Putin himself. In the end, even such prominent state figures as Lavrov and Gerasimov are of lower rank compared to heads of French and German states. Warning, if such could have been made in those meetings would have been merely implicit through discussing possible military operations and their consequences in Ukraine. They first went to Germany and Germany has very little weight in Syrian issues. I assume that the main thing was about Ukraine.


2018-07-24 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Good one. I liked it too.


2018-07-24 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Yep, same here. Albeit I do indulge myself in Jack with Tatiana (no, not a woman), a good affordable cigar, periodically too. Scotch is not my thing.


2018-07-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The other theory also is a possible confiscation by the American side of Russia’s assets.


2018-07-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No Sergei, this is impossible for that kind of book. Not even tens of thousands. Monetary reasons were important but of secondary importance for this book. But, of course, it is good to dream–hey, if I sell million copies, I go to Disneyland. LOL.


2018-07-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Plus massive drop of US treasuries by Russia. In fact, unprecedented.


2018-07-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I need to see the whole thing by HBO to make a conclusion. At least HBO gives tribune to them–that is good, I think.


2018-07-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I remember watching American TV drama about Chikatilo (Citizen X or something like this)–you should have seen what was presented as Rostov-on-Don main railroad station in that movie (I believe it was shot in some backwater Romanian town in 1990s), we literally were sitting with our jaws dropped. Things were bad in Russia then but not to the point of being a complete shithole, especially in 1 million + population urban center.


2018-07-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

says she always feel surprisee how much nationalistic Europeans are, and how me Russian being closer to her in this question.

Russians, of course, could be pretty nationalistic but, you are correct, vastness of spaces, of horizons and purposes is what makes Russians and Americans similar. It is just that Russian version of multiculturalism pivots around Russian people, in the West and in the US those things cannot exist today due to suffocating PC and 1984-ish propaganda.


2018-07-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This song never gets old and the syrens are always circling around…

That is the only song they know due to a very low educational and intellectual level.


2018-07-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It has less to do with being a Nazi than with the fact that European “elites” and population are literally brainwashed with this “complex of superiority” tightly connected with this illusion of “democracy”. It is bad enough to tolerate this BS form most Westerners, but from Germans this condescending attitude (look, Russians have hipster cafes and shopping malls!) is doubly pathetic–they cannot even stand in defense of their women. I am also afraid that waking up is too little, too late for them. Paradoxically, East Germany was and is the place where national German consciousness was preserved way better than in the Western (allegedly “free”) part.


2018-07-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

LOL! So true. 1982, 2006–who can forget.


2018-07-19 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I, actually, never stated that God Father influenced anyone, I just stated that I find it unappealing. In fact, I stated that I don’t know what is the scale of this influence. Her is my response to Babak:

“I am not sure what is the scale of this influence–I personally don’t find Godfather appealing in any sense, but what is ultimately true is the fact of American political class and, indeed, very many of those males being absolutely unaware of the nature and application of military power.”

Per this:

they were herded around in tour groups, much as ordinary Russians are and were

Ordinary Russians travel in groups, in person–anyway they want. There are group tours, millions of Russians travel not in groups. I know, I periodically fly with them.


2018-07-19 on sic-semper-tyrannis

McDermott, while no doubt a capable observer, made a huge mistake with his 2010 review of Serdyukov’s “reforms”, especially when assessing a transition to a brigade structure as Russian Armed Forces’ transition to a Netcentric Warfare. In reality this transition (fast reversed to division structure, especially in Western and Southern Districts in 2013) was basic and unscrupulous parroting of the US doctrines, which are barely applicable in Russian conditions. So, it is impossible to overlook that snafu on his part. It is especially strange since the discussion on this issue in Russia was enormously heated and highly public.


2018-07-19 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Unfortunately, the original author of
this claptrap, Mark Galeotti, who, I regret to say, is, like Tait,
British, has now recanted and confessed.

Doctrine-mongering and repeating birth of new faux-academic “entities”, such as a “hybrid war” (any war is hybrid by definition), is a distinct feature of the Western “political science-military history” establishment. Galeotti, who for some strange reason passes as Russia “expert” is a perfect example of such “expertise” and doctrine-mongering. Military professionals largely met this “hybrid warfare” BS with disdain.


2018-07-19 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I am not sure what is the scale of this influence–I personally don’t find Godfather appealing in any sense, but what is ultimately true is the fact of American political class and, indeed, very many of those males being absolutely unaware of the nature and application of military power. They simply don’t get it because they learned all the wrong lessons or learned absolutely nothing. This issue goes way back before the Puzo’s novel, let alone Coppola’s movies, saw the light of the day.


2018-07-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Methinks they already have done at least part of actual trials and Kinzhal will be deployed on Tu-22s.



2018-07-18 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Most of those “elites” never served a day in uniform and their training in strategy consist mostly of watching Hollywood movies and, at best, couple of seminars on some significant weapons. Former SecDef James Schlesinger comes to mind with his proposition of getting all members of Congress to proving grounds to let them experience first hand (from a safe distance) effects of detonation of low-yield nuclear device. To the best of my knowledge this never was implemented. Now, what number (percentage) of draft-dodgers constitute those elites is altogether an interesting question to ponder. And, of course, political science field or law, or business degrees are not exactly conducive to having a grasp of modern warfare.


2018-07-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No, the tone of a piece is that Kremlin is evil but Russians are still people. It is condescending in the extreme precisely for the reasons of counter-positioning of Russian people and “Putin’s realm”. The conclusion of the article is Exhibit A of Western propaganda and views of minuscule strata of Russian “liberals”. Just consider this part:

And
although many Western travelers wondered about modern Russia because they envisioned the country much more Soviet than it actually is, though they were happy to see that everywhere in the cities the mobile network is so good that no one else is Asking where to log in to the next Wi-Fi network, though they’ve been
astonished to find that beach volleyball is also being played on
Russia’s summer beaches to shallow pop music, they’ve surprisingly often met the desire to just run away from that country.

There’s the doctor who’s learning English because he wants to follow his colleague to London as soon as possible. There is the young man in the coffee shop who calls the price for a cup of
cappuccino and in the same breath asks if it is possible to emigrate to Germany. There are the young, well-educated people, the designer, the architect, the economist who keeps nothing in their home country. Not the many hipster cafés, which are not only in Moscow, not the colorful globalized world of goods that is offered in countless shopping malls, not the good old Russian ice cream that so many World Cup tourists have been looking forward to. Nothing. Something is missing in Russia. It is freedom.

Those who want to leave are not the big fighters. If they were some, they would be in the camps of Russia, like those who are locked away for years, just because the authorities do not like what
they think. They are fed up with the ubiquitous corruption they all have to think about when they see the beautiful new football stadiums being built for the football people, so that even the richest can enrich the country a little more.They no longer want to accept that one is elected again and again, even though they themselves do not know anyone who has given Vladimir Putin the vote. They want to move freely in the world, at least on the Internet they do not want to be controlled. And they’re fed up with bans on speaking, censorship, and just that you can not live the way you want them to.

Same ol’, same ol’ condescending BS. Never changes. That is why attempt on a joke is reduced to a mere caricature again.


2018-07-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The only thing Germans as a whole have today to be proud of is their still strong football tradition and, especially for German utterly delusional cuckold “intellectual” class–an illusion-delusion of some kind of “democracy” which is in reality a suicidal (empirical evidence of that is overwhelming) totalitarian ideology, despite its embedded condescension towards anyone not following it. This, plus general degeneration of Western “elites” and faux-intellectuals serving them. It is a catastrophe and even German industries cannot hide this anymore.


2018-07-18 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I am laughing hard now. And I am at work. It is so idiosyncratically American and in a good humorous sense. Even Alice Cooper was sarcastic about 60s and this “peace, man” culture in one of his interviews. Well, Iggy Pop too. What is not funny, though, is how many of those 60s offsprings ended up in 1990s in a position of power and influence and helped get us all to where we are today–and this is not a happy place.


2018-07-18 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Otherwise it could turn out to be a nothingburger

Not globally–it is already having a gigantic effect (not positive for US) in the places in the world which matter. In fact, sweeping under the rug anything will mean an irreparable damage. People around the world are not stupid.


2018-07-17 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Way bigger, once real bets and implications are considered both for the US and globally.


2018-07-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

domestic nuclear subs (don’t know how good they are)

Good subs and what used to be one of the best submarine officer training/education program–legendary Perisher courses. After the issues with HMS Astute (like running aground) one has to conclude that they are lacking today.


2018-07-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

4 nations (US, Russia, France, and China) now that have all four: jet engines, original aircraft design

You forgot UK whose Rolls Royce is a major player in commercial aviation market.

Apparently Chinese subs and jet engines are inferior but they exist)

Most of Chinese military hi-tech (and I don’t mean computers) is a direct knock-off, often grossly inferior, of mostly Soviet/Russian and Western technologies. Enough to take a look at Chinese space program which is a clone of Soviet one.


2018-07-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

it just means that more time and resources would be necessary for reaching parity.

This is not my opinion since in the highly advanced military-technological field the gap actually grows. I think it will continue to grow, even with China’s rather massive financial wherewithal.

WS-15

I hear this tune and claims for many years now. Now compare it with world-class PD-14 which was in development since 2009 and now nears completion of its certification and first IOC run being produced already for first series MC-21. That is the enormous difference. Same goes for nuclear subs–it took USSR 20 years to move from pr. 627 November to a world-class pr. 671 RTM Victor-III (consider computing capabilities of that time), China started with its Han-class in 1974 and only by 2006 (already in an advanced computing and financial state) produced Type 093 which is still inferior to Victor III. 32 years in a very different, way more advanced, time period. Between first pr. 671RTM and first pr. 971 (1983)–6 years. Even today, 2018, China doesn’t have anything even remotely capable as aging pr. 971. Severodvinsk, Virginia classes–it is altogether a different universe. The gap, actually, is growing despite attempts to catch up with US or Russia. No world-class submarine fleet–means no really combat capable fleet at all. Simple as that.


2018-07-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Unfortunately, I am not so optimistic about Russia. Like Saker, I am
convinced that a significant portion of Russian elites are seeking
reconciliation with the west and willing to concede on issues they don’t
have to (including Putin, read the full-text of his interview with Fox
and his remarks about the new Russian weapons).

This is where I and Saker diverge. While “liberal” Russian establishment is to a larger degree “treasonous” to Russia’s interests–application of strictly Western metrics and methods in assessing this establishment is plain simple wrong for a number of crucial reasons.

It is clear that there are a lot of technical challenges in achieving
the level of performance of a modern jet engine military or otherwise.
Nonetheless these are within the realm of human intelligence and
therefore there is no reason to think that it requires more than a
certain level of maturity for an industry to reach parity.

School of thought, experience and a Big Data which comes from it can not be bought nor directly incorporated. Compare Soviet/Russian-US-Chinese timelines in aerospace and naval technology. It becomes patently clear that it is not easy, even when money are present. Just a “simple” issue–materials, from metallurgy to composites.


2018-07-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In some fields they will catch up–this is undeniable, in others, like supercomputers, they are already leaders. But once even non-professional view of their, say aerospace industry, is taken comparatively to Russia and US (primarily in commercial) one immediately sees a huge gap, be that materials, design or propulsion. They are simply not there (yet) and that is why they need RC929 and also access to Russia’s jet engine technologies. Just a simple example.


2018-07-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I`ve been looking at the democrat/deep state characters reactions to the
Helsinki summit and it is just plain unmitigated insanity. Brennan of
all people, talking about “treachery”? Seat burning under that weasel
fuck Rosenstein?

I know. Disgusting and hopefully their shrieking is because, if to believe rumors, someone from them may face the jury eventually.


2018-07-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

ASW Missiles

At best–doubtful. In reality–somebody’s fantasy presented as truth.

.In-orbit Satellite Refueling

Yet it seeks Russia’s cooperation on truly modern space station, as an example. China barely registers in piloted space flight. China lags tremendously in both commercial and combat aviation. In general, Chinese weapons are NOT great. to put it mildly and I can lecture anyone in Japan’s Science and Technology Agency on those issues. And yes, producing modern nuclear powered sub or state-of-the-art combat aircraft requires an enormous development of both fundamental and applied science.

Hypersonic Space Weapons

This is not even funny–China CLAIMS to have those, while Avangard is already in series production and China is nowhere near anything even remotely comparable to RS-28 Sarmat. Ah, yes, I forgot, China does not have modern jet engine and is not going to have one any time soon–that is why she buys like crazy SU-35s and S-400s, among many other things, from Russia–so much for all this fancy physics. Manufacturing military capability is an extremely complex process and China lags in it, sometimes by generation or two.


2018-07-16 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Isn’t it past time people let go of propaganda/Hollywood versions of evil Nazis and started applying “accurate scholarship” to the events?

Yes, for starters buying a ticket on CheapoAir (or Expedia) and flying to Russia to visit Poklonnaya Gora (Mount) in Moscow or Piskarevskoye Cemetery in St. Petersburg to get into this “accurate scholarship” mood. I am sure hotel prices have come down after the end of the World Cup.


2018-07-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree with everything except this:

Meanwhile, China is building up to kick the sclerotic US Navy out of WestPac… (long discussion; not here)

And why not here? Albeit, I may write a separate post specifically on that to open a discussion. For all its ills, US Navy has a crown jewel of its submarine force whose capability dwarfs that of PLAN’s. What a coincidence that exactly couple of hours ago Vzglyad published this:

https://vz.ru/world/2018/7/…

Реальные боевые возможности гигантского флота Китая явно преувеличены
Real Combat Capabilities of PLAN Are Obviously Exaggerated. With some minor issues–a superb analysis.


2018-07-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Because it is:

1. Torn nation with three distinct cultures;
2. It is economic basket case which, without Russia, is reduced to what it is now;
3. It is IN Europe and having a shithole in the middle of it has its limits.


2018-07-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

F-35 come to mind immediately, even against the backdrop of Italy refusing to buy it. Here, the US has leverage with the exception of France. And then again, NATO newbies’ rearmament programs are planned for decades and it will involve a lot of US-made weapons and services.


2018-07-12 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Sorry, There Is Zero Chance of Putin Ditching Iran in Syria

Who said anything about “ditching”? How did this term even get into all this?


2018-07-12 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Evidently he was SVR all along his earlier career, that is until he got his civilian job in Leningrad in 1990. Considering his admission on camera, that would involve him being trained in KI (Krasnoznamennyi Institut imeni Andropova) at least. As it turned out he was a residentura Nelegaly handler and this is a completely different line of work. It is extremely dangerous and it is a very narrow field of elite professionals. That changes the angle on Putin as merely run-of-the-mill FSB field officer completely. Considering where he is today and who are behind him, it is not only irresistible but is highly warranted to start asking questions, or, for that matter, reassess his skills level which is on the order of magnitude more impressive than it was thought originally.


2018-07-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I wrote merely about Trump’s intentions, not that this 4% or even 2% will come to fruition. They will not.


2018-07-12 on sic-semper-tyrannis

No, I mean Putin being in SVR from the get go and on the line of work which entailed direct handling of “Nelegaly”–a deep cover residentura. This type of work required and still does a very special set of skills. Here, he discloses his real past life.

https://youtu.be/FCCSTj2I0Ck


2018-07-11 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Just when you thought the fainting couches were all deployed

Let this statement of mine be an official affidavit for my stealing and using this wonder of a phrase in my future writing and speaking on any military-political issues. I promise to refer to Publius Tacitus as originator.

P.S. Small correction, 22 June 1941 the start of Nazi invasion of USSR.


2018-07-11 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I, certainly, hope so.


2018-07-11 on sic-semper-tyrannis

In looking at what has been going on in Syria, it is starting look more Putin’s diplomacy with Netanyahu

Very fresh from Reuters no less.

https://www.reuters.com/art…

In the end, it may become Russia-Iran agreement.


2018-07-11 on sic-semper-tyrannis

For him. NATO and Russia are competitors for US favor, i.e., HIS favor.

He certainly needs better briefings on Russia. Plus, he will be meeting a guy who, unlike EU “leaders”, was in the line of “business” which only recently became more or less apparent.


2018-07-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

there is hardly place for so many refugees in Stavropolie anyway

Agree on Savropolie, other regions still could be seriously considered. .


2018-07-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

One of the greatest games played in football in the 21st Century–stunning. Smolov–he should have spend more time training than tattooing himself.


2018-07-07 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Russia may actually make it to the World Cup finals

She mustn’t since it will drop Russia’s GDP by 40%, will completely demoralize her Armed Forces and Intelligence apparatus and, in general, the nation will be drunk for the most of the year. I am preparing myself spiritually for tomorrow (Russia-Croatia) and in terms of spirits–it goes both ways, win or lose;-)) If you know what I mean.


2018-07-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know they have TV tax. Ridiculous.


2018-07-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I sure hope that Trump is onto the scam at this point…

I am 100% positive that he is. In the end, we may only guess what is going on behind the curtain. The number 240–this was the number of military and intelligence high-ranking officers who supported him in 2016–most likely (not Bannon) who wrote the script. I would assume that at this stage DJT is winning.

Here are the cards he can play… Crimea is Russian, since 1780s. Sanctiond dialed back. Give Russ back its summer houses on Long island & Chesapeake bay. Invite back some diplomats. And I suspect that Putin has plenty of currency with which to bargain back.

Not even this–denouncing the (possibility of) war and adversarial relations alone would be a success. After that-we’ll see how it goes.


2018-07-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Sometimes i literally have to question my cognitive faculties because the brain refuses to recognize a sheer lunacy of what is going on. The latest snafu with allegedly Novichok made even, for crying out loud, The Guardian–a main perpetrator of atrocious anti-Russian propaganda–start question things.

https://www.theguardian.com…

But then again, in the nation where Rotterham atrocity and pedophilia were covered up, anything is possible. At least in the US there are some motions to change something. UK–Londonistan, one word. Sad.


2018-07-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you for clarification and I do not expect this book to be a “best-seller” in any way but merely, hopefully, a viable contribution to the field. If it becomes a “best-seller” in military-(geo)political-history field–good enough for me.


2018-07-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know, but it is Winter which is brutal there. Boers are not adapted to this. Inevitably the issue of North Caucasus and South rises. Of course, there is always Southern Volga and Don region but the land there is not that good everywhere.


2018-07-06 on sic-semper-tyrannis

The US market is not that relevant any longer for exports of EU

The US market is extremely relevant for US market and that is what really matters for the US.


2018-07-05 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Watch Daimler & VW buckle!

A good point you’ve made. This wasn’t possible even 10 years ago–now, frankly, what are exactly advantages of German-made cars? That they are over-engineered, more expensive and sell mostly on brand-recognition and import prestige basis? In terms of reliability, meanwhile, German cars are nowhere near leading Japanese brands. American cars, meanwhile, are definitely of a much higher quality today than they were 15+ years ago.


2018-07-05 on sic-semper-tyrannis

My class-mate from my Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky high school class of 1980 went on to study, IIRC, Novosibirsk State U and by a very early age defended Doctoral Thesis and became one of the foremost authorities in USSR on precisely soy and its development namely in the Russian far East. This was in 1980s. So, this issue for Russians (having China in mind) was around for quite some time. Latest data also confirms Russian interest in exporting it to China.

https://www.agricensus.com/…


2018-07-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

All good points you made. We’ll see. But somehow I have to go with Pozorovatelna–knowing MO of Russian MoD it is absolutely conceivable that some results are already known.


2018-07-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Impressive? not so much if to take for reference Mig-31’s 2.8M

MiG-31 with full load can not reach M=2.8. Most realistic “drop” velocity for Kinzhal is somewhere between M=2-2.2.

Unless this is PR issue, designed to influence in-USA politic war, with no *immediate* link to tech developments.

Anything related to weapon systems such as Kinzhal or S-500 always has some PR element to it. It is inevitable.

How many Kinzhal missiles might carry Tu-22 on wings points I wonder?…Will it be forced by launch them in pairs, or will it be capable of accelerate to launching velocity even carrying daggers asymmetrically (1+0, 2+1, etc) ?

Kh-32 is about 5.5 tons, well within (if not more) weight parameters for Kinzhal, and is much longer than Kinzhal. So, I don’t see real technical issues for coupling of 3. But yes, the issue of a drop speed is crucial.


2018-06-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree. The example I presented was merely for demonstration and was deliberately vulgar. But you made a crucial statement:

Furthermore, as has been demonstrated by recent events, government will intervene to prevent such a disruption.

Precisely, before P&W and RR would acquire assets it will be government first and foremost which will intervene. Which brings us to a chimera of libertarianism and of the laissez faire–a fundamental gospel of American “economists” (most of them). Free market is a figment of imagination–enough to take a look at Boeing which IS sustained by government contracts. Enough to recall the scandal with aerial refueling gigantic contract.

But in a properly functioning market economy, finance does play an important role

Finance plays important role in any economy. Money is the blood of industry.


2018-06-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

PD-14 and PD-35 from Russia. What is the 6th generation jet which Russia confirmed today she is working on–who knows. Evidently those fighters will fly into the near space on that. After March 1 Putin’s speech one can only guess.


2018-06-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Also, I don’t understand why you are so dismissive of the service sector.

Who said that I am dismissive? Service sector is extremely important–stock brokers and banksters, however, are not service sector–they are BS sector. As are most of the “investment” banks. Generally, I always refer people who have doubts to Al Pacino’s genus monologue in The Devil’s Advocate, especially Eddie Barzoon’s part.

https://youtu.be/RGR4SFOimlk


2018-06-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Oh maan! Thank you, thank you;-)) A delight!!


2018-06-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Amazon calls itself “tech” because of AWS, not online storefront thing.
AWS disappearing will have an immediate and striking effect.

Will be easily replaced, with initial capability, in a matter of month-two. There are people in the wings waiting and there are many of them.

What I don`t understand is, how and why various govt regulators and monitoring bodies are not carving it up without anesthetic right now for literally eating up market sectors and effectively forcing extinction of the brick store? Then again, they give Musk money too…

Good that you brought up Musk’s issue–Musk is, actually, a government subsidiary and a technological fraud but in this case, you are correct, who are those people who “bought” this BS? The answer is simple and two fold:
1. They are incompetent;
2. It is their ideological drivers of techno (uber-liberal) utopia.


2018-06-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is probably to be found in the fact that the space research
department has to produce visible successes – failure can’t be
concealed, anyone can see your rocket blowing up or plunging into the
sea – while the defence “industry” is a sacred cow that is protected
from criticism because any criticism of it is supposed to be tantamount
to treason.

This point definitely makes sense.


2018-06-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

having the VLS so close to the bridge.
Agree completely–MK-41 is placed extremely close to the bridge. In this particular case it would have been more sensible (I am not saying that it is possible) to have VLS and RAM launchers exchange places.


2018-06-28 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Bolton is just another big mouthed bully who has more than met his
matched in Trump. There is no way Bolton could out bluster Trump.

Sublime and funny, because it is so true.


2018-06-28 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Men are not rational, therefore the calculus of war is still the same as what obtained in 1914.

I don’t know, Vladimir Putin looks damn rational to me–just an example. Again–no, the calculus of war is entirely different on strategic and operational levels. You cannot apply operationally any “lessons” from the Battle of Lepanto to a deployment of the nuclear triad in case of war. Tactical and operational “lessons” of WW I or of the Battle of Borodino are important only insofar as general military historical art goes. There was no ballistic or stand-off missiles then, nor was there what today is defined as a battle space which soon (if not already) is represented as an extremely complex 3D (remember Star Wars?) hologram with amount of technology–from communications, to sensors, to computers– involved which has no parallels in human history.

Nixon went on Nuclear Alert in 1973 during the war thereabouts – was that an expression of Supreme Geo-strategic/Geo-political Rationality?

Brinkmanship is nothing new in nuclear age but that is precisely the point–to produce a “process”, an arrangement which can arrest possible escalation. How to do that? You negotiate, first and foremost, within the framework of the Great Power (geo)politics. Russia’s problem in the last two decades was, due to internal dynamics, that it simply refused to speak in broadsides. Guess what event made appearance of Putin possible? Once the United States accepts (the process is ongoing as I type this) Russia as a power worthy of new arrangements–things will go in more predictable manner. I omit here inevitable internal issue of the American exceptionalism which did cost this country so much. Per 1973–Israel is and will remain a key (one of) points of this new (hopefully) arrangement whether you or me want it or not. Is US foreign policy run by neocons? Yes. Is AIPAC a major player in formulation of this policy? Yes. But with or without this fact of life–Israel is not going anywhere and this has to be accepted. Russia and Israel do have decent working relations–this, as strange as it sounds, may also be one of the major components of future Iran’s security.


2018-06-28 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Babak, again–neither in WW II, let alone WW I, had parties involved any capability to completely annihilate each-other, thus a defining strategic, operational and, purely humanitarian, impediment was absent. This leaves free space only for very superficial, at best, parallels. The calculus of war nowadays is different than it was then–Balkans or no Balkans, ME or no ME. This is not to mention a single fact that modern day Europe militarily is a midget between two military giants of Russian and US and all that projected onto an extremely dynamic massive power balance shift. Conflict between these two, unless maintained within conventional framework (and there are people who have designs on that), will destroy human civilization as we know it. This is unparalleled in human history as are approaches to the casus belli and initiation of the hostilities.


2018-06-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Absolutely! Force projection and defense are two very different animals. Pre-positioning of forces, through alliances, such as NATO has also major drawbacks when modern stand-off weapons are considered.


2018-06-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

29 German citizens applied for political asylum in Russia, LOL!

https://www.championat.com/…


2018-06-27 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Between the end of Peace of Vienna and the start of Peace of Yalta there
was a 50-year interval – filled with 2 world wars. Let us hope it be
different this time.

It must be different, plus I disagree with historic parallel–two entirely different paradigms both in warfare, geopolitical balance and media.


2018-06-27 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Russia doesn’t want to “dislodge” Iran from Syria but she needs Iran out of the border area with Israel. This is the key to a new arrangement, including, in the long run, Iran’s security.

Is there a new ABM Treaty in the works? Another SALT? Another Peace of Yalta?

First two are important but are not clear and present danger for Russia for a number of reasons. Militarization of space is more important now. The last point, however, is extremely important because either there will be some kind of new geopolitical arrangement or we will see probability of a global military conflict grow exponentially.



2018-06-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

True, but not this alone. In terms of capabilities Tejas and SU-30 MKI are simply from different universes, not to speak of Tejas being a single engine aircraft. I would understand the cost approaching (from below) that of two engine thrust vectoring SU-30 MKI. But 1.5 times more expensive? Are they trying to pull F-35 off there?


2018-06-27 on sic-semper-tyrannis

It is a well-known fact that all Russia’s firms producing Precision Guided Munitions design them with such target selection algorithms which between enemy tank and hospital automatically target hospitals, thus overriding operator’s choice of the tank. The same is true for hitting museums, refugee camps and sources of clean water. New algorithms, which target only children, pregnant women and senior citizens soon to be also fully incorporated in Russian-made PGMs and Combat Management Systems. I addressed this issue 2.5 years ago;-)

http://smoothiex12.blogspot…


2018-06-27 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Excellent analysis. In related news, a week or so ago semi-official Russian Vzglyad made a first media shot across the bow for Iran in which it stressed that the manner of Iran’s “presence” in Syria is a complicating factor.


2018-06-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There are all kinds of tactics and they are described in fairly thick book with a very high level security clearance required. .


2018-06-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In “economy” where “capitalization” of FaceBook is much bigger than that of Boeing anything is possible. In reality, it is disturbing seeing how system eats itself.


2018-06-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Corporations exist to make profit, not to make goods.

This is precisely the reason that the United States is a completely bankrupt nation. Nation ran by financiers and brokers has no other option.

This is what, as a Soviet man, you are missing – profit.

No, I don’t. Russia makes a “killing” selling Su-35C or SSJ-100, or nuclear energy technology while the US can not even break even selling F-35.

There is only room for 30 companies in DOW, and GE, a perennial dog, doesn’t deserve to be part this index anymore.

Yes, this is precisely the philosophy behind American decline which is seen by everyone. I am sure snake oil industries will continue to prosper in America on the way down to the third world status.




2018-06-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Except to say “I know who you are, and I see what you are doing.”

Exactly, they need to know that many observe what they are doing.


2018-06-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

anal ????

Forgot to respond to that–yes, as in going for precise (to the 1 thousand sq. km) areas of US and China, while for example purposes I could have been much less precise. Anal being slang for “perfectionism”

https://www.urbandictionary…


2018-06-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

What goes under the title “Left” in the West should be avoided by any means possible–it is a path to utter self-destruction. I am completely with you on that.


2018-06-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Then you will find this thesis interesting, it gets exactly to the issue you raised:

http://www.h3milsim.net/wp-…


2018-06-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Trade all the stocks & bonds you want. At the end of the day, you
exit the air-conditioned/heated office, ride an elevator down to the
ground floor and drive an automobile to your house. Where there’s food
— oft from far away — in the fridge. This is all technical complexity
and abundant energy at work (electric/hydrocarbon).

Precisely! This is what constitutes, in the end, a strategic reality. The United States didn’t become great because it had Wall Street or banking. It became great because it had the ability to produce an abundance of materiel and food, granted it was properly managed. As I wrote not for one–eliminate money in an instance, yes, it is going to be a catastrophe but it will be overcome initially through barter and eventual return to modern exchange and humanity will continue. Eliminate machines and industries–it is over for humanity.We simply will starve to death while killing billions of each-other by stones and sticks (and some fire-arms).


2018-06-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

…and who cares about Airforce. Funny.

Exactly! Actual military factors are very poorly calculated and this model which also draws heavily on RAND, as an example, is a very good case in point. Obviously, General Staffs have much better and much more realistic approaches to that–but all of them are highly classified. So, the political “science” and pop-strategy is forced to deal with rather funny models. They are all over the media universe with most basic models known as “my dick is larger than yours” constituting a majority of methods used in all kinds of military porn media outlets, especially so in the US.


2018-06-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

My son yesterday suggested to push for audio edition of the book under the condition of Betty White narrating it. LOL!


2018-06-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Already on it and may post something related to it here today-tomorrow.


2018-06-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you for your high praise of my work–I will lie if I say that it is not pleasant, of course it is pleasant. I am already working on the second one.


2018-06-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I doubt about audible, but I know for sure about Epub. For now.


2018-06-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you very much, Sergei. As per “million+”, I doubt it but good to dream nonetheless, LOL. If I hit this number ever, I may try myself in fictional literature, maybe;))


2018-06-11 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Russia’s relapse into Orthodox Christianity

Russia didn’t “relapse” into Orthodox Christianity since majority of Russians are either agnostics, atheists or Orthodox mostly in form. Tradition also plays huge role and that is why manifestations of Russian Orthodox aesthetics are so prevalent–it is normal for a nation which grew out of Orthodoxy and minded that even in Soviet times, however unofficially. This is not to mention a major pagan element in Russian culture which is also present. In general, Russian spirituality is much more complex than religiosity as one may observe things during mammoth Immortal Regiment marches.


2018-06-11 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Putin has restored Russia’s economic health using Kennedy/Reagan tax cut policies.

Sorry to disagree in such a dramatic fashion but it was nothing like Kennedy, let alone Reagan. It also had very little to do with taxation it did, however, have everything to do with stopping “privatization” (or robbery) and the start of nationalization of strategic industries. Russia IS NOT the United States in any cultural-economic sense. Not even close.


2018-06-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The “lady” worked the lobby during the “night” shift in the hotel lobby.
The two Puerto Ricans in our flight also got chased by some Brown
Shirts

Man, talk about getting unlucky in a short time period. I am sorry you guys had to experience that. In reality Russians are very friendly and the number of Hispanics, black people etc. hanging around Moscow and St.Pete is large. They seem to have fun. In any case, this should not deter your son from trying out Moscow and its massive academic environment.


2018-06-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

WTF! I wish I was there with you–I would have “spoken” to that bitch in proper Russian, if you know what I mean. Sadly for this particular occasion, never in my life did I lift a hand on a woman. In related news–you sure as hell know how to stay well in Moscow, Crowne Plaza–not too shabby, I can tell you that.


2018-06-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

My daughter was in Barcelona couple years ago–fell in love with it. But there is a huge issue here, LOL, I cannot stand FC Barcelona–hate everything about this team. I even started to root for Real Madrid just out of feeling of spite. I don’t dream about visiting Paris or London anymore, but Barcelona would be worth visiting.


2018-06-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

At the risk of sounding trivial and shallow but there is a whole mystique about St.Pete for an old navy guy–this time around, when cab got us from Liteynyi onto the Neva’s embankment, or when one steps onto the Strelka (right across Naval History Museum which was closed for renovation and exposition moved freaking hour away of walk, damn it) the heart is just ready to jump out from joy. Plus, even the humidity is different from Moscow’s, one can feel Baltic Sea’s “breathing”. I would never, for all her grandeur and beauty, live in Moscow. St.Petersburg, well… Plus, the number of eateries in Pete is just ridiculous–literally two-three for each building in the center:))


2018-06-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Being Jewish and Black is absolutely natural in Russia–Russians generally are color blind. Recall who is creator of modern Russian language–he was black. He has monuments to him all over Russia and number of squares, streets and theaters named after him is in thousands. Any major Russian city, let alone Moscow or St.Pete are very cosmopolitan and in a very positive (not European) connotation–multicultural. After all even Bronze Horseman poem which is central to Russian culture was written by a black man–Pushkin.


2018-06-08 on sic-semper-tyrannis

My sincere congrats to Caps! Well done, guys–really happy for you and this is from long-time Red Wings fan. Absolutely deserved!


2018-06-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Poland wants more than that–she wants US armored division permanently stationed on her soil. She is even ready to pay 2 billions for that. Obviously, they forget (in Poland) that EU subsidies are about to end and the time to pay back is near–there will go Polish “economic miracle” much touted in all kinds of “economic” circles. But, hey, let them.


2018-06-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But he can call any number of those.

Yes, it is called General Staff and its Chief, highly competent and highly trusted, Valery Gerasimov, who can order his GRU or GOU and other analytical structures to do all necessary work.

I however have doubts that random soldiers would easily discuss classified information flowchart with western journo.

Exactly.


2018-06-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know only that there is a distributor in UK which is already engaged. in distribution. Other than that–I myself still wait for my author’s copies.


2018-06-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

In some sense it is, same as today’s review of a possibility of nationalization of Victor Veckselberg’s assets. If you read Russian.

http://www.online812.ru/201…


2018-06-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Good question you ask. First, we have to be clear on what is shown in this video–those most likely are not robots with AI but radio-controlled remote vehicles. It looks impressive but, as you correctly stated, as was the case already with air-drones–EW can disrupts communications’ channels. We better NOT provide any kind of weapon system with REAL AI, I am not talking, of course, about some algorithms which do provide ELEMENTS of AI.


2018-06-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Came of age in 1968, and all that such a date implies.

Excellent point.


2018-06-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Once one considers people like Graham Philips, who does the honor to profession, one has to assume that some still exist.


2018-06-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

20 killed and some wounded by being in a wrong place in a wrong time. US establishment came up immediately with lame fake story of some “battle” and that those (hundreds killed in accordance to Pentagon) Russian mercs were trying to “attack” US forces–a story which fails (and was debunked already many times) simplest smell test immediately. This is not to mention the fact that Russian mercs ARE NOT under any operational command of Russian forces in Syria. They are called mercenaries for a reason. But US establishment needed badly some kind of “success” story so it came up with this BS.


2018-06-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I can see the only one end of this idiocy – the global war.

There are many more scenarios than that.


2018-06-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

If I may. Roberts is a great economist and a man with his heart in a right place but he is somewhat over-dramatic in his doom-spelling for Russia. Putin belongs to only one party–it is the party of strong Russia. As for Putin’s geopolitical preferences he was quite explicit in his conversation with youth at the latest Valdai Forum.


2018-06-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Looks to me like yet another hit piece on Trump

And on Russia too–in fact, primarily so. Western “elites” can not come to grips with the fact of Russia indeed going from strength to strength in the last 4+ years. Hence, as demonstrated in the Fisk’s piece–a combination of despair, delusion and frustration.Basically, the whole “argument” of his piece is a contrived baloney.


2018-05-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There are very many European financial interests which are directly connected to the US–so, it is complex.


2018-05-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Happy Birthday. Sadly, I don’t have any author’s copies on my hands yet. Should arrive in the mid-June. I don’t even remember how many I get as an author free–10 or 15, need to look into the contract.


2018-05-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

LOL. Nothing new in that–recall Airplane 1 where they show in-flight movie about air catastrophes.



2018-05-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

i wonder if US under trump unwittingly sanctioned itself from the rest
of the world by acting like an imperial overlord thinking every nation
must obey it’s directive..

This is precisely what happened already. US delegation at SPIEF was headed by Boeing’s CEO, apart from being by far the largest one. It is very clear that Washington D.C. is detached from REAL American interests, even when it tries to act as if it is protecting them.

do the israelis know their time are short ? without america they will
reap what they sow and it will be a bloody harvest to them just like how they bloodily sow their violent seed in the region..

If info about deal in the ME between Russia, Israel and Iran is true (which it looks like)–we are talking about a major diplomatic coup which will allow to finish war in Syria.


2018-05-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

easy one: smoothiex12@gmail.com


2018-05-31 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Of course. I have to get few of my author’s copies fairly soon and then I’ll send one to you.


2018-05-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You mean Babchenko thing? What can I say–a collection of morons.


2018-05-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I know, I read this yesterday. Hey, what do you expect from the manager of furniture superstore and tax specialist? This beaten to death “argument” about Thales Combat Informational Control System is now so stinky hat is not worth even discussing it.


2018-05-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

And H/T to Aeroflot, I got a whole row of seats in economy on full flights in both directions!

On the way back we sat on the isle and had one seat empty. A whole row–man, I envy you;)) We decided, however, to never fly through JFK again. For now, there is still a direct flight L.A.-Moscow but for how long it will be available I don’t know. There is a concerted effort now in US to limit Aeroflot flights as much as possible.


2018-05-30 on sic-semper-tyrannis

A quite sober discussion is found e.g. in Zetterlings “Kursk: A
statistical analysis”. Kursk was NOT special and did of course not broke
the German army.

Read review of these Swedish “military historians” by none other than Colonel Jonathan House and try to understand why a world-class American historian accuses them in basically following Wehrmacht’s narrative and numbers, which were debunked time after time by reputable historians. Basically, once you provided such “sources” as these Swedish “statisticians” any further discussion on these matters stops making sense. This is not to mention the case to be made that in general so called “Western” view of Eastern Front is a caricature and, often, a statistical fraud. My book which is out already is, in large parts, precisely about that. But feel free to use all kinds of pseudo-historical and “statistical” sources.


2018-05-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yuri, for all intents and purposes, since human life is a very complex thing, my and my family’s home is in the US and this can not be changed. The Good Ol’ USA for me is primarily people and things which are dear to me–there are many good people and good will still in the US, so it has to be clearly understood that using this устоявшееся выражение (established expression) has nothing to do with US ideological establishment and its approval. I guess this blog and in general my writing should give an idea that I don’t live in Manichean world. In the end, even our family’s “small” motherland is not even in Russia but in what today is fully independent and by far not always friendly to Russia state of Azerbaijan. So, how should I approach my deep profound love for Baku which still comes to me in my dreams? Is this a “tragedy” too? My grandparents are buried in Baku and I do plan to visit Baku in the future and I will be happy to do that. This is not to mention the story behind us deciding to stay in US–but that is a separate topic in its own right, I know how Russia of 1990s treated Russians from former Soviet republics.


2018-05-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I wonder if Smoothie could make a Russian Edition too 😀

I thought a little bit about me entering my views into Russian politcal-idological public discourse and I do have some things to say, but I will wait for reaction to my book in the US first and then will make final decision.


2018-05-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

however if you need “steady pitch of engines” – record them and play
through those earphones. Or some music with engines mixed in. Or
raindrops, etc

You misunderstood, I need to hear a sound of anything I am on–ship, aircraft, car etc. Just an example–on Aeroflot’s flight I watched Salyut 7 movie and then Служебный Роман (again)–all that with one ear free from movie sounds. It is a part of being “in control”, even when you are really not–I cannot fly aircraft. Ships, on the other hand…


2018-05-29 on sic-semper-tyrannis

The Red Army was in Berlin in May 1945 because they won the war of attrition 1943/44.

The real war of attrition started in June 1941 and, however “attrition” is defined, was “over” after Kursk Battle. After July 1943 there was absolutely no doubt in USSR that the war not only will be “won”, but that it will end with total destruction of Nazi Germany. In fact, Kursk Battle was so significant that understanding of it significance was universal across the globe. Mollie Panter Downess of New Yorker magazine left a startling evidence in her London War Notes about unease in British society during Battle of Kursk since everyone, as she stated, was feeling anxiety not only because everyone understood what was at stake at Kursk but because of a “helplessness of people standing on the sidelines while watching their friend (Red Army)” fighting a monstrous decisive battle. Interestingly, American press removed reports from Kursk Battle from its front pages. By the spring of 1944 Wehrmacht was basically hollowed out. It still remained a potent force, no doubt, but it was a pale shadow of its own self circa 1941-42 when it was capable of massive strategic offensive campaigns. Kursk ended all that.


2018-05-29 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You mean the new one? I don’t know yet the title, but it will be on the so called “expertise” and fallacy of most “models” in politics.


2018-05-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thank you for your kind words. I brought, BTW, some books from Russia–I may have fun writing my second book about all those political science people, LOL.


2018-05-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ha, my copies didn’t arrive yet, LOL. Thank you for your good response to the book. I hope it was worth it for you.


2018-05-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

you need isolating earphones, like scene/studio monitoring Sennheiser IE4 and some music you can sleep to.

Funny that you mentioned that–can not do that. I need to hear sounds (as my friend–a submariner, we met in St.Pete’s and we discussed precisely this issue, among others). I guess this is military people’s thing–I need to hear a steady pitch of anything: jet engine, diesel generator, turbine, electronic systems sound. Can not do a complete silence. Change in pitch worries me–this is one of many types of paranoia military professionals inherit before going into civilian life.


2018-05-28 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I’ll take Aeroflot’s gulash over Emirates anything anytime. BTW, internationally Aeroflot feeds very well (with the exception of the yesterday with a bizarre rice and BBQ Beef–that wasn’t that good), but generally–service is excellent and girls are superb in being courteous and professional. I would fly Aeroflot again but not through anything on US East Coast. There is a direct flight from L.A. to Moscow and never again through JFK, Seating-vise, Aeroflot beats Lufthansa by a mile. The only Aeroflot’s issue is allowing seating choices (bookings) only 24 hours prior.


2018-05-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Aeroflot is excellent–world-class service by very very attractive crews of flight attendants. They really choose them well;)) But, as with many airlines today–seating in something like B777 or A350 is very tight. Food wasn’t bad–goulash was surprisingly good. The flight through Iceland-Faroe lap was very bumpy. Fact is B777 inside is a carbon copy of B747-400 but with two engines only. I would say Aeroflot did a very good job, granted that the plane was jam-packed since took also losers like us who missed connection prior.


2018-05-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, he makes some good tactical (technical) points but in terms of Iran–he is spot on. Iran is very inconvenient “ally”. While there is no doubt about Iranian contribution in Syria, it is Russia who played critical decisive role there and she is absolutely NOT interested in allowing Iran to use fruits of general military victory in Syria to be used for settling Iran’s “personal” issues with Israel. Israel is NOT a nice nation, to put it mildly, but Iran can not dictate how settlement will go in Syria and that will involve Israel no matter Iran’s desires. S-300 announcement, though, was a good threat.


2018-05-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But the issue of transporting LNG is coming up big time for the US. In some sense Garamendi’s Bill tries to do what Russians already did for own LNG which can be transported only by tankers built in Russia.




2018-05-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Black and White picture of the world is usually easier to understand for majority (sadly) of people. Anything in between or, let alone in the reality which is measured by 3-D Matrices, is difficult. And then, of course, there are emotions and ideological preferences and voila’–things begin to look grim. I know, majority of people would love to have Russian liberals hung on the lamp posts, Russia overrunning Israel or getting into the hot war with US “just to show them” and “give them hell” but this is not how life works (never did). Patience, however, is a virtue.



2018-05-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Btw, have you read new Khazin article which is continuation of the cadres topic

Can you get me the link to this piece by Khazin? Would really appreciate this.


2018-05-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

A Classic example of idle, not in combat mode, system being hit by, obviously, Spike. Pantsir was not operational when hit, with crew doing something else (smoking?) .



2018-05-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is a trend and it is absolutely unnatural to keep the name of a man who played an enormous role in Victory in artificial mental exile. This has nothing to do with Stalinism, Communism or whatever–but with historic truth.


2018-05-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Seems like some of his accessors was fighting in great patriotic war.

No, he was carrying the photo of one of the Heroes of the Soviet Union of Jewish origins (do not remember his name from the top of my head) who later emigrated to Israel and died there. But then again, Israel now has May 9 as official national state holiday. So, Bibi knows what this is all about.


2018-05-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Actually, Avigdor Lieberman was very tamed in his assessments today and put in doubt the real war with Iran. Will there be a constant issue with Golan Heights and Lebanon? Absolutely. But that is expected.


2018-05-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, and at some point of time expect dropping of decorations enclosing Lenin’s Tomb. Moreover–two marches: When Stalin Will Send US Into Battle and Artillerymen, Stalin Gave The Order were played prominently.


2018-05-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I think Bibi was there on purpose and judging by today’s statement by Avigdor Lieberman that Israel doesn’t really want war with Iran is a good sign. Obviously, Israel will continue to harass Iranians and Syrian AD periodically, but that is expected. As long as really serious hostilities are kept in check–it is all for the better.


2018-05-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, those photos were taken down not by me. Well, Orwellian reality is upon us.


2018-05-09 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Red Wings, especially times of Steve Yserman, Shanny, Russian Five, Darren… oh man, what a team that was.


2018-05-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, same here. It is something with Disqus or I am under attack. But this was going on for some time now.


2018-05-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Well, that is Macron–the guy who has no spine, actually;) Europe doesn’t have political subjectivity and is increasingly marginalized geopolitcally. There are only three real geopolitical players now: US, Russia and China, which only now begins to assert herself.


2018-05-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

the problem is that commodities – oil, gold and etc. etc. are all
denominated in us$ – a byproduct of the bretton woods agreement.

Bi-laterally one can do whatever one wants to do as long as one has enough military power. You defined current global financial system one level lower. Reality of it is not in dollar but in perception of US military might which Was a REAL “currency”. That what counts, not the ability to print paper or denominate anything in whatever. Russia is already exporting the most valuable product of them all–political stability.


2018-05-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Here it is with CC. It is a massive policy statement. It is also a declaration of the death of neo-liberalism in Russia.

https://youtu.be/vKCC9eBQ_vk


2018-05-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

True, I do that sometimes–but only towards institutions. Such as–neocons are dumb (which they are) or State Department doesn’t work, but I always listen to person first. Granted, this person is not Max Boot or some other psycho. LOL.


2018-05-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

i know it is hard, but try to rise above the concept

Can we, please, refrain from sweeping generalizations? Especially directed at a person who is a long-time contributor to a constructive and interesting discussions here. You have to understand a very interesting fact that some of the most critically thinking, sincere and inquiring people are former military (granted, not all) professionals. There are few American military professionals who read this blog and participate and nobody can deny them the right for patriotism, doubt and inquiry. So, let’s keep it civil.


2018-05-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The financial times and the hyenas in London are jubilant at the prospects of Kudrin taking the n2 spot.

So, FT’s throwing rumor shit at the fan is now a Russian President’s executive order? Thank you for enlightening me. FYI, it was namely Medvedev who threw Kudrin out of the government several years ago, just small piece of info.

Per “Epistemological defeat”, if you read Russian–Hazin sure as hell is delusional, right? Or may be you have to resign yourself to a simple idea that you (and me) have very little understanding of Putin’s Admin. I, however, heard your tune before–4 years ago, from Girkin and so called “colonel” Cassad–that Surkov was “flushing down” Donbas purely out of his “evilness” and defying ignorant Putin.

https://politexpert.net/104…


2018-05-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Just listen to THIS today. Official declaration from the highest tribune about de-dollarization, among many other things.

https://youtu.be/RrR0NHADglA


2018-05-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

That is all true, but give fallen the credit, where the credit is due. Fellows fought to the end and died heroically–one has to respect that. I don’t think those guys cared one way or another while fighting in a hopeless situation. They did they duty and that must be respected–they are in Valhalla now where real warriors go and their death made me sad. I am not afraid to admit it.


2018-05-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Try this:

http://www.russianlessons.n…

I am sure there are plenty free resources online today.


2018-05-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Evidently, there are some cells there and not just ISIS. Jihadism is international in nature, albeit large parts of it are financed bu US “allies” Saudi Arabia and Qatar. Both are terrorist states. That should be the focus of attention, not the fact that US forces fight actual jihadists in Niger.

http://turcopolier.typepad….


2018-05-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russians are not naive since the long time ago–for 15 years at least. But paying due respect is not naivety. America as a State, not people, is rejected in Russia, or directly hated.


2018-05-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Of course, there are (there always are) people who go overboard the other way and want to stick some sort of ASW into those small hulls. It is impossible, of course, but people still love to think about it. But generally: small but tough SuWa and TLAM capable budget fighter is what this whole class is. In general, I always liked smaller crews, they also were less formal and much more tightly knit. Carriers are still needed, of course, just different ones, not these CVN mastodons.


2018-05-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

i also do not buy the ‘trump is nice person but under blackmail from
deepstate’ crap. he is obvious narcisist and a know-nothing that is
dangerous in tis situation.

He is narcissist and thus extremely erratic. Iran IS in sights but I don’t see US having real resources to fight a real war in Iran. Draft–I don’t know, this will be the end of US.



2018-05-04 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

1. You would never know (nor will Helmer) if S-300 were delivered or not, until it will be needed to know;
2. Even if to imagine that Kudrin somehow makes the “team” it absolutely will mean nothing since it was precisely on Kudrin’s watch that Russia accumulated capital for modernization and re-armament as an example.

I wouldn’t enjoy seeing Kudrin but there is no “going back” for Putin and there are million other indicators which testify to that. In the end, Russian Central Bank Nabiulina is in no way “inferior” to Kudrin. But we, indeed, will have to wait and see. After all: Putin Vse Slil is a popular tune among very many self-proclaimed “analysts” for the last 4 years. Yet somehow…


2018-05-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Probably US is much more powerful in Russia than you think. What do you make of this:

Absolutely nothing since Helmer recites here a provocative piece in Financial Times from yesterday and makes far-fetched “forecasts” based on this obvious info “false flag”. I do not read him at all. And no, FT made reference to some “sources”, which, most likely, are some deranged Russian liberals. I heard that Medvedev will stay as technical PM, while Sobyanin and Chemezov will become First VPs. I totally can live with that. In any case, Putin and Russia were buried so many times in the last 4 years that it is time to develop a skeptical (at least) attitude to ANY self-proclaimed Cassandras and wait for actual events to unfold. Just to give you another example–Western media propagate this hysteria now that Russia’s “military expenditures” fell 20% but it takes professional to see that:

1. 20% is a complete baloney;
2. The much smaller reduction has everything to do with force structure which changed dramatically in the last years;
3. This was forecasted couple of years ago, especially against the background of Russia’s economy actually growing for a second year.

But rumors and panic sell. Just have patience.

Just forgot to add. Recall this couple weeks ago. All this schadenfreude and all in Western media:

http://www.janes.com/articl…

Well, guess what–full BS. Russia side flat out rejected these “allegations” (in reality info war)–India said nothing of like. Somebody, simply, desperately needs to sell F-35.


2018-05-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I sincerely hope that the Israelis will not think that it is fine to
attack Russian assets (a la USS Liberty)…on the other hand, Hubris has a nasty habit of bringing down its practitioners.

Israel convinced herself in own military greatness–it had some successes, primarily against third rate Arab militaries, it also scored a PR coup against Soviet pilots in 1970 (Operation Rimon 20) once, but largely it was her posse as represented by the US who fights many wars for Israeli interests in ME. As Colonel Lang just today expertly acknowledged:

http://www.unz.com/plang/is…

It is not a favorable review. Or as Lang stresses on SST today:

They are in fact an army that has been very lucky in the enemies that they have faced

I agree with Colonel.


2018-05-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

or are people who are pushing for more aggressive action from Russia and
Putin missing the seriousness of the situation and how things can
quickly escalate into a major global war?

You are absolutely correct, it is not you, but a bunch of arm-chair “strategists” and other amateurs who think that it is a video-game. Many of those are young and have near zero life, let alone military, experiences. Or plain simple stupid. So, no–you are all right and your impression is absolutely correct. Nothing excites many people more than observing people killing each-other from the couch.


2018-05-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

My only reaction to this is–fvcking shame! One of the major cultural institutions is being completely perverted. On the other hand–after riflemen being changed into “riflepersons” I am not surprised with anything anymore. What’s next? Aviators becoming Aviatresses? This is a mad house.


2018-05-03 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Exactly, there will be again “chemical weapons” attack (false flag) in Syria, may be even an actual chemical weapons’ attack by jihadists (aided by UK and, possibly, by US) and Trump will again buy this BS and will order some stupid response, while US media and bunch of neocons will be foaming at the mouth and calling for a war. This is until Russia does engage and then everyone will be sorry and high pitch hysteria will reach ultrasound levels. Granted, we avoid a nuclear exchange.


2018-05-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Good point you made and, after all Russia is the home of 2045 Initiative (Project Immortality 2045):

http://2045.com/articles/29…

The good place to start, however, will be with curing cancer, diabetes among many other illnesses.


2018-05-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is Combat Vehicle of Support of the Tanks:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wi…

An evolution of armored forces after experiences of urban combat in Chechnya.


2018-05-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Exactly, it does require a whole enclosed cycle of expertise from the inception of a design to safe operations of a complete complex technological system. This is drastically different set of requirements which many people who grew from non-productive virtual economy simply can not grasp most of the time.


2018-05-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ah, I see. I think GMO issue is as much an internal food market defense as it is an ideological “alternative” in PR warfare. I eat GMO all the time and still didn’t tumadet toin laien;))


2018-05-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What is “science” about nuclear energy? The “science” which European “greens” promote has very little to nothing to do with actual science.


2018-05-02 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

BMPTs are finally entering production now?

I do not have 100% data on that but my feel is, all things in media-sphere considered, that they will be produced in numbers.


2018-05-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Colonel already gave you the answer. In more detail: a lot depends on the size of salvo(s) of attacker and defender’s number of missiles in intercept. All that could be more-or-less calculated within the framework of Salvo Model. In case of Russia the issue is that those are not just some “interceptors”–level of integration, ability to fuse data (sensors), layers of air-defense, overlapping of radar fields, effectiveness of EW (ECM, ECCM) means and the list goes on and on, and on. A lot is at play. What is in Syria? Here is a problem for me–I don’t know even approximately what is in there anymore. I literally lost track. So, the question in this case is this: what do we define as a “high volume”. Per specific probabilities of a hit by specific AD system–those are usually given per target/per launched interceptor (missile). Russia will continue to avoid demonstration of her S-400 and S-300 systems their as long as Syrian AD can hold (more-or-less) her own. Russia works towards this goal by supplying and training SAA’s Air Defense units.


2018-05-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, PD-14 progresses just fine, while SSJs SAM joint-venture engines (Saturn and Snecma) will become completely “domesticated”. The whole PD line is actually a strategic product which will completely free Russia’s civil aviation form any dependency on the West for domestic market, while still offering Western-made engines for foreign customers if they will decide so.


2018-05-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I
suggest he gives too much credit to the intellectual capacity of the
Neocons and their Israeli counterparts – they are not that smart

This is exactly the case. Agree 100%.


2018-05-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Also, would this have sale potential? Would other countries buy ready made nuclear reactors for their energy needs?

Exactly. If Lomonosov shows himself well–7 others are planned. Natural Gas and Nuclear are the way to go in the nearest future until new and truly alternative (not PR) sources of energy hit the pipeline, so to speak.


2018-05-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

How can they prevent it?

Saturation of not-covered areas with AD means and the process is ongoing. Russia provides wide variety of AD means from S1s to Tors to Buk-M2s and, possibly, S-300s in the nearest future.


2018-05-01 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Chief of GOU (Main Operational Directorate) of the General Staff in his statement from April 25 didn’t make things up. Here is a report from TASS and Russian General Staff doesn’t set policies, it merely follows them.

http://tass.com/defense/100…

That means only one thing–Rudskoy’s statement was sanctioned on the highest political level.It is worth noting, however, that Russian bases also have now Tor-M2 on watch there. That means, as I stated in my blog already–that SAA most likely has those but I don’t think Rudskoy was talking about Tor.


2018-05-01 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia didn’t even try to intercept anything–it is SAA’s business to deal with that. Unless Russian assets are under attack in Syria, Russian AD will provide, maximum, targeting and some EW. Yes, modern AD systems see all those “stealth” aircraft just fine. I don’t think this strike will have any effect on Russia’s reputation.


2018-04-30 on sic-semper-tyrannis

It’s just a matter of time when the S-300’s & additional Pantsir’s are delivered to the SAA

Currently SAA operates 40+ S1s (Pantsir) and undisclosed number of Buk-M2s. The commitment to deliver S-300 was made clearly by Rudskoy 5 days ago.


2018-04-30 on sic-semper-tyrannis

and get Trump to do something as stupid as his cruise missiles attacks.

Here is an issue with semantics. Many people talk about war, which, of course, may happen and the probability of full spectrum hostilities, including the use of the ground forces, which matters the most, is fairly high. If, however, all this talk and Israeli (and Saudi) hysteria will result in one or several strikes by stand-off weapons–it is going to be same old story just told differently. Is it a war? Of course it is a war, but the issue here is either Syria becoming a full battleground for IDF’s ground forces, or, if someone has his brains upside down in the US–the issue of invasion of Iran. That will be A WAR which needs to be prevented by all means. There is another factor, apart from Bibi’s traditional threat inflation on the eve of Trumps decision on Iran’s nuclear deal, which plays into all that–it is Putin’s May 7 Inauguration and May 9th not so much parade but as what is expected to be a record-breaking (they were gigantic before, now Moscow alone expects 1+ million) Immortal Regiment March–both events are of an enormous symbolic significance for Russians. There is a lot at play here. I am personally anxiously waiting for Putin’s first executive orders on prime-minister and government, which may give some hint on a direction of purely military developments both in Syria and in Ukraine, who, in accordance to US State Dept, took delivery of Javelins.


2018-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Remarkably, the crash was due to pilot “mistake”, in reality unforgiving negligence. It is akin to another “professional” who plunged 75 people to death because allowed his son “fly” A-310.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wi…

Total criminal negligence and arrogance. Human factor at its prime. Per this “stealth”, by now it became a meme of a sorts.


2018-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Israel is both desperate and hysterical. They will continue to find some holes to strike Iranians. And then there are Saudis who are in the league of their own in their imbecility.


2018-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I recall a despicable bitch Mona Sahlin of Swedish Social-Democrats (in reality totalitarian globalists) who a decade or so ago stated that there is no real culture in Sweden, Muslim refugees, however, in accordance to her–were bearers of a much superior culture. Now they invented the third gender in Sweden. Remarkably, Agnetta Faltskog in one of her interviews spoke about how ABBA was not liked in Sweden–too bright, too outstanding, too non-conformist. Once they became (totally deservedly) rich it all became a hatred in many Swedish social circles.


2018-04-30 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is true. But any idea of ground operation against Iran is so suicidal for the US that most likely the whole plan will be built around air-sea battle. I cannot even conceive who in their mind in Pentagon would seriously consider any ground invasion in Iran.


2018-04-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

All has to be extremely functional. That is the only way, actually, in weapons’ design.


2018-04-27 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

After all, somebody took down photographs from Ria about General Staff briefing without my permission. They just evaporated.


2018-04-26 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

China is critically dependent on SLOCs (Shipping Lanes Of Communications)–hence the necessity to “guard” them and “power project” into the markets (such as Africa) of Chinese commercial interests. In the end China sees herself as USA 2.0.


2018-04-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I am not specialist in air warfare in a sense that I don’t have Air Force background, so I can only state that Air Forces fight not just by aircraft. Russia, is fielding today an impressive array of modern state-of-the-art aircraft such as SU-35, SU-30SM and upcoming SU-57. Mig-35 currently is not a factor, MiG-31BM, however, is. F-22 is a good aircraft but it was, indeed, over-hyped and any “Stealth” is visible today to most modern radar systems which operate in networks, have massive signal processing capabilities, data (sensor) fusion and it is namely here–in combination of Russian aircraft and Air Defense systems where Russia simply has no rivals. That is why USAF has absolutely no chance in Russia’s vicinity. As Syria has shown, even there this limited combination works. This is as much as I can say now.


2018-04-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Fixed, thank you. At least I didn’t go for R2D2.



2018-04-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Just FYI, Justin Bronk is as air combat “expert” as me being a Chinese classic dance choreographer. Here is his background–of course, political pseudo-“science” from London School of Economics. Basically–media “expert”, or, in other words BSer and propagandist.

https://uk.linkedin.com/in/…


2018-04-25 on sic-semper-tyrannis

No. You can see clearly entrance holes by AD missiles “impact elements”. Most (not all) Soviet/Russian AD missiles use directed explosion of huge number of those elements, sometimes called “shrapnel” towards target. Some missiles have as many, IIRC, as 64000 elements in their warhead. Effectively, they make target (Tomahawks, JASSMs etc.) fly through the “cloud” of those elements thus destroying the attacking missile.


2018-04-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

this is so typical “shaping the media narrative” nonsense that i see
alot coming from IDF PR to bolster the myth of israeli superiority…
And now it permeates the US govt in severe manner..

Absolutely. “Israelisation” of military history in the US is very pronounced. IDF are good, it is just that they are not THAT good and as was stated by very many people, me included, not for once–Israel’s worst nightmare is secular Arab state with competent military. In the end, as with any things one has to perform in actuality not on words. PR against some backward state? Sure, one may pretend to win, while losing. Once Russia gets involved–the whole game changes, especially in military field and PR cannot hide reality for long.


2018-04-25 on sic-semper-tyrannis

These 46 shot down were specifically against Damascus. The rest were shot down elsewhere. TASS article speaks about this clearly.


2018-04-25 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Will be happy to. But it will require my renaming in Disqus–I’ll try, accurately. I always screw things up for some reason when change something internet-wise.


2018-04-25 on sic-semper-tyrannis

It doesn’t look like either Delilah or Storm Shadow (Scalp)–it could be the rear part of one of the Syria’s AD missiles. Most likely Kub or Kvadrat.


2018-04-25 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I apologize (and I seldom do this–referring to my blog ) but here are the latest and freshest, from today.

http://smoothiex12.blogspot…


2018-04-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t understand why this comment went to “Moderation” and I don’t see it there to approve. Strange.


2018-04-25 on sic-semper-tyrannis

No, I meant first two paragraphs.


2018-04-25 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The faces of these men–no pose, no acting, just humanity and absolutely sincere joy that the war is almost over. Open faces of great humans–compare those with what we see today non-stop. Gargoyles mostly with some rare exceptions.


2018-04-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia, actually, sacrificed a lot for this “vassal” nation. Not least playing decisive role in preventing it from becoming a part of caliphate.


2018-04-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

They did, but I am not sure that:

1. Russia has many old systems left, plus..

2. S-300 was agreed upon with Syria long time ago.

3. S-300 is, obviously, is much better complex.


2018-04-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

also notes that the decision was not finalized

I wouldn’t read too much into this–when necessary Russians usually move very fast and without much publicity.

In any case, that does not look very friendly to me.

I am not sure what you mean by this.


2018-04-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It`s the synergy and target sharing with Khmeimim-based S-400s they fear the most, I think.

You betcha.

Oh, and aren`t these complexes already in Syria? Ship unloading something under a thick cloud of generated smoke?

This I don’t know. If to believe those news by Australian news outlet of not first freshness–who knows.


2018-04-24 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I don’t know about EPA–I am not versed in those issues and I don’t doubt for a second that there was and still is an agenda. But Derb today came up with rather telling piece at Unz with a great title.

The Banality of Comey—A Sensitive Guilt-Ridden Middle-Aged Liberal Was RUNNING the FBI

Here is a quote:

That’s really penetrating. What should we make of the fact that our nation’s top cop is a mediocrity, with only the shallowest grasp of what’s going on in our society and culture?

http://www.unz.com/jderbysh…

This mediocrity, at best, today is everywhere in the top echelons. Literally–everywhere. And this is not the worst case scenario–mediocrities are being now substituted with militant incompetents. It is mind-boggling.


2018-04-24 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I also couldn’t miss this superb piece by Phil. The opening salvo is what makes the piece.


2018-04-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I like the latter better;))


2018-04-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I remember clearly those times and what was circulating inside Soviet military circles.


2018-04-23 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Not too close. It is, indeed, internal Armenia’s deal and let them figure it out on their own.


2018-04-22 on sic-semper-tyrannis

The meeting was about Bolton reading ultimatum to Russia, the same, slightly modified ultimatum being delivered by US Ambassador to Russia Huntsman yesterday,in which US calls on Russia, to put it in a few words, admit that she hacked US elections, return Crimea, forget about Ukraine and, in general, take responsibility for everything between the fall of Roman Empire and Challenger disaster. it has to be absolutely clear that US-Russian relations are wrecked and are irreparable at this stage. In the end Senator Gardner introduces legislature to declare Russia a sponsor of terrorism. This is in addition to US Democratic Party filing a lawsuit against Russia.


2018-04-22 on sic-semper-tyrannis

For some reason my response to you was removed but WW II was “predicted” in USSR in 1931.


2018-04-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

As many things in Russia are–SU-57 is in a bizarre transition from IOC to who knows what but those 10 flying prototypes are just what is shown to public.


2018-04-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

My, granted idealistic, view of combat aviation is that it has to exist for air show and pissing contests–let those air forces enter into show-offs for huge crowds of spectators and never be used in real combat. Sadly, my Tolstoevan pacifist view is just that–imagination. One of the most favorite movies of all times, watched not for once in movie theaters late 1960s-early 1970s was. In USSR it went under the title of Air Adventures.

https://youtu.be/UPgS26ZhqZs


2018-04-22 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Indeed, completely forgot about Down-Under.


2018-04-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Here they are, Solovyov’s Jets symphony. I, actually, flew on the same seats (obviously not in North Korea) many times.

https://youtu.be/G553-EiEvl4



2018-04-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

My most favorite bird of them all. Moscow-Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky–9 hours, Khabarovsk-Anchorage–6 hours. We took of from Anchorage in 1993 (???) with the airport basically closed. Only us and JAL 747 took off that day. The sound of Solovyev engines–ah-h, the music.

https://youtu.be/u1qcslCCsMk


2018-04-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

As Mikhail Mil said “Russia was created by God for helicopters”. She also was created for all types of aviation, from local small to wide-body. In the same time, there are only three other countries which are designed for flying: USA, Canada and China to a lesser degree.


2018-04-21 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Already reacted to this;) It is not too bad, I have to admit, to live in the time of social media. Granted one pays attention to things that matter.


2018-04-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

If the french openly admit this much (Link Below) , just how much fiasco
really happened to the so called FUKUS assault on syria ? the amount of
lies to cover up the incompetence and obsolescence of western ordnance
used in syria and the super effort by media and trolls trying to
denigrate syrian Air Defense is telling..

Hysteria and denigration (especially known to be false to those who are doing denigration) is a first solid sign of weakness. Russian know this, so do Syrians. But then again, the US was delusional about warfare and its technological aspect for decades now.


2018-04-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

also heap on the ‘we are better than russian’ comments

It is expected in the US, especially from those who feed on American military mythology. Sure US Navy is way better than Russians in Aircraft Carriers or in some sensors, very few of those if any at this point, etc. The problem is not in this–the problem is with accurate comparisons and assessments. This is not a commodity American expertdom, almost without any exceptions, has been able to produce.


2018-04-20 on sic-semper-tyrannis

According to a prediction by the famous US psychic Edgar Cayce

I hope the guy doesn’t pull too much overtime as California Psychic. If you know what I mean.

And if – God help us we are turned into refugees from our own continent –
and believe me don’t discount it – the invasion is huge and the birthrate staggering. It will be Russia we will need to take us in – and we know it.

This is a serious issue and some small streams of Western Europeans are already registered in a direction of Hungary, Poland and Russia too, not least through Russian Germans returning after experiencing West European “democracy”. There are also some German Germans of Christian background who do see Russia as their new home. Russia has vast experience of having Europeans voluntarily Russifying (through converting to Orthodoxy too) and living in Russia.


2018-04-20 on sic-semper-tyrannis

It is not tacit, it is pretty much open. This statement of IDF, however, also openly contradicts Pentagon’s and US MSM narrative about ineffectiveness of Russian AD systems and “effectiveness” of April 13 strike. IAF already lost one F-16, another one barely limped back home and any news about how that F-35 which was struck by this mysterious “bird” is doing are somehow missing from the short attention span media. Somehow Syrian AD is doing pretty good. But yes, Israel thinks that it is very exceptional and Arabs simply must surrender and do nothing when bombed.


2018-04-20 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Anton, most likely, meant TOS (Heavy Flamethrowing System) with a lovely name Buratino. This terrifying weapon literally burns everything on the impact, chemical agents included. But I agree Pinocchio (aka Buratino in Russia) works too once one considers amount of BS US media and Pentagon with State Department were spewing since 13 April.

https://sputniknews.com/rus…



2018-04-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I liked the damn LCS-1 on purely aesthetic grounds and was expecting when will at least Harpoon package will be envisioned pretty much since the inception of the LCS concept. Boy, did I get a surprise with “mighty” Hellfire with its deadly range of 5 miles being offered as a SuWa weapon. It was then that I dropped my jaw on the floor.


2018-04-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Consider at least this possibility–if Dems nominate Oprah (and this is not anymore as far fetched as it might have seemed a year ago) we all may have good entertainment. As Great Emerson, Lake and Palmer sang: Welcome back, my friends, to the show that never ends…


2018-04-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The MIC grifters won’t be able to say: Ooops. Or will they ?

Good question.


2018-04-19 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Gorshkov-class start, if anything, was dismal with first issues of propulsion and only relatively (1-2 years ago) revealed fact that basically very little was done in actuality with Poliment-Redut. It looks like, finally, the issues are being resolved and the system finally shoots and hits targets. But then again, 22350 is a big leap for Russian Navy which only since mid-2000s started slow revitalization from ten Tsushimas it barely survived in 1990s and early 2000s. It is promising ship, though. The concept of Russian proverb that “one cannot spoil porridge with the butter” seems to be realized in this class. Especially with 9M96M2 in works.


2018-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

As long as they don’t cut financing for Harvey Milk’s class… OK, I shut up.


2018-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, I addressed this issue not for once. Carrier Union literally sabotaged US anti-shipping missile development. Well, it is good for Russians, of course, but from the position of an objective, cold headed, observer one (as I did) literally begin to scratch one’s own head. What were they thinking? Zumwalt, definitely, was a visionary, what would be expected from combat officer who fought at destroyer in a battle of Surigao Strait–a real naval battle of a major significance, not some turkey shoot on defenseless targets in third world shitholes. I always ask the question, what would late Zumwalt thought, should he be alive today, about his namesake class of the so called “destroyers” which stand against everything Zumwalt stood as combat tried naval officer.



2018-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Realistically the United States were always nuclear option biased, and I had this exchange with Colonel Lang a year or so ago, because NATO knew that it will not be able to stop attack by GSVG since 1950s

https://en.wikipedia.org/wi…

If shit would hit the fan. Of course, there was a lot of posturing and PR (plus all those Reforgers etc.) but reality was pretty simple. What have not been understood, of course, was the fact of Soviet Union not willing to fight a freaking war, unless directly provoked and threatened.


2018-04-18 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It doesn’t matter anymore. If they succeed–good, it will be easy to not only track (that was possible always) but pin a direct responsibility to each of them for any calamity they vote for. No lame excuses that “we were misinformed by Administration”.


2018-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

One of the reasons that US schools are so “broke” (financially) is the perceived need to have all the latest tech onboard..

Exactly–only appearances matter. It is in the book, but consider my late father, after the war–the school in rabble, only part of the roof, instead of notebooks–old newspapers with kids writing in between lines of typographic text. That is 1945-46. By 1970-75 he was one of the leading radio-electronics engineer in ERA (Electro Radio Automatics) Concern, with degree in satellite communications. Eventually succumbed to alcoholism, considering his childhood but he was a top notch professional. Could fix any TV in 1960s and 1970s literally, no exaggeration, with his eyes closed. Those Soviet public schools simply worked.


2018-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The thing about STEM–real one–in public schools today is that computers are needed ONLY for interactive representation in motion of what used to be autonomous (and actual illustrations) visualization. Calculus, shown in terms of truly alive functions becomes so much easier to understand. Same, of course, goes for any Math Analysis, Trigonometry (and Geometry). That’s it–no expensive computers nor overpriced textbooks, which look like a Vogue magazine, are needed.


2018-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I would just remind you that politically this country helped your former country walk toward collapse.

It certainly helped but the walking was done by Soviet “elites” themselves. Not to forget about utterly cowardly and incompetent Gorbachev who, basically, sold the country out cheered on by “intellectual” class.


2018-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Any scam, and I mean any, inevitably ends in disaster. Making money and running economy are not equivalent. There will always be Ponzi schemes and they will always collapse–not for some metaphysical reasons but for a self-destructing nature of neo-liberalism. Current crisis is more than just some inadequacies in the model, which could be fixed and fine tuned, it is the model itself which doesn’t work.


2018-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I follow Michael Hudson for years now and agree with a lot what he states. Financialization of economy is death. No serious manufacturing and especially no machine building complex–it is over for any nation.


2018-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I believe it was Captain Hendrix who loudly complained that many US Navy officers lacked skills in control of the ships, use of weapons and, in general, carrying out tasks of watch officers. Yet, they had a lot of general engineering knowledge of propulsion–not a bad thing per se, but the shadow of Rickover is clearly seen here.


2018-04-17 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I will do this later since a not insignificant part of my book is dedicated precisely to this issue and especially ideology behind it, not least “formulated” by late Vitaly Shlykov who effectively condemned all Soviet combat and command and control experience, together with officer corps.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, the guy is annoying as hell. I guess it is because he is being shown and allowed to play with “joystick” on many pieces of military technology. In the same time–a lot of this goes out to people who have very foggy understanding of even basic military facts, so he is supposed to be somewhat overbearing in driving point home. Per training–Serdyukov almost succeeded in destroying always superb Soviet/Russian higher military education. It was especially hard on pilots when RuAF suddenly found out that against constant stream of brand new systems (aircraft) into the front line service it simply ran out of pilots.


2018-04-16 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I don’t know him personally and have to go with your word here.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is not only that. It is a sort of obligation–US gave us home when our lives were being destroyed in 1990s–those who didn’t go through that, it is difficult to explain to them what it was–and this, including gratitude, can not be easily dismissed.


2018-04-16 on sic-semper-tyrannis

But he also first admitted helping Powell lie and then repudiated that–I think he did an honorable thing with his piece in NYT.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I think Constitutional Reform is long overdue.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

A lot will depend on domestic social-economic policies and I am anxiously waiting for May 7th with Medvedev’s incompetent cabinet resigning and then seeing who and if will take their places. Sechin, Chemezov, Sobyanin as PM look increasingly attractive against the background of hacks who dominated Russia’s economic policies for decades. Who knows, maybe Glazyev will find more than just consulting job too.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There should at least one billion russians.

While we at it–why not two billion, that’ll show them damn Chinese. Obviously, you somehow are missing a very simple fact–that is the fact of fever pitch anti-Russian hysteria in the West precisely for the reason of this very Russia not only resisting successfully any NATO action but exposing every single day severe limitations of the self-proclaimed hegemon. Sounds like actions of superpower.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I’m not sure I believe the “Trump was crazy and needed to be restrained by Mattis” story.

There is always an element of show or put on in modern American politics. For all intents and purposes it did become a show business.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Whatever.

Just to show that

stupid non-academic noob You are

from the same Wiki and I copy=paste for your ALARM BS, get this:

Operational range–93 kilometres (58 mi)

Obviously significance of these numbers tells you nothing about the fact that this missile, together with HAARM whose claimed max range is up to 150 km are NOT stand-off weapons and require entrance of carriers into the kill zone of any S-300, not to speak of S-400 for both of which any F-16, or F-18 or F-35 are easy targets. But sure, whatever. Obviously positioning three theoretical S-200s on the vertices of a right isosceles triangle with overlap coefficient of about 0.5 is a very difficult task for you, granted that S-200 range is 300 kilometers, but never mind. It is a long tradition in NATO AFs to train for suicide missions.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

and overcautious approach

Russia’s approach is not overcautious–enough to recall spring of 2014 for once, or Syria. It is realist.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is a paradoxical situation in my life and as strange as it sounds I do love the US, not the government, which is increasingly mad, but still remaining on the ground spirit of liberty (a real one), people, I am madly in love with the American West–people, nature. It is not easy for me to deal with this issue, since in many important respects I am not just Russian but American too, in a sense of being tied to the place and time. So, what exit strategy–go back to Russia of which we have no citizenship? It is sure possible but there are some dues, as strange as it may sound, that I have to pay now to America which I love. Maybe by making my voice heard through books thus influencing, however minutely, some still not completely impossible positive outcome. We’ll see.


2018-04-16 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Excellent piece. Featured in my blog too.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The so-called “experts” are not really experts; just washed-up hacks, out of the loop… Or the editorial narrative of “all” of the TV shows and top-shelf print articles are following a common theme..

I wrote about such “expert”. Man, his credentials are through the roof. Yet

http://smoothiex12.blogspot…

I am always puzzled with this so called “military expertise”. Anyone, without any academic or operational background suddenly decided that they can become “military experts”. It is down right scary. Why don’t they try surgery or dentistry? But no–they all rush to this military stuff and as a result 95% produced by them is sheer idiocy–technological, tactical, operational and strategic.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

airpower mafia in pentagon

Late Sir John Keegan who, for some reason, is considered a great military historian and whose student is Anthony Beaver–another crooked British propagandist who passes for military historian, not only supported Iraq War, he stated that air power alone can win the war. Evidently, Keegan’s “expertise” in ancient and medieval warfare didn’t extend into the actual capable forces and what they bring on the war table operationally. This IS expected from people who know weapons from late Tom Clancy fairy tales and booklets from weapons’ exhibitions. Why airpower mafia exists in the US? Arctic Fox posted couple of days ago a monologue by Wehrmacht’s general in diplomatic car in 1945 (from 17 Moments Of Spring)–in nutshell in explains the issue.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The core issue – why NATO did not even pretend to try to clear Syrian
skies for their attackers, like they successfully did in all recent
prior wars – remains carefully evaded.

Are you for real? WTF are you talking about–what “cleaning” of the Syrian skies? From what? From EW provided by Russia? Good luck with that. Do you even understand what targeting is? Do you understand what “integrated” means? I’ll give you a hint–“the picture” could be directly translated from C3 in Khmeimim to anywhere for Syrian AD. Same goes for targeting in distributed systems. If for some specific AD complex in such environment, which is DIRECTLY attacked by a salvo, missiles parameter will be Zero for others meanwhile, this very parameter will be 1 and they will be shooting either intercept at around 90 degrees or Vdogon–catch up, which is eazy-peezy against slow subsonic missiles.

Appeal to authority.

Exactly. Only to authority and professionals who have both academic background and experience in the first world militaries. You don’t like it–there is blog by Karlin where all kinds of coffee-shop hipsters and ignorant trolls congregate, there are also many other public places where there are many amateurs and fanboys who regurgitate pseudo-military Clanciesque BS. I am sure you will find “answers” to you ridiculous questions there.


2018-04-16 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yeah, Smoothie would again rant

For now I see only one person who rants non-stop, and it is you.

I guess it was because Russia-Syria AD integration that NATO could no more tell Syrian (permitted) from Russian(prohibited) AD stations. NATO dared not to “Shrike” Syrian AD to tatters. And then low speed Tomahawks were easy game.

Open basic Salvo Model and take a look at what constitutes it and then, maybe, I don’t hold my breath though, you will see why realistically what you wrote is a complete amateurish baloney. Obviously the fact of EW and how it affects omegas (that is math expectations) is completely lost by you and I feel a very tangible butt-hurt. Using “Shrike” analogies is altogether–is not even worth considering seriously.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wi…


2018-04-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I think they do. Except for Russians having S-400 and S-300 in fixed positions which is understandable.


2018-04-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You bet. Guess how this little fat thing from Pyongyang feels now–I am damn sure he feels very optimistic about talking to Trump and not as a weak party. North Koreans do have their own S-300 knock off KN-06. It is numerous and who knows what it is capable of–even if it is half good as S-300 of latest mods, those are bad news for USAF. KN-06 is new one, from late 2000s. Now, if Russia gets involved. We can only speculate.


2018-04-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is becoming clear that JASSMs are not that “great” or “smart”. It also sends a clear message that any “stealth” target is “visible”, is tracked and could be shot down if necessary.


2018-04-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This is always the case–probing. In Russian in tactical terms it is defined usually as Razvedka Boem–Reconnaissance by Combat. In general, in respect to hi end systems–it is Vskrytie (literally Autopsy). So, not to allow to have this all kinds of postures are used. In Russia’s case in Syria it is a holding off pattern until, God forbids, the real time comes to “turn on” the whole thing. So far, Syrian AD works great. This in itself is an extremely strong message.


2018-04-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep. That is why US tries desperately to stop S-400 sales to Turkey. The problem–US cannot offer anything comparable. Now against the background of a dismal “performance” of Saudi PAC-2s against Houthi’s primitive Scud knock-offs the comparison becomes not only warranted but irresistible.


2018-04-15 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

One option that Russia should seriously consider is have the “Syrians”
shoot down a pair of Israeli planes over Syria or Lebanon and capture
the pilots.

F-16 of IAF was shot down, another was hit and barely made it (granted Israel is not far), same as F-35. It seems that Syrian Armed Forces will continue (increasingly accelerating) to grow their hi-end capability: AD, C4ISR etc.


2018-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Of course they would. Now imagine what happens when Syria gets her own S-300 as Rudskoy stipulated. Israel’s and Saudi Arabia worst nightmare. But even as it is–this was impressive performance, especially if it involved (and it seems it was the case) intercepts of JASSMs. Again, as I stated not for once–US will continue to lose one engagement after another until it either comes to the negotiating table or tries the unthinkable. But then it will not only lose but cease to exist as political entity.


2018-04-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

The Russians claim 71 out of 103 missiles were shot down by Syrian air
defense. The Russians did not engage. However Southfront says Russian
radio electronic combat measures was probably used to disrupt the cruise
missiles in their terminal phase in order to make them vulnerable to
the Syrian air defens

It is most likely true, plus among truly modern systems performance of Buk-M2 seems outstanding. Rudskoy today stated that S-330 is coming specifically for Syrian AD and I would expect a great deal of intensification of Iranian AD upgrades and deliveries. That is going to change operational “landscape” in the area dramatically and will have major strategic ramifications.


2018-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

my question is this , how often the US Navy ships ever got targetted by
modern super/hypersonic ASM ? if the answer is no then what is the
confidence level in US Navy on countering the said missile system ?

USS Stark had been hit with two Exocets which are subsonic.

https://news.usni.org/2017/…

All “confidence” is built on either bluster or “augmented” tests. The best way to give insight in all that is this:

https://www.usni.org/store/…

A must read for anyone who wants to see some of the baneful practices in combat training.

TLDR , did US navy lost the next war already ?

Surface component did, US Navy submarine force, however,is world class and extremely powerful.


2018-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

TASS reports (Russian MoD) all 12 TLAMs launched at air base Dumeir were shot down.

http://tass.ru/mezhdunarodn…

Not too shabby for old Soviet systems, I’d say.


2018-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

You obviously missed the whole thing from the beginning. This is apart from the fact that “ravaging” turned out to be a rather patent embarrassment for NATO’s TLAMs, with none of them striking targets at Homs, being intercepted, and most intercepted at Damascus, which, BTW, turn on the news and see how, people are celebrating on the streets right this very moment. Moreover, it is being reported that only old Soviet AD systems were used.


2018-04-14 on russiainsider

At least two residential areas reportedly killed

That sounds awfully a lot. So far, three wounded, I heard.


2018-04-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Most of those “bombs” are boosters of SAMs and salvos of AAAs. Yes, they have the “sound”. From what I gather now:

1. It was “choreographed”, albeit Mad Dog Mattis may pay with his position–God knows, he did all he could at this stage;
2. Syrian AD worked really well. There are reports that all missiles were intercepted at Homs and Damascus looks peaceful and what I saw shows good work of AD. Russians, of course, were not “involved”, they said so, but surely provided targeting.

3. Couple of TLAMs, obviously, got through

4. Trumps presidency is done, and basically the US now is rudderless. At this stage I would go with Mattis or Dunford, they were the only two who followed professional duty and procedures.

5. Write in whatever you want in this pp. US is damaged now irrevocably. I am not taking France or UK seriously.

.


2018-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

They ARE, in terms of being able to receive targeting–they are integrated. From what I see, S1s and Buks, most likely, worked extremely well. We have to wait to see and receive data. Homs seems fine, what I saw over Damascus–greatly executed intercepts.


2018-04-14 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Thank you, Colonel. I hope we live to see the first book to come out and be judged on the merit. It is a very busy evening today, I may finish my bottle of Jack and light a cigar.


2018-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

As Pentagon reports, in accordance to TASS, only Syrian AD were engaged. Well, they sure as hell did really well.



2018-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Ria reports that 20 TLAMs were intercepted around Damascus. Syrian AD around (to the South) of Damascus says it shot down 13. Even preliminary data testifies to a very effective AD. Now we have to wait for correlates once fog clears, granted that Pentagon stated there were twice many TLAMs than it was at Shayrat. And, yes, as Ria reports, Russians were not forewarned about that attack.


2018-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

For now it looks like this (crossed fingers) and I hope Jim “Mad Dog” Mattis will get his credit given to him. He surely tried hard.


2018-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Or if the israelis and brits decide to stage another false flag.

I don’t think they will and it looks like a choreographed strike, so far. This was the first pulse, it was intercepted. Counting our lucky charms, for now.


2018-04-14 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I saw three clean beautiful intercepts, and one S-400,most likely 40N6 off the launcher, could be big platform intercept. One TLAM possibly got through to Eastern suburb. Counting pulses, nothing like Baghdad 2003.


2018-04-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This movie background is used in the Concert on Red Square an V-Day in 2015 when Valentina Birykova delivered with overwhelming power a famous Soviet 1970s song Ballad About Mother. The muscic and story in lyrics is simply stunning.
https://youtu.be/rSN8PC_uIQA


2018-04-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia officially admitted 14 killed and about 20 wounded, the same goes through military circles in Russia. All those 200+ were extracted from Russia’s so called “opposition” media.


2018-04-13 on sic-semper-tyrannis

If the attack does come, could the Russians focus their reply on the French and UK without triggering a NATO response?

That is a possibility of which I wrote two days ago. Macron was doing verbal acrobatics since the 10th appealing to Russia not to hit French targets. Today’s official outing of UK by Russia as a main culprit in staging the false flag in Douma has a very recognizable, however implicit, threat of British assets becoming primary targets for Russian initial response if, God forbids, Mattis and Dunford’s line doesn’t hold against those mad dogs. In a surreal twist of irony, who would have thought, that it will be “Mad Dog” Mattis fighting real mad dogs to save the peace. God willing we live through that–Jim Mattis will have to get credit where credit is due for being a real American statesman.


2018-04-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

than those captured by alive SAS POW who either do not exists or are not in Russian pocket

I didn’t state it one way or another. But I have a feeling that it could be something more than merely interviews. Info on those interviews was available now for at least couple of days, maybe more. Direct identification of UK as a culprit is based on what is highlighted in yellow in the post with word “other” being important qualifier.


2018-04-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The debt is mutual, you insights into US history are very valuable.


2018-04-13 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Russians do not think like that.


2018-04-13 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Who is doing the pressuring?

At this stage we have to completely abandon any illusions about some Trump’s special circumstances (such as Deep State alleged struggle) and other excuses of tactical and strategic nature. He is the one who drives this whole insanity, his personal flaws came to the fore of the issue and no, he is not that good if he cannot, if to assume previous theories of him being a “hostage” of Borg true. He is the Borg, His patriotism is skin deep and he wasn’t going to take on Deep State from the get go, Russiagate or no Russiagate. He is simply driven by his mood, narcissism and sheer incompetence. We all observe the results. If he cannot handle “pressure”, then he is not fit for highest office. Albeit, truth to be told, none of them starting from Clinton were.


2018-04-13 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Yes. Yet, unlike in 1962 there are many channels of communications and both militaries in Syria are in direct contact–that may play its important, mitigating, role. It also may not, of course.


2018-04-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Looks like significantly earlier. I don’t know exact date yet. They are rushing it through, while what’s left for me is to read (and accept) final version and do Index.


2018-04-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is in the book. There is a whole chapter on that.


2018-04-13 on sic-semper-tyrannis

This is where it gets very interesting and dangerous. Russia has drawn its own redline. Putin and his General know for a fact that there was no chemical weapon of any kind used in Syria. They recently warned the world that this kind of stage event was in the offing. They know what they have and have not done on the ground and know the lies spilling from Washington, London and Paris are vicious calumny. They are not a punching bag and are not going to sit back and do nothing.

A lot will depend on the “structure” and the “weight” of a possible salvo and how respective militaries will communicate with each-other. It was indicated strongly by Pentagon that they are trying to do their utmost in avoiding hitting of Russian regulars in Syria. I am sure that if within the range of namely Russia’s (not Syria’s) AD assets any TLAM will be shot down–this is so to speak “not that big of a deal” scenario. Washington draft-dodgers, however, push for attack on specifically Russian assets, including Damascus and recently including Douma where alleged attack took place. The reason being bombing the place of staging of this false flag into oblivion and then saying that no we can not prove that attack didn’t happen. Obviously, it is not the case anymore, since Douma in under control of SAA and Russian MPs.

Most people in Pentagon and, obviously, some in the so called IC understand consequences of attacking Russians directly–they know the score, they have calculated probabilities for a number of contingencies and none of them, obviously, looks good for CENTCOM assets in the area. But for the BORG there is no way back–and the reasons for that are way larger than Syria. We are talking about global realignment and major shift in power balance. This is not an easy thing to take to self-proclaimed “exceptional” people in Washington plus add here their utter lack of grasp of scales and proportions involved in a purely military aspect–it is difficult to those who never spent a day in uniform and whose military “expertise” is limited to few seminars on strategy and weapons and on, not always first class, work by Congressional Research Service. Thus, on American side we have today not rational players.


2018-04-13 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Oh, I remember more than that. Believe me, many people simply don’t know what said Patton thought about himself and US Army.



2018-04-13 on sic-semper-tyrannis

We all know that all people and organizations you listed are real experts in Russia and military affairs/sarc. On a serious not–it is very emblematic of the level of current American “expertise” on serious issues–a bunch of uneducated talking heads pretending that they know something.


2018-04-13 on sic-semper-tyrannis

I wouldn’t want to be on that US carrier when the PA announces that 50 Granats are screaming in at wavetop height

Granat (RK-55) is a strategic land attack cruise missile from the Soviet times, you meant, of course, P-700 Granit which is carried by Project 949A SSGNs and was designed from the outset as a large ships’ killing missile. I wrote about this scenario a year ago.

http://www.unz.com/article/…


2018-04-12 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Russian MoD has released a photo of a Su 34 overflying Syria with a rack of anti ship missiles (kh 37?)

What I saw–Kh-31. But then again, internet is filled with “authentic”, “just now” pics, which could be 2-3 years old.


2018-04-12 on sic-semper-tyrannis

CBS News was saying by implication last night that US missiles cannot be shot down

They can, and are not difficult targets for either Pantsyr-S1 or Buk-M2 systems. Then there is an issue EW, but that is a separate topic in re: to GPS guidance which not only can but is jammed.


2018-04-12 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Any thoughts?

14 killed and about 20 wounded in a classic case of being in a wrong place in a wrong time. But, the more the merrier in current US government complex, so, I am surprised why he didn’t go for thousands. US “elite” is completely delusional.


2018-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Putin speaks in Stierliz (well, Tikhonov) manner–it is immediately recognized by any Russian (or Soviet) person who knows 17 Moments of Spring by heart. I think everyone knows it by heart–you will read about in my book, BTW;)) There are few movies/series which are defining in Russian modern culture:

1. War and Peace by Bondarchuk,
2. 17 Moments of Spring;
3. Flight (Beg) by Naumov and Alov;
4. Road to Calvary (Khozhdenie Po Mukam)
5. Great Patriotic War most notable masterpieces from Liberation epic, to The Dawns Are Quiet Here, to Come and See, among many others.


2018-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The name of the Big Boss is “Interests”, combination of those, which do create those very real cabals, which constitute the Deep State. The only way to fight it? Outlaw lobbying, Term Limits until further notice, outlaw PACs, no CONTRIBUTIONS period, only national election fund, including free air and press time and space. That could be a good start, granted that actual jobs still could be returned to the US. But, I recon it to be wishful thinking.


2018-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yeah, Zero Hedge is not exactly the source I would trust.


2018-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Pompeo, a former CIA head repeats today the same BS about “couple of hundred” Russian mercenaries to a a Senate Foreign Relations Com. for confirmation as Secretary of the State–these people are delusional and extremely butt hurt.


2018-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

USA is failing as a state, right now, before our eyes… It’s ungovernable

It calls for a new elite–no new elite, US disintegrates. Trump was a false start, albeit first indication that deplorables, euphemism for MOSTLY white European Christian folks, found their voice (they also lost it, hopefully, temporarily). They may have also found their agenda, but until AIPAC, Saudi, Wall Street, Military-Industrial-Entertainment Complex influences are not eradicated or put under control, it will be an uphill battle with undetermined outcome. Are there real American patriots, not those flag-waving, Jesus-was-an-American, AR-15 worshiping morons, but people with political, military, intelligence pedigree who are capable to initiate new elite? I know there are. The question is–do they have the time? I don’t know.


2018-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Karaulov’s Moment Of Truth broadcast, plus Putin himself confirmed some of them.

https://youtu.be/TqD1Hap31Vs


2018-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But consider this: Putin, when he took the office in 2000 faced odds against him on the order of magnitude larger than whatever Trump faces. There were several attempts on Putin’s life, his helicopter almost got shot down in Chechnya. In fact there were 9 attempts on his life, yet, using his connections in military-security apparatus, using his skills and, in the end, courage–look what he overcame. Trump has at his disposal a number of people who do have power and who are loyal to him, after all there were hundreds of senior US military officers who endorsed (or maybe wrote) his campaign program of MAGA which envisioned a number of ideological points which were beneficial for US and the world. Look where we are today.

Russiagate? Sure, an impediment but he is in the office for 18 months now and it gets worse and worse with each passing day–NOBODY, nobody made him bring on board people who are clear and present danger to both US and the world. He folded literally from the get go. So much “stamina” is not indicative of a man of principles or of true dedication to his country. Such position as his requires a sacrifice–in reputation, in media standing, in whatever else, even in life sometimes for the good of the nation. I see no indication that it is there anymore, if it was there to begin with. Real leadership requires courage, there is a reason I still Like Ike. I omit here the issue of US Congress–most of these people have no honor nor integrity. it is simply a today’s “level” of Western political “class” which is simply sterile and is not capable to produce real statesman, and by that I mean, indeed, people of Eisenhower’s qualities. That is why if this meeting ever happens it shouldn’t be in D.C. it should be on the neutral territory but my feel is that Putin is simply not interested anymore.


2018-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Admiral William Fallon, at that time CENTCOM commander, in 2008 effectively stopped attack on Iran using very sound military and political reasoning.


2018-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I left comment on Marko’s blog not to talk about what he doesn’t understand yesterday. You can see my comment in my Dsiqus history. Escalation control involves more than just combat means, which Russia has for a massive response, but dedication to mission–Russia has national unity, the likes of which I can not recall, to go all the way.


2018-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Patrols around Tratus are conducted regularly. With Russian naval squadron there yesterday conducting live fire exercises and actually deploying to sea it was an absolutely normal patrol function. The fact that P-8 descended to less than 3000 feet, IIRC, is indication of it either visually identifying and saying “hello” to Russian ships or, possibly, getting a small “sweep” by Magnetic Anomaly Detector. (MAD). Albeit, from the top of my head, it should have been lower for that.

it would be that journo fearmongered

This is precisely what it was, multiply it by coefficient of “journos” utter military incompetence and you get a result.


2018-04-12 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, I laughed. Mr. Pompeo has no idea what definition of “tough” is in Russia.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

OK. Russia does have submarines, both SSKs and SSGNs in the area–she never made a secret out of it–on the front edge (кромка) or moved advanced beyond of the possible salvo launch (Рубеж Пуска), hence the flying of ASW patrol aircraft doing search. Aka Комплекс Противолодочных Мероприятий–which is no way indicative of the imminence (or otherwise) of any salvo, it merely is a normal operational procedure. It would have been strange if it wouldn’t be doing what it is doing now. Russia has also ASW patrol Il-38N with Novella doing the same.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There are many supposedly “authentic” clips on youtube today. I am not sure that US Forces in Europe today are in any way comparable to the Cold War years.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There are NO, not even close, any parallels with Desert Storm–which was a massive combined arms coalition operation which saw more than 600 000 of personnel and an enormous amount of materiel and equipment deployed there over several months. This whole thing in Syria is about:

1. What salvos, what structure of those salvos (pulses);
2. If Russian (not Syrian) AD gets involved and to what end;
3. Will Russia strike back at platforms?
4. No serious ground component.

Basically, some sort of reduced Air-Sea Battle scenario involving mostly stand-off weapons.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, 12 minutes of Nikolai Gritzenko’s stunning performance and his final Heil Hitler at the rail platform–“We will tear away their heads”. Old Prussian style. The other remarkable quote, about Hitler: “And who is he, a lower rank who stole officer’s boots? He decided you can fight a war without graduating military academies.”


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, yes, yes. You got it. It is sometimes difficult to convey to foreigners the scale and, bar some minor visual and fictional mishaps, intellect and drama of this TV series. Some tasteless Anglo journo compared this to James Bond. It is an insult to the intellectual, historical and acting level of this movie. It is so on a different plane that even relatives of Walter Schellenberg and Car Wolf, huge figures of SS and SD, wrote to creators and actors of that TV series how authentic and close all that was acted out. The whole TV series became one huge quote–including this 10 minute monologue of Wehrmacht general in diplomatic rail car.

On a lighter note, after imbeciles in Russian Mosfilm I believe decided to “color” this classic in mid-2000s, Yesterday Live came up with absolutely brilliant skit on that.

https://youtu.be/7IySo0EY82w


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Of course, any suggestion today that US is somehow a Republic, let alone “democracy”, should be met with sarcasm. It is an oligarchy now, with little regards to law and to the interests of “deplorables” who are given mostly circuses, while bread is shrinking.


2018-04-11 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Why this possible strike when it is clear that it was a false flag by the jihadists

It is not about Syria or “chemical weapons”–it is about Russia.


2018-04-11 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Last Russian Presidential elections were not about electing the President of Russian Federation, they were about electing a Supreme Commander. Most Russians understand that, US national security apparatus and media do not. It is simply beyond their grasp and experiences.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Agree. The issue of compressed spring.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Forbidden Fruit. Generation of 1960s, which initiated this whole cultural disaster starting from Woodstock was escaping from precisely this puritanical cultural setup. The problem with them is that they “escaped” too far and away. Vietnam didn’t help either.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

We have to remember that he is under immense pressure too.

Undeniably he is, but what does it tell about American State then? Exactly, how dysfunctional and fragmented it became.



2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The issue–is Trump even in charge? Even if to assume that he plays some sophisticated game (I think he merely reacts, instinctively at that, to a very real danger to himself), he surrounded himself with people who are so incompetent and malevolent that one has to ask–what was he thinking about?


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Why can’t USA again seek to destroy Russia patiently and slow, like before?

You see, it is really difficult to communicate with person like you who provides assumptions which are good only for the level of housewives kitchen “discussions”. You probably do not even get how difficult it is to respond substantively to some delusion.


2018-04-11 on checkpoint-asia

Nonetheless, things are looking pretty grim for Russia right now (let’s
not kid ourselves, in the Middle East the Empire holds escalation
dominance)

This is rather a dubious statement because Russia has means to retaliate in ME plus she basically controls theater in Ukraine, among many other things. This is, of course, if we are talking about real war not some show for the consumption of US media.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

And now?? It’s coming to a head offshore Syria. Unless it doesn’t. In which case, it’ll defer to another time and place.

Hopefully it doesn’t and as Russian sources report some Syria’s AF assets have been re-deployed to Khmeimim. So, I expect the Shayrat 2.0 “punishment”, and a loud declaration of US “winning”. The main issue if some morons will decide to try Russian assets in Russian forces’ locations. That is the main concern.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There is one problem here, Russia is not North Korea and the deep state is desperate. North Korea is largely a contrived issue, here, with Russia, it is the very existence of the US as it sees itself an “exceptional” nation at the table. There are only two outcomes, as I stated, for the US now–both are disastrous for US, either humiliate itself by backing out or start the war. The more time passes the more this becomes the only possibility. North Korea is a game, Russia–is a metaphysical issue for the US.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It`s interesting how russian position on Syria is being consistently
“misinterpreted” on all sides as readiness to attack launch platforms
regardless of what forces they launch at.

As I stated not for once, the West not only refuses to hear, it also can not–it simply lacks institutional anatomy to do so. Look at the media–a collection of arrogant ignoramuses.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This moment of truth started with events in Ukraine. US, evidently, didn’t get the message and doubled down. So, it is not so much a “moment” of truth as it is a “period” of truth.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, this is his method but the problem on the American side with this method is complete illiteracy of US “elites” on any real war-related issue.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Russia will shoot down any TLAMs and bombs in the range of AD component. This is not an issue–the issue is if US decides to attack Russian bases and assets, and there are many nut-jobs in D.C. who want just that. Then, the game changes. I think Moscow understands that and is ready to act.

https://ria.ru/syria/201804…

Trump is not fit to run a nuclear armed country and he is dangerous, especially once and if he begins, if not already, understand that Russia is not his business partner and she will fight back.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is not just Trump, there are many military people in Pentagon who think that they are great and US has vast technological advantage. It is, basically, a feed back system which went into overdrive.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Something else to be developing under surface now, something that Trump
wants to divert attention from. We’ll hopefully see in a month or two.

This something is this Stormy whatever the name of that porn “star”. Couldn’t he have slept at least with some attractive ones–there are attractive porn stars, unlike this ugly silicone Stormy. If this whole insane tirade is done for purely domestic political reasons–and admittedly there are chances of that–it doesn’t matter for the US anymore. It is a complete zug zwang. No good options–only bad ones and one really-really bad one. Geopolitically speaking the US is damaged goods one way or another.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Thucydides Trap in many respects is an abstract construct which is simply inapplicable in modern time. Yet, this meme has a very wide usage in American strategic thinking since precisely of US exceptionalist view of herself, based, at best, on dubious economic and military claims by badly educated political “elite”. Again, many ancient strategic ideas are not applicable today on any strategic or operational level–they simply do not work there for an enormously complex set of factors involved.


2018-04-11 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

But I get the feeling that Trump knows there’s a dragon in the cave, so to speak.

Even if it is the case and we assume that he acts out his domestic political agenda with Mueller’s “probe” getting closer to him, it certainly doesn’t look like that he acts rationally. Because no matter what he says and does, once things begin to fly we may, indeed, forget about whatever his personal faults were. But the larger question here is this: US political system is not just broken–every day there are new evidence of a complete paralysis and immaturity of it all. It is really surreal–US as a political entity is disintegrating in a front of our eyes.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

That book of yours…. It can NOT come out soon enough.

It seems now you MAY get it much earlier than was expected. They are rushing it now for print. So, looks like much earlier than September 1st, albeit I still have to proof final version (already in pre-print form) and finish Index.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yeah, I have in this blog somewhere post dedicated precisely to this piece.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It untied, actually, already in 1999 in Yugoslavia–only Yeltsin and his cabal’s treachery prevented the United States from embarrassing itself in case of an actual ground invasion, which would see very serious losses. It is a documented fact that NATO was terrified of this prospect and bought Russia, which was only happy then to sell herself. Russia sold Serbia out, period. Those events precipitated the ouster of Yeltsin. Sadly for this particular case, Putin, being an honorable man kept his word and allowed this whole rotten seed to live and poison air.


2018-04-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Both Colonel Lang and Philip Giraldi are a compliment to what used to be competent and respected, in my case many years ago, Cold War adversary. It is simply impossible today to observe without dismay how fast and how far things degenerated. Yet, while people such as Pat Lang and Phil Giraldi are among us hope spring eternal, especially today, against the background of wholesale treachery, lies and incompetence of the so called “elites”.


2018-04-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

United States is initially nuclear biased militarily.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Planned rotation. Pentagon and US Navy already clarified this. Fact is, Truman is still in Norfolk I believe. It was planned long before.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

It is China’s route to sell its vast consumer goods inventory to EuropeI wrote couple of pieces on that at Unz.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

He was brought up by mother and by all other metrics he is Russian. In fact more Russian than many “real” Russians. His experiences are Soviet/Russian. And NO, he is not talking from his personal experiences. I am 100% Slav Russian brought up in Russian family–yet, read my blog, from the inception.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Arrogant know-it-alls making policy.

That’s exactly who they are. Most of them with no military, engineering or scientific foundation. Yes, many of them with the so called “prog” leanings.

Dept of Energy has some top-shelf people — usually former nuclear submarine guys. And National labs excepted, where the staff only accept people with PhD in physics to run things…).

Because they are entrusted with actual responsibilities in the fields where actual serious and very complex skills matter a great deal. In fact–required.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What Peterson is not aware, of course, is the fact of Russian so called “communism” (or Russian version of Marxism, if one will) was radically anti-post modernist and was… conservative. It was militantly heterosexual and family-oriented and heavily realism biased in art and culture. Modern Western lefties would be persecuted or ostracized in Soviet Marxist paradigm as pathology. But then again, while he largely correct on Western Marxist experience, it is virtually non-applicable to Russia, especially post-WW II.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Indeed, it was primarily working-class rebellion. Well, Trump, certainly, forgot really fast what was his victory about and by whom. I agree, there were many people of other ethnicities and races who voted for him. A unifying factor? Most of them working people, from farmers and CNC operators to janitors in Motel 6. People who actually work hard to earn living. Damn, that sounds so… Marxist.


2018-04-10 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Next is escalation to other theaters?

Attacks on CENTCOM assets in ME, combined salvos of X-101s and 3M14 from Southern Russia. Iran gets “involved” (that is becomes a target of opportunity for both Israel and US). Russia may begin moving assets directly into Iran.

China intervenes?

No.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Trump WON basically on agenda of addressing issues for mostly American white working class. No white American working class–NO America. What those fvcking fringes will get for their demolition of this white culture will be, sadly we can see some signs of it, a dysfunctional, multi-cultural, third world shithole with nuclear weapons.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

far from the depiction that embodies so-called “White Guilt.”

White Guilt is in the foundation of American decline. Putin actually implicitly lamented US losing her Christian and white backbone during his famous monologue at Valdai Forum last year.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Nobody calls the plan of destruction of Russia a BS. Read this fvcking blog for starters before posting here:

http://smoothiex12.blogspot…

What is called a BS is inability of all kind of fanboys to come to grips with Russia’s and America’s economic and military realities. BS is to believe in the ability of the West to do so.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

What about other, non-Russian assets, I am asking now for the 3rd time?

No, you are not–you are blatantly trolling pretending to be interested in what is very obvious. You have an agenda. Here is an example of you spreading BS:

So the “rumors” of some Israeli jet downed on 10.02.2018 is merely “Rozhin-Girkin type … ignorant assumptions.”

Read my earlier responses to you precisely on what Israeli assets has been shot down. Again, I am not here to give you lessons on basics, especially responding to a platitude-designed questions such as “What about”. As I already stated, if you want to talk about fanboys’ “strategy” and war–there is Rozhin’s blog.

.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

No problem, many people are on the edge.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

one until the partitioning of Russia into small statelets.

Goggle Girkin, Rozhin or Karlin–this is their level of “analysis”, I don’t deal in BS.

Therefore if we assume that Russia can control the escalation (as you argued at unz) there is no reason for it not to escalate now unless it still seeks a compromise with the US. That was my point.

Well, your point is wrong for a simple reason because Russia tries to prevent war and she does it from the position of power. Russia has purely military means to counter any NATO (US) move if anything sinister is planned against Russian forces in Syria. In fact, Russia can sink (that is has capability) any CBG of US Navy if push comes to shove–but control of escalation is precisely in… CONTROL, that means in ability to either escalate of de-escalate. US knows that Russia has these options, US hasn’t because it is constantly in zugzwang and increasingly reminds of a dog chasing own tail, Russia’s task at this stage is not to allow this dog stop chasing the tail and start biting. Massive stick is usually a good guarantee from that.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Why you only speak of Russia? Wasn’t your thesis that as of now Syria
has plenty of reasonably new and capable air defense of her own?

I don’t know what is your agenda here, but if you didn’t learn by now that Syria neither has nor has any control over Russian air defense assets in Syria–and those are the core of Russian (not Syrian) AD capabilities there–I have no idea what is your “argument”.

1. “Сбил меня ваш лётчик Ли Си Цын”. It does not take official declaration

Russian military advisers are officially in Syria and continue to help in developing Syria’s armed forces across all services.

Probably not

Probably? You are certainly very good in moving goal posts. Again, I am not interested in discussing here Rozhin-Girkin type “scenarios” based on ignorant assumptions.


2018-04-10 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

MOA warned about technical maintenance of their domain couple of days ago, so it is planned and was known well in advance. SST’s site is up and running just fine.


2018-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The “traditional” idea of America has been utterly corrupted and deconstructed at the academic level

I know for sure that American South, despite being assaulted non-stop by all kinds of SJWs, still retains some features of a genuine nation. American West is alive in many non-coastal places, albeit it also was greatly affected by crime, drugs etc. Per East, I don’t know–East Coast “humanities” academe is a disaster. They, certainly, played a key role in “packaging” history and social studies in some bizarre combination of exceptionalism, obscurantism and national suicide.


2018-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

. if russia shot down israeli jets, what can israel do?

Syrian AD already shot down one F-16, another barely limped home, while another F-35 sustained some magical bird strike. Per you “what can….. do” write in the whatever actor you want in the dotted line. Let me break you some news, people who had responsibility for personnel in any command position in any military will understand what I am about to say.

1. Remember Lieutenant Dan from Forrest Gump? Remember his “and don’t get yourself killed?”

2. I don’t know what “elites” are you talking about but contrary to your view, Putin is under pressure right now not “to negotiate” but to act forcefully and those who put this pressure on him can eat those “other” elites in a minute. If you didn’t read today’s Surkov piece–I suggest you read it.

3. It is the same Surkov who was black mouthed, assaulted and blamed for everything in 2014 by Mr. Girkin (aka Strelkov) who evidently has no idea how decisions are made on the top political level, and Mr. Rozhin (aka Colonel Cassad) and whom, I personally, called out as BSers and panic-mongers precisely in 2014 and you can read it on famous then Sevastopol forum, my nick was Popsicle. It was precisely then that Russkaya Vesna asked me to write for them–I politely declined since saw my objective achieved by helping to calm down one of a main resources where Crimean public opinion was being formed then in 2014. The way you move your train of though–it belongs to Girkin’s and Rozhin “resources”, not to the blog where, people understand basics of geopolitics and military issues.

4. Now to most important thing–Putin is responsible, together with Russia’s Security Council for the fate of 146 million people of Russia. In reality–for the world. So, considering the fact that this blog and my public activity is based around military-political and technological reality I see no point in getting involved in “what if” scenarios which, I know that for sure being former military professional myself, General Staff runs as a huge number of contingencies daily (yes, they have such programs and supercomputers to run them) based on the real time SIGINT and HUMINT which is only second to none and has at its disposal resources which NO analyst in the world can dream of. Thus I totally justifiably presume that President Putin and Russia’s Intelligence and Military structures know on thousands orders of magnitude more than me or anyone who, unlike me, pretends to be privy to anything and suggests “strategies” good only for the street fight between teenagers.

I guess I explained it decently. If not–sorry to fail your expectations.


2018-04-09 on sic-semper-tyrannis

You need to update yourself a bit, by about two decades, on what risk those deciders are actually running with the first, even conventional, salvo on US proper. I will omit nuclear option here altogether. One of the reasons for US hysteria is the fact that many feel, while many others recognized that US have nothing, zero really to defend against even 100 X-101 and 3M14 missile salvo. Reality, however, is even grimmer. Since the number of those missiles could be in hundreds.


2018-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The question is if things start flying how to keep those things still conventional.

That is an interesting question. US most likely will try to “circumnavigate” Russian bases as much as possible, which, as I already stated in other thread–IAF’s strike was deliberately imitated as US (from Med), probably to “unload” other possible directions from Persian Gulf and around.

Mad dog, who can pick man with such nick to such position which requires wisdom and self control.

Well, he is certainly not from a brightest lot but he is today better than some fvcking lawyer who watched Battlefield historic series on PBS or History Channel as military “education”.


2018-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, it is US military now and competent people in it which is the last hope. One has to understand the depth of a fall when someone like Mattis is considered to be adult in the room. Surreal.


2018-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

According to Russian media AD systems at T-4 were operating in active hostile EW environment. It is even more remarkable since the damage to the base was minuscule and it remain operational. Syrians certainly are learning the basics of modern air-battles well.


2018-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

1. Is Russia in the state of war with Israel?
2. Did Israel attack Russian forces in Syria?
3. Does Russia have authorization to shoot down aerial targets in international (Lebanon) air space?

Once you answer these three easy questions, you will get the answer to your question.


2018-04-09 on sic-semper-tyrannis

IAF attack was a classic probing action for SIGINT–what would “light up” in radio diapason during this attack on Russian side. The fact that Israel did not inform Russia, as it was always the case prior, but informed the US is pretty much self-evident fact of what transpired. The target, however, was chosen conspicuously away from any Russian assets in Syria.

Per sub launched Israeli missiles–I don’t know about that. Russia has more than enough ASW assets in and around Tartus, including recently deployed Il-38 with latest Novella ASW suite to know who and how. For now what is confirmed is the salvo of 8, most likely Delilahs, 5 of which were intercepted while three got through killing 3 and wounding 14 Iranians.


2018-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yep, under pretext of, now “traditional”, Iran forces doing some sinister things, a good run to see how Russians will react, once one looks at the vector of attack (from the sea) and without notifying, as it was usually done before, Russian forces. Israel, however, notified CENTCOM. So, the picture is pretty clear and is in preparation of the strike, including from the sea, but, probably, using some other assets since it was conceived also as a ruse.


2018-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Hopefully, US sanctions will continue and ruin Russia’s stock exchange and “bankrupt” remaining Russian “oligarchs” assets, such as Deripaska’s Rusal, with its inevitable full nationalization.


2018-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Do you think it is feasible to create such a concept able to adapt to so
many varying-and frankly contradictory in many respects-roles as both
SSN, SSGN & SSBN?

I think it is possible. Consider this, even if it is not a direct “proof”, but first Borei SSBN used the unfinished pr. 971 SSN’s hull. I, of course, only speculate but unification across platforms is the key in such business (a very expensive one) as modern nukes.

Would it not be better to produce more of the Yasen subs and their upgrades, say..YasenM2, thus reducing the R&D costs? Continuing the production run till early 2030s could result in ~25+ Yasens..

I, honestly, don’t know plus remember–it is Russia, tomorrow Russian Navy may decide that, hell, we are going with Yasens for now and order another 6-7. Who knows.


2018-04-09 on sic-semper-tyrannis

Colonel, my deepest respect and admiration for your integrity.


2018-04-09 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Classic probing operation: launch Delilahs from Lebanon’s air space at remote airbase and see what “lights up” in radio spectrum. Report to JCS.


2018-04-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

PS. Diplomat.com now cries over “war gap”, about how us planners knows nothing about war. The topic gets popular…

have you even tried to follow the link you posted here?


2018-04-08 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The topic gets popular…

I wrote a book on military incompetence of American establishment. Should be out soon (sooner than was planned).


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

While personally I tend to mostly disregard them.

Eurasia’s economic and military strategy is emerging and is the subject of a discussion between China and Russia. Words matter. In fact, the world at large is controlled and run by words. I am pretty sure a massive spike in trade between China and Russia last and this year was arranged using words.


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There was no definition of the work week per se only norms described by manuals in relation to the stations (gotovnosti) in terms of watches, sleep, rest, and what would usually go under the title Мероприятия (Events) of combat and political training. The practice of giving a a “day off” to individual when on patrol did exist, though. It depended, of course, a lot on circumstances of tactical and operational situation, granted that Soviet Coast Guard (same goes for USCG, I am sure) was constantly involved in all kinds of specific activities (such as inspections) which were very disruptive. And then, of course, there were things of purely naval (as in Navy) activities which made life on our ships rather intense and tiresome sometimes.


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

BTW, there is certainly something wrong with this huge spike in crashes. This is today.

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2…

The trend now, it seems.


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

There was one more consideration: lack of wharfs in Russia

Very true.


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

The problem now is not even Nikki, however despicable this bimbo is–the problem is metaphysical now. It is also, in view of US elite which is ultimately not situationally aware and militarily illiterate, the issue for those elites today is “it is either them or us”. It is Manichean in its very nature and Trump himself is a game now. In fact, he initiated it. His next step is to demand from Russia to basically fade away, gave up her weapons and submit–he really believes that he is in position to demand this, and that is a huge danger, because he isn’t.


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Would US ships in Persian gulf really be as vulnerable as discussed in alternative e media?

No. Iranians do not have expertise and weapons, bar couple Russian Kilo-class SSKs, to really hold off US Navy. They may get lucky, of course, but that is about it. Weight categories are simply incomparable, plus Iran doesn’t have any modern Air Force. Nor am I sure how effective Iran;s anti-shipping missiles are. Re-positioning of the Caspian Flotilla to Dagestan, however, is a peculiar move by Russia, granted that it drastically shortens a strike distance to Persian Gulf. TLAMs? Sure! but can anyone give guarantee today that Russian anti-shipping missiles ranges are what they are claimed to be? Russia has this propensity to downplay capability. It is stated that 3M54 flies at 660 kilometers. Could it be 1000? Very possible. Indians are launching their Brahmos at 800+ already, and Brahmos is a direct derivative of Onyx–so, who knows.


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

For now Russia, correctly, doesn’t want to put this shithole of a country on her balance. Russia also controls escalation with Ukraine through Donbas. So let Ukraine enjoy all benefits of being a shithole. In the end, misery is the best cure for a national psychosis.


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yet again I still think the reason of Chinese verbal activisation is not in what they feel for Russia

I don’t recall ever stating this, in fact in all my pieces on China I stress that the only country China is concerned about is China. Russia is crucial for Chinese survival as a modern state hence China’s articulation of willingness of alliance. At this stage this alliance, despite being situational, looks not only sensible but highly warranted–Trump wages the battle for MAGA (in his understanding), he is going to lose it (in fact he already lost it) but increasing global volatility does require concentration of the strategic resources of both China and Russia. All this has nothing to do with charity of feelings but everything with survival, including on a global scale.


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I really don’t know. My sources of information are the same as yours–open media and it is difficult to predict the vector in commercial aviation. The rumors of remaking TU-160 into supersonic business jet do continue to circulate.


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Jet, truth is, the US had whole 1990s to reach true greatness. The only thing which was required was a genuine benevolence–it all ended in Spring of 1999 when Serbia was bombed on trumped up “intelligence”–you know the rest, millions dead, maimed, displaced. Count wars today, at some point of time many people begin to feel like a dude from Network:

https://youtu.be/sdQCPlAZjbY


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I was suprised Russia agreed to sell S-400 to China. It is not that we have too many of them surplus.

Russia sells to China more than that. It has to be learned by now–Russia sells to China weapons which are one generation behind of what Russia is about to deploy.


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

If Russia loses, China’s fleet gets obliterated on the high seas, she gets enclosed in the South China Sea and the deal is done. Parallels, yet again, between GB and China are irrelevant. UK is an economic, military and geographic midget. Totally different weight categories not to mention this teeny-weeny factor of nuclear weapons, among many others which make all those WW II geopolitical parallels rather dull and irrelevant. History serves as a lesson only to those who want to learn.


2018-04-07 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Not really, I just know that China holds something around 3 trillion in US treasuries. At least that is how I remember it.


2018-04-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

This patience bears fruits and is also in the foundation of Russia preparing for “surprises” in Ukraine and they are coming. US needs war in Ukraine–it is the only way she can coral gutless cowardly Europeans. Well, I guess Donbas armed forces will be waiting, if you know what I mean. Meanwhile China obviously is quite happy with having such a strategic depth in Russia. It seems China is not going to let the SNAFU with Taiwan slide, hence such a massive “coming out” by PRC’s Defense Minister.


2018-04-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Yes, US military is more than over-stretched, the problems are deeper and involve a combination of factors, including a very inept and extremely self-serving top military brass capable of winning only budget wars.


2018-04-06 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Generation of militant ignoramuses. And by generation I mean not the age, but a social generation which has a fair share in it of baby boomers and people who should have known better by the age of 50 or so. But then again, infantilism today is in everything–from academe, to military to politics.

http://starecat.com/content…


2018-04-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Also, what is another explanation for half of the ship built in France and half of it buikt in Russia otherwise?
Won’t it be better to build one whole ship in France and another while ship in Russia? Or all of them in Russia?

Count explanations, but before that read this–I wrote it long time ago, in fact–it is the first substantive entry in this blog:

http://smoothiex12.blogspot…

1. MOD Serdyokov
2. Chief of General Staff Makarov
3. Other people in utterly incompetent Medvedev’s Cabinet .
4. A high-profile of scandal around this whole Mistral mess in Russia and as a result a political and middle-of-the-road decision to build this ship under the pretext of “technology transfer” in both France and Russia–a sheer idiocy of that was evident then to anyone with a half-brain.

5. Mistrals have NOTHING, zero “hi-tech” in them with the exception of as I already stated, at that time “attractive”, CICS by Thales and its radio-communications complex. It is of little interest today.

But most importantly (I don’t know if you are trolling or you have other agenda here) what you forget to mention in all this BS with Mistrals is the fact that Russian versions of those were supposed to carry both 3M14 and 3M54, plus some AD systems which would have required a significant re-design of these ships–an expertise which Russia had then and, certainly, she has it now. Moreover, you continue to ignore the fact which I already pointed out to you several times–Mistrals are commercial design, not a small factor which played into massive scandal and acrimony around this absurd deal.

The nation which builds massive nuclear and diesel power ice-breakers, state-of-the-art nuclear submarines will have little trouble building such a mediocre ferry as Mistral which has absolutely nothing high-tech about it nor requires some mind-boggling French “technologies” to build this mediocrity. Not to speak of Mistrals being ugly.

https://www.rt.com/news/wor…

You example with construction is so out of even most lax framework of general technical knowledge and competence that it is simply difficult to respond to it. In conclusion: Mistral was purely ideological and grossly flawed from the beginning political contract for the vessels which had zero operational, technological or any other benefit for Russia.


2018-04-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Serbian women… such beauties!

The amount of beauty and femininity of Serbian girls in this video is off the scale. BUT! I have to hand it to this Serbian kid who got himself strategically deployed in such an environment. LOL. Smart kid, tell ya.

https://youtu.be/ncZmawocWMg


2018-04-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Hm, that shows that you really need to take a look at a cross sections of say pr. 885 or pr. 955 hulls and that of Mistrals to understand an enormous difference in complexity. It doesn’t matter what length of a chunk–what matters is what are the tolerances at the joint, speaking in a very layman language. If you think that building of essentially a commercial vessel represents some up on a construction of 170 meters long nuclear powered strategic missile submarine–we are definitely living in a very different universes. I am not even talking at all about initial sheer idiocy of any argumentation, including false “technology” pretext you are trying to promote here, behind the whole idiocy of Mistrals’ contracts, which were Medvedev’s favor to Sarkozy for “mediating” situation with Georgia.


2018-04-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I do not envy their “elite’s” position, but then again, Ukraine’s elite as always bet on a wrong horse.


2018-04-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

I certainly hope it is true.


2018-04-05 on httpsmoothiex12blogspotcom

Trifkofic is absolutely correct in his (not really his, actually) emphasis on a damning effect neoliberal economic agenda has on Russia. But that is not really the news. This was known for decades now. Per this statement of his:

It seems clear that Russia needs structural reforms. The basis of state policy is controlling inflation and keeping unemployment artificially low, which hinders real growth and results in a permanent state of crisis. It is necessary to finance large projects, most of all infrastructure – high-speed railways, six-lane highways.If the state does not act, Russia’s lagging behind the world’s leading economies will only grow in the coming years.

I am not exactly sure what is he trying to say here? While infrastructure projects are extremely important, there is also no denial of Russia steadily and greatly improving in that field. And no, six-lanes highways do not, as he states, determine lag or otherwise in relation to the “world’s leading economies”, machine-building and R&D complex, however, DOES determine what is “leading” and what is not. In this respect, Trifkovic repeats same ol’ cliches of this very neoliberalism which he, allegedly, criticizes. So, he contradicts himself. He also, obviously, continues to judge the world in purely monetarist framework. It is expected from humanities educated person who do not understand a gigantic industrial and technological abyss which separates manufacturing of the state-of-the-art jet and, say, GLONASS, in which Russia is universally recognizable global leader, and, say dealing with laying up 6, as opposed to 4, lanes highway–nothing personal per se against road workers nor 6 lanes highways. Per Russia’s growth? Will see what changes the Big Boss will introduce after his inauguration. My recent posts also dedicated quite a bit precisely to a necessity to watch Russia’s machine-building which was significantly re-tooled. Be it Zvezda, be it SSJ-100, MS-21, Il-114, new helicopters, new extraction technologies–all those are finally beginning to come out in numbers–that is growth. Russia does not need “economists” and bankers, Russia desperately needs CNC Operators and good machinists–enough to take a look at job sites.